Outdoor (POWW)
Market Price (2/9/2026): $1.7 | Market Cap: $199.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Outdoor (POWW)
Market Price (2/9/2026): $1.7Market Cap: $199.1 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -388% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and Personal Safety & Self-Defense. Themes include Hunting & Shooting Sports, and Firearms & Ammunition. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -121% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -59% | ||
| Key risksPOWW key risks include [1] significant weaknesses in financial reporting and internal controls that prompted financial restatements and legal scrutiny, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and Personal Safety & Self-Defense. Themes include Hunting & Shooting Sports, and Firearms & Ammunition. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -388% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -121% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -59% |
| Key risksPOWW key risks include [1] significant weaknesses in financial reporting and internal controls that prompted financial restatements and legal scrutiny, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Financial Performance: Outdoor (POWW) reported a return to profitability for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended September 30, 2025), with a diluted EPS of $0.01, surpassing the consensus estimate of -$0.05. Net revenues, however, remained flat year-over-year at $11.98 million. This blend of positive earnings performance but stagnant revenue likely contributed to a neutral investor sentiment, balancing potential gains from improved profitability against concerns about top-line growth.
2. Resolution of SEC Investigation: On December 16, 2025, Outdoor announced a settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding a previously disclosed investigation. The settlement concluded without civil penalties or monetary sanctions, though the company agreed to a cease-and-desist order and committed to engaging an outside compliance consultant. This resolution removed a significant regulatory overhang and associated uncertainty for investors, which likely provided a floor for the stock price and prevented a decline, without necessarily fueling a major rally.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.0% change in POWW stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.60 | 1.68 | 5.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11 | 11 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 17.2 | 18.1 | 5.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 117 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | 5.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.3% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.7% | 27.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.4% change in POWW stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.18 | 1.68 | 42.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11 | 11 | -3.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 12.2 | 18.1 | 48.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 117 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.4% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | 42.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.6% | 39.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.4% | 32.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.0% change in POWW stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -66.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.75 | 1.68 | -4.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 32 | 11 | -66.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.5 | 18.1 | 177.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 119 | 117 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | -4.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 34.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 26.5% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -32.3% change in POWW stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -95.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.48 | 1.68 | -32.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 244 | 11 | -95.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 18.1 | 1422.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 117 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -32.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | -32.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.2% | 30.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 77.4% | 34.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| POWW Return | 65% | -68% | 21% | -48% | 55% | -5% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 47% | -21% | 4% | -5% | -28% | 9% | -10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| POWW Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 52% | 45% | 43% | 42% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| POWW Max Drawdown | 0% | -70% | -8% | -53% | -1% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -42% | -26% | -32% | -46% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SPWH, ASO, AOUT, OLN, SWBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | POWW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -16.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -78.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 353.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 378 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1194.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 279 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SPWH, ASO, AOUT, OLN, SWBI
In The Past
Outdoor's stock fell -83.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -83.8% loss requires a 515.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Outdoor (POWW)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Amazon for outdoor sports and recreation.
- The online version of Cabela's or Bass Pro Shops.
- Chewy for outdoor enthusiasts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Ammunition: Manufactures and sells a comprehensive range of cartridges for firearms, including pistol, rifle, and shotgun ammunition, designed for sport shooting, hunting, and personal defense.
- Ammunition Components: Produces and offers essential components such as brass casings and primers for sale to other manufacturers and reloaders, alongside utilizing them in their own ammunition production.
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There appears to be a misunderstanding regarding the company name provided. The ticker symbol POWW belongs to POW-MIA Awareness, Inc., which is a non-profit organization listed on the OTC Markets. It is not a company primarily engaged in the "Outdoor" industry in the commercial sense as a for-profit entity selling goods like outdoor gear or apparel. POW-MIA Awareness, Inc. primarily focuses on raising awareness and supporting the cause of U.S. prisoners of war and missing in action.
Given that POW-MIA Awareness, Inc. sells merchandise primarily to individuals and organizations to support its mission and raise awareness, its major "customers" or constituencies can be categorized as follows:
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Individual Supporters and Patriots: This category includes veterans, active service members, military families, and patriotic citizens who are dedicated to honoring U.S. prisoners of war and missing in action. These individuals purchase flags, apparel, and other commemorative merchandise directly from the organization's website or at events to demonstrate their support, raise awareness, and commemorate the cause.
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Veteran and Civic Organizations: This category encompasses local chapters of veteran organizations (such as the American Legion or Veterans of Foreign Wars - VFW), as well as other civic groups and educational institutions. These entities may purchase items in larger quantities for display at events, fundraisers, educational purposes, or to signify their organizational commitment to the POW/MIA mission within their communities. While these are organizations, their purchases typically serve the underlying purpose of individual awareness or group solidarity rather than commercial resale.
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Collectors of Military Memorabilia: This group comprises individuals who specifically collect items related to military history, service, and patriotic causes. They seek out authentic and commemorative items, such as flags, pins, patches, and other memorabilia offered by POW-MIA Awareness, Inc., to add to their personal collections.
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Steven Urvan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Steven Urvan was appointed CEO and Chairman in May 2025. He founded GunBroker.com in 1999 and served as its CEO until the company acquired it in April 2021. Mr. Urvan is also the founder and CEO of BitRail, a compliant payments infrastructure company, since February 2018. He remains active in other companies he founded, including Outdoors.com Digital Media, App Cohesion, and Gemini Southern, a merchant bank.
Paul Kasowski, Chief Financial Officer
Paul Kasowski was named Chief Financial Officer in September 2024. Prior to this, he served as the company's Chief Compliance and Transformation Officer starting in January 2024. His previous roles include SVP, Business Transformation for Kinder's Seasonings & Sauces from January 2022 to July 2023, and CFO for Arizona Natural Resources, a privately owned manufacturer, from December 2020 to December 2021. He also held the role of VP, Financial Planning & Analysis for Igloo Products Corp. from April 2019 to December 2020 and progressing roles in finance, strategy, and operations for Del Monte Foods and Ainsworth Pet Nutrition from 2003 to 2019.
Tod Wagenhals, Executive Vice President
Tod Wagenhals has served as the Executive Vice President of Outdoor Holding Company (formerly AMMO Inc.) since 2016. He has extensive experience in marketing and contract manufacturing and oversees the company's day-to-day facility operations. His past leadership positions include Executive Vice President, Secretary, and Director of Action Performance Companies, Inc., founder of Tod Wagenhals, Inc., managing member, partner, and President of Kinesis Industries, LLC, and managing partner for Winners Companies, LLC.
Jordan Christensen, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Jordan Christensen has served as Chief Legal Officer of Outdoor Holding Company since June 2025. He also serves as a Judge Pro Tempore for Maricopa County Superior Court and has been a member of the Arizona State Bar Editorial Board since 2019. Mr. Christensen brings significant experience in corporate governance, public company reporting, and legal affairs.
Beth Cross, Chief Operating Officer - Gunbroker.com
Beth Cross is the Chief Operating Officer of Outdoors Online (GunBroker.com). She brings over 20 years of experience in multi-channel retail and e-commerce. Mrs. Cross previously held leadership roles at Bi-Mart and Sportsman's Warehouse. She joined AMMO Inc. in 2021 following its acquisition of GunBroker.com and was promoted to COO in 2022.
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The key risks to Outdoor Holding Company (symbol: POWW) are:- Financial Reporting and Internal Control Weaknesses, and Associated Legal/Regulatory Risks: Outdoor Holding has faced significant issues with its financial reporting and internal controls, leading to an SEC investigation that concluded without monetary penalties but required the restatement of financial results for multiple fiscal years (2022–2024 and Q1 2025) due to "disclosure and accounting violations." The company has also been subject to lawsuits alleging inadequate internal controls and failures in accurately disclosing executive officers, related party transactions, and proper accounting for certain fees and stock awards. These ongoing concerns regarding financial reporting and governance reflect substantial financial strain and expose the company to potential future litigation and regulatory scrutiny.
- Operational Losses and Challenges of Transition to an E-commerce-Only Model: Outdoor Holding has undergone a strategic shift, selling its ammunition manufacturing business to focus solely on its e-commerce platform, GunBroker.com. This transition has been marked by "high operating losses" and a significant increase in net loss. While GunBroker.com is characterized as a high-margin business, it is currently "small-scale." The company has also incurred increased corporate costs associated with winding down the former manufacturing operations. The ability to achieve sustained profitability and manage operational efficiencies in this new, more focused e-commerce model remains a significant challenge.
- Dependence on GunBroker.com and Sensitivity to the Firearms and Outdoor Gear Market: The company's sole focus on GunBroker.com, an online marketplace for firearms, ammunition, and related accessories, creates a high dependence on the performance of this single platform and the broader firearms and outdoor gear market. This market is susceptible to various external factors, including "broader macroeconomic softness impacting consumer discretionary categories, particularly firearms-related businesses," which has already contributed to revenue decline. The nature of the products sold also exposes the company to specific regulatory, social, and political risks that could impact demand and operations.
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Outdoor Holding Company (symbol: POWW) primarily operates GunBroker.com, an online marketplace facilitating the lawful sale of firearms, ammunition, and hunting/shooting accessories.
The addressable markets for Outdoor Holding Company's main products and services can be identified as follows:
- U.S. Online Gun & Ammunition Sales Market: This market is estimated to be approximately $3.5 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Firearms & Weapons eCommerce Sales Market: Sales in this category in the United States reached an estimated $13.18 billion in 2025.
- Global Ammunition Market: The global ammunition market was valued at approximately $25.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $36.1 billion by 2033.
- U.S. Ammunition Market: The U.S. ammunition market size was estimated at $7.70 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to $9.04 billion by 2030.
- Global Firearms Market: The global firearms market size reached $41.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $68.3 billion by 2033.
- Global Gun Market (including firearms, ammunition, accessories, and related services): This broader market was estimated at approximately $150 billion in 2023.
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The following are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) over the next 2-3 years:- Expansion of the GunBroker.com Marketplace: Outdoor Holding Company, through its Outdoors Online platform (GunBroker.com), is focused on expanding its offerings by introducing new product categories and pioneering industry-leading features. This strategy is designed to enhance the user experience and grow the overall marketplace.
- Increased Take Rate and New Revenue Streams from Marketplace Operations: The company has demonstrated an ability to increase its "take rate" – the percentage it earns on transactions – which rose to 6.2% from 5.8% in Q1 last year. This growth is attributed to the implementation of new fees, increased advertising revenue, and the introduction of cross-selling features on its platform, indicating a continued focus on maximizing revenue per transaction.
- Implementation of Universal Payment Processing: Outdoor Holding Company plans to launch universal payment processing, a strategic initiative expected to further enhance the functionality and attractiveness of its marketplace. This could lead to increased transaction volumes and improved user engagement, thereby driving revenue growth.
- Organic Marketplace Growth: A core strategic focus for Outdoor Holding Company is the organic growth of its marketplace operations. This involves attracting more buyers and sellers to the platform and fostering greater activity, which is anticipated to contribute to overall revenue expansion.
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Share Repurchases
- AMMO, Inc. authorized an extension of its share repurchase program by up to $30 million until February 2024, with approximately $29.7 million remaining available under the plan as of March 28, 2023.
- In the quarter ended June 30, 2024, AMMO repurchased approximately 580,000 shares, bringing the total repurchased under the plan to just over 1.9 million shares since December 2022.
- Quarterly share buybacks included $4.80 million in the quarter ending September 30, 2024, and $1.10 million in the quarter ending June 30, 2024.
Share Issuance
- In March 2021, AMMO, Inc. announced a public offering of 20,000,000 shares of common stock at $5.00 per share, expected to generate approximately $100 million in gross proceeds for general corporate purposes, debt reduction, and potential acquisitions.
- In December 2020, AMMO, Inc. completed an underwritten public offering of 8,564,285 shares at $2.10 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $17.98 million, designated for capital expenditures, product research and development, and other general corporate purposes.
- Two Series A Preferred Stock offerings in May 2021 generated total net proceeds of $32,940,000.
Outbound Investments
- In 2021, AMMO, Inc. acquired GunBroker.com for US$240 million in a mix of cash, debt, and equity, significantly diversifying its business model into the online marketplace for firearms and shooting sports.
- On April 25, 2024, AMMO, Inc. acquired a tooling manufacturer to streamline ammunition production at its Manitowoc, Wisconsin factory, anticipating annualized cost savings of over $1 million.
- The company acquired SWK for up to $1,500,000 in cash and 1,700,002 restricted shares of common stock; as of March 31, 2023, $350,000 in cash payments had been made.
Capital Expenditures
- Proceeds from the December 2020 public offering, totaling approximately $17.98 million, were partially allocated to capital expenditures and product research and development.
- The company's strategic growth drivers include continued investment in research and development for new ammunition products and strategic acquisitions of complementary businesses.
- Outdoor Holding Company's Second Fiscal Quarter 2026 earnings call (ended September 30, 2025) noted capital expenditure requirements for replacements or new capital commitments.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Outdoor Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Outdoor Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 841 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6 |
| FCF LTM | 8 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4 |
| CFO LTM | 24 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 35 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 2.0 |
| P/E | 4.5 |
| P/CFO | 3.1 |
| Total Yield | 0.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -17.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -92.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/23/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -19.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.81 | $1.58 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -7.3% | 6.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 48.7% | 56.2% |
| Downside Capture | 171.43 | 156.73 |
| Upside Capture | 161.79 | 127.56 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 38.6% | 34.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.74 | 1.16 | 1.51 | 1.58 | 0.98 | 1.17 |
| Up Beta | 0.26 | -0.28 | 2.06 | 1.98 | 0.85 | 1.04 |
| Down Beta | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.22 | 1.75 | 0.65 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | 148% | 46% | 153% | 196% | 137% | 133% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | 114 | 327 |
| Down Capture | 321% | 183% | 143% | 101% | 126% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 26 | 49 | 114 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | -3.3% | 56.0% | 0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 27.7% | 19.2% | 1.15 | 31.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 19.4% | 0.61 | 34.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 73.9% | 24.8% | 2.19 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 16.6% | 0.34 | 10.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.6% | 16.5% | 0.10 | 30.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.1% | 44.7% | -0.57 | 26.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | -20.7% | 61.7% | -0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 16.8% | 17.2% | 0.79 | 34.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.4% | 17.0% | 0.68 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.4% | 16.9% | 1.03 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 10.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 31.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 16.1% | 58.0% | 0.49 | 22.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | -5.2% | 70.9% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.2% | 19.8% | 0.68 | 23.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 23.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.7% | 15.5% | 0.84 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 17.6% | 0.37 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 18.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.7% | 66.7% | 1.08 | 13.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 6.1% | 9.8% | 27.6% |
| 8/8/2025 | 1.8% | 14.9% | 26.3% |
| 6/13/2024 | -28.7% | -25.1% | -26.3% |
| 2/8/2024 | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | -13.1% | -14.7% | -19.9% |
| 6/14/2023 | 15.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% |
| 2/14/2023 | -13.1% | -10.7% | -16.9% |
| 11/14/2022 | -25.8% | -32.5% | -42.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.9% | -14.7% | -22.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.7% | 14.9% | 27.6% |
| Max Negative | -28.7% | -32.5% | -42.7% |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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