Tearsheet

Greenbrier Companies (GBX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $46.52 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Greenbrier Companies (GBX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $46.52
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 107%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, and Supply Chain Digitization.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, and Supply Chain Digitization.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 107%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GBX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GBX Return18%29%-25%36%41%-22%73%
Peers Return18%16%11%37%17%31%220%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GBX Win Rate67%50%33%58%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate63%60%45%53%57%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GBX Max Drawdown-59%-3%-46%-22%-1%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-4%-21%-6%-8%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, FSS, TEX, CMI, PCAR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven551 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven185 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-66.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven199.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1898 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1908.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1809 days1480 days

Compare to CAT, FSS, TEX, CMI, PCAR


In The Past

Greenbrier Companies's stock fell -54.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -54.6% loss requires a 120.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Greenbrier Companies (GBX)

Better Bets than Greenbrier Companies (GBX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GBX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Greenbrier Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GBXCATFSSTEXCMIPCARMedian
NameGreenbri.Caterpil.Federal .Terex Cummins PACCAR  
Mkt Price46.51599.15110.9350.28510.74108.50109.72
Mkt Cap1.4281.46.73.370.557.131.9
Rev LTM3,24063,1392,0555,34433,58129,53217,438
Op Inc LTM34411,5103273913,7543,3651,878
FCF LTM-157,7402202792,2783,1941,278
FCF 3Y Avg-1258,3491752661,5943,005930
CFO LTM26611,3732484123,5094,7171,960
CFO 3Y Avg22211,5172083922,7864,4501,589

Growth & Margins

GBXCATFSSTEXCMIPCARMedian
NameGreenbri.Caterpil.Federal .Terex Cummins PACCAR  
Rev Chg LTM-8.6%-4.9%11.8%4.6%-1.8%-15.2%-3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%5.8%15.3%8.9%9.4%3.8%7.4%
Rev Chg Q-27.9%-0.7%17.0%14.4%-1.6%-19.0%-1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.3%-0.2%4.1%3.4%-0.4%-5.0%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM10.6%18.2%15.9%7.3%11.2%11.4%11.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.2%18.8%14.5%10.4%10.4%14.4%12.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%-1.0%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.2%18.0%12.1%7.7%10.4%16.0%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%17.8%11.1%7.5%8.3%13.7%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.5%12.3%10.7%5.2%6.8%10.8%8.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%12.9%9.3%5.1%4.8%9.2%7.2%

Valuation

GBXCATFSSTEXCMIPCARMedian
NameGreenbri.Caterpil.Federal .Terex Cummins PACCAR  
Mkt Cap1.4281.46.73.370.557.131.9
P/S0.42.93.50.61.71.81.7
P/EBIT3.914.922.58.814.015.414.5
P/E7.019.330.621.621.819.220.4
P/CFO5.416.029.18.216.611.013.5
Total Yield17.1%6.7%3.7%6.0%6.3%9.6%6.5%
Dividend Yield2.8%1.5%0.5%1.4%1.8%4.4%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.6%5.4%3.1%7.4%3.8%6.1%4.6%
D/E1.30.20.00.80.10.30.3
Net D/E1.10.20.00.60.10.10.2

Returns

GBXCATFSSTEXCMIPCARMedian
NameGreenbri.Caterpil.Federal .Terex Cummins PACCAR  
1M Rtn12.3%9.4%-2.2%7.0%19.6%12.3%10.9%
3M Rtn-0.3%43.0%-11.1%-2.2%27.9%10.9%5.3%
6M Rtn4.2%72.8%11.9%11.1%59.6%18.1%15.0%
12M Rtn-30.0%52.2%11.9%-8.3%37.7%-4.5%3.7%
3Y Rtn39.3%171.1%138.7%16.5%123.6%78.7%101.1%
1M Excs Rtn11.1%8.2%-3.5%5.8%18.4%11.1%9.6%
3M Excs Rtn-6.4%36.2%-16.9%-10.5%22.5%4.1%-1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-11.2%57.4%-3.6%-4.4%44.1%2.7%-0.4%
12M Excs Rtn-43.6%37.7%0.3%-21.0%24.7%-16.1%-7.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-39.4%94.9%64.9%-56.2%49.3%3.9%26.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Manufacturing2,1721,8471,8541,4941,302
Leasing & Fleet Management1,6341,4581,152949739
Unallocated, including cash448379561687861
Maintenance Services 294285261272
Total4,2543,9783,8523,3913,174


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,377,191
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202515.4%
Average Daily Volume334,403
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.11
Basic Shares Quantity30,877,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251028202510-K 8/31/2025
5312025702202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025408202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024110202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241024202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024708202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024405202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023105202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231025202310-K 8/31/2023
5312023629202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023410202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022106202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221031202210-K 8/31/2022
5312022711202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022406202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021107202210-Q 11/30/2021