Tearsheet

Personalis (PSNL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.09 | Market Cap: $895.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Personalis (PSNL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.09
Market Cap: $895.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -81 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -117%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 161%
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -44%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
4  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 134%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
6  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -81 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -117%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 161%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -44%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 134%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PSNL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Personalis Exceeded Q3 2025 Financial Estimates.

Personalis announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, reporting an EPS of -$0.24, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.28. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations at $14.50 million, above the consensus of $13.31 million. The company highlighted substantial progress in its "Win-in-MRD" strategy, including a 364% year-over-year increase in clinical test volume, and a narrowed net loss compared to the previous year. 2. Positive Data from AstraZeneca's Lung Cancer Study Drove Stock Surge.

On October 17, 2025, Personalis shares rose by 20.5% following the announcement of new data from AstraZeneca's late-stage lung cancer study (LAURA). The study utilized Personalis' highly sensitive molecular residual disease (MRD) test, NeXT Personal, which detected MRD progression with a median lead time of five months ahead of disease progression as assessed by independent experts.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSNL Return236%-61%-86%6%175%75%-7%
Peers Return52%3%-11%-6%-18%41%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSNL Win Rate75%50%8%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%40%35%31%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSNL Max Drawdown-56%-67%-88%-53%-45%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-15%-31%-31%-27%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPSNLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5385.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days148 days

Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN


In The Past

Personalis's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/20/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5385.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Personalis (PSNL)

Better Bets than Personalis (PSNL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSNL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Personalis

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSNLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Price10.17149.2621.231.99-102.7621.23
Mkt Cap0.942.43.20.4--2.1
Rev LTM696,788728199--464
Op Inc LTM-811,444-74-9---42
FCF LTM-661,088-30---2
FCF 3Y Avg-661,308-112-15---41
CFO LTM-601,495354--19
CFO 3Y Avg-571,662-36-12---24

Growth & Margins

PSNLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Rev Chg LTM-21.0%4.5%27.1%13.0%--8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.7%0.8%31.8%8.3%--5.0%
Rev Chg Q-43.6%10.1%30.4%14.5%--12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-14.0%2.4%6.7%3.5%--2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-117.1%21.3%-10.1%-4.8%---7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-117.0%21.5%-21.8%-11.9%---16.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-27.4%-0.1%3.8%1.3%--0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-87.5%22.0%4.8%1.8%--3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-76.7%24.6%-7.6%-7.5%---7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-95.8%16.0%-0.5%0.1%---0.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-88.9%19.4%-21.7%-9.7%---15.7%

Valuation

PSNLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Cap0.942.43.20.4--2.1
P/S8.44.93.01.5--4.0
P/EBIT-7.822.2-19.2-42.1---13.5
P/E-7.827.5-14.2-19.1---11.0
P/CFO-9.622.462.885.5--42.6
Total Yield-12.8%4.5%-7.0%-5.2%---6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-52.7%3.7%-11.2%-5.1%---8.1%
D/E0.10.10.30.3--0.2
Net D/E-0.20.10.20.1--0.1

Returns

PSNLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
1M Rtn13.0%3.2%10.1%30.9%--11.5%
3M Rtn109.7%19.4%33.5%51.9%--42.7%
6M Rtn97.5%30.4%72.9%38.2%--55.5%
12M Rtn161.4%8.0%112.3%12.4%--62.4%
3Y Rtn254.4%-2.0%106.7%-52.0%--52.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.0%3.2%10.1%31.0%--11.6%
3M Excs Rtn94.5%11.1%22.9%44.3%--33.6%
6M Excs Rtn82.8%15.7%58.2%23.5%--40.8%
12M Excs Rtn142.6%-4.5%89.0%-6.0%--42.3%
3Y Excs Rtn260.0%-72.6%50.7%-119.0%---11.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Providing advanced cancer genomic tests and services for precision oncology applications73    
Sale of sequencing and data analysis services 65857965
Total7365857965


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Providing advanced cancer genomic tests and services for precision oncology applications-108    
Total-108    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,736,272
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.3%
Average Daily Volume1,913,896
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.04
Basic Shares Quantity88,699,131
Short % of Basic Shares8.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021