Tearsheet

Trinity Industries (TRN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.9 | Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Trinity Industries (TRN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.9
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 260%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight. Themes include Freight Technology, Railcar Manufacturing & Leasing, and Sustainable Freight Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight. Themes include Freight Technology, Railcar Manufacturing & Leasing, and Sustainable Freight Solutions.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 260%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TRN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -3.5% stock movement for Trinity Industries (TRN) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Lower-than-expected revenue in Q3 2025. Trinity Industries reported third-quarter 2025 total revenues of $454 million, which significantly missed analysts' anticipated $532.66 million, marking a 14.75% shortfall and a 43.2% year-over-year decline. This substantial revenue miss could have contributed to negative investor sentiment. 2. Persistent market headwinds and customer delays. Despite the company raising and tightening its full-year EPS guidance to a range of $1.55 to $1.70, management acknowledged ongoing market and cost headwinds, as well as persistent customer delays in capital commitments, which remain a short-term risk. These lingering challenges likely fueled investor apprehension. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TRN Return24%18%1%-6%37%-21%50%
Peers Return13%22%-1%18%4%1%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRN Win Rate58%58%42%33%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate57%62%40%50%57%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRN Max Drawdown-33%-3%-27%-29%-9%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-22%-11%-15%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: R, LSTR, WERN, HTLD, CAT. See TRN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTRNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven66 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven477 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven641.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1703 days1480 days

Compare to R, LSTR, WERN, HTLD, CAT


In The Past

Trinity Industries's stock fell -43.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -43.0% loss requires a 75.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Trinity Industries (TRN)

Better Bets than Trinity Industries (TRN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TRN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TRN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025TRNTrinity IndustriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%10.5%-6.2%
TRN_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019TRNTrinity IndustriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.2%7.7%-21.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TRN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025TRNTrinity IndustriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%10.5%-6.2%
TRN_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019TRNTrinity IndustriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.2%7.7%-21.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Trinity Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRNRLSTRWERNHTLDCATMedian
NameTrinity .Ryder Sy.Landstar.Werner E.Heartlan.Caterpil. 
Mkt Price27.13178.49138.9128.798.82591.4983.85
Mkt Cap2.27.34.81.70.7277.83.5
Rev LTM2,17512,7084,7792,99193263,1393,885
Op Inc LTM3661,11219554-4411,510281
FCF LTM-396-88199-55-317,740-43
FCF 3Y Avg-335-458316-8828,349-43
CFO LTM3842,40321319112011,373299
CFO 3Y Avg3692,32934034716411,517358

Growth & Margins

TRNRLSTRWERNHTLDCATMedian
NameTrinity .Ryder Sy.Landstar.Werner E.Heartlan.Caterpil. 
Rev Chg LTM-33.0%1.3%-0.7%-3.4%-16.4%-4.9%-4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%2.0%-14.1%-2.1%23.2%5.8%3.9%
Rev Chg Q-43.2%-0.3%-0.7%3.5%-23.4%-0.7%-0.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-13.7%-0.1%-0.2%0.9%-6.5%-0.2%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM16.8%8.8%4.1%1.8%-4.8%18.2%6.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.4%8.8%5.3%3.9%-0.8%18.8%7.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%0.0%-0.1%-1.0%-1.7%-0.9%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM17.6%18.9%4.5%6.4%12.9%18.0%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.8%18.7%6.5%10.9%14.6%17.8%14.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.2%-0.7%4.2%-1.8%-3.4%12.3%-1.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.2%-3.7%6.0%-2.7%-0.0%12.9%-1.4%

Valuation

TRNRLSTRWERNHTLDCATMedian
NameTrinity .Ryder Sy.Landstar.Werner E.Heartlan.Caterpil. 
Mkt Cap2.27.34.81.70.7277.83.5
P/S1.00.60.90.50.72.90.8
P/EBIT5.37.021.720.7-20.714.911.0
P/E23.715.330.962.3-18.819.321.5
P/CFO5.93.219.98.35.616.07.1
Total Yield8.6%8.4%6.2%3.8%-5.3%6.7%6.4%
Dividend Yield4.3%1.9%2.9%2.2%0.0%1.5%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.5%-8.5%5.4%-4.0%-0.4%5.4%-2.2%
D/E2.61.20.00.50.30.20.4
Net D/E2.61.1-0.10.40.30.20.3

Returns

TRNRLSTRWERNHTLDCATMedian
NameTrinity .Ryder Sy.Landstar.Werner E.Heartlan.Caterpil. 
1M Rtn1.8%6.5%10.8%12.1%14.4%3.7%8.6%
3M Rtn-1.7%-3.5%6.1%1.6%4.9%42.9%3.3%
6M Rtn8.5%21.4%-0.9%7.6%0.6%70.4%8.0%
12M Rtn-24.3%9.6%-22.8%-26.9%-28.8%50.4%-23.6%
3Y Rtn-3.0%112.3%-14.5%-32.0%-46.1%163.6%-8.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%6.6%10.8%12.1%14.4%3.7%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%-10.2%-1.6%-4.9%-2.3%35.8%-3.6%
6M Excs Rtn-6.3%6.6%-15.6%-7.1%-14.1%55.7%-6.7%
12M Excs Rtn-38.5%-5.7%-37.1%-41.8%-43.9%34.3%-37.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.5%35.1%-86.9%-102.3%-117.7%95.2%-78.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rail Products Group2,4792,0751,2651,6102,975
Railcar Leasing and Services Group1,0417717358021,117
Elimination of intersegment revenues-537    
Corporate and other 0   
Eliminations - Lease subsidiary -867-478-653-1,331
Eliminations - Other -1-6-9-17
All Other    261
Total2,9831,9771,5161,7503,005


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Railcar Leasing and Services Group438423351354407
Rail Products Group11359536278
Restructuring activities, net2-14-11-15
Eliminations-27    
Corporate and other-108-81-84-100-108
Eliminations - Lease subsidiary -65-17-35-165
Eliminations - Other -1-1-2-0
Impairment of long-lived assets   -396 
All Other    20
Total417334257-155416


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Railcar Leasing and Services Group8,1197,7807,5857,6528,013
Rail Products Group1,1891,4401,0648591,020
Corporate and other286267365833378
Eliminations-688    
Eliminations - Lease subsidiary -763-779-820-904
Assets of discontinued operations   178 
All Other    196
Eliminations - Other    -1
Total8,9068,7248,2368,7028,701


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,668,460
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.2%
Average Daily Volume669,992
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.98
Basic Shares Quantity80,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mitchell Gregory BEVP Leasing and Services3042025Sell31.029,286288,0523,470,487Form
1Biesterfeld Robert C Jr 1032025Buy23.84491,1681,168Form