Portillos (PTLO)


Market Price (10/7/2026): $3.79 | Market Cap: $274.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Portillos (PTLO)


Market Price (10/7/2026): $3.79
Market Cap: $274.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Premium Fast Casual, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 245%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%

Key risks
PTLO key risks include [1] declining traffic and sales due to difficulty competing with heavily discounting brands, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Premium Fast Casual, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 245%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%
8 Key risks
PTLO key risks include [1] declining traffic and sales due to difficulty competing with heavily discounting brands, Show more.

PTLO in ETFs

Weight = PTLO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
VTWO0.01%
SCHA0.01%
IWN0.00%
DFAS0.00%
SCHB0.00%
+1 more covered ETF

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/6/2026

Portillos (PTLO) stock has lost about 20% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker than anticipated Q2 fiscal 2026 financial performance and lowered guidance contributed to investor concern.

Portillo's reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 5, 2026. While earnings per share met analyst consensus at $0.09, revenue of $198.95 million fell short of analyst estimates of $199.22 million. Critically, the company experienced a 1.2% decrease in same-restaurant sales, and net income declined by 28.8% to $7.2 million compared to $10.0 million in the prior year's fiscal Q2. Additionally, operating income decreased by 21.4% to $13.8 million, partially due to a $1.4 million legal contingency. Following these results, Portillo's lowered its fiscal year 2026 guidance, reducing its restaurant-level margin forecast to 19.5% to 20.5% and adjusted EBITDA to $92 million to $96 million, citing reduced sales growth expectations and softer new store performance.

2. Persistent inflationary pressures on key commodities and labor eroded profit margins.

The company faced intensifying margin pressure, particularly from approximately 7% commodity inflation, especially in beef and produce, which was not fully offset by menu price adjustments. This, coupled with labor inflation estimated at 3.0% to 3.5%, kept operating costs elevated. Despite positive nominal sales growth, underlying demand showed weakness as transaction volume decreased by 3.4% in fiscal Q2 2026, indicating that check growth and pricing were masking underlying traffic declines.

Show more
Updated on 10/6/2026

Portillos (PTLO) stock has lost about 20% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker than anticipated Q2 fiscal 2026 financial performance and lowered guidance contributed to investor concern.

Portillo's reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 5, 2026. While earnings per share met analyst consensus at $0.09, revenue of $198.95 million fell short of analyst estimates of $199.22 million. Critically, the company experienced a 1.2% decrease in same-restaurant sales, and net income declined by 28.8% to $7.2 million compared to $10.0 million in the prior year's fiscal Q2. Additionally, operating income decreased by 21.4% to $13.8 million, partially due to a $1.4 million legal contingency. Following these results, Portillo's lowered its fiscal year 2026 guidance, reducing its restaurant-level margin forecast to 19.5% to 20.5% and adjusted EBITDA to $92 million to $96 million, citing reduced sales growth expectations and softer new store performance.

2. Persistent inflationary pressures on key commodities and labor eroded profit margins.

The company faced intensifying margin pressure, particularly from approximately 7% commodity inflation, especially in beef and produce, which was not fully offset by menu price adjustments. This, coupled with labor inflation estimated at 3.0% to 3.5%, kept operating costs elevated. Despite positive nominal sales growth, underlying demand showed weakness as transaction volume decreased by 3.4% in fiscal Q2 2026, indicating that check growth and pricing were masking underlying traffic declines.

3. A significant insider selling event by Berkshire Partners Llc signaled diminished confidence.

Berkshire Partners Llc, a notable insider, sold a substantial 10,000,000 shares of Portillo's stock for a total of $122,300,000.00 within the last 24 months as of August 12, 2026. This large-scale divestment by a major stakeholder, significantly exceeding the $5 million threshold, could be interpreted by investors as a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects, contributing to downward pressure on the stock.

4. Broader macroeconomic headwinds and shifting consumer behavior impacted the restaurant industry.

The restaurant industry experienced a mixed performance in fiscal Q3 2026, characterized by uneven customer traffic and persistent cost pressures. Consumers became more value-conscious, with 39% reporting they spent less at restaurants than in fiscal Q2 2026 and 40% relying more heavily on discounts and promotions. While overall sales continued to grow, this growth was primarily driven by menu price increases rather than stronger traffic or improved margins, reflecting a challenging operating environment for restaurants like Portillo's.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.3% change in PTLO stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)630202610062026Change
Stock Price ($)4.743.78-20.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7387491.4%
Net Income Margin (%)2.1%1.9%-12.5%
P/E Multiple21.919.7-9.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7272-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution-20.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PTLO-20.3% 
Market (SPY)4.3%6.0%
Sector (XLY)-4.7%39.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -28.5% change in PTLO stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610062026Change
Stock Price ($)5.293.78-28.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7327492.3%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%1.9%-29.9%
P/E Multiple19.719.70.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7272-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-28.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PTLO-28.5% 
Market (SPY)20.1%1.1%
Sector (XLY)2.7%28.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -41.4% change in PTLO stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510062026Change
Stock Price ($)6.453.78-41.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7287492.9%
Net Income Margin (%)4.2%1.9%-55.8%
P/E Multiple14.319.738.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6872-6.6%
Cumulative Contribution-41.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PTLO-41.4% 
Market (SPY)17.9%11.1%
Sector (XLY)-6.2%29.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -75.4% change in PTLO stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -72.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202310062026Change
Stock Price ($)15.393.78-75.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)62774919.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.9%1.9%-1.7%
P/E Multiple71.619.7-72.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5572-24.1%
Cumulative Contribution-75.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PTLO-75.4% 
Market (SPY)88.5%28.4%
Sector (XLY)42.0%37.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PTLO Return29%-57%-2%-41%-52%-22%-88%
Peers Return6%-13%40%6%-26%-25%-24%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PTLO Win Rate67%17%58%33%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%38%53%47%38%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PTLO Max Drawdown--61%-41%-46%-71%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-41%-29%-30%-45%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SHAK, JACK, WEN, WING, NATH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPTLOS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-12.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven45 days31 days

Compare to SHAK, JACK, WEN, WING, NATH

In The Past

Portillos's stock fell -0.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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Compare to SHAK, JACK, WEN, WING, NATH

In The Past

Portillos's stock fell -0.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Portillos (PTLO)

Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) operates a chain of fast casual and quick service restaurants across the United States. The company focuses on offering a distinctive dining experience rooted in Chicago-style cuisine, serving customers looking for quick, quality meals in an engaging restaurant environment. As of early 2022, Portillo's had established a presence with 70 locations across nine states.

The core of Portillo's menu features classic Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, alongside its highly popular Italian beef sandwiches. Complementing these signature items are char-grilled burgers, fresh chopped salads, crinkle-cut French fries, and renowned homemade chocolate cakes and chocolate cake shakes. Beyond its physical restaurant locations, Portillo's also serves its customer base by offering its products for sale through its corporate website.

Portillo's primarily targets consumers across the United States seeking a unique fast casual or quick service dining experience. Its menu, heavily influenced by Chicago culinary traditions, appeals to both local patrons in its established markets and a broader customer base looking for quality, craveable food in an accessible format. The company's expansion into multiple states indicates a strategy to grow its market reach beyond its Illinois origins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Imagine **In-N-Out Burger**, but focused on iconic Chicago comfort foods like hot dogs and Italian beef, with a loyal regional following.
  • It's like a **Shake Shack** that specializes in upscale Chicago-style hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, and its famous chocolate cake shakes.
  • Think **Five Guys**, but with a beloved menu of Chicago-style hot dogs, Italian beef, and unique desserts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages: Classic Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages are a signature offering.
  • Italian beef sandwiches: Hot Italian beef sandwiches are a popular main dish.
  • Char-grilled burgers: They offer char-grilled burgers as a core menu item.
  • Chopped salads: Freshly prepared chopped salads provide a lighter option.
  • Crinkle-cut French fries: Crinkle-cut French fries are a classic side dish.
  • Homemade chocolate cakes: Their homemade chocolate cakes are a well-known dessert.
  • Chocolate cake shakes: A unique dessert beverage made with chocolate cake.

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Major Customers of Portillo's (PTLO)

Portillo's Inc. primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers rather than other businesses. As a fast-casual and quick-service restaurant chain, its business model focuses on serving meals to the general public.

Based on the company's offerings and restaurant operations, the following are up to three categories of customers that Portillo's serves:

  • Casual Diners and Individuals: This category includes individuals and small groups looking for convenient, high-quality meals in a fast-casual setting. These customers appreciate the menu variety and the efficiency of a quick-service restaurant for lunch, dinner, or snacks.
  • Families: Portillo's menu, featuring items like hot dogs, burgers, fries, and shakes, often appeals to families with children. The restaurant provides a family-friendly atmosphere and menu options that cater to diverse tastes within a household.
  • Fans of Chicago-Style Cuisine: Given its strong identity with "Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages" and "Italian beef sandwiches," a significant customer segment comprises individuals specifically seeking out these regional specialties. This includes former Chicagoans, tourists, and local enthusiasts who appreciate authentic Chicago-style food.

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Brett Patterson, President & Chief Executive Officer

Brett Patterson joined Portillo's as President & Chief Executive Officer in February 2026. He brings over three decades of leadership experience from large, national restaurant brands. Prior to Portillo's, Patterson served as CEO of Miller's Ale House, a brand owned by Roark Capital. He also held roles as Executive Vice President with Bloomin Brands and president of Outback Steakhouse, and leadership positions at Carrabba's Italian Grill, Steak and Ale, Bahama Breeze, and Ruby Tuesday.

Michelle Hook, Chief Financial Officer

Michelle Hook joined Portillo's as Chief Financial Officer in December 2020. Before Portillo's, she spent over 17 years at Domino's, where she was most recently Vice President of Finance for global FP&A and investor relations. She was also part of Domino's initial public offering team in 2004. Hook previously worked at Holcim and began her career as a senior auditor at Arthur Andersen LLP.

Tony Darden, Chief Operating Officer

Tony Darden joined Portillo's as Chief Operating Officer in December 2024. He has more than 20 years of executive leadership experience. His previous roles include Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Jack in the Box, President of MOOYAH Burgers, and Chief Operating Officer for Taco Bueno Restaurants and Sun Holdings. Darden also held leadership positions at Panera Bread and Metromedia Restaurant Group.

Keith Correia, Chief Information Officer

Keith Correia joined Portillo's as Chief Information Officer in April 2024. He brings over a decade of technology and digital transformation experience. Before Portillo's, Correia served as Chief Information Officer at Steak 'n Shake and held various leadership roles at American Dairy Queen Corp.

Jill Waite, Chief People Officer

Jill Waite joined Portillo's as Chief People Officer in 2019. Prior to Portillo's, she held several Human Resources and Operations roles within the retail, grocery, and fitness industries, with companies such as Sephora and 24-Hour Fitness.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Portillo's (PTLO) business primarily revolve around declining consumer engagement, persistent cost pressures, and challenges associated with its growth strategy outside its established core markets.

  1. Declining Same-Restaurant Sales and Intense Competition: Portillo's has reported a decrease in same-restaurant comparable sales and a decline in transaction volume, signaling reduced consumer spending and intensified competition within the restaurant industry. This trend negatively impacts profitability and market share. The company also faces challenges in effectively raising prices to offset inflation without further deterring customer traffic.
  2. Rising Operational Costs and Margin Pressure: Inflationary pressures, particularly concerning commodity prices (food, beverages, and packaging) and labor costs (wages and benefits), represent a significant ongoing threat to Portillo's profit margins. These rising expenses directly erode the company's profitability and limit its flexibility to maintain competitive pricing.
  3. Challenges with Expansion Strategy and Brand Appeal Outside Core Market: Portillo's has encountered difficulties with its expansion plans, including the halting of some due to economic conditions and concerns about potential brand dilution. There is a risk that the "Chicago-style" concept may have limited appeal or struggle to gain sufficient traction in new geographic markets beyond its traditional Midwestern base. This could lead to new restaurant locations underperforming initial expectations or taking longer to achieve profitability, thereby impacting future growth prospects.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Portillo's main products and services in the United States are substantial, primarily falling within the fast-casual and quick-service restaurant (QSR) segments, which also include a significant burger market.
  • The U.S. fast-casual restaurant market was valued at $124.50 billion in 2022 and is estimated to reach $337.8 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.4%. Another projection indicates the U.S. fast-casual restaurants market size is expected to increase by USD 84.5 billion, at a CAGR of 13.7% from 2024 to 2029, with the market projected to reach a value of USD 115.5 billion by 2026. Furthermore, the U.S. fast casual restaurant market is projected to hit $121.3 billion by 2032.
  • The U.S. Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) market was valued at approximately USD 400 billion in 2024. It was also estimated at USD 242.84 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 347.35 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of around 3.31% from 2025 to 2035. The U.S. fast food and quick services restaurants market size is also estimated to reach USD 311.99 billion by 2030. The U.S. QSR market is projected to reach USD 599.87 billion by 2032.
  • The market size for Burger Restaurants in the U.S. is projected to be $177.7 billion in 2026. In 2024, the hamburgers segment held the largest market share of 38.96% within the U.S. fast food and quick services restaurants market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a multi-faceted strategy that includes expanding its restaurant footprint, increasing customer traffic in existing locations, implementing strategic pricing, and enhancing operational efficiency. Here are the key drivers: * **New Restaurant Openings and Strategic Expansion** Portillo's plans to continue expanding its physical presence by opening new restaurants, with a target of eight new locations in 2026. The company is strategically focusing on disciplined development, prioritizing unit economics, and exploring new market entries, such as its successful launch in Atlanta which demonstrated robust initial sales. Additionally, Portillo's is developing more compact "Restaurant of the Future" prototypes and new formats like airport and walk-up locations, which aim to reduce construction costs and improve profitability, thereby supporting accelerated unit growth in the future. Analysts anticipate revenue growth of approximately 7.6% over the next 12 months, largely attributed to these new restaurant openings. * **Driving Customer Traffic and Transactions (Same-Restaurant Sales Growth)** A primary focus for Portillo's is to boost customer traffic and transaction volume in its established restaurants. The company emphasizes reinforcing value and service to attract more guests. The Portillo's Perks loyalty program is highlighted as a crucial tool for driving traffic and enhancing value perception in both its core and newer markets. While same-restaurant sales have seen recent declines, management's strategic shift underscores a commitment to reversing this trend through transaction-driven growth. * **Strategic Pricing Actions** Portillo's has historically utilized menu price increases to contribute to revenue growth, such as the approximate 3.2% net effective price increase in 2025. The company continues to evaluate pricing options for 2026, balancing these adjustments with the goal of increasing transactions, especially in an environment with fluctuating commodity and labor costs. Effective pricing, coupled with a strong guest experience, is seen as a way to maintain revenue growth and combat inflationary pressures. * **Enhanced Operational Efficiency and Unit Economics** Portillo's has initiated a strategic reset to sharpen its focus on unit economics and operational excellence. This includes optimizing capital deployment, simplifying operations, and designing new restaurants for strong "four-wall returns." The development of efficient prototypes like the "Restaurant of the Future" aims to lower build-out costs and improve operational efficiency, which can contribute to higher profitability and support sustained revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Portillo's Inc. announced a share repurchase program on March 1, 2024, to repurchase up to 8,000,000 shares for $114.96 million at $14.37 per share.
  • This repurchase program was funded by proceeds received from a secondary offering.
  • The equity buyback announced on March 1, 2024, expired in the first quarter of 2024, with 2,167,629 shares repurchased.

Share Issuance

  • Portillo's Inc. completed its initial public offering (IPO) on October 27, 2021, issuing 23,310,810 shares of common stock at $20 per share, raising approximately $466 million in gross proceeds.
  • The company completed a follow-on offering of 8,000,000 shares of Class A common stock at $23.75 per share in August 2022, generating gross proceeds of $190 million in a synthetic secondary transaction.
  • In February 2024, Portillo's announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 8,000,000 shares of Class A common stock, expected to result in gross proceeds of approximately $116 million, as part of a synthetic secondary transaction.

Inbound Investments

  • Berkshire Partners, a private equity firm, was a portfolio company of Portillo's Inc. and took the company public in 2021.
  • Engaged Capital LLC increased its holdings in Portillo's Inc. by acquiring an additional 237,390 shares in September 2025, bringing its total ownership to 5,069,301 shares.
  • In April 2025, Portillo's Inc. entered into a cooperation agreement with Engaged Capital, LLC to identify and appoint a new director with restaurant operating experience to its Board of Directors.

Capital Expenditures

  • Portillo's anticipates total capital expenditures in the range of $55 million to $60 million for 2026, which includes investments in existing restaurants, commissaries, and corporate initiatives, with plans to open 8 new restaurants.
  • For fiscal year 2025, the company strategically reduced new restaurant openings from 12 to 8 units and expected total capital expenditures around $70 million (including renovations and other capex).
  • In 2024, Portillo's expected capital expenditures to be in the range of $85 million to $88 million, with plans to open 10 new restaurants.

Better Bets vs. Portillos (PTLO)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

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Share of Restaurants constituents that PTLO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
11%
of 44 industry peers · -41.6% return
3Y
7%
of 42 industry peers · -75.6% return
5Y
—
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is PTLO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -15.0%76.8%75.3% CVSA 234% · LINC 227% · PRDO 205%
Homebuilding 18 -8.9%38.0%54.8% GRBK 220% · PHM 155% · TOL 154%
Specialty Stores 7 -1.4%40.1%12.7% ASO 30% · DKS 27% · SIG 25%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 4.9%32.3%10.3% RCL 236% · MAR 139% · LIND 138%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -24.3%-2.3%-3.6% HVT 14% · LOW -3% · HD -4%
Automotive Retail 18 -16.4%0.7%-3.7% MUSA 215% · PAG 118% · ORLY 109%
Footwear 9 63.8%55.4%-13.8% WEYS 200% · DECK 30% · SHOO 22%
Home Furnishings 4 -5.0%30.5%-15.8% SGI 44% · LZB -1% · MHK -30%
Distributors 4 -14.3%-26.3%-16.5% ARMK 122% · GPC 17% · LKQ -50%
Restaurants ← 36 -9.7%-8.1%-16.8% EAT 278% · CAKE 161% · BH-A 121%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -17.5%15.0%-17.3% HRB 98% · FTDR 86% · SCI 33%
Leisure Products 13 -20.3%-21.4%-39.2% GOLF 81% · HAS 25% · MAT -17%
Household Appliances 18 11.3%-1.6%-39.9% FLXS 217% · HBB 175% · KEQU 159%
Apparel Retail 26 5.1%22.9%-40.6% ANF 259% · URBN 170% · TJX 127%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -12.4%-7.9%-41.5% MOD 1527% · GTX 272% · MLR 73%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -1.2%42.8%-42.5% BBY 0% · GME -42% · UPBD -63%
Leisure Facilities 12 5.5%-8.8%-43.3% JAKK 158% · LTH 127% · OSW 120%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 -7.6%15.9%-46.7% TPR 247% · RL 247% · ELA 198%
Broadline Retail 13 -4.9%26.7%-47.6% EBAY 58% · AMZN 55% · OLLI 41%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -16.4%-24.2%-47.8% MCRI 94% · RRR 20% · BYD 14%
Consumer Electronics 11 -18.6%-17.0%-71.1% AXIL 3426% · GRMN 97% · SONO -46%
Other Specialty Retail 17 -37.0%-40.5%-77.2% TLF 102% · BBW 83% · WINA 63%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -78.7%-51.4%-77.7% GM 52% · TSLA 44% · F 12%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PTLOSHAKJACKWENWINGNATHMedian
NamePortillosShake Sh.Jack In .Wendy's Wingstop Nathan's. 
Mkt Price3.8164.4212.356.12117.22101.8938.39
Mkt Cap0.32.60.21.23.20.40.8
Rev LTM7491,5521,3402,2047211691,045
Op Inc LTM438217331220130128
FCF LTM-9-12-2641281919
FCF 3Y Avg-517-260982020
CFO LTM78192-35818919189
CFO 3Y Avg82176-35515121151

Growth & Margins

PTLOSHAKJACKWENWINGNATHMedian
NamePortillosShake Sh.Jack In .Wendy's Wingstop Nathan's. 
Rev Chg LTM2.9%17.3%-0.7%-1.0%7.6%12.4%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.2%16.1%-1.9%0.7%20.8%8.4%7.3%
Rev Chg Q5.6%17.2%-3.0%1.7%6.4%15.0%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%4.1%-0.6%0.4%1.6%4.4%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-33.6%20.9%-27.3%-18.7%17.7%-15.7%-17.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg0.6%102.5%-10.0%-6.1%24.2%-3.9%-1.6%
Op Mgn LTM5.7%5.3%12.9%14.2%27.9%17.7%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.0%4.5%15.3%16.3%26.6%22.0%15.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.2%-0.5%-1.3%0.9%-0.8%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM10.5%12.3%-16.3%26.3%11.5%12.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%13.1%-16.1%23.6%13.6%13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.2%-0.8%-12.0%17.8%11.3%11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%1.4%-11.8%15.4%13.5%11.8%

Valuation

PTLOSHAKJACKWENWINGNATHMedian
NamePortillosShake Sh.Jack In .Wendy's Wingstop Nathan's. 
Mkt Cap0.32.60.21.23.20.40.8
P/S0.41.70.20.54.42.51.1
P/Op Inc6.431.61.43.715.913.910.2
P/EBIT7.738.7-4.63.715.913.510.6
P/E19.965.54.19.227.420.920.4
P/CFO3.513.6-3.216.821.513.6
Total Yield5.1%1.5%24.5%19.8%4.9%8.2%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%9.1%1.1%3.4%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.2%0.3%-12.0%1.4%5.7%1.4%
D/E2.50.410.43.50.40.11.5
Net D/E2.40.210.23.20.40.11.4

Returns

PTLOSHAKJACKWENWINGNATHMedian
NamePortillosShake Sh.Jack In .Wendy's Wingstop Nathan's. 
1M Rtn-13.9%-7.2%-23.5%-23.8%7.3%3.3%-10.5%
3M Rtn-20.7%17.3%-21.2%-20.7%-30.9%0.9%-20.7%
6M Rtn-32.2%-30.6%12.7%-8.8%-29.0%1.6%-18.9%
12M Rtn-41.2%-32.6%-35.6%-30.3%-51.6%-2.6%-34.1%
3Y Rtn-75.4%14.6%-80.5%-61.7%-31.7%60.4%-46.7%
1M Excs Rtn-15.2%-8.5%-24.8%-25.1%6.0%2.0%-11.8%
3M Excs Rtn-21.4%14.2%-18.9%-21.7%-30.5%-3.4%-20.2%
6M Excs Rtn-50.5%-48.7%-5.6%-26.9%-48.0%-16.6%-37.4%
12M Excs Rtn-60.2%-49.8%-54.6%-48.2%-70.3%-22.1%-52.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-158.2%-71.2%-164.0%-146.1%-119.9%-24.6%-133.0%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment732711680587535
Total732711680587535


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.78 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date10/21/2021 
Distance from 52W High-41.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$4.29$4.89
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-11.9%-22.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility48.7%53.1%
Downside Capture221.49104.47
Upside Capture53.9123.68
Correlation (SPY)7.6%10.6%
PTLO Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.871.040.140.010.440.96
Up Beta-0.14-1.22-1.98-0.20-0.031.01
Down Beta2.714.841.12-0.890.550.81
Up Capture-55%42%-8%-13%9%28%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days6172755107335
Down Capture361%284%162%106%100%108%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days15243669140406

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PTLO
PTLO-44.1%53.2%-0.90-
Sector ETF (XLY)-5.5%19.5%-0.4229.7%
Equity (SPY)17.5%13.0%0.9611.1%
Gold (GLD)6.9%29.6%0.234.6%
Commodities (DBC)46.1%20.8%1.71-12.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.1%13.7%-0.1031.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.8%44.3%-0.675.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PTLO
PTLO-33.2%56.4%-0.51-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.0%24.1%0.1641.8%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.1%0.6235.5%
Gold (GLD)18.7%18.9%0.805.8%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.5%0.402.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.8%-0.0433.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)16.0%52.2%0.4718.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PTLO
PTLO-18.2%56.4%-0.51-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.1%22.2%0.5041.8%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7435.5%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.4%0.585.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.372.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1633.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.1%66.2%1.0418.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120267.0%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity72.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-6.2%1.9%-5.8%
5/5/2026-16.3%-28.0%-30.8%
2/24/2026-7.9%-9.7%-8.1%
11/4/2025-7.3%-9.7%-5.5%
8/5/2025-23.3%-17.3%-28.5%
5/6/20250.7%16.9%16.0%
2/25/20259.8%2.9%-8.5%
11/5/2024-1.2%-9.2%-22.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive883
# Negative121217
Median Positive7.2%3.3%16.0%
Median Negative-9.3%-9.8%-8.5%
Max Positive15.6%21.4%34.8%
Max Negative-23.3%-28.0%-41.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-6.2%1.9%-5.8%
5/5/2026-16.3%-28.0%-30.8%
2/24/2026-7.9%-9.7%-8.1%
11/4/2025-7.3%-9.7%-5.5%
8/5/2025-23.3%-17.3%-28.5%
5/6/20250.7%16.9%16.0%
2/25/20259.8%2.9%-8.5%
11/5/2024-1.2%-9.2%-22.3%
8/6/20248.9%21.4%34.8%
5/7/2024-12.5%-17.6%-16.7%
2/27/202415.6%1.5%-4.0%
11/2/20237.6%1.8%5.2%
8/3/2023-12.7%-14.1%-18.0%
5/4/2023-10.7%-9.9%-10.9%
3/2/2023-2.6%-8.3%-5.9%
11/3/20226.5%3.8%-4.0%
8/4/20226.7%7.8%-7.1%
5/5/20222.5%-7.4%-8.0%
3/10/2022-6.9%-1.8%-9.8%
11/18/2021-10.7%-19.5%-41.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive883
# Negative121217
Median Positive7.2%3.3%16.0%
Median Negative-9.3%-9.8%-8.5%
Max Positive15.6%21.4%34.8%
Max Negative-23.3%-28.0%-41.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202103/10/202210-K
09/30/202111/18/202110-Q
06/30/202110/22/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/4/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New UnitsReported 8 0 AffirmedGuidance: 8 for 2026
2026 Commodity inflationReported     AffirmedGuidance: 0 for 2026
2026 Labor inflationReported0.030.030.04 0AffirmedGuidance: 0.03 for 2026
2026 General and administrative expensesReported78.00 Mil80.00 Mil82.00 Mil-1.2% LoweredGuidance: 81.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA marginReported19.5%20.0%20.5% -0.8%LoweredGuidance: 20.75% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported92.00 Mil94.00 Mil96.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Capital expendituresReported55.00 Mil57.50 Mil60.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 57.50 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New UnitsReported 8 0 AffirmedGuidance: 8 for 2026
2026 Commodity inflationReported      
2026 Labor inflationReported0.030.030.04 0AffirmedGuidance: 0.03 for 2026
2026 General and administrative expensesReported80.00 Mil81.00 Mil82.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 81.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA marginReported20.5%20.75%21.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 20.75% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported      
2026 Capital expendituresReported55.00 Mil57.50 Mil60.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 57.50 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New UnitsReported 8 0 Same NewActual: 8 for 2025
2026 Labor inflationReported0.030.030.04 -0.2%Lower NewActual: 0.04 for 2025
2026 General and administrative expensesReported80.00 Mil81.00 Mil82.00 Mil4.5% Higher NewActual: 77.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA marginReported20.5%20.75%21.0% -0.5%Lower NewActual: 21.25% for 2025
2026 Capital expendituresReported55.00 Mil57.50 Mil60.00 Mil-41.6% Lower NewActual: 98.50 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 New UnitsReported 8 -33.3% LoweredGuidance: 12 for 2025
2025 Commodity inflationReported0.030.040.05 0AffirmedGuidance: 0.04 for 2025
2025 Labor inflationReported0.030.040.04 0AffirmedGuidance: 0.04 for 2025
2025 General and administrative expensesReported76.00 Mil77.50 Mil79.00 Mil-1.9% LoweredGuidance: 79.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Pre-opening expensesReported 9.00 Mil -21.7% LoweredGuidance: 11.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Same-restaurant salesReported-0.02-0.01-0.01 -3.2%LoweredGuidance: 0.02 for 2025
2025 RevenueReported730.00 Mil731.50 Mil733.00 Mil   
2025 Restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA marginReported21.0%21.25%21.5% -1.5%LoweredGuidance: 22.75% for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDAReported90.00 Mil92.00 Mil94.00 Mil   
2025 Capital expendituresReported97.00 Mil98.50 Mil100.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 98.50 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 9/23/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lee, Eugene I JR Family TrustBuy81220264.5965,355299,9792,532,624Form
2Lee, Eugene I JR Family TrustBuy51220264.2870,165300,3062,081,856Form
3Lee, Eugene I JR Family TrustBuy31320265.18286,0001,481,4802,156,175Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lee, Eugene I JR Family TrustBuy81220264.5965,355299,9792,532,624Form
2Lee, Eugene I JR Family TrustBuy51220264.2870,165300,3062,081,856Form
3Lee, Eugene I JR Family TrustBuy31320265.18286,0001,481,4802,156,175Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Engaged Capital LLC$18.2 Mil6.0%8ADD +124.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Engaged Capital LLC$18.2 Mil6.0%8ADD +124.3%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Engaged Capital LLC$18.2 Mil6.0%8ADD +124.3%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/6/2026