OneMain (OMF)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $67.96 | Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
OneMain (OMF)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $67.96Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 45% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 320% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil | Key risksOMF key risks include [1] elevated credit losses driven by its concentration in nonprime consumer lending and [2] significant earnings pressure from its substantial debt load and sensitivity to rising funding costs. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Private Credit. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 45% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Private Credit. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 320% |
| Key risksOMF key risks include [1] elevated credit losses driven by its concentration in nonprime consumer lending and [2] significant earnings pressure from its substantial debt load and sensitivity to rising funding costs. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OMF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: OneMain Holdings reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 31, 2025, with adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.90, significantly exceeding the forecasted $1.61. This strong performance also included a 9% year-over-year increase in total revenue to $1.6 billion.
2. Increased Dividend and Share Repurchase Program: On October 31, 2025, the company announced a 1% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.05 per share. Additionally, its Board of Directors approved a new $1.0 billion share repurchase program, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OMF Return | 34% | 23% | -27% | 63% | 15% | 40% | 218% |
| Peers Return | -2% | 40% | -31% | 29% | 56% | 37% | 159% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OMF Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 58% | 43% | 62% | 65% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OMF Max Drawdown | -64% | -7% | -38% | -1% | -11% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -4% | -43% | -15% | -6% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYF, ALLY, COF, BFH, ENVA. See OMF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OMF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,064 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 218 days | 120 days |
Compare to SLM, CACC, LC, GFCX, SUIG
In The Past
OneMain's stock fell -51.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/20/2021. A -51.8% loss requires a 107.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OMF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for OneMain
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 79.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.0 |
| Rev LTM | 6,758 |
| Op Inc LTM | 381 |
| FCF LTM | 2,511 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,331 |
| CFO LTM | 3,530 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,583 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 55.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 55.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 54.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 53.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.0 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 7.5 |
| P/E | 9.7 |
| P/CFO | 2.4 |
| Total Yield | 12.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 49.2% |
| D/E | 1.5 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 33.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 162.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 18.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 76.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | 6.2% | 6.5% | 15.1% |
| 7/25/2025 | 1.3% | -1.4% | 4.6% |
| 4/29/2025 | -1.1% | -0.5% | 8.1% |
| 1/31/2025 | -3.2% | -1.0% | -7.8% |
| 10/30/2024 | 9.4% | 7.8% | 22.3% |
| 7/31/2024 | -1.7% | -14.5% | -4.2% |
| 4/30/2024 | 2.5% | 2.1% | -4.4% |
| 2/7/2024 | -5.4% | -3.9% | 4.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.2% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 11.8% | 18.0% | 24.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.2% | -14.5% | -24.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |