Krystal Biotech (KRYS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $235.81 | Market Cap: $6.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Krystal Biotech (KRYS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $235.81Market Cap: $6.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 34x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.87 | Key risksKRYS key risks include [1] substantial revenue dependence on its single commercial product, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 42% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 42% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.4% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.87 |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 34x |
| Key risksKRYS key risks include [1] substantial revenue dependence on its single commercial product, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KRYS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Krystal Biotech's (KRYS) stock moved by 59.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Krystal Biotech announced impressive third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results on November 3, 2025. The company reported $97.8 million in net product revenue for VYJUVEK, surpassing analyst expectations. Additionally, diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.66, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $1.12 per share, representing a 137.50% earnings surprise. The company also reported a robust gross margin of 96% for VYJUVEK and a strong balance sheet with $864.2 million in cash and investments as of September 30, 2025.
2. Expanded VYJUVEK Label Approval: In September 2025, the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved an updated label for VYJUVEK. This revision expanded the eligible patient population for Dystrophic Epidermolysis Bullosa (DEB) to include patients from birth and provided greater flexibility for application, including the option for at-home administration by patients or caregivers. This label expansion is expected to broaden the market and improve patient access to the therapy.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KRYS Return | 8% | 17% | 13% | 57% | 26% | 52% | 331% |
| Peers Return | 111% | -39% | -2% | 18% | -12% | -6% | 24% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KRYS Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 40% | 55% | 48% | 47% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KRYS Max Drawdown | -37% | -34% | -30% | -9% | -13% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -50% | -37% | -21% | -21% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, SRPT, RARE, CRSP, FOLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KRYS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 296 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Krystal Biotech's stock fell -53.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -53.4% loss requires a 114.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KRYS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Krystal Biotech
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 615 |
| Op Inc LTM | -89 |
| FCF LTM | -159 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -166 |
| CFO LTM | -116 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -156 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -61.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -4.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -58.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -7.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -65.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| P/EBIT | 8.3 |
| P/E | -6.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.1 |
| Total Yield | -5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -69.9% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/4/2025 | -14.0% | -11.7% | -5.1% |
| 5/6/2025 | -14.1% | -14.1% | -18.6% |
| 11/4/2024 | -3.1% | 13.2% | 5.4% |
| 8/5/2024 | -5.9% | -5.1% | -2.7% |
| 5/6/2024 | -2.6% | -3.9% | -0.0% |
| 2/26/2024 | 41.0% | 50.7% | 52.2% |
| 11/6/2023 | -15.0% | -19.3% | -14.8% |
| 8/7/2023 | -12.6% | -4.2% | -0.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 5.7% | 20.3% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -5.9% | -5.1% |
| Max Positive | 41.0% | 50.7% | 55.2% |
| Max Negative | -15.0% | -23.9% | -19.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |