Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -388%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and Personal Safety & Self-Defense. Themes include Hunting & Shooting Sports, and Firearms & Ammunition.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 16x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -121%
4   Key risks
POWW key risks include [1] significant weaknesses in financial reporting and internal controls that prompted financial restatements and legal scrutiny, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and Personal Safety & Self-Defense. Themes include Hunting & Shooting Sports, and Firearms & Ammunition.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -388%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 16x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -121%
8 Key risks
POWW key risks include [1] significant weaknesses in financial reporting and internal controls that prompted financial restatements and legal scrutiny, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

POWW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement of Outdoor (POWW) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strategic Shift and Cash Infusion from Ammunition Division Sale. While the sale of its ammunition manufacturing assets for $75 million to Olin's Winchester occurred earlier in 2025, this strategic pivot profoundly impacted Outdoor Holding Company's financial outlook and focus within the specified period. The transaction was expected to close in Q2 2025, providing a significant cash infusion and allowing the company to eliminate approximately $40 million in production costs by prioritizing its higher-margin GunBroker.com e-commerce platform. This created a debt-free balance sheet and set a foundational positive sentiment for the company's future profitability.

2. Return to Profitability with Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings. On November 10, 2025, Outdoor Holding Company reported positive net income from continuing operations for its second fiscal quarter of 2026. This announcement highlighted higher Adjusted EBITDA and improved gross margins, signaling a successful turnaround. Following this positive earnings report, POWW shares gained 6.1% the next day and continued to drift 17.3% higher over the subsequent 36 days, reflecting strong investor confidence in the company's financial recovery.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
POWW Return233%65%-68%21%-48%85%105%
Peers Return47%-21%4%-5%-25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
POWW Win Rate33%50%42%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate67%60%52%45%43%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
POWW Max Drawdown0%0%-70%-8%-53%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-42%-26%-32%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SPWH, ASO, AOUT, OLN, SWBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPOWWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven214 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-78.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven353.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven378 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1194.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days1,480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Outdoor's stock fell -83.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -83.8% loss requires a 515.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Outdoor (POWW)

Better Bets than Outdoor (POWW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to POWW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Outdoor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

POWWSPWHASOAOUTOLNSWBIMedian
NameOutdoor Sportsma.Academy .American.Olin Smith & . 
Mkt Price1.991.4253.998.1820.3110.459.31
Mkt Cap0.20.13.30.12.30.40.3
Rev LTM111,2156,0122076,787466841
Op Inc LTM-42-10497-5234186
FCF LTM-13-40191-580218
FCF 3Y Avg1-303287460-54
CFO LTM-10-18425-12955024
CFO 3Y Avg716531126815535

Growth & Margins

POWWSPWHASOAOUTOLNSWBIMedian
NameOutdoor Sportsma.Academy .American.Olin Smith & . 
Rev Chg LTM13.5%-1.1%-0.7%2.9%4.7%-9.4%1.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-45.0%-5.4%-2.3%-0.9%-10.7%-6.1%-5.7%
Rev Chg Q0.0%2.2%3.0%-5.0%7.8%-3.9%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%0.6%0.7%-1.4%1.9%-1.1%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM-387.7%-0.8%8.3%-2.6%3.4%3.8%1.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-175.4%-0.6%9.7%-4.1%7.7%6.8%3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM62.0%0.3%0.1%-0.5%0.9%-0.7%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-88.2%-1.5%7.1%-0.7%4.3%10.8%1.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.2%1.3%8.8%6.0%9.9%10.9%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-121.3%-3.3%3.2%-2.4%1.2%4.5%-0.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-29.7%-2.3%5.4%3.9%6.7%-0.8%1.5%

Valuation

POWWSPWHASOAOUTOLNSWBIMedian
NameOutdoor Sportsma.Academy .American.Olin Smith & . 
Mkt Cap0.20.13.30.12.30.40.3
P/S15.90.10.60.50.40.90.5
P/EBIT----12.2-12.2
P/E-1.6-2.98.8-19.753.544.13.6
P/CFO-18.1-6.07.8-81.19.78.70.9
Total Yield-62.7%-34.8%12.1%-5.1%5.1%7.6%0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.8%0.0%3.2%5.3%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg----8.2%-8.2%
D/E----1.2-1.2
Net D/E----1.1-1.1

Returns

POWWSPWHASOAOUTOLNSWBIMedian
NameOutdoor Sportsma.Academy .American.Olin Smith & . 
1M Rtn5.3%-25.3%25.1%28.6%6.8%25.9%16.0%
3M Rtn40.1%-53.3%15.9%-5.5%-18.4%10.9%2.7%
6M Rtn43.2%-61.6%22.7%-26.1%6.5%-1.2%2.6%
12M Rtn91.3%-45.2%-2.6%-46.0%-40.7%0.4%-21.6%
3Y Rtn9.9%-84.8%5.2%-17.1%-57.7%38.7%-6.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.6%-26.0%24.4%27.9%6.1%25.2%15.2%
3M Excs Rtn37.8%-55.8%10.0%-9.6%-19.2%8.8%-0.4%
6M Excs Rtn30.8%-74.0%10.3%-38.5%-5.9%-13.5%-9.7%
12M Excs Rtn78.4%-56.3%-10.6%-56.8%-54.7%-11.0%-32.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.7%-153.7%-68.7%-88.4%-128.9%-39.7%-78.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment54    
Ammunition 128176628
Corporate and other expenses 000 
Marketplace 63650 
Proprietary Ammunition    3
Standard Ammunition    4
Total541912406215


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment-5    
Total-5    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,752,173
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.5%
Average Daily Volume379,794
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.88
Basic Shares Quantity117,110,827
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20256.1%9.8%27.6%
8/8/20251.8%14.9%26.3%
6/13/2024-28.7%-25.1%-26.3%
2/8/202413.6%13.6%10.0%
11/9/2023-13.1%-14.7%-19.9%
6/14/202315.7%3.4%6.9%
2/14/2023-13.1%-10.7%-16.9%
11/14/2022-25.8%-32.5%-42.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive466
# Negative977
Median Positive9.9%11.7%14.9%
Median Negative-6.9%-14.7%-22.0%
Max Positive15.7%14.9%27.6%
Max Negative-28.7%-32.5%-42.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025616202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024520202510-Q 12/31/2024
9302024520202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024613202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023614202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022629202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021