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Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $16.68 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $16.68
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -78 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 161%
2  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
5  Key risks
ADPT key risks include [1] a history of financial losses and an unproven path to profitability, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -78 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 161%
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
7 Key risks
ADPT key risks include [1] a history of financial losses and an unproven path to profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ADPT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to provide an explanation for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, in accordance with the instruction to use the most recent date for which information is available, here are some recent key points related to Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) from the approximate period of June 2023 to December 2023. These points reflect past events and do not explain the hypothetical 26.6% stock movement for the specified future period.

1. Adaptive Biotechnologies announced third-quarter 2023 financial results on November 7, 2023, reporting total revenue of $42.2 million.

2. The company's clonoSEQ business grew, with reported revenue of $20.0 million for Q3 2023, an increase of 36% year-over-year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 30.1% change in ADPT stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 23.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)12.8216.6830.11%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)205.22252.7523.16%
P/S Multiple9.5010.065.88%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)152.08152.43-0.23%
Cumulative Contribution30.11%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ADPT30.1% 
Market (SPY)4.4%29.0%
Sector (XLV)14.2%19.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 39.2% change in ADPT stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 33.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)11.9816.6839.23%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)189.53252.7533.36%
P/S Multiple9.4310.066.67%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)149.20152.43-2.17%
Cumulative Contribution39.17%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ADPT39.2% 
Market (SPY)14.0%31.5%
Sector (XLV)16.9%22.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 161.0% change in ADPT stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 89.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)6.3916.68161.03%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)177.28252.7542.57%
P/S Multiple5.3210.0689.19%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)147.52152.43-3.33%
Cumulative Contribution160.74%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ADPT161.0% 
Market (SPY)15.8%39.6%
Sector (XLV)13.3%30.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 122.4% change in ADPT stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 57.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)7.5016.68122.40%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)168.04252.7550.41%
P/S Multiple6.3810.0657.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)142.93152.43-6.65%
Cumulative Contribution121.42%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ADPT237.0% 
Market (SPY)48.9%34.9%
Sector (XLV)18.8%27.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ADPT Return98%-53%-73%-36%22%179%-44%
Peers Return80%-12%-58%25%13%76%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ADPT Win Rate58%33%33%33%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%28%53%47%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ADPT Max Drawdown-43%-57%-78%-55%-52%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-20%-68%-19%-39%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NTRA, GH, EXAS, ILMN, TXG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADPTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1860.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven52 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO

In The Past

Adaptive Biotechnologies's stock fell -94.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/22/2021. A -94.9% loss requires a 1860.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation, a commercial-stage company, develops an immune medicine platform for the diagnosis and treatment of various diseases. The company offers immunoSEQ, a platform and core immunosequencing product that is used to answer translational research questions, as well as to discover new prognostic and diagnostic signals; and T-Detect COVID for the confirmation of past COVID-19 infection. It also provides clonoSEQ, a clinical diagnostic product for the detection and monitoring of minimal residual disease in patients with multiple myeloma, B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia, and chronic lymphocytic leukemia, as well as available as a CLIA-validated laboratory developed test for patients with other lymphoid cancers; and immunoSEQ T-MAP COVID for vaccine developers and researchers to measure the T-cell immune response to vaccines. In addition, the company offers a pipeline of clinical products and services that are used for the diagnosing, monitoring, and treatment of diseases, such as cancer, autoimmune conditions, and infectious diseases. It serves the life sciences research, clinical diagnostics, and drug discovery applications. Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation has strategic collaborations with Genentech, Inc. for the development, manufacture, and commercialization of neoantigen directed T cell therapies for the treatment of a range of cancers; and Microsoft Corporation to develop diagnostic tests for the early detection of various diseases from a single blood test. The company was formerly known as Adaptive TCR Corporation and changed its name to Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation in December 2011. Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT):

  • 23andMe for the immune system, providing genetic insights for disease diagnosis and drug discovery.
  • Imagine a 'Google Maps' for the immune system, charting its responses to disease to guide new diagnostics and therapies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • immunoSEQ: A research platform providing high-resolution sequencing of T-cell and B-cell receptors to deeply profile the adaptive immune system for academic and biopharmaceutical research.
  • clonoSEQ: An FDA-cleared diagnostic test to detect and quantify measurable residual disease (MRD) in patients with lymphoid malignancies such as multiple myeloma and acute lymphoblastic leukemia.
  • Drug Discovery and Development Services: Partnerships with pharmaceutical companies leveraging Adaptive's immune sequencing technology to identify novel drug targets, biomarkers, and develop cell therapies.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) primarily sells its products and services to other companies, operating on a **business-to-business (B2B)** model. Its major customers and strategic partners often include pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, academic research institutions, and clinical laboratories. Here are some of Adaptive Biotechnologies' major customers and strategic collaborators:
  • Genentech (a member of the Roche Group): Genentech has been a long-standing and significant collaborator with Adaptive Biotechnologies. This partnership involves leveraging Adaptive's immune receptor sequencing platform for drug discovery, development, and companion diagnostics, particularly in the immuno-oncology space.
    • **Roche Group Symbol**: RHHBY (OTCMKTS) or ROG (SIX)
  • Microsoft Corporation: While more of a strategic collaboration than a traditional direct customer, Microsoft's multi-year partnership with Adaptive Biotechnologies was a pivotal engagement aimed at mapping the human immune system to develop universal diagnostic tests for various diseases. This collaboration represented a substantial investment and utilization of Adaptive's platform and data capabilities.
    • **Symbol**: MSFT
Adaptive Biotechnologies also collaborates with other biopharmaceutical companies (e.g., Amgen, Takeda in the past) and sells its ClonoSEQ assay to a broad network of clinical laboratories, oncologists, and healthcare systems. However, Genentech and Microsoft represent some of the most publicly prominent and significant relationships in terms of their strategic impact and scale.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Illumina (ILMN)
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Chad Robins, Chief Executive Officer, Co-founder, Chairman of the Board

Chad Robins co-founded Adaptive Biotechnologies in 2009 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board since. Before establishing Adaptive, he held various executive-level positions in medical technology, investment, and real estate companies. He holds an MBA from The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and a BS from Cornell University. Mr. Robins has been recognized as a Goldman Sachs Most Intriguing Entrepreneur and received the Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year award. He is also the co-founder and a Director of Aortica Corporation. He has engaged in various stock sales, for instance, in February and March 2025.

Kyle Piskel, Chief Financial Officer

Kyle Piskel was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Adaptive Biotechnologies, effective April 8, 2024. He joined the company in 2015 and has since held ascending positions in finance and accounting, including Corporate Controller and Principal Accounting Officer. Prior to joining Adaptive, Mr. Piskel worked at Expedia Group and Ernst & Young, LLP. He is a Certified Public Accountant.

Julie Rubinstein, President & Chief Operating Officer

Julie Rubinstein serves as President and Chief Operating Officer of Adaptive Biotechnologies. She joined Adaptive in 2011 and has held numerous leadership roles, overseeing functions such as Life Sciences Research, Clinical Diagnostics, Drug Discovery, Corporate Marketing, and Business Development. Ms. Rubinstein was part of the executive team that led the company through its initial public offering in 2019. Her prior experience includes worldwide commercial development roles at Pfizer Oncology, positions at Johnson & Johnson's Ethicon Endo-Surgery division, and a start as a financial analyst in Morgan Stanley's Global Health Care Group.

Sharon Benzeno, PhD, Chief Commercial Officer, Immune Medicine

Dr. Sharon Benzeno is the Chief Commercial Officer, Immune Medicine, and leads the Drug Discovery group at Adaptive Biotechnologies. She joined Adaptive in 2014. Before her tenure at Adaptive, she served as Senior Director at Elsevier Inc., a healthcare informatics company, and co-led the oncology business unit at Capgemini SE. Dr. Benzeno also held various management roles at AstraZeneca plc. She earned a PhD in Biomedical Sciences and an MBA in Finance and Leadership from New York University.

Harlan Robins, PhD, Chief Scientific Officer & Co-founder

Dr. Harlan Robins is the Chief Scientific Officer and co-founder of Adaptive Biotechnologies. He co-founded the company with his brother, Chad Robins, in 2009. Previously, he was the head of the Computational Biology Program at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) include:

  1. Financial Performance and Path to Profitability: Adaptive Biotechnologies has consistently reported financial losses and negative free cash flow. While the company maintains some net cash, its long-term viability and sustainability depend on achieving consistent profitability and positive cash flow.
  2. Competition and Reimbursement Dynamics: The market for minimal residual disease (MRD) testing, where Adaptive's clonoSEQ is a key product, is becoming increasingly competitive with other companies such as Natera and F. Hoffmann-La Roche developing their own tests. The company's ability to maintain pricing and secure favorable reimbursement for its tests will depend on demonstrating clear clinical outcomes and cost savings, which is crucial as MRD testing becomes more routine and payers may push for cost containment.
  3. Dependence on Innovation and Partnerships: Adaptive Biotechnologies operates in a rapidly evolving biotechnology landscape, necessitating continuous innovation to sustain its competitive advantage. Furthermore, aspects of its therapeutic development, particularly in areas like rheumatoid arthritis, are subject to licensing agreements and depend on the development and commercialization efforts of partners such as Pfizer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Emerging advancements in **tumor-specific genomic profiling via highly sensitive liquid biopsy technologies (e.g., circulating tumor DNA or ctDNA)** pose an emerging threat to Adaptive Biotechnologies. While Adaptive's clonoSEQ test focuses on immune receptor gene rearrangements for measurable residual disease (MRD) detection in certain hematologic malignancies, the rapid development and validation of ctDNA-based assays from companies like Natera (Signatera) and Guardant Health, though currently primarily focused on solid tumors, demonstrate a powerful alternative approach to MRD detection. Should these tumor-specific genomic profiling methods achieve comparable or superior sensitivity, specificity, and cost-effectiveness in hematologic malignancies, or if they offer broader applicability and easier integration with other genomic insights, they could disrupt the market currently served by clonoSEQ by providing a different, potentially more comprehensive or accessible paradigm for tracking minimal disease.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Adaptive Biotechnologies (symbol: ADPT) operates in several key areas within immune medicine. The addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:

clonoSEQ

Adaptive Biotechnologies' clonoSEQ is an FDA-cleared test used for the detection and monitoring of Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) in blood cancers such as multiple myeloma, B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), and chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL).

  • The global minimal residual disease (MRD) testing market size was estimated at approximately 2.50 billion USD in 2024 and is projected to reach about 4.50 billion USD by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.1% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global MRD testing market at 1.70 billion USD in 2025, reaching 4.22 billion USD by 2033 with a CAGR of 12.00%, or 2.58 billion USD in 2025, reaching 5.64 billion USD by 2032 with a CAGR of 11.8%. Another report indicates the market reached 2.3 billion USD in 2024 and is expected to reach 5.5 billion USD by 2033.
  • North America is a dominant region in the MRD testing market, holding a 46.15% revenue share in 2024. It is also anticipated to hold 35.0% of the market share in 2025.

immunoSEQ Platform

The immunoSEQ Platform is a research-use-only service that provides sequencing of T-cell receptors (TCRs) and B-cell receptors (BCRs) for disease research, biomarker discovery, and therapeutic development.

  • The global immune repertoire sequencing market size was approximately 337.43 million USD in 2024, with projections to reach 370 million USD in 2025 and 842.44 million USD by 2034, driven by a CAGR of 9.64%. Other consistent estimates show the market at 366.11 million USD in 2025, exceeding 915.62 million USD by 2035 with a CAGR of over 9.6%.
  • North America held a dominant position in this market, with a 47% revenue share in 2024.

T-Detect Franchise

Adaptive Biotechnologies is developing a T-Detect franchise for T-cell based tests to diagnose various diseases.

  • T-Detect COVID: This T-cell based test detects recent or prior SARS-CoV-2 infections. T-cell responses can be detected earlier and persist longer than antibody responses. A specific addressable market size for T-cell based COVID-19 testing could not be definitively identified. The broader global COVID-19 diagnostics market has shown significant volatility, with some estimates indicating a decline in market size in future years. Therefore, the addressable market for T-Detect COVID is currently null.
  • T-Detect Lyme: This test was launched in June 2022 to identify T cells activated by Borrelia burgdorferi.
    • The global Lyme disease testing market size is anticipated to reach 18.57 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.2% from 2024 to 2030. Another report estimates the global market at 11.18 billion USD in 2023, projected to reach approximately 25.05 billion USD by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2024 to 2033.
    • Europe dominated the Lyme disease testing market with a 48.22% revenue share in 2023, while North America is also a significant and growing market.
  • T-Detect CMV: This is a developing product for Cytomegalovirus (CMV) diagnostics.
    • The global Cytomegalovirus (CMV) diagnostics market was valued at 830 million USD in 2025 and is projected to reach 1.3 billion USD by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.9%. Another estimate indicates the global CMV tests market was valued at 731.24 million USD in 2025 and is on track to achieve 1.19 billion USD by 2032.
    • North America is the dominant region in the CMV diagnostics market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas, primarily centered around its Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) business and strategic advancements.

  • Continued Growth in clonoSEQ Clinical Volume and Expanded Indications: The company anticipates sustained strong growth in its clonoSEQ clinical test volumes. This growth is expected to come from broader-based volume expansion across all reimbursed indications, including multiple myeloma, ALL, CLL, DLBCL, and MCL. Further expansion into blood-based testing and increased adoption in community-based testing settings are also significant drivers. Adaptive Biotechnologies has raised its full-year MRD revenue guidance, expecting to deliver approximately 104,000 tests for 2025, exceeding prior growth targets.
  • Increased MRD Pharma Collaborations and Milestone Revenue: Adaptive Biotechnologies continues to secure and advance collaborations with biopharmaceutical companies, leveraging its clonoSEQ assay to assess MRD in clinical trials for new treatments for hematologic malignancies. This segment is a consistent contributor to revenue, with anticipated MRD milestone revenue between $18 million and $19 million for 2025. The company has a backlog exceeding $200 million in its MRD Pharma segment, indicating a strong pipeline for future revenue.
  • Enhanced EMR Integration and Market Penetration: Deeper integration of clonoSEQ testing into electronic medical records (EMR) systems is a strategic focus that is expected to accelerate adoption and streamline testing processes, thereby driving volume growth. Partnerships aimed at expanding access to personalized disease monitoring for blood cancer patients also contribute to increased market penetration.
  • Advancements in Immune Medicine Platform and Partnerships: While the Genentech partnership has concluded for the Immune Medicine segment, Adaptive Biotechnologies is progressing with its AI/ML modeling and T cell depletion antibody programs. The company's proprietary immune medicine platform and its ability to decode the adaptive immune system continue to be foundational for potential future diagnostic and therapeutic applications, informing drug development and enabling new partnership opportunities. Although T-Detect is currently for research use only, the underlying T-cell receptor (TCR) sequencing technology has the potential for future diagnostic and therapeutic product development.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

No significant share repurchase programs or activities were reported by Adaptive Biotechnologies from 2020 to 2024.

Share Issuance

  • In July 2020, Adaptive Biotechnologies announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering, selling 6,000,000 shares of its common stock at $40.00 per share, generating expected gross proceeds of $240 million for the company.
  • The net proceeds from this offering were intended to accelerate investments in TCR-Antigen Map activities, scale commercial and marketing activities for immunoSEQ Dx clinical products and services, and support research and development for drug discovery initiatives.

Inbound Investments

  • In the third quarter of 2022, Adaptive Biotechnologies signed a non-dilutive royalty financing agreement with OrbiMed for up to $250 million.

Outbound Investments

No significant outbound investments, such as acquisitions of other companies, were reported by Adaptive Biotechnologies from 2020 to 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $19 million in 2020, $62 million in 2021, $16 million in 2022, $11 million in 2023, and $3.66 million in 2024.
  • The significant capital expenditure in 2021 was primarily focused on operational expansion, including moving into a new corporate headquarters in Seattle, Washington, increasing warehouse space in the Seattle area, and opening a new office.

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Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.9%20.9%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.4%-7.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.5%13.5%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Adaptive Biotechnologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ADPTNTRAGHEXASILMNTXGMedian
NameAdaptive.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Illumina 10x Geno. 
Mkt Price16.68235.56102.43101.56134.7516.68102.00
Mkt Cap2.532.312.819.220.62.116.0
Rev LTM2532,1179033,0824,2886421,510
Op Inc LTM-78-352-442-155798-141-148
FCF LTM-6394-2622471,0008288
FCF 3Y Avg-116-87-300107572-2-45
CFO LTM-61194-2233871,12289141
CFO 3Y Avg-110-17-271253740338

Growth & Margins

ADPTNTRAGHEXASILMNTXGMedian
NameAdaptive.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Illumina 10x Geno. 
Rev Chg LTM42.6%38.2%30.4%14.5%-2.3%1.9%22.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.1%40.2%28.0%15.5%-3.0%8.6%15.8%
Rev Chg Q102.4%34.7%38.5%20.0%0.4%-1.7%27.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM23.2%7.8%8.9%4.8%0.1%-0.4%6.3%
Op Mgn LTM-30.9%-16.6%-49.0%-5.0%18.6%-22.0%-19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-77.9%-27.8%-73.1%-7.9%6.6%-27.7%-27.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM28.1%-1.7%6.6%0.1%-0.6%1.3%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-23.9%9.2%-24.7%12.6%26.2%13.8%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-58.2%-5.5%-41.4%9.0%17.0%5.1%-0.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-24.9%4.4%-29.1%8.0%23.3%12.7%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-61.6%-10.0%-45.5%3.6%13.2%-0.8%-5.4%

Valuation

ADPTNTRAGHEXASILMNTXGMedian
NameAdaptive.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Illumina 10x Geno. 
Mkt Cap2.532.312.819.220.62.116.0
P/S10.115.314.26.24.83.38.1
P/EBIT-37.5-105.8-32.4-19.920.7-27.1-29.8
P/E-31.9-104.5-32.1-19.529.3-27.4-29.7
P/CFO-42.0166.3-57.449.718.423.621.0
Total Yield-3.1%-1.0%-3.1%-5.1%3.4%-3.6%-3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.2%-2.0%-7.8%1.0%3.4%1.4%-0.5%
D/E0.00.00.10.10.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.10.10.1-0.20.0

Returns

ADPTNTRAGHEXASILMNTXGMedian
NameAdaptive.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Illumina 10x Geno. 
1M Rtn-18.5%-1.3%-7.9%0.5%7.0%-17.1%-4.6%
3M Rtn30.1%43.7%77.6%91.2%42.7%38.3%43.2%
6M Rtn39.2%43.5%105.3%95.6%44.5%43.1%44.0%
12M Rtn161.0%45.1%224.5%74.8%-0.3%13.7%59.9%
3Y Rtn122.4%467.1%267.1%101.3%-27.5%-51.3%111.9%
1M Excs Rtn-21.9%-4.7%-11.3%-2.8%3.6%-20.5%-8.0%
3M Excs Rtn22.1%39.0%65.2%84.2%41.2%34.6%40.1%
6M Excs Rtn24.3%27.2%91.8%83.1%30.3%29.7%30.0%
12M Excs Rtn144.2%28.6%206.5%54.1%-17.7%1.9%41.4%
3Y Excs Rtn48.2%392.4%157.2%21.5%-108.9%-134.1%34.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Minimal Residual Disease (MRD)1038766  
Immune Medicine689888  
Development revenue   5742
Sequencing revenue   4144
Total1701851549885


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$16.68 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.5 
First Trading Date06/27/2019 
Distance from 52W High-18.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$16.58$12.13
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA0.6%37.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility79.3%77.4%
Downside Capture103.09154.57
Upside Capture205.95228.87
Correlation (SPY)29.9%39.6%
ADPT Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.422.072.411.961.621.88
Up Beta4.053.593.802.531.471.67
Down Beta-1.100.46-0.070.191.151.10
Up Capture429%382%523%479%709%3696%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days7193064120361
Down Capture169%153%224%170%128%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12223259123378

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of ADPT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 ADPTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return178.0%16.4%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility77.1%17.3%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.640.720.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 31.0%39.8%6.4%4.3%25.8%18.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of ADPT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 ADPTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-21.7%8.6%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility78.1%14.5%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.030.410.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 34.3%44.8%9.8%5.1%40.0%23.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of ADPT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 ADPTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-12.7%9.8%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility77.1%16.6%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.170.480.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 33.4%41.3%10.2%8.1%34.4%23.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,742,510
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-6.4%
Average Daily Volume3,315,759
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.94
Basic Shares Quantity152,432,307
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-11.5%-17.6%-15.0%
8/5/20255.8%14.6%17.8%
5/1/202533.7%26.0%29.8%
2/11/2025-3.2%7.3%-8.1%
11/7/20243.4%-0.9%14.4%
8/1/2024-3.4%-1.1%5.6%
5/7/20242.3%27.3%25.4%
2/14/20240.5%-1.5%-17.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131013
# Negative121512
Median Positive5.2%11.9%10.1%
Median Negative-4.8%-6.1%-15.0%
Max Positive33.7%27.6%29.8%
Max Negative-18.2%-29.8%-33.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021