American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.09 | Market Cap: $90.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.09Market Cap: $90.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Recreation & Lifestyle. Themes include Outdoor Gear & Equipment, Direct-to-Consumer Outdoor Brands, and Recreational Shooting Sports Accessories. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Recreation & Lifestyle. Themes include Outdoor Gear & Equipment, Direct-to-Consumer Outdoor Brands, and Recreational Shooting Sports Accessories. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.1% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AOUT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -32.5% movement in American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Deterioration in Q1 Fiscal 2026 Financial Performance.
On September 4, 2025, American Outdoor Brands reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended on July 31, 2025. The company announced a significant decline in net sales, which decreased by 28.7% to $29.7 million compared to the same quarter in the prior year. This was coupled with a GAAP net loss of $6.8 million, or $(0.54) per diluted share, and a non-GAAP net loss of $(0.26) per diluted share, a notable reversal from net income in the comparable prior-year period.
2. Negative Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 Fiscal 2026.
Further highlighting the company's challenging operational results, American Outdoor Brands reported a negative Adjusted EBITDA of $3.1 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. This marked a decrease from a positive Adjusted EBITDA of $2.0 million reported in the first quarter of the previous fiscal year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AOUT Return | - | 17% | -50% | -16% | 81% | -54% | -59% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 3% | -3% | -1% | 7% | -6% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AOUT Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 12% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 33% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AOUT Max Drawdown | - | -2% | -64% | -29% | -7% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -2% | -8% | -9% | -5% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AOUT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 403.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 148 days |
Compare to FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT
In The Past
American Outdoor Brands's stock fell -80.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2021. A -80.2% loss requires a 403.9% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| American Outdoor Brands Stock Lost 20%, Buy Or Wait? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AOUT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American Outdoor Brands
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 749 |
| Op Inc LTM | 123 |
| FCF LTM | -0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 17 |
| CFO LTM | 4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 181 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 9.9 |
| P/E | 20.4 |
| P/CFO | 24.2 |
| Total Yield | -1.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -32.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -22.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -37.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6262025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3062025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6272024 | 10-K 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6282023 | 10-K 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 7142022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12092021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
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