Tearsheet

Jack In The Box (JACK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.87 | Market Cap: $378.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Jack In The Box (JACK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.87
Market Cap: $378.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 929%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.0%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.9%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -65%
3   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 929%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.9%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -65%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JACK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Jack In The Box (NASDAQ: JACK) stock has experienced significant movements from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by a combination of disappointing financial results, strategic corporate actions, and analyst reactions. The stock gained 2.26% on December 3, 2025, rising from $19.43 to $19.87. Here are the key points for why the stock moved: 1. Disappointing Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings. Jack In The Box reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on November 19, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.30, significantly missing analyst expectations of $0.46. Same-store sales for the Jack in the Box brand decreased by 7.4% in Q4 2025, and Del Taco same-store sales also fell by 3.9%. This weak performance led to a notable decline in net income to $5.8 million, a 73.6% decrease from the prior year. The company's adjusted EBITDA also dropped to $45.6 million from $65.5 million in the prior year.

2. Below-Expectation Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance. Following the disappointing Q4 2025 results, Jack In The Box provided a cautious outlook for fiscal year 2026, with same-store sales guidance ranging from -1% to +1%. The EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2026 was also set at $232.5 million at the midpoint, which was below analyst estimates. This forward-looking guidance signaled continued operational challenges and potential margin pressures to investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JACK Return21%-4%-20%22%-47%-53%-72%
Peers Return25%12%-8%22%46%-11%102%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JACK Win Rate75%50%42%67%17%20% 
Peers Win Rate62%53%42%52%57%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JACK Max Drawdown-76%-14%-35%-10%-51%-65% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-14%-29%-8%-10%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, YUM, CMG, EAT, WEN. See JACK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJACKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven380.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven595 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven216.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1679 days1480 days

Compare to MCD, YUM, CMG, EAT, WEN


In The Past

Jack In The Box's stock fell -54.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -54.3% loss requires a 118.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Jack In The Box (JACK)

Better Bets than Jack In The Box (JACK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JACK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
JACK_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022JACKJack In The BoxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
24.5%77.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
JACK_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022JACKJack In The BoxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
24.5%77.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Jack In The Box

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JACKMCDYUMCMGEATWENMedian
NameJack In .McDonald.Yum Bran.Chipotle.Brinker .Wendy's  
Mkt Price19.87307.71148.5233.93142.078.5688.00
Mkt Cap0.4219.441.345.36.41.623.8
Rev LTM1,38826,2638,06111,7875,5942,2086,828
Op Inc LTM23212,1132,4851,9966073811,302
FCF LTM-7,3721,5641,5734702381,564
FCF 3Y Avg-7,0491,4131,4042642581,404
CFO LTM-10,4851,9062,2157373441,906
CFO 3Y Avg-9,7041,7121,9934843511,712

Growth & Margins

JACKMCDYUMCMGEATWENMedian
NameJack In .McDonald.Yum Bran.Chipotle.Brinker .Wendy's  
Rev Chg LTM-9.3%1.2%11.6%7.3%23.2%-0.2%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.0%4.2%6.4%11.9%13.2%2.9%7.7%
Rev Chg Q-8.9%3.0%8.4%7.5%18.5%-3.0%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.3%0.8%1.9%1.8%3.9%-0.8%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM16.7%46.1%30.8%16.9%10.9%17.3%17.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.2%45.9%31.7%17.0%7.6%17.5%17.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.0%-0.0%-0.3%0.6%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-39.9%23.6%18.8%13.2%15.6%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-37.7%23.0%18.6%9.8%16.0%18.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.1%19.4%13.3%8.4%10.8%13.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-27.4%18.9%13.1%5.2%11.7%13.1%

Valuation

JACKMCDYUMCMGEATWENMedian
NameJack In .McDonald.Yum Bran.Chipotle.Brinker .Wendy's  
Mkt Cap0.4219.441.345.36.41.623.8
P/S0.28.25.24.41.00.82.7
P/EBIT-1.917.716.926.29.94.513.4
P/E-1.525.729.234.012.89.419.2
P/CFO-20.722.223.67.75.120.7
Total Yield-61.2%6.2%5.3%2.9%7.8%19.5%5.7%
Dividend Yield5.0%2.3%1.8%0.0%0.0%8.8%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.4%3.6%2.4%7.4%9.2%3.6%
D/E9.40.30.30.10.32.40.3
Net D/E9.30.20.20.10.32.20.3

Returns

JACKMCDYUMCMGEATWENMedian
NameJack In .McDonald.Yum Bran.Chipotle.Brinker .Wendy's  
1M Rtn24.3%4.4%7.1%7.7%35.2%3.3%7.4%
3M Rtn10.6%-2.2%3.2%-18.8%-10.7%-13.1%-6.4%
6M Rtn-1.9%-0.1%4.1%-35.0%-18.1%-26.0%-10.0%
12M Rtn-58.8%6.9%9.9%-44.3%10.1%-49.2%-18.7%
3Y Rtn-69.4%20.6%21.3%5.7%342.0%-56.2%13.2%
1M Excs Rtn24.3%4.5%7.1%7.7%35.3%3.3%7.4%
3M Excs Rtn-3.0%-7.7%-1.5%-23.4%-16.5%-19.8%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-16.6%-14.8%-10.6%-49.7%-32.8%-40.7%-24.7%
12M Excs Rtn-71.9%-6.5%-4.1%-58.4%-6.1%-63.4%-32.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-143.3%-51.3%-48.4%-61.7%238.3%-127.1%-56.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,878,532
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume1,131,924
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.31
Basic Shares Quantity19,061,000
Short % of Basic Shares25.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 7/6/2025
3312025514202510-Q 4/13/2025
1312025225202510-Q 1/19/2025
93020241121202410-K 9/29/2024
6302024806202410-Q 7/7/2024
3312024514202410-Q 4/14/2024
1312024221202410-Q 1/21/2024
93020231121202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/9/2023
3312023517202310-Q 4/16/2023
12312022301202310-Q 1/22/2023
93020221122202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/10/2022
3312022527202210-Q 4/17/2022
12312021223202210-Q 1/23/2022
93020211123202110-K 9/30/2021