Tearsheet

Katapult (KPLT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.55 | Market Cap: $31.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Katapult (KPLT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.55
Market Cap: $31.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Lease-to-Own E-commerce Financing.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 281%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -87%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Lease-to-Own E-commerce Financing.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 281%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -87%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KPLT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Katapult faced significant profitability challenges and a weak balance sheet with high debt costs. As of September 10, 2025, the company's lease-to-own model, despite offering high yields, had not achieved GAAP net profit, and its balance sheet and substantial debt were a cause for concern for investors. The company's execution needed to be flawless to avoid potential shareholder dilution or bankruptcy, particularly given broader macroeconomic risks and competition in the non-prime consumer finance sector.

2. The company experienced a tempered outlook and trimmed its revenue growth guidance due to macroeconomic pressures. On November 12, 2025, Katapult outlined a full-year gross originations growth target of 20%–23%, which was a reduction from the prior quarter's guidance of 20%–25%. Similarly, revenue growth guidance was trimmed to 18%–20% for the full year, down from at least 20% previously stated, reflecting a more cautious perspective due to economic conditions.

3. Analysts downgraded Katapult's prospects, leading to decreased price targets. On November 18, 2025, Katapult Holdings' (KPLT) price target was decreased by 22.73% to $8.67, indicating a less optimistic view from financial analysts regarding the company's future performance.

4. Rising write-off rates and increasing delinquency rates in the non-prime consumer market impacted performance. Katapult acknowledged challenges in the non-prime consumer market, attributing them to inflation and rising delinquency rates, which directly affect the quality and recoverability of its lease agreements. During Q3 2025, write-offs as a percentage of revenue were 9.9%, an increase of 60 basis points from Q3 2024.

5. The stock experienced a substantial decline, including a reported 40% weekly drop, preceding a recent earnings report. While specific figures for the entire -56.5% movement within the requested period are not detailed, there was a significant "recent 40% weekly decline" prior to the Q3 2025 earnings report around November 2025, highlighting considerable negative sentiment and a sharp drop in value that contributed to the overall decline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KPLT Return28%-73%-72%-54%-38%-5%-97%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%-3%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KPLT Win Rate75%25%25%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KPLT Max Drawdown-6%-77%-78%-64%-53%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKPLTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5495.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-12.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven14.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Katapult's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5495.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Katapult (KPLT)

Better Bets than Katapult (KPLT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KPLT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Katapult

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KPLTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameKatapult Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price6.5327.1914.8616.969.8018.3315.91
Mkt Cap0.016.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM2674,4731,497907--1,202
Op Inc LTM-81,697-46-328---27
FCF LTM-391,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-251,463268-44--121
CFO LTM-371,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg-241,480282-22--130

Growth & Margins

KPLTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameKatapult Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM13.0%16.2%8.3%25.4%--14.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.5%16.5%14.6%45.6%--15.5%
Rev Chg Q22.1%25.3%14.4%21.7%--21.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%5.8%3.1%5.0%--5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-2.8%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---3.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.0%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-13.9%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.2%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-14.5%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.6%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--5.5%

Valuation

KPLTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameKatapult Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap0.016.78.05.6--6.8
P/S0.13.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT-3.310.9-148.1-19.8---11.6
P/E-1.230.7340.3-14.1--14.7
P/CFO-1.013.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield-83.0%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-47.8%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E2.90.50.00.0--0.3
Net D/E2.80.5-0.2-0.1--0.2

Returns

KPLTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameKatapult Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn-44.4%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Rtn-67.2%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%---6.9%
6M Rtn-27.8%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%---5.7%
12M Rtn-11.4%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---10.8%
3Y Rtn-79.9%21.7%2.3%14.7%--8.5%
1M Excs Rtn-44.3%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-71.5%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---12.4%
6M Excs Rtn-42.6%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---20.4%
12M Excs Rtn-27.2%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---25.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-150.7%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---58.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity177,328
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202542.3%
Average Daily Volume182,498
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity4,813,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023424202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021