Outdoor (POWW)
Market Price (10/21/2026): $2.27 | Market Cap: $264.4 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Outdoor (POWW)
Market Price (10/21/2026): $2.27Market Cap: $264.4 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and Personal Safety & Self-Defense. Themes include Hunting & Shooting Sports, and Firearms & Ammunition. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -77% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x Key risksPOWW key risks include [1] significant weaknesses in financial reporting and internal controls that prompted financial restatements and legal scrutiny, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and Personal Safety & Self-Defense. Themes include Hunting & Shooting Sports, and Firearms & Ammunition. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -77% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x |
| Key risksPOWW key risks include [1] significant weaknesses in financial reporting and internal controls that prompted financial restatements and legal scrutiny, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Outdoor (POWW) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Outdoor Holding Company reported strong fiscal Q1 2027 results (period ended June 30, 2026), demonstrating a return to profitability and significant revenue growth, which provided underlying support for the stock. The company's net revenues increased 22.1% year-over-year to $14.5 million, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of growth. Additionally, Outdoor achieved a net income from continuing operations of $3.6 million, a substantial improvement from a $(5.9) million loss in the prior year period, and reported Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 million, more than double the previous year. Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02 significantly exceeded analysts' expectations of -$0.02, representing a 200% beat.
2. Aggressive cost discipline and the resolution of legacy legal matters significantly reduced operating expenses, bolstering the company's financial health. Operating expenses for fiscal Q1 2027 decreased by 45.3% year-over-year to $8.9 million. This reduction reflected the positive impact of resolving certain legacy legal issues and continued cost management, contributing to the company's return to profitability.
Show more
Outdoor (POWW) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Outdoor Holding Company reported strong fiscal Q1 2027 results (period ended June 30, 2026), demonstrating a return to profitability and significant revenue growth, which provided underlying support for the stock. The company's net revenues increased 22.1% year-over-year to $14.5 million, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of growth. Additionally, Outdoor achieved a net income from continuing operations of $3.6 million, a substantial improvement from a $(5.9) million loss in the prior year period, and reported Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 million, more than double the previous year. Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02 significantly exceeded analysts' expectations of -$0.02, representing a 200% beat.
2. Aggressive cost discipline and the resolution of legacy legal matters significantly reduced operating expenses, bolstering the company's financial health. Operating expenses for fiscal Q1 2027 decreased by 45.3% year-over-year to $8.9 million. This reduction reflected the positive impact of resolving certain legacy legal issues and continued cost management, contributing to the company's return to profitability.
3. Despite strong top-line growth, a decline in gross margin due to new revenue streams and non-recurring demand may have tempered investor enthusiasm. The gross profit margin decreased to 84.5% in fiscal Q1 2027 from 87.2% in the prior year period. This reduction was primarily attributed to the addition of lower-margin Federal Firearms License (FFL) transfer revenue. Furthermore, the company noted that a portion of the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) growth was tied to Virginia legislation-driven demand, which is not expected to recur, potentially introducing caution regarding future revenue sustainability.
4. Positive analyst sentiment and increased price targets, while encouraging, did not translate into sustained upward stock momentum during the period, contributing to the stock largely holding its level. As of October 14, 2026, the average 12-month analyst price target for POWW was $3.57, suggesting a 58.67% upside from its then-current price of $2.25, with a consensus rating of "Buy" or "Strong Buy." For example, Zacks Investment Research upgraded POWW to "Strong Buy" on September 22, 2026. While the stock experienced a significant jump of over 20% on August 10, 2026, following the Q1 earnings report, it subsequently saw a pullback, including a 9.38% drop the next day, indicating that while positive news was reacted to, it did not lead to a lasting upward trend within the analysis period.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.4% change in POWW stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.28 | 2.27 | -0.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 51 | 54 | 5.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.2 | 4.9 | -5.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 116 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | -0.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 12.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | -9.9% | -8.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.9% change in POWW stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.01 | 2.27 | 12.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 50 | 54 | 7.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 116 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | 12.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | 10.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.4% | -9.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 53.4% change in POWW stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.48 | 2.27 | 53.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 49 | 54 | 9.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.5 | 4.9 | 39.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 116 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 53.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | 53.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.4% | 27.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 9.1% | 8.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.4% change in POWW stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.02 | 2.27 | 12.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 37 | 54 | 46.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.5 | 4.9 | -24.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118 | 116 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POWW | 12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.1% | 26.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 71.1% | 25.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| POWW Return | 65% | -68% | 21% | -48% | 55% | 36% | -29% |
| Peers Return | 47% | -21% | 4% | -5% | -28% | 29% | 7% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| POWW Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 52% | 45% | 43% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| POWW Max Drawdown | -46% | -73% | -37% | -66% | -48% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -45% | -39% | -41% | -50% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SPWH, ASO, AOUT, OLN, SWBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | POWW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 31 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Outdoor's stock fell -33.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | POWW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 31 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Outdoor's stock fell -33.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Outdoor (POWW)
Ammo, Inc. (POWW)
Ammo, Inc. (POWW) is a diversified company primarily involved in the firearms and ammunition sector. The company's core business revolves around the design, manufacture, and distribution of a wide range of ammunition products tailored for various applications. Complementing its manufacturing operations, Ammo, Inc. also operates GunBroker.com, a prominent online marketplace for firearms, hunting, shooting, and related products, including items from third-party sellers.
The company's ammunition portfolio is extensive and includes specialized products such as STREAK Visual Ammunition, which allows shooters to see bullet paths, and Stelth Subsonic ammunition, optimized for suppressed firearms. Ammo, Inc. also produces ammunition for self-defense (Jesse James), game hunting (Jeff Rann's), and provides specialized rounds for law enforcement (One Precise Shot) and military agencies (hard armor piercing incendiary rounds). Additionally, it manufactures ammunition casings and distributes patented biodegradable shotgun shells.
Ammo, Inc. serves a broad and diverse customer base. Its products cater to sport and recreational shooters, hunters, and individuals seeking home or personal protection. Furthermore, the company is a supplier to professional segments, including law enforcement and military agencies. Through GunBroker.com, it facilitates transactions for a wide community of firearms enthusiasts and industry participants.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Analogy 1: eBay for firearms and shooting sports.
Analogy 2: Gillette for gun owners.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- STREAK Visual Ammunition: Ammunition that allows shooters to see the bullet's path.
- One Precise Shot Ammunition: Ammunition specifically designed to meet law enforcement engagement scenarios.
- Stelth Subsonic Ammunition: Ammunition primarily designed for suppressed firearms.
- Jesse James Ammunition: Jacketed hollow point projectiles for self-defense.
- Jeff Rann's Ammunition: Ammunition designed for game hunting.
- Hard Armor Piercing Incendiary Rounds: Specialized ammunition with armor-piercing and incendiary properties.
- Ammunition Casings: Components for pistol through large rifle ammunition.
- Biodegradable Shotgun Shells: Patented, environmentally friendly shotgun ammunition distributed by the company.
- GunBroker.com: An online marketplace for firearms, hunting, shooting, and related products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Outdoor (POWW) primarily serves individual customers. Its major customer categories include:
- Sport and recreational shooters
- Hunters
- Individuals seeking home or personal protection
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Steve F. Urvan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Steve Urvan has served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Outdoor Holding Company since May 2025. He founded GunBroker.com in 1999 and served as its Chief Executive Officer until AMMO Inc. acquired it in April 2021. Mr. Urvan is also the Founder and CEO of BitRail, a compliant payments infrastructure company, which he started in February 2018. He remains active in other companies he founded, including Outdoors.com Digital Media, an outdoor lifestyle website, App Cohesion, an e-commerce technology platform, and Gemini Southern, a merchant bank.
Paul Kasowski, Chief Financial Officer
Paul Kasowski was named the Chief Financial Officer of Outdoor Holding Company in September 2024. Before this role, he served as the Company's Chief Compliance Officer and Transformation Officer starting in January 2024. From January 2022 to July 2023, he held the position of SVP, Business Transformation for Kinder's Seasonings & Sauces. Mr. Kasowski also served as CFO for Arizona Natural Resources, a privately owned manufacturer of premium beauty care products, from December 2020 to December 2021. Prior to that, he was VP, Financial Planning & Analysis for Igloo Products Corp. from April 2019 to December 2020. His earlier career from 2003 to 2019 included various finance, strategy, and operations roles at Del Monte Foods and Ainsworth Pet Nutrition.
Jordan Christensen, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
Jordan Christensen has served as Chief Legal Officer of Outdoor Holding Company since June 2025. Before this, he was General Counsel of AMMO Inc. from June 2024 to June 2025 and Chief Legal Officer of Nxu, Inc. from June 2023 to June 2024. Earlier in his career, Mr. Christensen worked with the Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community and was an Assistant Attorney General for the State of Arizona. He also provided legal and business advice to numerous early-stage start-up and microcap companies through his consulting firm, WCAZ Law, PLLC.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Outdoor (symbol: POWW), which now operates primarily as an e-commerce platform through GunBroker.com after divesting its ammunition manufacturing business in April 2025:
- Execution Risk for GunBroker.com Technology Upgrades and Maintaining Platform Liquidity: Outdoor Holding Company's primary business now centers on GunBroker.com, an online marketplace for firearms and related products. A significant risk lies in the company's ability to successfully execute technology upgrades for its older platform and introduce new features without disrupting the user experience. Failure to do so could jeopardize user engagement and lead to a loss of its critical liquidity advantage, which is essential for an online marketplace to thrive.
- Regulatory and Political Environment Affecting Online Firearm Sales: Despite divesting its ammunition manufacturing, Outdoor Holding Company remains exposed to regulatory and market-specific challenges inherent in the firearms sector. As an online marketplace for firearms, GunBroker.com is particularly susceptible to changes in federal and state regulations pertaining to online firearm sales, as well as shifts in social and political factors impacting gun ownership and related commerce. Such changes could lead to increased scrutiny, operational restrictions, or reduced demand, thereby adversely affecting the business.
- Operational and Financial Control Issues: Outdoor Holding Company has faced past challenges related to its financial reporting and internal controls, including "regulatory non-compliance stemming from internal accounting issues" and a deficiency notice from Nasdaq for late financial filings in late 2024. Although the company regained Nasdaq compliance by September 2025, these historical issues highlight potential risks in financial management, operational efficiency, and the ability to maintain robust internal controls, which could divert management attention and incur unforeseen costs. Additionally, the company faces potential consumer spending headwinds which could impact its core demographic.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Outdoor (symbol: POWW), which operates GunBroker.com, primarily addresses the online market for firearms, ammunition, and related products. The company divested its ammunition manufacturing assets in March 2025 and rebranded as Outdoor Holding Company, focusing on its online marketplace.
The addressable market for the company's main service, GunBroker.com, can be estimated as follows:
- The Firearms & Weapons eCommerce market in the United States is estimated at $12.87 billion in 2026.
- Globally, the Firearms & Weapons eCommerce market is approximately $14.9 billion in 2026.
Another estimate indicates that the market size of online gun and ammunition sales in the U.S. was $3.5 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Outdoor Holding Company (NASDAQ: POWW), formerly known as AMMO, Inc., has strategically shifted its business to focus solely on its GunBroker.com online marketplace after divesting its ammunition manufacturing assets in April 2025. Over the next 2-3 years, the company's revenue growth is expected to be driven by several key initiatives centered on its e-commerce platform:
- Enhancements to the GunBroker.com Platform and User Experience: The company is focused on improving its online marketplace through various technological advancements. This includes the rollout of a new multi-item cart and enhanced payment processing features, which are projected to cover a significant portion of transactions and improve the overall user experience. Additionally, the recent launch of an AI-powered listing tool on GunBroker.com is aimed at further streamlining the selling process. Efforts to simplify the Federal Firearms License (FFL) transfer process through a Master FFL Partnership are also expected to contribute to a smoother transaction flow.
- Expansion of Payment Processing Capabilities: A major priority for Outdoor Holding Company is its "Universal Payments Initiative," which seeks to enable a broader range of payment methods beyond traditional credit card transactions. By accommodating approximately 30% of transactions that are currently not credit card-based, this initiative is anticipated to increase Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and enhance the company's take rate (commission on sales).
- Growth in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV): As a pure-play e-commerce platform, increasing the total value of goods sold through GunBroker.com is a primary revenue driver. The company reported a 6.4% growth in GMV in Q3 FY2026, with firearm unit sales increasing over 8% sequentially. Strategic initiatives to expand e-commerce and improve user engagement are expected to sustain this growth.
- Increased Take Rate: Outdoor Holding Company aims to increase its "take rate," the percentage of each transaction it collects as revenue. Platform enhancements, improved payment processing, and potentially the introduction of premium services are expected to contribute to a higher average take rate, which improved to 6.2% in Q3 FY2026 from 6.17% in the prior year.
- Introduction of New Revenue Streams and Ancillary Services: The company is exploring and developing new avenues for revenue beyond its core marketplace transactions. This includes the potential for generating revenue from analytics through the sale of customized reporting solutions based on industry trends. Furthermore, future plans involve facilitating "experience offerings," such as safaris, guided fishing trips, and gunsmithing services, which could significantly expand market opportunities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- On January 5, 2026, Outdoor Holding Company authorized a discretionary share repurchase program of up to $15 million of its common stock to be executed over the following 12 months.
- From December 2022 to December 2024, the company executed approximately $8.6 million in stock repurchases across various quarters, with the highest buyback yield over the past five years recorded at 3.98% on March 31, 2025.
- These repurchases are funded from existing cash balances, future operating cash flows, or other legally available funds.
Share Issuance
- Outdoor Holding Company issued $35.0 million in preferred shares in Q2 2021, which remained at that value for fiscal year 2022.
- The number of common shares outstanding significantly increased from approximately 55 million on March 31, 2021, to about 115 million by March 31, 2022.
- As of June 10, 2025, there were 116,814,159 common shares outstanding.
Outbound Investments
- Outdoor Holding Company completed the sale of its Ammunition Manufacturing Business to Olin Winchester, LLC on April 18, 2025, for a gross purchase price of $75.0 million, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $42.9 million.
- This divestment marked a strategic shift for the company to focus solely on its online marketplace business, GunBroker.com.
Capital Expenditures
- Outdoor Holding Company invested $645,000 in capital expenditures in Q3 2026, which represented a 7.9% decrease from the prior quarter.
- In an earlier period around 2025, capital expenditures were approximately $3.4 million, which consumed a significant portion of the company's operating cash flow.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes enhancing user engagement, streamlining transactions, and expanding merchandise and service offerings for the GunBroker Marketplace, with strategic initiatives for fiscal year 2026 and the first two quarters of fiscal year 2027 including the launch of universal payment processing and new user experience tools.
Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | Outdoor | 16.7% | 40.7x | 48.4% | -14.0% | -64.1% | — |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace | 13.8% | 45.2x | 10.2% | 391.2% | 593.9% | +658pp |
| ATRO | Astronics | 15.0% | 32.5x | 24.0% | 295.8% | 341.4% | +405pp |
| AIR | AAR | 18.6% | 20.4x | 18.8% | 71.7% | 195.5% | +260pp |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies | 14.8% | 34.7x | -35.0% | 79.8% | 144.7% | +209pp |
| TDG | TransDigm | 17.1% | 30.8x | -12.2% | 62.5% | 113.8% | +178pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 30 | -2.5% | 112.7% | 156.5% | STRL 1708% · FIX 1636% · AGX 751% |
| Marine Transportation | 5 | 57.6% | 46.0% | 119.9% | MATX 204% · KEX 144% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | -3.4% | 56.6% | 79.2% | CAT 287% · ALSN 234% · WAB 213% |
| Aerospace & Defense ← | 52 | -13.0% | 56.3% | 58.9% | ATI 1008% · FTAI 739% · HWM 594% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 7.7% | 38.5% | 49.3% | DXPE 419% · AIT 249% · URI 196% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 72 | 7.7% | 56.3% | 40.4% | CRS 1082% · MLI 418% · SYM 300% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 14.3% | 32.6% | 32.2% | CXW 229% · OPLN 148% · CACI 115% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 29.2% | 45.4% | 29.5% | CSX 49% · UNP 41% · NSC 29% |
| Building Products | 33 | -11.1% | 10.1% | 23.0% | GFF 335% · TT 178% · JCI 123% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 31.6% | 5.2% | 22.4% | XPO 269% · R 206% · ARCB 56% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 37 | -12.5% | 73.5% | 9.4% | POWL 1987% · BE 965% · VRT 772% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 11.1% | 4.3% | -8.0% | CSW 120% · DD 67% · CSL 65% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 16 | 3.1% | -3.3% | -12.6% | DE 96% · TTC 13% · AGCO -7% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -24.3% | -3.7% | -20.1% | EXLS 65% · BR 9% · G -18% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 18.3% | 20.0% | -27.7% | PBI 188% · TILE 139% · HNI 39% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 9 | -57.8% | 14.7% | -29.8% | BCO 85% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -1.3% | -17.9% | -30.2% | HURN 268% · FCN 5% · BAH 2% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -33.0% | 27.0% | -32.7% | GEO 239% · CLH 183% · RSG 91% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -26.4% | 60.5% | -32.7% | UBER 50% · CAR -33% · LYFT -65% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | -2.0% | 12.6% | -38.0% | LTM 3147% · UAL 113% · DAL 98% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -28.8% | -23.0% | -39.7% | FDX 78% · EXPD 77% · CHRW 61% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 11.4% | -15.0% | -44.4% | ADP 54% · PAYX 8% · FA 3% |
| Airport Services | 4 | -73.3% | -68.4% | -83.5% | JOBY -49% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Outdoor Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Outdoor Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 885 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | 57 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 14 |
| CFO LTM | 82 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 45 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 50.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -26.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 51 | 49 | 54 | 63 | |
| Ammunition | 176 | ||||
| Corporate and other expenses | 0 | ||||
| Marketplace | 65 | ||||
| Total | 51 | 49 | 54 | 63 | 240 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 8 | -46 | |||
| Depreciation and amortization | -14 | -14 | |||
| Ammunition | -13 | -10 | 19 | ||
| Corporate and other expenses | -29 | -25 | -18 | ||
| Marketplace | 23 | 32 | 35 | ||
| Total | -6 | -60 | -19 | -3 | 37 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -5 | -65 | -5 | 4 |
| Total | -5 | -65 | -5 | 4 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketplace | 236 | 258 | 254 | 0 |
| Ammunition | 164 | 154 | 160 | 179 |
| Total | 400 | 412 | 414 | 179 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.27 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/23/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.22 | $2.08 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.2% | 9.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 57.4% | 48.0% |
| Downside Capture | -30.80 | 63.54 |
| Upside Capture | -39.61 | 95.02 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 7.1% | 25.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.56 | 0.30 | 0.86 | 0.49 | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Up Beta | 1.99 | 1.35 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| Down Beta | 6.30 | 8.28 | 5.96 | 2.33 | 2.27 | 1.07 |
| Up Capture | -3% | -55% | 1% | 13% | 104% | 90% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 17 | 27 | 56 | 117 | 333 |
| Down Capture | -54% | -139% | 10% | -14% | 69% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | 48.6% | 48.0% | 0.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 10.9% | 17.2% | 0.43 | 5.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.8% | 12.7% | 0.93 | 25.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | -2.9% | 29.3% | -0.10 | 6.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 52.5% | 20.7% | 1.93 | -8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 13.8% | 0.11 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 43.6% | -0.50 | 11.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | -17.9% | 57.8% | -0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.4% | 17.6% | 0.54 | 33.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 36.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.9% | 0.77 | 7.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 19.5% | 0.38 | 6.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.4% | 18.9% | -0.03 | 32.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 51.7% | 0.33 | 25.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWW | -2.4% | 68.8% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.1% | 20.0% | 0.57 | 21.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 23.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.60 | 4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 7.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 17.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.9% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 13.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 10/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/10/2026 | 20.2% | 5.2% | -0.9% |
| 6/22/2026 | 3.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| 2/9/2026 | 7.1% | 12.5% | 20.8% |
| 11/10/2025 | 6.1% | 9.8% | 27.6% |
| 8/8/2025 | 1.8% | 14.9% | 26.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | -7.1% | -11.7% | -15.4% |
| 6/13/2024 | -28.7% | -25.1% | -26.3% |
| 2/8/2024 | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -11.9% | -12.0% | -19.9% |
| Max Positive | 20.2% | 14.9% | 27.6% |
| Max Negative | -28.7% | -32.5% | -42.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/10/2026 | 20.2% | 5.2% | -0.9% |
| 6/22/2026 | 3.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| 2/9/2026 | 7.1% | 12.5% | 20.8% |
| 11/10/2025 | 6.1% | 9.8% | 27.6% |
| 8/8/2025 | 1.8% | 14.9% | 26.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | -7.1% | -11.7% | -15.4% |
| 6/13/2024 | -28.7% | -25.1% | -26.3% |
| 2/8/2024 | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | -13.1% | -14.7% | -19.9% |
| 8/9/2023 | 2.5% | -3.4% | 1.5% |
| 6/14/2023 | 15.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% |
| 2/14/2023 | -13.1% | -10.7% | -16.9% |
| 11/14/2022 | -25.8% | -32.5% | -42.7% |
| 8/15/2022 | -11.9% | -23.9% | -33.0% |
| 6/29/2022 | -5.4% | 8.4% | 19.9% |
| 2/14/2022 | 4.7% | -10.3% | 1.5% |
| 11/15/2021 | -4.7% | -16.9% | -22.0% |
| 8/16/2021 | 1.0% | 7.2% | -9.4% |
| 6/29/2021 | 11.4% | -5.2% | -17.2% |
| 2/16/2021 | -3.9% | -12.0% | -33.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -11.9% | -12.0% | -19.9% |
| Max Positive | 20.2% | 14.9% | 27.6% |
| Max Negative | -28.7% | -32.5% | -42.7% |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 21, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.