Tearsheet

Nathan's Famous (NATH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $93.845 | Market Cap: $383.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Nathan's Famous (NATH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $93.845
Market Cap: $383.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
 
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), and Online Grocery Platforms.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), and Online Grocery Platforms.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NATH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -7.5% stock movement for Nathan's Famous (NATH) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Significant Decline in Q2 Fiscal 2026 Profitability: Nathan's Famous reported a notable decrease in its second fiscal quarter ended September 28, 2025, with net income falling by 13.8% to $5.2 million and diluted earnings per share (EPS) declining by 14.3% to $1.26 compared to the prior-year period.

2. Decreased Income from Operations and Adjusted EBITDA: For the second fiscal quarter of 2026, income from operations dropped by 22.1% to $7.5 million, and Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $8.28 million, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NATH Return-20%8%19%19%4%20%52%
Peers Return20%31%4%1%8%-6%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NATH Win Rate33%67%50%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%30%25%27%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NATH Max Drawdown-35%0%-20%-5%-17%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-15%-10%-14%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNATHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1051 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2249 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-39.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven729 days1480 days

Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD


In The Past

Nathan's Famous's stock fell -36.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2021. A -36.4% loss requires a 57.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nathan's Famous (NATH)

Better Bets than Nathan's Famous (NATH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NATH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nathan's Famous

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NATHBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNathan's.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Price93.92308.6025.1824.6810.47307.7159.55
Mkt Cap0.40.40.2--219.40.4
Rev LTM155387282--26,263334
Op Inc LTM332447--12,11340
FCF LTM208134--7,37257
FCF 3Y Avg215428--7,04941
CFO LTM2010751--10,48579
CFO 3Y Avg228056--9,70468

Growth & Margins

NATHBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNathan's.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Rev Chg LTM7.8%6.9%-5.3%--1.2%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.6%1.7%4.2%--4.2%4.2%
Rev Chg Q11.1%10.3%-6.6%--3.0%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%2.5%-1.8%--0.8%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM21.6%6.2%16.6%--46.1%19.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.6%8.1%19.8%--45.9%21.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%1.0%-1.3%---0.0%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM13.1%27.7%18.2%--39.9%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%21.3%19.4%--37.7%20.3%
FCF/Rev LTM12.9%21.0%11.9%--28.1%16.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%14.2%9.7%--27.4%14.5%

Valuation

NATHBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNathan's.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Cap0.40.40.2--219.40.4
P/S2.91.11.2--8.22.1
P/EBIT13.261.29.3--17.715.4
P/E19.8200.820.2--25.723.0
P/CFO22.23.96.5--20.713.6
Total Yield5.9%0.5%5.7%--6.2%5.8%
Dividend Yield0.9%0.0%0.7%--2.3%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.2%17.5%6.6%--3.4%6.4%
D/E0.10.80.8--0.30.5
Net D/E0.0-0.10.7--0.20.1

Returns

NATHBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNathan's.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
1M Rtn-10.6%-13.3%4.9%1.7%126.6%4.4%3.1%
3M Rtn-5.7%-0.4%-29.4%---2.2%-3.9%
6M Rtn-7.6%18.5%-37.8%---0.1%-3.8%
12M Rtn13.4%37.8%-50.0%--6.9%10.2%
3Y Rtn52.6%112.9%-71.6%--20.6%36.6%
1M Excs Rtn-10.6%-13.2%4.9%1.7%126.7%4.5%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-13.6%-6.1%-35.6%---7.7%-10.6%
6M Excs Rtn-22.3%3.8%-52.5%---14.8%-18.6%
12M Excs Rtn-1.2%33.1%-65.2%---6.5%-3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.7%47.2%-143.8%---51.3%-31.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Branded Product Program8679663458
Product licensing3433323126
Restaurant operations161615918
Corporate22222
Total13913111576103


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Product licensing3333323126
Branded Product Program89658
Restaurant operations220-32
Corporate-11-9-8-7-8
Total3334302627


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity103,519
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.2%
Average Daily Volume50,567
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.05
Basic Shares Quantity4,089,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025610202510-K 3/30/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/29/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024612202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/24/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/24/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/25/2023
3312023608202310-K 3/26/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/25/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/25/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/26/2022
3312022610202210-K 3/27/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/26/2021