Tearsheet

Predictive Oncology (POAI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.62 | Market Cap: $3.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology

Predictive Oncology (POAI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.62
Market Cap: $3.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Technology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Precision Medicine, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -877%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -96%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -911%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -912%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1128%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -117%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1098%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Precision Medicine, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -877%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -96%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -911%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -912%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1128%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -117%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1098%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

POAI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Significant Losses and Weak Financial Health: Predictive Oncology reported a substantial loss per common share of $(107.24) for the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to a $74.4 million derivative liability associated with its digital asset strategy. The company also ended Q3 2025 with only $181,667 in cash and cash equivalents, a significant decrease from prior periods, and faced a substantial stockholders' deficit of $77.4 million, indicating severe financial strain.

2. Reverse Stock Split for Nasdaq Compliance: A 1-for-15 reverse stock split was enacted effective September 30, 2025. This action was primarily undertaken to maintain compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements. Reverse stock splits are often viewed negatively by the market as they can signal underlying financial difficulties and may lead to a decrease in overall market capitalization, despite an increase in per-share price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
POAI Return-72%30%-68%-46%-75%-55%-99%
Peers Return28%9%-10%-12%5%-14%0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
POAI Win Rate33%42%33%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate25%23%22%30%28%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
POAI Max Drawdown-75%-2%-74%-58%-83%-94% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-3%-35%-24%-17%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OMCL, BEAT, CARL, HTFL, VEEV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPOAIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1598.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven427.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-91.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1080.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to OMCL, BEAT, CARL, HTFL, VEEV


In The Past

Predictive Oncology's stock fell -94.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -94.1% loss requires a 1598.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Predictive Oncology (POAI)

Better Bets than Predictive Oncology (POAI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to POAI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Predictive Oncology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

POAIOMCLBEATCARLHTFLVEEVMedian
NamePredicti.Omnicell HeartBeamCarlsmed HeartFlowVeeva Sy. 
Mkt Price5.5140.480.7016.9928.00241.3322.49
Mkt Cap0.01.80.0--39.50.9
Rev LTM11,1780331392,96886
Op Inc LTM-917-21-24-61799-15
FCF LTM-1094-15-30-901,349-13
FCF 3Y Avg-11126-13--1,10857
CFO LTM-10153-15-29-851,349-13
CFO 3Y Avg-11183-13--1,10886

Growth & Margins

POAIOMCLBEATCARLHTFLVEEVMedian
NamePredicti.Omnicell HeartBeamCarlsmed HeartFlowVeeva Sy. 
Rev Chg LTM0.2%10.7%---15.3%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.6%-3.0%---14.1%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q-96.0%10.0%---16.7%10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.7%2.5%---4.0%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-876.8%1.5%--71.4%-44.4%26.9%-44.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1,001.1%-2.0%---22.5%-2.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-67.1%0.1%----0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-911.1%13.0%--86.4%-61.5%45.5%-61.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-903.2%16.0%---42.7%16.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-911.7%8.0%--88.9%-65.0%45.5%-65.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-914.8%11.0%---42.7%11.0%

Valuation

POAIOMCLBEATCARLHTFLVEEVMedian
NamePredicti.Omnicell HeartBeamCarlsmed HeartFlowVeeva Sy. 
Mkt Cap0.01.80.0--39.50.9
P/S8.11.2---15.98.1
P/EBIT-0.980.9-2.1--58.929.0
P/E-0.969.6-2.1--58.128.6
P/CFO-0.99.0-2.7--34.94.1
Total Yield-113.2%1.4%-48.1%--1.7%-23.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1,964.8%6.9%-27.2%--3.1%-12.0%
D/E0.20.10.0--0.00.1
Net D/E0.20.0-0.1---0.1-0.1

Returns

POAIOMCLBEATCARLHTFLVEEVMedian
NamePredicti.Omnicell HeartBeamCarlsmed HeartFlowVeeva Sy. 
1M Rtn-33.1%21.3%-59.8%39.0%-17.8%-17.6%-17.7%
3M Rtn-59.2%23.3%-49.7%31.1%-10.5%-10.9%-10.7%
6M Rtn-61.6%29.4%-58.1%---14.9%-36.5%
12M Rtn-55.2%-13.7%-76.1%--6.6%-34.4%
3Y Rtn-96.6%-20.4%-84.9%--38.0%-52.6%
1M Excs Rtn-33.1%21.3%-59.7%39.1%-17.7%-17.5%-17.6%
3M Excs Rtn-65.2%16.9%-55.0%26.3%-23.2%-16.0%-19.6%
6M Excs Rtn-76.4%14.7%-72.8%---29.6%-51.2%
12M Excs Rtn-67.9%-26.7%-90.5%---7.6%-47.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-167.8%-89.6%-158.8%---43.5%-124.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate9222900
Pittsburgh31   
Eagan11   
Birmingham11   
Helomics  21021
Skyline  111
Soluble  22 
ZPREDICTA  11  
Total1426441322


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity76,143
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202580.5%
Average Daily Volume37,626
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.02
Basic Shares Quantity607,265
Short % of Basic Shares12.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022321202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021