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Guardant Health (GH)


Market Price (11/10/2025): $96.76 | Market Cap: $12.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Guardant Health (GH)


Market Price (11/10/2025): $96.76
Market Cap: $12.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -442 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 238%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -442 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 238%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

GH Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GH Return65%-22%-73%-1%13%217%24%
Peers Return80%2%-35%0%36%10%78%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GH Win Rate67%42%25%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate67%60%40%47%57%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GH Max Drawdown-24%-31%-75%-23%-41%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-16%-48%-33%-13%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TMO, NTRA, ILMN, QGEN, CSTL. See GH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven755.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days120 days

Compare to TMO, NTRA, ILMN, QGEN, CSTL


In The Past

Guardant Health's stock fell -88.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -88.3% loss requires a 755.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Guardant Health (GH)

Better Bets than Guardant Health (GH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-5.5%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.6%-16.6%-16.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%9.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-5.5%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.6%-16.6%-16.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%9.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Guardant Health

Financials

GHTMONTRAILMNQGENCSTLMedian
NameGuardant.Thermo F.Natera Illumina Qiagen Castle B. 
Mkt Price96.72572.41199.57121.9043.5633.04109.31
Mkt Cap12.1216.427.418.79.41.015.4
Rev LTM90343,7352,1174,2882,0713442,094
Op Inc LTM-4428,051-352798540-35252
FCF LTM-2626,111941,00047225283
FCF 3Y Avg-3006,811-875724026204
CFO LTM-2237,6511941,12265862426
CFO 3Y Avg-2718,307-1774057530302

Growth & Margins

GHTMONTRAILMNQGENCSTLMedian
NameGuardant.Thermo F.Natera Illumina Qiagen Castle B. 
Rev Chg LTM30.4%3.2%38.2%-2.3%5.3%10.1%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.0%-0.3%40.2%-3.0%-2.1%42.6%13.8%
Rev Chg Q38.5%4.9%34.7%0.4%6.1%-3.2%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.9%1.2%7.8%0.1%1.5%-0.8%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM-49.0%18.4%-16.6%18.6%26.1%-10.2%4.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-73.1%17.6%-27.8%6.6%19.2%-18.3%-5.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.6%0.2%-1.7%-0.6%0.4%-3.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-24.7%17.5%9.2%26.2%31.8%18.0%17.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-41.4%19.3%-5.5%17.0%28.7%7.1%12.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-29.1%14.0%4.4%23.3%22.8%7.4%10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-45.5%15.8%-10.0%13.2%20.1%-1.1%6.0%

Valuation

GHTMONTRAILMNQGENCSTLMedian
NameGuardant.Thermo F.Natera Illumina Qiagen Castle B. 
Mkt Cap12.1216.427.418.79.41.015.4
P/S13.44.912.94.34.62.84.8
P/EBIT-30.625.6-89.618.717.5-51.2-6.6
P/E-30.332.9-88.526.523.3-78.5-3.5
P/CFO-54.228.3140.916.614.415.516.1
Total Yield-3.3%3.0%-1.1%3.8%4.3%-1.3%1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.8%3.3%-2.0%3.4%4.1%-0.3%1.5%
D/E0.10.20.00.10.20.00.1
Net D/E0.10.1-0.00.10.0-0.30.1

Returns

GHTMONTRAILMNQGENCSTLMedian
NameGuardant.Thermo F.Natera Illumina Qiagen Castle B. 
1M Rtn50.6%9.1%17.9%29.9%-7.0%43.2%23.9%
3M Rtn78.4%24.4%31.3%28.9%-9.3%70.7%30.1%
6M Rtn131.8%42.3%31.3%60.9%4.6%96.8%51.6%
12M Rtn238.1%4.1%48.8%-19.3%0.1%-0.8%2.1%
3Y Rtn96.3%10.9%423.4%-47.8%-3.5%57.2%34.0%
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn68.1%15.5%18.7%20.2%-17.7%64.0%19.4%
6M Excs Rtn128.4%38.9%28.0%57.5%1.2%93.5%48.2%
12M Excs Rtn298.4%-10.4%47.6%-34.2%-13.2%-6.8%-8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn53.0%-40.7%280.8%-98.9%-53.8%-24.9%-32.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment564    
Development services and other 57695034
Precision oncology testing 392304236180
Total564450374287214


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,273,789
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020250.1%
Average Daily Volume1,725,548
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.79
Basic Shares Quantity124,807,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202527.9%31.5% 
7/30/2025-9.3%-1.3%42.7%
2/20/2025-9.6%-11.2%-2.7%
11/6/202413.0%25.0%45.8%
8/7/2024-10.9%-14.5%-30.1%
5/9/202415.1%35.0%54.6%
2/22/2024-12.8%-14.7%-22.5%
11/6/2023-5.4%-18.4%-7.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131210
# Negative111214
Median Positive10.0%11.9%14.7%
Median Negative-9.3%-11.3%-13.4%
Max Positive27.9%35.0%54.6%
Max Negative-22.5%-39.2%-30.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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