Tearsheet

Personalis (PSNL)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $7.48 | Market Cap: $663.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Personalis (PSNL)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $7.48
Market Cap: $663.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -81 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -117%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -44%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 134%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -81 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -117%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -44%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 134%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PSNL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to today, November 18, 2025, Personalis (PSNL) experienced significant positive stock movement, driven by several key factors. 1. Strong Clinical Test Volume Growth

Personalis reported a substantial 364% year-over-year increase in clinical test volume for the third quarter of 2025, reaching 4,388 tests, primarily due to accelerated adoption of its NeXT Personal platform. This growth highlights increasing physician adoption and solid execution of the company's strategy. 2. Medicare Coverage for NeXT Personal Assay in Breast Cancer

The company announced receiving Medicare coverage for its ultrasensitive molecular residual disease (MRD) test, NeXT Personal, in breast cancer on November 10, 2025. This news led to a notable jump in Personalis' stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSNL Return236%-61%-86%6%175%29%-31%
Peers Return42%3%-9%-5%-14%-9%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSNL Win Rate75%50%8%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%33%32%28%42%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSNL Max Drawdown-56%-67%-88%-53%-45%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-12%-25%-25%-21%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BDMD, PTHL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPSNLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5385.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days148 days

Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BDMD, PTHL


In The Past

Personalis's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/20/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5385.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Personalis (PSNL)

Better Bets than Personalis (PSNL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSNL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Personalis

Financials

PSNLAATECCERSBDMDPTHLMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Baird Me.Pheton  
Mkt Price7.48144.5219.871.531.290.574.50
Mkt Cap0.741.03.00.3--1.8
Rev LTM696,788728199--464
Op Inc LTM-811,444-74-9---42
FCF LTM-661,088-30---2
FCF 3Y Avg-661,308-112-15---41
CFO LTM-601,495354--19
CFO 3Y Avg-571,662-36-12---24

Growth & Margins

PSNLAATECCERSBDMDPTHLMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Baird Me.Pheton  
Rev Chg LTM-21.0%4.5%27.1%13.0%--8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.7%0.8%31.8%8.3%--5.0%
Rev Chg Q-43.6%10.1%30.4%14.5%--12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-14.0%2.4%6.7%3.5%--2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-117.1%21.3%-10.1%-4.8%---7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-117.0%21.5%-21.8%-11.9%---16.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-27.4%-0.1%3.8%1.3%--0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-87.5%22.0%4.8%1.8%--3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-76.7%24.6%-7.6%-7.5%---7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-95.8%16.0%-0.5%0.1%---0.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-88.9%19.4%-21.7%-9.7%---15.7%

Valuation

PSNLAATECCERSBDMDPTHLMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Baird Me.Pheton  
Mkt Cap0.741.03.00.3--1.8
P/S9.66.04.11.5--5.1
P/EBIT-9.027.2-26.3-40.6---17.7
P/E-9.033.6-19.4-18.4---13.7
P/CFO-11.027.585.882.3--54.9
Total Yield-11.1%3.7%-5.2%-5.4%---5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-52.7%3.7%-11.2%-5.1%---8.1%
D/E0.10.10.20.3--0.1
Net D/E-0.20.00.10.1--0.1

Returns

PSNLAATECCERSBDMDPTHLMedian
NamePersonal.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Baird Me.Pheton  
1M Rtn-18.1%1.8%33.4%0.0%-15.1%-9.8%-4.9%
3M Rtn54.2%22.6%25.3%22.4%-39.4%-11.6%22.5%
6M Rtn49.0%27.9%52.5%15.9%-74.8%-88.2%21.9%
12M Rtn92.3%14.7%141.4%-11.0%-48.6%-86.9%1.8%
3Y Rtn221.0%1.0%96.5%-61.0%--48.8%
1M Excs Rtn-18.2%1.7%33.3%-0.1%-15.3%-9.9%-5.0%
3M Excs Rtn61.0%16.5%21.7%24.5%-42.3%-4.9%19.1%
6M Excs Rtn37.1%16.0%40.6%4.0%-86.7%-100.1%10.0%
12M Excs Rtn46.0%-3.0%106.2%-29.2%-66.5%-98.0%-16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn123.5%-67.7%34.9%-130.3%---16.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Providing advanced cancer genomic tests and services for precision oncology applications73    
Sale of sequencing and data analysis services 65857965
Total7365857965


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Providing advanced cancer genomic tests and services for precision oncology applications-108    
Total-108    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,014,430
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-8.5%
Average Daily Volume1,392,097
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.04
Basic Shares Quantity88,699,131
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-12.3%-3.3% 
8/5/2025-21.9%-19.0%-9.8%
2/27/2025-2.4%-0.5%-14.6%
11/6/2024-22.6%-14.9%-25.6%
8/7/202419.1%54.9%86.5%
5/8/20245.4%-8.6%-13.7%
2/28/20246.2%19.9%2.1%
11/7/202321.5%22.6%53.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1277
# Negative91414
Median Positive5.7%10.7%28.3%
Median Negative-7.2%-8.6%-18.2%
Max Positive21.5%54.9%86.5%
Max Negative-22.6%-19.0%-38.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Chen RichardCHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER AND EVP7302025Sell6.574522,970817,998Form
1Tachibana AaronCFO AND COO7302025Sell6.576414,2111,080,489Form
2Tachibana AaronCFO AND COO5202025Sell4.951,2916,390817,240Form
3Moore Stephen MichaelSVP and Chief Legal Officer5202025Sell4.951,6758,291317,790Form
4Chen RichardCHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER AND EVP5202025Sell4.959104,504618,537Form