Trinity Industries (TRN)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $27.825 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
Trinity Industries (TRN)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $27.825Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 262% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight. Themes include Freight Technology, Railcar Manufacturing & Leasing, and Sustainable Freight Solutions. | Key risksTRN key risks include [1] its high financial leverage, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight. Themes include Freight Technology, Railcar Manufacturing & Leasing, and Sustainable Freight Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 262% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% |
| Key risksTRN key risks include [1] its high financial leverage, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
**1. Trinity Industries' Q3 2025 Revenue Fell Short of Expectations.** Trinity Industries reported third-quarter 2025 revenues of $454.1 million, which did not meet analyst estimates of $532.66 million. This revenue shortfall was a significant factor, leading to a 1.45% decline in the stock price on the earnings announcement date of October 30, 2025.**2. Despite an EPS Beat, Investor Concerns Lingered Due to Revenue Miss.** While Trinity Industries announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.38 for Q3 2025, surpassing forecasts by 8.57%, the positive EPS was overshadowed by the unexpected revenue miss. This divergence likely caused investors to exercise caution, contributing to a negative sentiment that could explain the stock's downward movement.
**3. Decline in Railcar Deliveries and Backlog Indicated Potential Headwinds.** During the third quarter of 2025, the company reported 1,680 railcar deliveries, a decrease from the 1,815 units delivered in the second quarter of 2025. Furthermore, the company's backlog slightly reduced to $1.8 billion from $2.0 billion in Q2, potentially signaling a slower future manufacturing outlook and raising concerns among investors regarding sustained growth.
**4. Analyst Consensus Showed Caution with "Hold" Ratings and Lower Price Targets.** As of December 2025, financial analysts maintained a consensus "Hold" rating for Trinity Industries (TRN). The average 12-month price target set by analysts suggested a potential decrease from the stock's then-current trading price, indicating a cautious outlook from financial experts. Trading Economics also forecasted a continued price decline for TRN by the end of Q4 2025 and over the subsequent year.
**5. Broader Yearly Stock Performance Exhibited a Significant Decline.** Over the course of the preceding year, Trinity Industries' stock experienced a substantial decrease of 19.46%. This broader negative trend in the company's stock performance likely influenced short-term movements and investor confidence, exerting downward pressure on the stock price within the specified period. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.1% change in TRN stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 14.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.52 | 27.82 | 1.08% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2519.80 | 2175.10 | -13.68% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.83% | 4.39% | 14.53% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.19 | 23.47 | 1.24% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81.30 | 80.50 | 0.98% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.07% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRN | 1.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 38.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.4% | 44.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.9% change in TRN stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 52.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.78 | 27.82 | 7.93% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2855.00 | 2175.10 | -23.81% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.79% | 4.39% | -8.46% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.38 | 23.47 | 52.68% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81.60 | 80.50 | 1.35% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.91% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRN | 7.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 28.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.0% | 39.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.1% change in TRN stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -33.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.37 | 27.82 | -19.07% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3247.70 | 2175.10 | -33.03% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.31% | 4.39% | -17.33% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.40 | 23.47 | 43.15% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 82.20 | 80.50 | 2.07% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.10% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRN | -19.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 58.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.6% | 64.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.0% change in TRN stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 76.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.50 | 27.82 | 4.99% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1858.30 | 2175.10 | 17.05% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.76% | 4.39% | -49.94% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.30 | 23.47 | 76.53% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81.70 | 80.50 | 1.47% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.96% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRN | 14.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 47.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 42.7% | 54.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TRN Return | 24% | 18% | 1% | -6% | 37% | -17% | 58% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 27% | -4% | 23% | 74% | 9% | 216% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TRN Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 53% | 45% | 55% | 65% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TRN Max Drawdown | -33% | -3% | -27% | -29% | -9% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -5% | -22% | -13% | -5% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GBX, GATX, WAB, ACA, RAIL. See TRN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TRN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 281 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 477 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 641.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,703 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to R, LSTR, WERN, HTLD, CAT
In The Past
Trinity Industries's stock fell -43.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -43.0% loss requires a 75.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Trinity Industries (TRN):
- Boeing for the rail industry.
- Caterpillar for freight rail equipment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Freight Railcars: Trinity Industries manufactures and sells a wide range of freight railcars designed for transporting diverse commodities across North America.
- Railcar Leasing: The company provides operating leases for its extensive fleet of freight railcars, offering flexible solutions to customers for their transportation needs.
- Railcar Fleet Management Services: Trinity Industries offers comprehensive services including maintenance, repair, and administration to efficiently manage railcar fleets for its customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Trinity Industries (TRN) primarily sells its products and services to other companies, operating in a Business-to-Business (B2B) model. Its core business involves manufacturing, selling, and leasing railway freight cars and providing related services.
Trinity Industries' annual reports typically state that no single customer accounts for 10% or more of its consolidated revenues, indicating a diversified customer base rather than a few individually named "major customers" dominating its sales. Therefore, its customer base can be best described by the following categories of companies:
- Class I Railroads: These are the largest freight railroad operators in North America. They purchase or lease railcars to expand and maintain their extensive fleets for transporting various goods across the continent. Examples of such public companies that represent this customer type include:
- Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
- CSX Corporation (CSX)
- Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)
- Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP)
- Railcar Leasing Companies: These companies specialize in owning and leasing railcars to a wide array of shippers and industries. They acquire new railcars from manufacturers like Trinity to build out and manage their leased fleets. Examples of such public companies that represent this customer type include:
- GATX Corporation (GATX)
- The Greenbrier Companies (GBX)
- Industrial and Agricultural Product Shippers: A diverse group of companies from various sectors (e.g., chemicals, automotive, energy, agriculture, construction materials) that utilize rail transport for moving raw materials or finished goods. While many may lease cars from railcar leasing companies, some larger shippers may also purchase or directly lease railcars from manufacturers like Trinity to manage their own captive fleets. Due to the broad and diverse nature of this category, specific major public customers are not typically disclosed by Trinity.
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E. Jean Savage, Chief Executive Officer and President
Ms. Savage was appointed CEO and President of Trinity Industries in February 2020. She is the first non-family member and first woman to lead the company. Prior to joining Trinity, she spent 17 years at Caterpillar Inc. in various senior leadership positions, most recently as Vice President of the Surface Mining & Technology division from August 2017 to 2020, where she oversaw the division's end-to-end value chain. She also held leadership roles in Caterpillar's Progress Rail division from 2002 to 2013 and served as Chief Technology Officer and Vice President of the Innovation and Technology Development division from 2014 to 2017. Before Caterpillar, Ms. Savage worked for 14 years at Parker Hannifin Corporation in operations and engineering. She also served nine years as an Intelligence Officer in the U.S. Army Reserves.
Eric R. Marchetto, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Marchetto was appointed Chief Financial Officer for Trinity Industries in March 2020. He joined Trinity in 1995 and has held various leadership roles, including Chief Financial Officer and Group President of TrinityRail, as well as Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer of TrinityRail. He has been instrumental in the development, growth, and evolution of Trinity's railcar manufacturing, leasing, and services businesses into the TrinityRail platform. Mr. Marchetto began his career with Ernst & Young in their audit practice. He holds Bachelor's degrees in Accounting and Economics from Southern Methodist University.
Scott M. Ewing, Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Ewing has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer of Trinity Industries since 2023. Before this role, he was an Associate General Counsel for the company. Prior to joining Trinity, Mr. Ewing worked as a lawyer at Haynes and Boone, LLP.
Christina N. Maldonado, Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Maldonado has been the Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of Trinity Industries since 2024. She previously served as Corporate Controller from 2018 to 2024. Before her tenure at Trinity, Ms. Maldonado held various accounting and financial reporting leadership roles at Dean Foods Company and GameStop Corp. She began her career in the audit practice of Deloitte & Touche LLP and is a licensed Certified Public Accountant in Texas.
Gregory B. Mitchell, Chief Commercial Officer, TrinityRail
Mr. Mitchell was promoted to Chief Commercial Officer for TrinityRail in November 2019. He is responsible for TrinityRail's commercial activities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Trinity Industries (TRN) primarily revolve around the cyclical nature of its industry, its financial leverage, and ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs and regulations.
- Cyclical Downturn: Trinity Industries' demand for new railcars and associated services is highly sensitive to overall industrial activity and trade policy. The company has experienced declines in backlog and deliveries, which poses a risk to future revenue. Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts suggest a potential decline in the near future, indicating expected demand headwinds.
- High Financial Leverage: Trinity Industries operates with substantial financial leverage, characterized by a high net debt-to-EBITDA ratio and low interest coverage. This level of debt could limit the company's financial flexibility, make incremental borrowing more expensive, and potentially necessitate cutbacks or more conservative investments in its fleet if economic conditions worsen.
- Tariff and Regulatory Uncertainty: The company faces risks from new U.S. tariffs, which could lead to delayed customer orders and increased raw material costs. Furthermore, potential changes in rail safety regulations may raise compliance expenses. Trinity Industries also has significant manufacturing operations in Mexico, exposing it to potential disruptions from trade barriers and political, legal, and economic changes in the region.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) primarily operates in the North American rail transportation sector through its TrinityRail platform, which encompasses railcar leasing and management services, and the manufacturing and sale of various railcar types and components. The company also historically had segments related to inland barges and highway products.
Addressable Markets for Trinity Industries' Main Products and Services:
-
North American Railcar Leasing and Management Services: The North America railcar leasing market is projected to increase by USD 8.30 billion, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.1% between 2024 and 2029.
-
North American Rail Products and Manufacturing (Freight Railcars and Components): While a specific market size solely for new freight railcar manufacturing and components in North America is not distinctly isolated in the search results from the broader railroad market, the North America railroad market, which includes freight rail, generated a revenue of USD 94,326.3 million in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% from 2025 to 2030. Freight rail is a significant pillar of the American economy.
-
North American Inland Barge Transportation: The North America barge transportation market was valued at USD 15.60 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 23.34 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.48% during that forecast period. North America accounted for 42% of the global barge transportation market revenue in 2024. Earlier data indicated the North America barge transportation market was $22.2 billion in 2016 and predicted to reach $31.1 billion by 2024 with approximately a 5% CAGR from 2017 to 2024.
-
North American Highway Products (e.g., Guardrail and Highway Barriers): Information specific to the market size for highway products such as guardrails and barriers was not found. However, broader categories like the "Heavy Truck and Off Highway Vehicle Market" in North America had sales revenue of $79.6 billion in 2025. Additionally, the North America off-highway vehicles industry holds a significant share, driven by infrastructure investments, increasing construction activities, and adoption of advanced machinery. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) in the US, providing USD 1.2 trillion in funding for infrastructure upgrades, including highways and bridges, is a major growth catalyst.
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Trinity Industries (TRN) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
-
Sustained Strong Lease Rates and High Fleet Utilization: Trinity Industries has consistently benefited from improved lease rates and favorable fleet utilization within its Railcar Leasing and Services segment. The company has reported a positive Future Lease Rate Differential (FLRD), indicating that renewal lease rates are significantly higher than expiring rates, which directly contributes to revenue expansion in its leasing business.
-
Strategic Investment in and Expansion of the Lease Fleet: A core component of Trinity's strategy involves the continuous investment in and optimization of its lease fleet. The company has allocated significant capital to add new railcar builds and acquire railcars from the secondary market, thereby growing its asset base that generates recurring leasing revenue.
-
Increased Demand for New Railcar Deliveries and Favorable Product Mix: Although market conditions can be cyclical, Trinity has observed strong order activity driven by customer expansions and take-on orders, signaling robust demand for railcars. Revenue growth in the Rail Products Group is also expected from favorable pricing and a beneficial mix of railcar deliveries.
-
Growth and Optimization of Maintenance Services: Trinity plans to expand its Maintenance Services business, particularly in key geographic areas with high railcar traffic, to support the increasing maintenance needs of its growing lease fleet. The strategic alignment of its leasing and maintenance businesses is also expected to lead to lower costs and improved performance, enhancing service-related revenues.
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Share Repurchases
- Trinity Industries repurchased 608,052 shares at a cost of approximately $21 million in 2024.
- The company returned $807 million to shareholders through share repurchases in 2021.
- As of February 2025, Trinity had a remaining authorization to repurchase up to $229 million of its common stock.
Inbound Investments
- In August 2021, Trinity Industries partnered with Wafra Inc. to launch a new railcar investment vehicle program, targeting up to $1 billion in leased railcar investments over an expected three-year period.
Outbound Investments
- In March 2023, Trinity Industries acquired RSI Logistics, a provider of tech-enabled solutions for rail freight management, for $70 million.
- The company acquired Holden America in December 2022 (announced January 2023) for an initial purchase price of $70 million, with an additional minimum of $5 million per year for the subsequent two years.
- In June 2022, Trinity's Leasing Group acquired a portfolio of railcars for $132.1 million in cash.
Capital Expenditures
- Trinity Industries anticipates a net fleet investment of between $300 million and $400 million for 2025, alongside $45 million to $55 million in operating and administrative capital expenditures.
- In 2023, the company made a net investment of approximately $287 million in its lease fleet, focusing on new railcar additions, sustainable railcar conversions, and railcar modifications.
- Capital expenditures have also been directed towards strategic acquisitions, such as RSI Logistics and Holden America, to expand service offerings and increase exposure to less cyclical aftermarket parts.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TRN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 18.7% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.4% |
| 04302025 | TRN | Trinity Industries | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | -6.2% |
| 05312019 | TRN | Trinity Industries | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 7.7% | -21.3% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Trinity Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 78.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,504 |
| Op Inc LTM | 355 |
| FCF LTM | 171 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 84 |
| CFO LTM | 427 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 347 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.1 |
| P/E | 21.7 |
| P/CFO | 10.2 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 83.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rail Products Group | 2,479 | 2,075 | 1,265 | 1,610 | 2,975 |
| Railcar Leasing and Services Group | 1,041 | 771 | 735 | 802 | 1,117 |
| Elimination of intersegment revenues | -537 | ||||
| Corporate and other | 0 | ||||
| Eliminations - Lease subsidiary | -867 | -478 | -653 | -1,331 | |
| Eliminations - Other | -1 | -6 | -9 | -17 | |
| All Other | 261 | ||||
| Total | 2,983 | 1,977 | 1,516 | 1,750 | 3,005 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Railcar Leasing and Services Group | 438 | 423 | 351 | 354 | 407 |
| Rail Products Group | 113 | 59 | 5 | 36 | 278 |
| Restructuring activities, net | 2 | -1 | 4 | -11 | -15 |
| Eliminations | -27 | ||||
| Corporate and other | -108 | -81 | -84 | -100 | -108 |
| Eliminations - Lease subsidiary | -65 | -17 | -35 | -165 | |
| Eliminations - Other | -1 | -1 | -2 | -0 | |
| Impairment of long-lived assets | -396 | ||||
| All Other | 20 | ||||
| Total | 417 | 334 | 257 | -155 | 416 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Railcar Leasing and Services Group | 8,119 | 7,780 | 7,585 | 7,652 | 8,013 |
| Rail Products Group | 1,189 | 1,440 | 1,064 | 859 | 1,020 |
| Corporate and other | 286 | 267 | 365 | 833 | 378 |
| Eliminations | -688 | ||||
| Eliminations - Lease subsidiary | -763 | -779 | -820 | -904 | |
| Assets of discontinued operations | 178 | ||||
| All Other | 196 | ||||
| Eliminations - Other | -1 | ||||
| Total | 8,906 | 8,724 | 8,236 | 8,702 | 8,701 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $27.82 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/30/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $27.09 | $26.66 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 2.7% | 4.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.4% | 32.0% |
| Downside Capture | 52.71 | 116.97 |
| Upside Capture | 46.90 | 79.06 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 38.9% | 58.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.41 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.90 | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Up Beta | 1.02 | 1.17 | 1.39 | 1.95 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Down Beta | 0.22 | 0.80 | 0.56 | 0.22 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Up Capture | 10% | 30% | 38% | 70% | 67% | 90% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 29 | 61 | 114 | 379 |
| Down Capture | 39% | 73% | 93% | 98% | 114% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 21 | 33 | 64 | 133 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TRN With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -18.0% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 31.9% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.59 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 64.4% | 58.7% | 4.0% | 20.8% | 47.8% | 23.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TRN With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 5.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.2% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 60.8% | 50.4% | 7.7% | 23.5% | 46.2% | 18.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TRN With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 7.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 37.5% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.32 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 62.1% | 52.9% | -0.8% | 29.5% | 43.0% | 12.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -2.8% | -5.6% | -5.2% |
| 7/31/2025 | -6.7% | 8.0% | 14.5% |
| 5/1/2025 | -2.9% | -3.9% | 2.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -8.3% | -8.9% | -13.4% |
| 10/31/2024 | -4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% |
| 8/1/2024 | 10.4% | -1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2/22/2024 | -4.1% | -8.0% | 0.8% |
| 11/2/2023 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 23.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| # Negative | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -5.4% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.4% | 21.8% | 30.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.1% | -12.5% | -22.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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