Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA)
Market Price (5/21/2026): $115.51 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA)
Market Price (5/21/2026): $115.51Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.72, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 397% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3% Key risksPVLA key risks include [1] dependency on successful clinical and regulatory outcomes for its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.72, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 397% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3% |
| Key risksPVLA key risks include [1] dependency on successful clinical and regulatory outcomes for its lead candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Phase 3 and Phase 2 Clinical Trial Results for QTORIN™ Rapamycin.
Palvella Therapeutics announced positive topline results in February 2026 from its Phase 3 SELVA study for QTORIN™ rapamycin in microcystic lymphatic malformations (mLM), achieving statistical significance on primary and key secondary endpoints. Further data presented in May 2026 from both the Phase 3 SELVA and Phase 2 TOIVA trials for mLM and cutaneous venous malformations (CVM) demonstrated high responder rates and strong patient satisfaction, with 100% of children aged 6-11 years in the SELVA study rated "Much Improved" or "Very Much Improved" on the mLM-IGA at Week 24, showing a mean improvement of +2.46.
2. Successful Upsized Equity Financing Significantly Bolstering Cash Reserves.
In February 2026, Palvella successfully completed an upsized public offering, raising $230.0 million through the sale of 1,840,000 shares at $125.00 per share. This financing significantly strengthened the company's balance sheet, increasing its cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments to $261.9 million as of March 31, 2026, which is expected to fund operations for at least one year.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 50.6% change in PVLA stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 76.69 | 115.50 | 50.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 13 | -14.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PVLA | 50.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.4% | 35.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.5% | 20.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 44.7% change in PVLA stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 79.84 | 115.50 | 44.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 13 | -14.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PVLA | 44.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.3% | 27.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.9% | 15.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 375.7% change in PVLA stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.28 | 115.50 | 375.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 13 | -15.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PVLA | 375.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.2% | 21.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.6% | 14.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PVLA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 85.2% | 22.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 15.8% | 18.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PVLA Return | - | - | - | -6% | 772% | 4% | 751% |
| Peers Return | -30% | -41% | 155% | 41% | 92% | -16% | 139% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PVLA Win Rate | - | - | - | 0% | 75% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 40% | 53% | 47% | 67% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PVLA Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -31% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -61% | -62% | -54% | -51% | -40% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KRYS, ARQT, BBIO, DERM, VRCA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PVLA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Palvella Therapeutics's stock fell -10.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.5% gain to breakeven.
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In The Past
Palvella Therapeutics's stock fell -10.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA):
- Like an early-stage Alexion Pharmaceuticals, but solely dedicated to developing therapies for rare genetic diseases.
- Like a clinical-stage Vertex Pharmaceuticals, but focused on a broader range of rare genetic diseases.
- Think of it as a startup Gilead Sciences that focuses exclusively on treatments for rare genetic diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for rare genetic diseases.
As a clinical-stage company, Palvella Therapeutics currently does not have commercialized products available for sale to end-users or distributors. Therefore, it does not have major customers in the traditional sense of selling therapies to other companies or individuals at this time.
Its primary activities are focused on research and development, including conducting clinical trials, with the aim of bringing potential therapies to market in the future.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Wes Kaupinen, President and Chief Executive Officer
Wes Kaupinen is the Founder, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Palvella Therapeutics. He previously served as CEO and director of Legacy Palvella from December 2015 to December 2024. Prior to founding Palvella, he was the Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Commercialization at Insmed. Mr. Kaupinen was a Principal at Quaker Partners, a life sciences venture capital firm, and held prior roles at Apax Partners, Synthes, and J&J Cordis, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. He has served as a board director or observer for over 10 companies, leading Series A investments in Intact Vascular and TELA Bio.
Matthew E. Korenberg, Chief Financial Officer
Matthew E. Korenberg was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Palvella Therapeutics in October 2024. He is a seasoned operational and financial leader with over 27 years of experience in biotech companies and healthcare investment banking. Before joining Palvella, Mr. Korenberg served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated and prior to that, as their Chief Financial Officer. He was also the founder, CEO, and a director of NeuroCircuit Therapeutics. Additionally, Mr. Korenberg worked as a Managing Director in healthcare investment banking at The Goldman Sachs Group, where he advised and financed biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies.
Jeff Martini, Ph.D., Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Jeff Martini serves as the Chief Scientific Officer at Palvella Therapeutics. He brings nearly 20 years of leadership experience in R&D and corporate development. Before joining Palvella, Dr. Martini was the Executive Director of Business Development and Corporate Strategy at Marinus Pharmaceuticals.
Ashley Kline, Chief Commercial Officer
Ashley Kline was appointed Chief Commercial Officer of Palvella Therapeutics in May 2025. She has a proven track record in the commercialization of novel therapies for serious, rare diseases. Prior to Palvella, Ms. Kline served as Global Biotech Head and U.S. General Manager at Dompé Pharmaceuticals, where she led the successful launch of Oxervate®, which surpassed $500 million in annual U.S. sales by 2023. Her previous roles include positions on the commercial team at Genentech and as a consultant for Bain and Company.
Kathy Goin, Chief Operating Officer
Kathy Goin serves as the Chief Operating Officer at Palvella Therapeutics. She provides executive leadership in overseeing the company's operational infrastructure and strategic planning, leveraging her extensive experience in biotechnology operations management.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on rare genetic diseases, faces several key risks inherent to its stage of development and industry.
- Clinical Trial Outcomes and Regulatory Approvals: As a pre-revenue, clinical-stage company, Palvella Therapeutics' viability is heavily dependent on the successful completion of its clinical trials and obtaining regulatory approvals for its product candidates, particularly QTORIN rapamycin. The regulatory approval process is lengthy, expensive, and uncertain, with no guarantee of success. A specific risk noted is that while the FDA has shown some flexibility for single-arm trials in rare diseases, regulatory agencies generally prefer randomized controlled trials. This could lead the FDA to require additional confirmatory studies or question the magnitude of efficacy from Phase 3 results if they are not robust. The company has not yet obtained regulatory approval for any products.
- Commercialization and Market Acceptance: Even with successful clinical trials and regulatory approval, Palvella faces risks related to the commercial launch and market acceptance of its therapies. Introducing a new therapy requires demonstrating its value to payers to justify a premium price. The company's ability to achieve market acceptance is uncertain and depends on factors like safety, efficacy, pricing, and reimbursement. There is also a risk of competition from compounded topical rapamycin formulations, even though Palvella holds strong intellectual property for its anhydrous formulation.
- Financial Risks and Ability to Fund Operations: Palvella Therapeutics has a limited operating history and has incurred substantial operating losses, with no revenue generated from product sales to date. While the company has recently raised capital and anticipates having sufficient funds to operate into the second half of 2027, it anticipates continuing losses for several years and there is no guarantee of achieving profitability. The company may need to seek additional capital to fund its operations beyond this period, particularly given potential significant commercialization expenses if QTORIN rapamycin is approved.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Palvella Therapeutics (symbol: PVLA) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for rare genetic diseases, primarily through its QTORIN™ platform. The company's main product candidates and their estimated addressable markets in the U.S. are as follows:
- QTORIN™ 3.9% rapamycin anhydrous gel (QTORIN™ rapamycin) is being developed for:
- Microcystic Lymphatic Malformations (mLMs): The estimated addressable market is more than 30,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S..
- Cutaneous Venous Malformations (cVMs): The estimated addressable market is more than 75,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S..
- Clinically significant angiokeratomas: The estimated addressable market is more than 50,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S..
- QTORIN™ pitavastatin is being developed for:
- Disseminated Superficial Actinic Porokeratosis (DSAP): The estimated addressable market is more than 50,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S..
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA)
- Commercial Launch of QTORIN™ rapamycin for Microcystic Lymphatic Malformations (mLM): Palvella Therapeutics anticipates the commercial launch of QTORIN™ rapamycin for microcystic lymphatic malformations in 2027, following positive Phase 3 trial results reported in February 2026. The company plans to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA in the second half of 2026, with potential U.S. approval in the first half of 2027. This product has the potential to be the first FDA-approved therapy and a first-line standard of care for mLM, a serious, lifelong disease affecting an estimated over 30,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S. Palvella is actively preparing for launch, including a disease awareness campaign initiated in March 2026.
- Potential Approval and Launch of QTORIN™ rapamycin for Cutaneous Venous Malformations (CVM): Following positive Phase 2 TOIVA study results for QTORIN™ rapamycin in cutaneous venous malformations announced in December 2025, Palvella requested a Preliminary Breakthrough Therapy Designation Advice meeting with the FDA in the first quarter of 2026. The company intends to commence a Phase 3 pivotal study in the second half of 2026, positioning QTORIN™ rapamycin as a potential first approved therapy and standard of care for CVM in the U.S.
- Expansion of QTORIN™ rapamycin into New Indications: Palvella is expanding the development of QTORIN™ rapamycin to address additional rare skin and vascular conditions. In September 2025, the company expanded into clinically significant angiokeratomas, a condition affecting over 50,000 diagnosed U.S. patients with no FDA-approved therapies. QTORIN™ rapamycin received Fast Track Designation for angiokeratomas in December 2025, with a Phase 2 study expected to initiate in the second half of 2026. The company also plans to announce a fourth target clinical indication for QTORIN™ rapamycin in the second half of 2026.
- Development and Potential Launch of QTORIN™ pitavastatin for Disseminated Superficial Actinic Porokeratosis (DSAP): In November 2025, Palvella introduced QTORIN™ pitavastatin as a new product candidate for disseminated superficial actinic porokeratosis. This is a premalignant genetic skin disease with no FDA-approved therapies, affecting an estimated more than 50,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S. Palvella plans to meet with the FDA in the first half of 2026 to discuss the proposed design of a Phase 2 clinical trial, with study initiation expected in the second half of 2026.
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Share Issuance
- Palvella Therapeutics completed an upsized public offering in early March 2026, selling 1.84 million shares of common stock at $125.00 per share, which included the full exercise of the underwriters' option. This offering generated approximately $230 million in gross proceeds to fund the development of its QTORIN™ rapamycin and QTORIN™ pitavastatin programs.
Inbound Investments
- In January 2023, Palvella Therapeutics raised $37.70 million in a funding round.
- In December 2022, the company raised $9.70 million in a funding round.
- As of December 31, 2025, First Light Asset Management, LLC disclosed a beneficial ownership of 7.49% of Palvella's common stock, holding 887,031 shares. Funds associated with Biotechnology Value Fund and Mark N. Lampert beneficially owned approximately 7.1% of Palvella's outstanding common stock, totaling 879,009 shares, as of the same date.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PVLA Stock Surges 86% With A 6-day Winning Spree On Phase 3 Win | 02/27/2026 | |
| Palvella (PVLA) Stock Pre-Market (+13%): Phase 3 Topline Data Anticipation | 02/24/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 04302026 | GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | UHS | Universal Health Services | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| Rev LTM | 240 |
| Op Inc LTM | -10 |
| FCF LTM | -10 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -41 |
| CFO LTM | -10 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -41 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 95.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 149.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 46.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 39.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -8.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -80.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -77.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -10.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -79.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| P/S | 6.4 |
| P/Op Inc | -17.9 |
| P/EBIT | -17.6 |
| P/E | -18.0 |
| P/CFO | -17.1 |
| Total Yield | -4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 71.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 280.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 46.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 200.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $115.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/16/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -22.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $122.74 | $47.74 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -5.9% | 141.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 104.3% | 82.0% |
| Downside Capture | 241.62 | 143.28 |
| Upside Capture | 310.68 | 295.68 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.0% | 25.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.47 | 2.21 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 1.36 | 0.36 |
| Up Beta | 2.95 | 3.15 | 3.33 | 2.96 | 0.56 | -0.70 |
| Down Beta | -4.36 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.32 |
| Up Capture | 149% | 169% | 403% | 298% | 679% | 154% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 17 | 30 | 60 | 132 | 179 |
| Down Capture | 351% | 224% | 117% | 105% | 104% | 64% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 26 | 34 | 65 | 119 | 159 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PVLA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVLA | 393.0% | 82.0% | 2.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 11.5% | 14.7% | 0.52 | 18.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.2% | 12.1% | 1.62 | 25.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.2% | 26.8% | 1.24 | 10.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.2% | 18.7% | 1.89 | -14.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.1% | 13.4% | 0.54 | 15.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.4% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 18.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PVLA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVLA | 53.9% | 83.3% | 2.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.4% | 14.6% | 0.19 | 18.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 22.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.5% | 18.0% | 0.89 | 12.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.1% | 19.4% | 0.46 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 19.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.1% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 19.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PVLA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVLA | 24.0% | 83.3% | 2.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.6% | 16.5% | 0.47 | 18.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 22.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.1% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 12.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 17.9% | 0.36 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 19.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 19.6% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/31/2026 | 12.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| 11/10/2025 | -3.0% | 1.7% | 20.5% |
| 8/14/2025 | 3.3% | 13.0% | 27.3% |
| 3/31/2025 | -0.4% | -14.7% | -16.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 8.5% | 20.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -14.7% | -16.6% |
| Max Positive | 12.6% | 13.0% | 27.3% |
| Max Negative | -3.0% | -14.7% | -16.6% |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 FDA Pre-NDA Meeting | |||||||
| 2026 NDA Submission | |||||||
| 2026 Phase 3 Trial Initiation (Cutaneous VMs) | |||||||
| 2026 Phase 2 Trial Initiation (DSAP) | |||||||
| 2027 Phase 2 LOTU Topline Results | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goin, Kathleen | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 4172026 | 127.24 | 4,302 | Form | ||
| 2 | Jenkins, George M | Direct | Buy | 4012026 | 112.30 | 445 | 49,974 | 21,069,277 | Form | |
| 3 | Goin, Kathleen | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 117.99 | 4,302 | Form | ||
| 4 | Jenkins, George M | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 125.00 | 4,000 | 500,000 | 23,396,375 | Form | |
| 5 | Heron, Elaine J | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 125.00 | 2,400 | 300,000 | 5,976,500 | Form |
Industry Resources
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| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.