Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -99%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 219%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.0%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Last-Mile Delivery.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Last-Mile Delivery.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -99%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 219%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WEN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the movement of Wendy's (WEN) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Wendy's announced plans to close approximately 300 U.S. restaurant locations, starting in the fourth quarter of 2025. This decision was attributed to economic factors and a drop in same-store sales, leading to a slip in the stock price. 2. The company experienced declining or flat same-store sales in its U.S. market throughout 2025. U.S. same-restaurant sales decreased by 2.8% in Q1 2025, 3.6% in Q2 2025, and global comparable restaurant sales were down 3.7% in Q3 2025, primarily due to weakness in the U.S. market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WEN Return0%11%-3%-10%-11%-45%-52%
Peers Return58%25%-23%38%21%-32%73%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WEN Win Rate50%50%42%33%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%32%42%42%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WEN Max Drawdown-66%-11%-32%-16%-16%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-7%-29%-1%-11%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, CMG, SHAK, FAT, BRCB. See WEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWENS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven220.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven655.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3955 days1480 days

Compare to MCD, CMG, SHAK, FAT, BRCB


In The Past

Wendy's's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Wendy's (WEN)

Better Bets than Wendy's (WEN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
WEN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025WENWendy'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-29.2%-28.6%-35.4%
WEN_4302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302022WENWendy'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%15.3%-18.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
WEN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025WENWendy'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-29.2%-28.6%-35.4%
WEN_4302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302022WENWendy'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%15.3%-18.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Wendy's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WENMCDCMGSHAKFATBRCBMedian
NameWendy's McDonald.Chipotle.Shake Sh.FAT Bran.Black Ro. 
Mkt Price8.56307.7133.9383.210.5324.6829.30
Mkt Cap1.6219.445.33.30.0-3.3
Rev LTM2,20826,26311,7871,373578-2,208
Op Inc LTM38112,1131,99677-41-381
FCF LTM2387,3721,57363-69-238
FCF 3Y Avg2587,0491,40416-72-258
CFO LTM34410,4852,215204-54-344
CFO 3Y Avg3519,7041,993162-50-351

Growth & Margins

WENMCDCMGSHAKFATBRCBMedian
NameWendy's McDonald.Chipotle.Shake Sh.FAT Bran.Black Ro. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.2%1.2%7.3%13.5%1.0%-1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.9%4.2%11.9%16.7%25.1%-11.9%
Rev Chg Q-3.0%3.0%7.5%15.9%-3.4%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%0.8%1.8%3.8%-0.9%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM17.3%46.1%16.9%5.6%-7.2%-16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.5%45.9%17.0%3.7%-1.8%-17.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.0%-0.3%0.5%-2.3%--0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%39.9%18.8%14.9%-9.3%-15.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.0%37.7%18.6%13.2%-9.6%-16.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.8%28.1%13.3%4.6%-12.0%-10.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.7%27.4%13.1%0.9%-13.8%-11.7%

Valuation

WENMCDCMGSHAKFATBRCBMedian
NameWendy's McDonald.Chipotle.Shake Sh.FAT Bran.Black Ro. 
Mkt Cap1.6219.445.33.30.0-3.3
P/S0.88.24.42.70.1-2.7
P/EBIT4.517.726.257.0-0.6-17.7
P/E9.425.734.088.4-0.2-25.7
P/CFO5.120.723.618.4-0.8-18.4
Total Yield19.5%6.2%2.9%1.1%-489.3%-2.9%
Dividend Yield8.8%2.3%0.0%0.0%11.3%-2.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%3.4%2.4%0.1%-104.7%-2.4%
D/E2.40.30.10.235.1-0.3
Net D/E2.20.20.10.135.0-0.2

Returns

WENMCDCMGSHAKFATBRCBMedian
NameWendy's McDonald.Chipotle.Shake Sh.FAT Bran.Black Ro. 
1M Rtn3.3%4.4%7.7%-11.0%-70.4%1.7%2.5%
3M Rtn-13.1%-2.2%-18.8%-20.9%-71.5%--18.8%
6M Rtn-26.0%-0.1%-35.0%-34.5%-77.5%--34.5%
12M Rtn-49.2%6.9%-44.3%-37.1%-90.2%--44.3%
3Y Rtn-56.2%20.6%5.7%60.2%-90.8%-5.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.3%4.5%7.7%-11.0%-70.4%1.7%2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-19.8%-7.7%-23.4%-23.7%-76.4%--23.4%
6M Excs Rtn-40.7%-14.8%-49.7%-49.2%-92.2%--49.2%
12M Excs Rtn-63.4%-6.5%-58.4%-51.3%-103.9%--58.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-127.1%-51.3%-61.7%-4.9%-163.6%--61.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wendy’s US1,8161,7501,5671,4311,404
Global Real Estate & Development235239243237236
Wendy’s International131107866668
Total2,1822,0961,8971,7341,709


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity31,548,214
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.8%
Average Daily Volume9,469,662
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.33
Basic Shares Quantity190,794,000
Short % of Basic Shares16.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022301202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221109202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021301202210-K 1/2/2022