Wendy's (WEN)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $8.34 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Wendy's (WEN)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $8.34Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -99%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 240% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.0% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% | Key risksWEN key risks include [1] challenges related to its predominantly franchised business model, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Last-Mile Delivery. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Last-Mile Delivery. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -99%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 240% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.0% |
| Key risksWEN key risks include [1] challenges related to its predominantly franchised business model, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Here are the key points explaining the approximate -18.9% movement in Wendy's (WEN) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025:
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<b>1. Decline in U.S. Same-Restaurant Sales:</b> Wendy's reported a 2.6% decrease in global systemwide sales and a 4.7% decline in U.S. same-restaurant sales in its third-quarter 2025 results, announced on November 7, 2025. This decline was primarily driven by decreased traffic, despite a higher average check.
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<b>2. Plans for U.S. Restaurant Closures:</b> The company announced plans to close a "mid-single-digit percentage" of its 6,011 U.S. restaurants, translating to an estimated 241 to 361 establishments. These closures, expected through 2026, are part of a strategic overhaul to revitalize the domestic business which has been grappling with declining sales.
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<b>3. Analyst Downgrades and Reduced Price Targets:</b> Several financial firms lowered their ratings and price targets for Wendy's stock in late 2025. RBC Capital reduced its price target to $8.50 from $9.00 on December 22, 2025, citing concerns over future general and administrative expenses and potential pressure on restaurant-level margins. UBS also lowered its target to $9.50 due to U.S. sales challenges, and J.P. Morgan downgraded the stock from "Buy" to "Hold" on December 3, 2025, reducing its price target to $9.00 from $12.00.
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<b>4. Concerns over Future Profitability and Margins:</b> Analysts expressed worries that consensus estimates for general and administrative (G&A) expenses were too low for 2026, and projected a decline in restaurant-level margins. This was attributed to expected low U.S. same-store sales growth (0-1%) combined with elevated beef inflation.
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<b>5. Heightened Industry Competition and Consumer Pressure:</b> During the third-quarter earnings call, management acknowledged heightened industry competition and ongoing consumer pressure in the U.S. as contributing factors to the challenging sales environment. These macroeconomic factors continued to impact sales and analyst outlooks throughout the period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.8% change in WEN stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -5.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.06 | 8.35 | -7.81% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2225.41 | 2208.19 | -0.77% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.63% | 8.43% | -2.35% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.05 | 8.56 | -5.42% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 191.95 | 190.79 | 0.60% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.81% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -7.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 7.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.6% change in WEN stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -27.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.22 | 8.35 | -25.57% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2235.21 | 2208.19 | -1.21% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.57% | 8.43% | -1.68% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.75 | 8.56 | -27.13% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 200.64 | 190.79 | 4.91% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.75% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -25.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 31.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -46.3% change in WEN stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -47.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.56 | 8.35 | -46.34% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2212.87 | 2208.19 | -0.21% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.76% | 8.43% | -3.77% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.32 | 8.56 | -47.55% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203.26 | 190.79 | 6.13% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -46.54% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -46.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 30.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.0% | 34.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.6% change in WEN stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -60.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.26 | 8.35 | -56.64% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2032.20 | 2208.19 | 8.66% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.26% | 8.43% | -9.01% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.77 | 8.56 | -60.67% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 212.81 | 190.79 | 10.34% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -57.10% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -52.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 26.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.7% | 29.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WEN Return | 0% | 11% | -3% | -10% | -11% | -46% | -53% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WEN Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WEN Max Drawdown | -66% | -11% | -32% | -16% | -16% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See WEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WEN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 205 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 655.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,955 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Wendy's's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.7% gain to breakeven.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Wendy's (WEN):
- A major fast-food burger chain, similar to McDonald's.
- One of the largest global fast-food chains, competing directly with McDonald's and Burger King.
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- Hamburgers: Wendy's offers a variety of hamburgers featuring fresh, never-frozen beef patties in single, double, and triple configurations.
- Chicken Sandwiches & Nuggets: The menu includes various chicken options such as grilled, crispy, and spicy sandwiches, along with chicken nuggets.
- French Fries: Customers can purchase classic hot, crispy French fries seasoned with sea salt as a popular side item.
- Frosty: This iconic frozen dairy dessert comes in chocolate and vanilla flavors, known for its thick, spoonable consistency.
- Breakfast Menu Items: A dedicated morning menu offers a range of breakfast sandwiches, seasoned potatoes, and coffee to start the day.
- Salads: Wendy's provides several entree salads with fresh ingredients as a lighter meal option.
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Company: Wendy's (WEN)
Wendy's sells primarily to individual consumers.
Here are up to three categories of customers that Wendy's serves:
- Families and Groups: Customers looking for convenient, relatively quick, and affordable meal options for multiple people, often including children.
- Young Adults and Commuters: Individuals seeking fast, accessible, and reasonably priced meals for lunch breaks, on-the-go dining, or casual dinners. This group often values speed and convenience.
- Budget-Conscious Consumers: Customers who prioritize value and affordability, often seeking deals, combo meals, and competitive pricing compared to other dining options.
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- The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
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Ken Cook, Interim Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Ken Cook became the Interim Chief Executive Officer for The Wendy's Company in July 2025. He has also served as the Chief Financial Officer since December 2024, playing a significant role in developing Wendy's long-term growth strategy. Prior to joining Wendy's, Cook spent 20 years at United Parcel Service (UPS), where he held various finance roles, including Head of Financial Planning and Analysis and Chief Financial Officer for the U.S. Domestic segment. He also held leadership positions in Investor Relations and Treasury, and served as CFO of South Asia at UPS.
Liliana M. Esposito, Chief Corporate Affairs & Sustainability Officer
Liliana M. Esposito is a member of Wendy's Senior Leadership Team, serving as the Chief Corporate Affairs & Sustainability Officer.
John Min, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
John Min joined Wendy's as Chief Legal Officer and Secretary in September 2024. He brings two decades of corporate legal experience, previously serving as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary of Kellanova following the separation of Kellogg Company. His background also includes roles as General Counsel in Europe and General Counsel of the Asia Pacific, Middle East, and Africa region at Kellanova and Kellogg Company, and he practiced law at Jenner & Block LLP and Jones Day.
Lindsay Radkoski, Chief Marketing Officer, U.S.
Lindsay Radkoski joined The Wendy's Company Senior Leadership team in May 2024 and has served as Chief Marketing Officer, U.S., since March 2023. Before this role, she was Wendy's Vice President, National Marketing, a position she held since November 2019. She initially joined Wendy's in 2011 as a Manager in Investor Relations. Radkoski is responsible for all marketing efforts for the U.S. business and oversees the Global Marketing Centers of Excellence.
Pete Suerken, President, U.S.
Pete Suerken was appointed President, U.S. in July 2025. Prior to his current role at The Wendy's Company, he served as the President & CEO of Wendy's Quality Supply Chain Co-op (QSCC) since 2021. Suerken has more than two decades of experience in the food, beverage, and restaurant industries, with a proven track record in transforming operations, building profitability, and leading innovation, including expertise in supply chain, strategic sourcing, and business transformation.
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The Wendy's Company (WEN) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance. These risks include intense competition and evolving consumer preferences, challenges inherent in its predominantly franchised business model, and significant debt levels.
- Intense Competition and Changing Consumer Preferences: Wendy's operates in a highly competitive fast-food industry, vying for market share against major players like McDonald's and Burger King, as well as a growing number of fast-casual entrants. This intense competition puts pressure on pricing, product innovation, and customer experience. Additionally, there is a growing trend among consumers towards healthier eating habits and demand for value, requiring Wendy's to constantly adapt its menu and offerings to meet these evolving preferences. Failure to effectively differentiate itself or respond to these changes could negatively impact its market position and sales.
- Challenges Related to its Predominantly Franchised Business Model: Wendy's relies heavily on a franchised business model, with approximately 94% of its stores being franchised. While this model offers certain benefits, it also limits the company's direct control over day-to-day operations, service quality, and the financial health of its franchisees. Issues such as inconsistent service quality, a lack of participation in brand strategies, or financial hardship among franchisees can harm the overall brand reputation and impact royalty revenues. Recent plans to close a significant number of underperforming U.S. restaurants in 2024 and 2025 highlight concerns about franchisee profitability and the need to lift average unit volumes.
- High Debt Levels: Wendy's has a significant amount of outstanding debt, with approximately $2.7 billion as of December 29, 2024, and a high debt-to-equity ratio. This substantial indebtedness could adversely affect the company's business, results of operations, and financial condition by limiting its financial flexibility and increasing its vulnerability to economic changes or rising interest rates. A high debt load could constrain the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or navigate economic downturns effectively.
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- The accelerating shift in consumer preferences towards plant-based and alternative protein options presents a clear emerging threat. While Wendy's has explored some plant-based items, their core business heavily relies on traditional beef products. Significant and sustained growth in the plant-based food market, driven by health, environmental, and ethical concerns, could erode demand for conventional meat-based offerings, potentially forcing substantial menu overhauls or leading to market share loss to competitors more focused on alternative proteins.
- The proliferation of optimized delivery-only kitchens and virtual restaurant brands represents an emerging competitive threat. These "ghost kitchen" models operate with significantly lower overhead costs than traditional brick-and-mortar restaurants, allowing new competitors to enter the market with greater agility, offer more competitive pricing, or specialize in niche menus tailored for delivery. This model enables rapid market entry and expansion for new brands that can capture a growing share of the delivery market without the fixed costs associated with Wendy's extensive physical restaurant footprint.
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The addressable market for Wendy's main products and services, which primarily fall under the quick-service restaurant (QSR) and fast-food categories, is substantial globally and within the United States. Wendy's key offerings include hamburgers, chicken sandwiches, chicken nuggets, chili, French fries, baked potatoes, salads, and breakfast items.Global Market
The global fast food market was valued at approximately USD 809.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,244.46 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.89% during the forecast period (2025-2033). Another estimate places the global fast food market size at USD 797.14 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach around USD 1,286.14 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 4.90% between 2025 and 2034. The global quick-service restaurant (QSR) market size was approximately USD 971.36 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1,930.14 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.01% during the forecast period.
Within the global fast food market, the burgers and sandwiches segment is a dominant category. In 2024, this segment accounted for a significant share, with estimates ranging from 38.1% to 51.2% of the market.
U.S. Market
The United States quick-service restaurants market is valued at approximately USD 447.20 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 731.60 billion by 2030, advancing at a 10.35% CAGR. Another report indicates that the U.S. fast food and quick services restaurants market size was valued at USD 254.11 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.4% from 2025 to 2030.
For specific product categories in the U.S., hamburgers emerged as the leading product segment in the fast food and quick services restaurants industry, holding a revenue share of 42.0% in 2024. Sales of burgers in the United States alone amounted to USD 69.9 billion in 2022.
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Wendy's (WEN) is focusing on several key drivers to fuel its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
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Accelerated International Expansion: Wendy's is heavily investing in expanding its global footprint, with a strong emphasis on international markets. The company anticipates over 9% international net unit growth in 2025 and aims to add 1,000 net new restaurants globally by 2028, with a significant majority of these openings projected outside the United States. This aggressive unit development strategy is expected to drive substantial revenue growth from new markets and increased market penetration.
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"Project Fresh" for U.S. Turnaround and AUV Growth: Wendy's has initiated "Project Fresh," a comprehensive strategic plan designed to revitalize its U.S. business. This initiative focuses on brand revitalization, operational excellence, system optimization, and capital allocation, with the primary goal of driving Average Unit Volume (AUV) growth and enhancing franchisee profitability in the U.S. Key actions include optimizing labor and operating hours, and adopting a returns-based approach to franchisee investments.
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Enhanced Technology and Digital Integration: Significant investments in technology and digital platforms are crucial for improving the customer experience and operational efficiency, thereby contributing to revenue growth. This includes deploying digital menu boards, leveraging Fresh AI, and utilizing advanced data analytics to refine marketing strategies and adapt to consumer behavior. U.S. digital sales accounted for an all-time high of 20.3% of total sales in Q3 2025, demonstrating the increasing importance of this channel.
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Menu Innovation and Brand Revitalization: Wendy's plans to refresh its core menu items and introduce impactful new products, such as the recently launched chicken tenders, to attract new customers and meet evolving consumer preferences. Alongside product innovation, the company is focusing on compelling, data-driven marketing to strengthen its brand positioning as a provider of high-quality food in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) sector.
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Share Repurchases
- A new $500 million share repurchase authorization was approved in January 2023, set to expire in February 2027.
- The company repurchased $268.5 million in 2022 and $51.95 million in 2023.
- Wendy's plans to repurchase up to $200 million of its shares in 2025, with approximately $228.1 million remaining under its existing authorization as of February 2025.
Share Issuance
- Proceeds from stock option exercises amounted to $23.361 million in 2021, $30.003 million in 2022, and $4.865 million in 2023.
- The number of common shares outstanding was approximately 212.6 million as of February 21, 2023, and approximately 200.5 million as of February 19, 2025.
- Shares were issued to directors in October 2025 as compensation in lieu of cash retainers under the 2020 Omnibus Award Plan.
Inbound Investments
- As of December 31, 2024, institutional investors collectively held a significant 74% stake in Wendy's.
- In May 2022, Trian Fund Management, L.P., the largest shareholder, disclosed it was exploring a potential acquisition of the company, which could lead to Wendy's going private.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Wendy's were $68.969 million in 2021, $77.984 million in 2022, $85.021 million in 2023, and $94.388 million in 2024.
- For 2025, anticipated capital expenditures and franchise development fund investments are expected to range between $135 million and $145 million.
- A primary focus of capital expenditures includes technology investments such as AI-driven order taking platforms, digital menu boards, and supporting the "build-to-suit" program for new unit development.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Wendy's Earnings Notes | ||
| How Low Can Wendy's Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Wendy's (WEN) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| WEN Dip Buy Analysis |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to WEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
| 04302025 | WEN | Wendy's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -29.2% | -30.3% | -35.4% |
| 04302022 | WEN | Wendy's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 15.3% | -18.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Wendy's
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 76.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/17/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -46.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.47 | $10.39 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.4% | -19.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.3% | 34.0% |
| Downside Capture | 66.80 | 78.09 |
| Upside Capture | 14.06 | 4.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.7% | 29.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| Up Beta | -1.33 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| Down Beta | -0.44 | 1.01 | 0.76 | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| Up Capture | 96% | -4% | -30% | -12% | -2% | 7% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 15 | 23 | 54 | 99 | 347 |
| Down Capture | 90% | 46% | 79% | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 27 | 40 | 71 | 145 | 396 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of WEN With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -46.8% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 33.7% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.82 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 35.0% | 30.0% | -10.4% | 5.8% | 41.8% | 6.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of WEN With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -14.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 30.3% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.49 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 35.7% | 34.9% | -2.0% | 4.9% | 37.2% | 11.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of WEN With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEN | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 36.0% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.13 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 44.9% | 42.9% | -0.1% | 15.9% | 44.2% | 12.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | 1.6% | -1.4% | -6.0% |
| 8/8/2025 | 1.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| 5/2/2025 | 0.5% | -3.0% | -6.1% |
| 2/13/2025 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -5.9% | 0.4% | -9.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | 0.2% | 0.2% | -1.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | 1.5% | -1.2% | -11.1% |
| 1/18/2024 | -0.4% | -0.8% | -4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -2.4% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 7.4% | 10.5% | 16.9% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -16.0% | -36.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 1/1/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 1/2/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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