Guardant Health (GH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $105.62 | Market Cap: $13.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Guardant Health (GH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $105.62Market Cap: $13.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -442 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 122%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 196% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -442 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 122%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 196% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Q3 2025 Financial Results and Raised Guidance. Guardant Health reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025, showcasing a 39% year-over-year revenue increase to $265.2 million, surpassing analyst expectations. This strong performance across its Oncology, Screening, and Biopharma & Data segments led the company to raise its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $965-$970 million, indicating approximately 31% year-over-year growth and signaling confidence in its future trajectory. The stock experienced a significant surge of nearly 30% following these announcements on October 30, 2025.
2. Advancements and Expanded Adoption of Shield Blood Test. The company enhanced its product portfolio with the unveiling of a revamped Shield blood test for colorectal cancer (CRC) on September 4, 2025, featuring significantly improved sensitivity and specificity due to the new Shield V2 algorithm. Further boosting confidence, Guardant Health presented data at the American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) 2025 Annual Meeting, demonstrating an adherence rate of over 90% for the Shield blood-based CRC screening test. Strategic initiatives included expanding Shield to multi-cancer detection (MCD) and forging partnerships with Quest Diagnostics and PathGroup to broaden nationwide access.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GH Return | 65% | -22% | -73% | -1% | 13% | 240% | 33% |
| Peers Return | 80% | 2% | -35% | 0% | 36% | 22% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GH Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 60% | 40% | 47% | 57% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GH Max Drawdown | -24% | -31% | -75% | -23% | -41% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -16% | -48% | -33% | -13% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TMO, NTRA, ILMN, QGEN, CSTL. See GH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 755.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 360 days | 120 days |
Compare to TMO, NTRA, ILMN, QGEN, CSTL
In The Past
Guardant Health's stock fell -88.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -88.3% loss requires a 755.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Guardant Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 116.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,094 |
| Op Inc LTM | 252 |
| FCF LTM | 283 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 204 |
| CFO LTM | 426 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 302 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.4 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | -2.6 |
| P/E | 0.6 |
| P/CFO | 13.8 |
| Total Yield | 1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 37.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 49.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 31.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 34.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -23.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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