American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
Market Price (9/21/2026): $16.51 | Market Cap: $207.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
Market Price (9/21/2026): $16.51Market Cap: $207.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.9% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Recreation & Lifestyle. Themes include Outdoor Gear & Equipment, Direct-to-Consumer Outdoor Brands, and Recreational Shooting Sports Accessories. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4% Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% Key risksAOUT key risks include [1] a projected 13-14% sales decline for Fiscal Year 2026 and an inability to achieve GAAP profitability for the current year, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.9% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Recreation & Lifestyle. Themes include Outdoor Gear & Equipment, Direct-to-Consumer Outdoor Brands, and Recreational Shooting Sports Accessories. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
| Key risksAOUT key risks include [1] a projected 13-14% sales decline for Fiscal Year 2026 and an inability to achieve GAAP profitability for the current year, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) stock has gained about 60% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) significantly exceeded expectations with its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings, released on September 3, 2026. The company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.03, which comfortably beat the consensus analyst estimate of a $0.24 loss per share. Additionally, net sales for the quarter reached $37.3 million, representing a 25.4% increase year-over-year, surpassing analysts' expectations of $35.64 million. This strong performance signaled a return to profitability and a significant beat on the top and bottom lines.
2. The company achieved substantial gross margin expansion in fiscal Q1 2027. Gross margin rose to 53.0%, an increase of 630 basis points from 46.7% in the prior-year quarter. This improvement was attributed to a more profitable product mix, new product introductions, and strategic pricing actions, indicating that the company successfully navigated previous supply-chain challenges and capitalized on pricing power.
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American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) stock has gained about 60% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) significantly exceeded expectations with its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings, released on September 3, 2026. The company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.03, which comfortably beat the consensus analyst estimate of a $0.24 loss per share. Additionally, net sales for the quarter reached $37.3 million, representing a 25.4% increase year-over-year, surpassing analysts' expectations of $35.64 million. This strong performance signaled a return to profitability and a significant beat on the top and bottom lines.
2. The company achieved substantial gross margin expansion in fiscal Q1 2027. Gross margin rose to 53.0%, an increase of 630 basis points from 46.7% in the prior-year quarter. This improvement was attributed to a more profitable product mix, new product introductions, and strategic pricing actions, indicating that the company successfully navigated previous supply-chain challenges and capitalized on pricing power.
3. Management raised its full-year fiscal 2027 Adjusted EBITDA guidance, signaling increased confidence in future profitability. The updated guidance range for Adjusted EBITDA is now between $14.5 million and $17.5 million, an increase from the previous range of approximately $13 million to $16 million. The new midpoint of $16 million reflects a 57% increase over the Adjusted EBITDA reported for fiscal 2026.
4. Analyst firms responded positively to the strong earnings report with upgrades and increased price targets. Following the fiscal Q1 2027 results, Roth Capital raised its price target for AOUT to $17 from $13.50 and maintained a "Buy" rating. This contributed to the average analyst price target being revised higher to $16.83. Seeking Alpha also upgraded shares from a 'hold' to a 'buy', citing strong results and turnaround momentum.
5. The stock's movement reflects a clear business turnaround and healthy underlying consumer demand. The robust Q1 fiscal 2027 results demonstrate a significant reversal from the challenges faced in fiscal 2026, which saw declining revenue and worsening net losses. Point-of-sale growth remained positive for the sixth consecutive quarter, with a 6% increase in Outdoor Lifestyle and a 3% increase in Shooting Sports, indicating healthy consumer interest in the company's brands and products. New products were a significant contributor, accounting for over 36% of quarterly net sales.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.0% change in AOUT stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.13 | 16.42 | 62.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 205 | 198 | -3.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.0 | 68.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 62.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AOUT | 62.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.9% | 7.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -8.1% | 14.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 80.4% change in AOUT stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 87.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.10 | 16.42 | 80.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 207 | 198 | -4.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.0 | 87.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 80.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AOUT | 80.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 14.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.8% | 20.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 57.3% change in AOUT stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 74.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.44 | 16.42 | 57.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 222 | 198 | -10.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.0 | 74.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 57.3% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AOUT | 57.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.4% | 23.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.6% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 67.2% change in AOUT stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 52.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.82 | 16.42 | 67.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 191 | 198 | 3.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 1.0 | 52.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 5.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 67.2% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AOUT | 67.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 33.0% | 30.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AOUT Return | 17% | -50% | -16% | 81% | -49% | 106% | -6% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -17% | 17% | 24% | -14% | -3% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AOUT Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 89% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 52% | 55% | 43% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AOUT Max Drawdown | -49% | -64% | -35% | -18% | -64% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -43% | -39% | -21% | -41% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FUN, LTH, PLNT, OSW, PRKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AOUT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 553 days | 31 days |
In The Past
American Outdoor Brands's stock fell -1.4% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 1.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | AOUT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 553 days | 31 days |
In The Past
American Outdoor Brands's stock fell -1.4% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 1.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) is a public company that provides a wide range of products and accessories for rugged outdoor enthusiasts. Incorporated in 2020 and headquartered in Columbia, Missouri, the company operates both within the United States and internationally, catering to individuals involved in various outdoor activities.
The company's diverse product portfolio covers core outdoor pursuits, including hunting, fishing, camping, shooting, and personal security and defense. Specific offerings include shooting supplies like rests and vaults, premium sportsmen knives and tools, land management and harvesting products, and electro-optical devices such as hunting optics and flashlights. AOUT also provides reloading, gunsmithing, and firearm cleaning supplies, alongside survival, camping, and emergency preparedness gear. These products are marketed under brand lanes such as Marksman, Defender, Harvester, and Adventure.
American Outdoor Brands serves its primary customer base of outdoor enthusiasts through a multi-channel distribution strategy. Products are sold via both e-commerce platforms and traditional retail distribution channels, ensuring broad market access for its specialized outdoor and defense-related goods.
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- It's like a focused **Vista Outdoor**, managing a portfolio of brands for hunting, fishing, and shooting accessories.
- Think of it as a specialized **Johnson Outdoors**, with a 'house of brands' approach to outdoor and shooting gear.
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- Shooting Accessories: Supplies, rests, vaults, and other related accessories for shooting.
- Hunting & Fishing Tools: Premium sportsmen knives and tools for fishing and hunting.
- Land Management Tools: Products designed for hunting preparedness and land maintenance.
- Harvesting Products: Tools for post-hunt or post-fishing activities.
- Electro-Optical Devices: Hunting optics, firearm aiming devices, flashlights, and laser grips.
- Firearm Maintenance Supplies: Reloading, gunsmithing, and firearm cleaning supplies.
- Survival & Camping Gear: Products for survival, camping, and emergency preparedness.
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American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically a mix of large retailers, online marketplaces, and wholesale distributors, who then sell to individual consumers. While the company operates its own e-commerce platforms, a significant portion of its sales comes through traditional distribution channels, indicating a business-to-business (B2B) model with retailers and distributors as its major customers.
Based on the company's product lines (hunting, fishing, camping, shooting, and personal security products) and stated distribution through "e-commerce and traditional distribution channels," the major customers are highly likely to be:
- Large Sporting Goods Retailers: National and regional chains specializing in outdoor and sporting goods. Examples include:
- General Merchandise Retailers: Large national retailers with significant outdoor and sporting goods departments. An example includes:
- Walmart Inc. (WMT)
- Online Retailers and Marketplaces: E-commerce giants that distribute a vast array of products, including outdoor and sporting goods. An example includes:
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Wholesale Distributors: Companies that purchase products in bulk and distribute them to a network of smaller, independent retailers across the country. Specific names are rarely disclosed by public companies.
While American Outdoor Brands' regulatory filings indicate that two customers each accounted for 10% or more of its net sales in recent fiscal years, the specific names of these customers are not publicly disclosed. The companies listed above represent the most probable types of major customers for American Outdoor Brands, given their market presence and distribution capabilities in the outdoor and shooting sports industry.
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Brian D. Murphy, President & Chief Executive Officer
Brian D. Murphy has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of American Outdoor Brands, Inc. and a member of its Board of Directors since the company's spin-off from its former parent company in August 2020. Prior to this, Mr. Murphy was the Co-President and Co-Chief Executive Officer of Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. from January 2020 until the spin-off. He also held roles as President of the Outdoor Products & Accessories Division (May 2017 to January 2020) and President of the Outdoor Recreation Division (December 2016 to May 2017) at Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Before his time at Smith & Wesson, Mr. Murphy was the Vice President of Corporate Development at Vista Outdoor Inc. from February 2015 to December 2016, where he was responsible for leading approximately $900 million in acquisitions over an 18-month period. He also served as Director of Mergers & Acquisitions and Director of Financial Planning & Analysis for Alliant Techsystems from April 2013 to February 2015. From May 2006 to October 2010, Mr. Murphy worked as an investment banker with Houlihan Lokey, advising companies on strategy, acquisitions, divestitures, recapitalizations, and restructuring. He currently also serves as CEO of Ultimate Survival Technologies LLC, Chairman & President at Battenfeld Technologies, Inc., and President & Chairman at AOB Products Co.
Andrew Fulmer, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Andrew Fulmer has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of American Outdoor Brands, Inc. since the company's spin-off from its former parent company in August 2020. He joined Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. in 2010 as Assistant Controller, advancing to Director of Financial Planning & Analysis, and then to Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis in 2016. During his tenure at Smith & Wesson, Mr. Fulmer played a significant role in developing and executing the company's long-term acquisition strategy, particularly for the outdoor products and accessories business. He also established procedures for acquisition-related financial modeling, due diligence, internal controls, and the integration of acquired businesses. Earlier in his career, he served as Controller for Steeltech Building Products, Inc. and as a Tax Senior Associate and later Audit Manager for PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC. Mr. Fulmer is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
Elizabeth A. Sharp, Vice President of Investor Relations
Elizabeth A. Sharp has served as Vice President of Investor Relations for American Outdoor Brands, Inc. since its spin-off. Before the spin-off, she held the position of Vice President, Investor Relations of Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. from May 2005 until the spin-off.
James E. Tayon, Chief Product Officer
James E. Tayon has served as Chief Product Officer of American Outdoor Brands, Inc. since December 2023. Prior to this, he was the Vice President of Product Development from the spin-off in March 2021 until December 2023.
Brent A. Vulgamott, Chief Operating Officer
Brent A. Vulgamott has served as Chief Operating Officer of American Outdoor Brands, Inc. since October 2023. He previously served as Vice President of Sales, Operations & Analytics from March 2022 to October 2023, and as Vice President of Operations & Analytics from the company's spin-off in March 2021.
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The key risks to American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) include the impact of tariffs and trade policies, demand volatility, particularly within the shooting sports accessories category, and challenges related to retailer inventory management compounded by economic uncertainty.
- Impact of Tariffs and Trade Policies: American Outdoor Brands faces significant and dynamic risks from unpredictable tariffs and trade policies. These policies directly impact the cost of imported goods and materials, leading to supply chain instability, pressure on profit margins, and potentially forcing price increases. The company has even suspended future guidance due to the uncertainty introduced by the tariff environment, and expects ongoing gross margin pressure from capitalized tariffs flowing through the cost of goods sold.
- Demand Volatility and Reliance on Shooting Sports Accessories: Despite efforts to diversify, the shooting sports accessories market continues to represent a substantial portion of American Outdoor Brands' revenue. This reliance makes the company vulnerable to shifts in consumer sentiment and regulatory environments impacting this specific category. The shooting sports category has experienced declines, particularly in aiming solutions, contributing to lower net sales in this segment.
- Retailer Inventory Caution and Economic Uncertainty: American Outdoor Brands is affected by cautious inventory levels among retailers, which can lead to inconsistent sales and impact future order volumes. This challenge is exacerbated by broader economic uncertainties, including persistent inflation and potential cutbacks in discretionary consumer spending, which can negatively affect demand for outdoor products. The company has also encountered issues with inventory resets at major e-commerce retailers.
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The rise of highly specialized direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands in the outdoor products and accessories market. These brands leverage targeted digital marketing and e-commerce platforms to directly reach niche enthusiast communities within hunting, fishing, camping, shooting, and personal security segments. This business model allows them to offer specialized products and potentially build stronger brand loyalty, thereby circumventing traditional distribution channels and directly competing with established multi-brand companies like American Outdoor Brands.
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American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) participates in several outdoor product markets. Here are the addressable market sizes for their main products or services:
- Overall Outdoor Recreation Products: The U.S. recreational and outdoor products market was valued at approximately USD 42.2 billion in 2024.
- Hunting Equipment & Accessories: The U.S. hunting equipment and accessories market generated a revenue of approximately USD 11.22 billion in 2023.
- Fishing Goods: The U.S. fishing goods market size was estimated at approximately USD 8.78 billion in 2023.
- Camping Equipment: The United States camping equipment market was valued at approximately USD 24.60 billion in 2023.
- Shooting and Gun Accessories: The North American shooting and gun accessories market, which includes items like scopes, holsters, and cleaning kits, held a revenue of approximately USD 2.58 billion in 2023.
- Shooting Sports Equipment: The global shooting sports equipment market size was estimated at approximately USD 38.34 billion in 2024. North America accounted for 36.4% of this global market in 2023.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
- Innovation and New Product Development: American Outdoor Brands emphasizes a culture of innovation, with new product introductions consistently driving growth and contributing significantly to net sales. The company has a robust product pipeline and has generated substantial incremental organic revenue from new product development, protecting future revenue potential with numerous patents.
- Strategic Focus and Expansion of the Outdoor Lifestyle Segment: AOUT is executing a strategic pivot towards its rapidly expanding Outdoor Lifestyle segment, aiming for this category to account for 65% of total sales, up from 57%. This involves focusing capital and innovation on high-growth brands within this segment, such as BOG, BUBBA, Caldwell, Grilla, and MEAT! Your Maker, to deepen engagement and create differentiated value.
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets and Distribution Channels: A significant component of American Outdoor Brands' future prospects includes international expansion into new markets, such as Europe and Asia, and strengthening distribution in Canada. The company also focuses on broadening distribution channels for wider reach within existing markets.
- Opportunistic Mergers and Acquisitions: The company continues to explore strategic acquisitions that align with its growth objectives, evidenced by past successful integrations like Grilla Grills. This proactive approach aims to enhance its business model and bolster growth.
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Share Repurchases
- American Outdoor Brands' Board of Directors approved a new $10 million share repurchase program in October 2025, which commenced on October 1, 2025, and is set to conclude on September 30, 2026.
- Under a prior repurchase program authorized in 2024, the company repurchased approximately $6.0 million of its common stock, accounting for 581,968 shares at an average price of $10.30 per share, as of September 30, 2025.
- During the nine months ended January 31, 2026 (Q3 Fiscal Year 2026), the company repurchased $4.6 million of stock, which included $1.4 million in Q3 FY2026 alone.
Share Issuance
- As of April 30, 2025, American Outdoor Brands had 14,974,217 shares issued and 12,696,356 shares outstanding.
- In the prior year, as of April 30, 2024, the company had 14,701,280 shares issued and 12,797,865 shares outstanding, indicating a slight increase in issued shares but a decrease in outstanding shares due to repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- In Q3 Fiscal Year 2026, the company decided to divest its UST camping and survival brand, citing that further investment in this category was unlikely to yield expected returns. This divestiture resulted in a $3.4 million non-cash impairment charge.
- American Outdoor Brands' capital deployment strategy includes pursuing selective, accretive acquisitions to drive growth.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full Fiscal Year 2026, American Outdoor Brands lowered its capital expenditure expectations by $500,000, projecting a range of $3.5 million to $4.0 million.
- The company emphasizes an asset-light platform and focuses its capital allocation on investing in organic growth.
Peer Outperformance in Leisure Facilities
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Services | 14 | -17.9% | 77.7% | 73.5% | LINC 317% · PRDO 233% · CVSA 232% |
| Homebuilding | 18 | -12.1% | 31.0% | 49.1% | GRBK 198% · PHM 161% · TOL 134% |
| Specialty Stores | 7 | 2.1% | 42.3% | 10.5% | SIG 35% · FIVE 26% · ASO 18% |
| Home Improvement Retail | 5 | -25.9% | -3.0% | 1.9% | HVT 14% · LOW 3% · HD 2% |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | 22 | 11.4% | 46.9% | 1.2% | RCL 207% · MAR 149% · HLT 143% |
| Automotive Retail | 18 | -20.6% | -2.8% | 0.9% | MUSA 237% · PAG 149% · ORLY 109% |
| Distributors | 4 | -12.0% | -25.6% | -11.8% | ARMK 162% · GPC 22% · LKQ -46% |
| Home Furnishings | 4 | -6.3% | 21.5% | -13.8% | SGI 38% · LZB 2% · MHK -30% |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 10 | -16.9% | 17.6% | -18.3% | HRB 109% · FTDR 76% · SCI 39% |
| Footwear | 9 | 52.2% | 45.9% | -19.8% | WEYS 161% · SHOO 16% · DECK 11% |
| Restaurants | 35 | -15.0% | -17.9% | -20.2% | EAT 308% · CAKE 151% · RAVE 146% |
| Leisure Products | 13 | -24.9% | -21.7% | -34.7% | GOLF 74% · HAS 15% · MCFT -17% |
| Leisure Facilities ← | 11 | -0.2% | 0.1% | -37.1% | OSW 130% · JAKK 121% · ESCA 29% |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods | 27 | -13.2% | 2.9% | -37.2% | TPR 240% · RL 236% · ELA 204% |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment | 38 | -15.3% | -15.4% | -40.0% | MOD 1623% · GTX 304% · STRT 87% |
| Casinos & Gaming | 20 | -13.6% | -28.3% | -41.9% | MCRI 114% · RRR 37% · BYD 27% |
| Household Appliances | 18 | -7.0% | 12.7% | -43.4% | FLXS 170% · KEQU 159% · HBB 132% |
| Apparel Retail | 25 | -8.9% | 10.2% | -44.4% | ANF 260% · URBN 134% · ROST 110% |
| Computer & Electronics Retail | 3 | -13.2% | 33.0% | -52.3% | BBY 10% · GME -52% · UPBD -63% |
| Broadline Retail | 15 | -1.2% | 14.3% | -56.8% | DDS 310% · EBAY 69% · AMZN 52% |
| Automobile Manufacturers | 8 | -78.7% | -51.2% | -71.9% | GM 74% · TSLA 48% · F 41% |
| Consumer Electronics | 11 | -14.1% | -17.2% | -75.4% | AXIL 2829% · GRMN 83% · MSN -57% |
| Other Specialty Retail | 18 | -37.2% | -46.6% | -78.4% | TLF 114% · BBW 72% · WINA 57% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| American Outdoor Brands Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| American Outdoor Brands Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,528 |
| Op Inc LTM | 300 |
| FCF LTM | 114 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 55 |
| CFO LTM | 422 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 382 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 31.0% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $16.42 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/25/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.94 | $10.16 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 26.9% | 61.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 113.8% | 68.1% |
| Downside Capture | -225.00 | 50.15 |
| Upside Capture | 56.40 | 112.82 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 6.9% | 23.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 1.38 | 0.84 | 1.05 | 1.41 | 1.12 |
| Up Beta | 0.46 | 0.71 | 2.04 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| Down Beta | 7.61 | 3.33 | 0.97 | 0.79 | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Up Capture | -64% | 43% | 40% | 85% | 127% | 94% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 32 | 59 | 117 | 356 |
| Down Capture | 293% | 197% | 27% | 78% | 128% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 31 | 62 | 125 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AOUT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOUT | 90.1% | 67.8% | 1.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | -7.6% | 19.5% | -0.53 | 27.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.9% | 12.9% | 0.94 | 23.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 29.3% | 0.60 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.3% | 20.6% | 1.73 | -10.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 13.6% | 0.10 | 17.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 44.3% | -0.70 | 18.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AOUT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOUT | -8.5% | 53.7% | 0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.8% | 24.1% | 0.16 | 31.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.5% | 0.45 | -1.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 18.8% | -0.05 | 23.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.5% | 52.5% | 0.42 | 16.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AOUT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOUT | -0.7% | 54.4% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 11.8% | 22.2% | 0.49 | 30.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 28.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 0.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 20.7% | 0.18 | 21.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.6% | 66.2% | 1.02 | 14.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/3/2026 | 44.7% | 56.6% | |
| 6/25/2026 | 17.1% | 34.9% | 27.1% |
| 3/12/2026 | -6.5% | -5.1% | 8.0% |
| 12/9/2025 | 4.4% | 3.9% | 16.9% |
| 9/4/2025 | -18.1% | -14.0% | -16.2% |
| 6/26/2025 | -13.1% | -12.9% | -19.6% |
| 3/6/2025 | -7.4% | -13.7% | -28.3% |
| 12/6/2024 | 21.4% | 39.7% | 42.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 11.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -9.4% | -11.2% |
| Max Positive | 44.7% | 56.6% | 42.5% |
| Max Negative | -22.0% | -20.9% | -28.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/3/2026 | 44.7% | 56.6% | |
| 6/25/2026 | 17.1% | 34.9% | 27.1% |
| 3/12/2026 | -6.5% | -5.1% | 8.0% |
| 12/9/2025 | 4.4% | 3.9% | 16.9% |
| 9/4/2025 | -18.1% | -14.0% | -16.2% |
| 6/26/2025 | -13.1% | -12.9% | -19.6% |
| 3/6/2025 | -7.4% | -13.7% | -28.3% |
| 12/6/2024 | 21.4% | 39.7% | 42.5% |
| 9/5/2024 | -0.2% | -9.4% | -1.4% |
| 6/28/2024 | 2.0% | -5.6% | 9.0% |
| 3/7/2024 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% |
| 11/30/2023 | -2.2% | -9.2% | 3.5% |
| 9/7/2023 | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 6/28/2023 | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.9% |
| 3/9/2023 | -3.9% | -9.7% | -7.8% |
| 12/1/2022 | 17.7% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| 9/8/2022 | 0.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| 7/14/2022 | -11.1% | -15.0% | -3.7% |
| 3/10/2022 | -7.0% | -4.4% | -11.2% |
| 12/9/2021 | -13.4% | -12.3% | -12.6% |
| 9/9/2021 | -1.3% | -3.5% | -6.5% |
| 7/15/2021 | -22.0% | -20.9% | -23.4% |
| 3/17/2021 | 12.0% | 6.1% | 13.4% |
| 12/15/2020 | 11.0% | 14.6% | 24.6% |
| 9/3/2020 | -3.9% | -6.6% | -11.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 11.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -9.4% | -11.2% |
| Max Positive | 44.7% | 56.6% | 42.5% |
| Max Negative | -22.0% | -20.9% | -28.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | 09/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2026 | 06/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | 09/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2026 | 06/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 07/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2021 | 07/15/2021 | 10-K |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/17/2021 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/15/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 09/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2020 | 07/13/2020 | 10-12B/A |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 9/4/2026Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 9/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Net Sales | Reported | 200.00 Mil | 205.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 205.00 Mil for 2027 | |
| 2027 Net Sales Growth | Reported | 5.0% | 10.0% | |||||
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 14.50 Mil | 16.00 Mil | 17.50 Mil | Raised | |||
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 6.5% | 7.5% | |||||
Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Net Sales | Reported | 200.00 Mil | 205.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 6.8% | Higher New | Actual: 192.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2027 Net Sales Growth | Reported | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | ||||
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% | Higher New | Actual: 4.25% for 2026 | |
Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 191.00 Mil | 192.00 Mil | 193.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Gross Margin | Reported | 42.0% | 42.5% | 43.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 42.5% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.04 for 2026 | |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Sep 21, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Leisure Facilities Resources |
| Blooloop |
| Attractions Management |
| IAAPA |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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