10x Genomics (TXG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.81 | Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology
10x Genomics (TXG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.81Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Technology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -112%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -141 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.7% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.6% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.4% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more. | Key risksTXG key risks include [1] a sharp decline in instrument revenue due to tightening research budgets, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -112%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -141 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.4% |
| Key risksTXG key risks include [1] a sharp decline in instrument revenue due to tightening research budgets, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TXG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why 10x Genomics (TXG) stock moved from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive Guidance: 10x Genomics reported better-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 6, 2025. The company announced adjusted earnings per share of -$0.02, significantly surpassing analyst estimates of -$0.07. Additionally, its revenue of $149 million exceeded Wall Street's projections by 4.6%. The company also provided a robust revenue guidance for Q4 2025, ranging from $154 million to $158 million, which was above analyst expectations. This positive earnings report and outlook led to a substantial increase in the stock price, with shares jumping 17.31% on November 7, 2025.
2. Strategic Partnership with Anthropic for AI Integration: On October 20, 2025, 10x Genomics announced a collaboration with Anthropic, an AI safety and research company. This partnership aims to integrate 10x's advanced analysis tools into Anthropic's Claude for Life Sciences via the Model Context Protocol, making single-cell and spatial biology technologies more accessible through natural language. This news generated significant investor optimism regarding the company's embrace of AI, leading to an 11.1% rise in TXG shares on October 21, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TXG Return | 86% | 5% | -76% | 54% | -74% | 9% | -79% |
| Peers Return | 108% | -4% | -43% | 10% | -21% | -5% | -7% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TXG Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 17% | 67% | 25% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 50% | 37% | 48% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TXG Max Drawdown | -32% | -5% | -84% | -6% | -76% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -16% | -55% | -25% | -36% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ILMN, BDX, BIO, LAB, PACB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TXG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 729.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 149 days | 148 days |
Compare to OMCL, MDRX, BEAT, OMNI, UHP
In The Past
10x Genomics's stock fell -87.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/26/2021. A -87.9% loss requires a 729.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| 10x Genomics Earnings Notes | |||
| Would You Still Hold 10x Genomics Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| 10x Genomics (TXG) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why 10x Genomics Stock Moved: TXG Stock Has Lost 89% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| TXG Stock Up 27% after 5-Day Win Streak | July 29th, 2025 | ||
| Why 10X Genomics Has Rallied Post Its IPO | December 3rd, 2019 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TXG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for 10x Genomics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 72.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,600 |
| Op Inc LTM | 41 |
| FCF LTM | 209 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 129 |
| CFO LTM | 290 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 230 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | -2.0 |
| P/E | -2.3 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | -7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 42.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -29.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 30.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -100.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 17.3% | 25.8% | 37.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -4.0% | 3.4% | 8.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.6% | 6.6% | 16.9% |
| 1/13/2025 | 0.8% | -3.2% | -24.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | 4.4% | 9.8% | -2.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 4.5% | 15.8% | 11.6% |
| 4/30/2024 | -8.1% | -10.7% | -23.5% |
| 2/15/2024 | 0.8% | -6.4% | -24.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -11.2% | -14.9% |
| Max Positive | 18.5% | 25.8% | 44.8% |
| Max Negative | -21.0% | -26.6% | -35.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |