Schrodinger (SDGR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.15 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services
Schrodinger (SDGR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.15Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -66% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Precision Medicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Precision Medicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -66% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SDGR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -9.1% stock movement for Schrodinger (SDGR) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Lowered Software Revenue Growth Guidance: On November 5, 2025, Schrodinger reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results and updated its full-year 2025 software revenue growth guidance from the previous 10%-15% to a new range of 8%-13%. This reduction was attributed to current expectations regarding the timing of pharma scale-up opportunities and continued challenges within the biotech sector.
2. Discontinuation of SGR-2921 Clinical Program: As of early December 2025, Schrodinger announced the discontinuation of its SGR-2921 (CDC7 inhibitor) development program. This decision followed the deaths of two AML patients in a Phase I dose escalation study, with SGR-2921 being a contributing factor. The stock reacted negatively to this news, experiencing a double-digit decline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SDGR Return | - | -56% | -46% | 92% | -46% | -11% | -78% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 30% | 3% | -8% | 0% | 23% | 67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SDGR Win Rate | 60% | 25% | 42% | 67% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 60% | 52% | 40% | 52% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SDGR Max Drawdown | - | -58% | -53% | -3% | -53% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -9% | -21% | -23% | -17% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SDGR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 596.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 117 days | 148 days |
Compare to ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX
In The Past
Schrodinger's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 596.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SDGR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Schrodinger
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 150.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.3 |
| Rev LTM | 12,308 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,365 |
| FCF LTM | 1,387 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,042 |
| CFO LTM | 1,844 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,492 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.3 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 14.8 |
| P/E | 23.5 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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