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Guardant Health (GH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $97.45 | Market Cap: $12.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Guardant Health (GH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $97.45
Market Cap: $12.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -442 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180%
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.3%
4  Key risks
GH key risks include [1] its ongoing unprofitability combined with a high market valuation creating significant execution pressure and [2] considerable insider selling activity.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -442 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.3%
6 Key risks
GH key risks include [1] its ongoing unprofitability combined with a high market valuation creating significant execution pressure and [2] considerable insider selling activity.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Guardant Health (GH) experienced a significant stock movement of 44.6% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key positive developments.

1. Positive Clinical Readout for Shield Colorectal Cancer Test: On September 4, 2025, Guardant Health announced updated clinical results for its Shield blood test for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. The latest algorithm (V2) demonstrated a sensitivity of 84% for CRC and a specificity of 90%, with 62% sensitivity for stage I CRC, reinforcing the test's strong performance. This is particularly impactful as Shield is the first blood test to receive full FDA approval as a primary screening option for CRC in average-risk adults aged 45 and older.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Increased Full-Year Guidance: Guardant Health reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025, with total revenue growing 39% year-over-year to $265.2 million, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. Concurrently, the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $965 million to $970 million, indicating approximately 31% year-over-year growth, which signals strong business momentum and an optimistic outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GH Return65%-22%-73%-1%13%227%28%
Peers Return35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GH Win Rate67%42%25%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate43%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GH Max Drawdown-24%-31%-75%-23%-41%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NTRA, EXAS, TEM, CAI, ILMN. See GH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven755.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days120 days

Compare to TMO, NTRA, ILMN, QGEN, CSTL


In The Past

Guardant Health's stock fell -88.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -88.3% loss requires a 755.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Guardant Health (GH)

Better Bets than Guardant Health (GH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Guardant Health

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GHNTRAEXASTEMCAIILMNMedian
NameGuardant.Natera Exact Sc.Tempus AICaris Li.Illumina  
Mkt Price97.47225.49101.6164.6127.19129.5699.54
Mkt Cap12.230.919.211.38.519.815.7
Rev LTM9032,1173,0821,1056494,2881,611
Op Inc LTM-442-352-155-242-80798-199
FCF LTM-26294247-249-141,00040
FCF 3Y Avg-300-87107-241-572-87
CFO LTM-223194387-221-11,12297
CFO 3Y Avg-271-17253-214-740-17

Growth & Margins

GHNTRAEXASTEMCAIILMNMedian
NameGuardant.Natera Exact Sc.Tempus AICaris Li.Illumina  
Rev Chg LTM30.4%38.2%14.5%72.6%--2.3%30.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.0%40.2%15.5%59.8%--3.0%28.0%
Rev Chg Q38.5%34.7%20.0%84.7%113.4%0.4%36.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.9%7.8%4.8%16.1%21.6%0.1%8.3%
Op Mgn LTM-49.0%-16.6%-5.0%-21.9%-12.4%18.6%-14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-73.1%-27.8%-7.9%-57.3%-6.6%-27.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.6%-1.7%0.1%2.8%20.2%-0.6%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-24.7%9.2%12.6%-20.0%-0.1%26.2%4.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-41.4%-5.5%9.0%-32.5%-17.0%-5.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-29.1%4.4%8.0%-22.6%-2.2%23.3%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-45.5%-10.0%3.6%-36.6%-13.2%-10.0%

Valuation

GHNTRAEXASTEMCAIILMNMedian
NameGuardant.Natera Exact Sc.Tempus AICaris Li.Illumina  
Mkt Cap12.230.919.211.38.519.815.7
P/S8.610.43.412.8-3.48.6
P/EBIT-19.8-72.3-10.7-80.2-14.6-19.8
P/E-19.6-71.4-10.5-69.3-20.7-19.6
P/CFO-35.0113.726.8-64.0-13.013.0
Total Yield-5.1%-1.4%-9.5%-1.4%-2.2%4.8%-1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.8%-2.0%1.0%--3.4%-0.5%
D/E0.20.00.20.1-0.20.2
Net D/E0.1-0.00.10.0-0.10.1

Returns

GHNTRAEXASTEMCAIILMNMedian
NameGuardant.Natera Exact Sc.Tempus AICaris Li.Illumina  
1M Rtn1.0%9.4%51.3%-2.7%14.7%7.9%8.7%
3M Rtn70.4%28.5%94.0%-25.3%-18.9%28.4%28.5%
6M Rtn92.7%31.9%94.1%-6.5%-2.9%43.5%37.7%
12M Rtn179.8%34.1%68.3%65.9%-51.4%-9.5%50.0%
3Y Rtn224.3%420.5%95.7%--51.4%-33.2%95.7%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%8.7%50.6%-3.4%13.9%7.2%7.9%
3M Excs Rtn64.4%24.0%88.3%-27.1%-20.0%24.4%24.2%
6M Excs Rtn80.4%19.5%81.8%-18.9%-15.3%31.2%25.3%
12M Excs Rtn169.3%24.3%54.8%46.5%-62.5%-21.0%35.4%
3Y Excs Rtn43.6%406.5%55.2%--119.9%-104.5%43.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment564    
Development services and other 57695034
Precision oncology testing 392304236180
Total564450374287214


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,245,963
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.2%
Average Daily Volume2,708,504
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.41
Basic Shares Quantity124,807,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202527.9%31.5%45.6%
7/30/2025-9.3%-1.3%42.7%
2/20/2025-9.6%-11.2%-2.7%
11/6/202413.0%25.0%45.8%
8/7/2024-10.9%-14.5%-30.1%
5/9/202415.1%35.0%54.6%
2/22/2024-12.8%-14.7%-22.5%
11/6/2023-5.4%-18.4%-7.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131211
# Negative111213
Median Positive10.0%11.9%15.3%
Median Negative-9.3%-11.3%-13.4%
Max Positive27.9%35.0%54.6%
Max Negative-22.5%-39.2%-30.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021