Tearsheet

Schrodinger (SDGR)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $18.05 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services

Schrodinger (SDGR)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $18.05
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -66%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.45, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Precision Medicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
3   Key risks
SDGR key risks include [1] an uncertain path to profitability due to the substantial costs and inherent risks of drug development and [2] a heavy dependence on third-party collaborations for revenue and pipeline advancement.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Precision Medicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.45, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -66%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
8 Key risks
SDGR key risks include [1] an uncertain path to profitability due to the substantial costs and inherent risks of drug development and [2] a heavy dependence on third-party collaborations for revenue and pipeline advancement.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SDGR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining a potential -8% stock movement for Schrodinger (SDGR) from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025:

1. Reduced Software Revenue Growth Guidance: In its Q3 2025 financial results announced on November 5, 2025, Schrodinger lowered its full-year 2025 software revenue growth guidance from the previous expectation of 10% to 15% to a new range of 8% to 13%. This adjustment signals a deceleration in a core revenue segment.

2. Strategic Shift in Clinical Development: During the Q3 2025 earnings report on November 5, 2025, Schrodinger announced a strategic pivot to phase out independent clinical development activities. The company plans to instead focus on partnership-focused strategies, which may have led to investor uncertainty regarding its long-term pipeline and internal drug discovery programs.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SDGR Return-56%-46%92%-46%-6%
Peers Return-40%-2%-44%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SDGR Win Rate60%25%42%67%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate36%37%47%37%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SDGR Max Drawdown-58%-53%-3%-53%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-39%-50%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CERT, SLP, RXRX, ABCL, RLAY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSDGRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven596.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven117 days148 days

Compare to ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX


In The Past

Schrodinger's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 596.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Schrodinger (SDGR)

Better Bets than Schrodinger (SDGR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SDGR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Schrodinger

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SDGRCERTSLPRXRXABCLRLAYMedian
NameSchrodin.Certara Simulati.Recursio.AbCeller.Relay Th. 
Mkt Price17.948.6618.864.203.468.488.57
Mkt Cap1.31.40.31.91.01.51.4
Rev LTM257416794335861
Op Inc LTM-170266-724-247-327-209
FCF LTM-39214-450-153-249-78
FCF 3Y Avg-1046914-354-140-269-122
CFO LTM-111718-441-105-248-53
CFO 3Y Avg-968918-339-73-266-85

Growth & Margins

SDGRCERTSLPRXRXABCLRLAYMedian
NameSchrodin.Certara Simulati.Recursio.AbCeller.Relay Th. 
Rev Chg LTM32.9%11.5%13.1%-32.8%7.2%-16.5%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.7%8.6%13.7%23.2%-39.7%448.1%14.7%
Rev Chg Q53.9%10.3%-6.5%-80.9%37.6%-10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%2.4%-1.5%-32.7%7.4%0.0%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-66.3%6.3%8.2%-1,666.6%-699.7%-3,914.4%-383.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-89.2%3.1%10.8%-980.6%-661.1%-3,096.7%-375.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM14.8%-0.1%2.4%-659.5%102.7%191.2%8.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.4%28.1%22.9%-1,016.2%-296.0%-2,973.4%-148.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-49.1%23.2%26.2%-686.3%-215.8%-2,271.9%-132.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.3%22.0%18.2%-1,037.0%-433.4%-2,978.3%-217.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-53.0%18.1%20.2%-715.3%-389.7%-2,288.8%-221.4%

Valuation

SDGRCERTSLPRXRXABCLRLAYMedian
NameSchrodin.Certara Simulati.Recursio.AbCeller.Relay Th. 
Mkt Cap1.31.40.31.91.01.51.4
P/S5.74.73.850.242.6107.724.2
P/EBIT-8.760.6--3.1-6.1-2.8-3.1
P/E-8.4180.2-4.7-3.0-8.8-3.0-3.9
P/CFO-1,317.316.816.7-4.9-14.4-3.6-4.3
Total Yield-11.9%0.6%-21.3%-32.8%-11.4%-33.1%-16.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.6%3.3%--18.5%-13.7%-27.6%-13.7%
D/E0.10.2-0.00.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.20.1--0.3-0.2-0.6-0.2

Returns

SDGRCERTSLPRXRXABCLRLAYMedian
NameSchrodin.Certara Simulati.Recursio.AbCeller.Relay Th. 
1M Rtn1.7%4.0%9.0%1.4%-6.2%34.8%2.8%
3M Rtn-6.1%-25.0%22.2%-13.2%-27.5%105.3%-9.7%
6M Rtn-14.1%-18.1%2.9%-13.2%10.9%177.1%-5.1%
12M Rtn-17.1%-25.2%-38.9%-43.5%21.0%75.2%-21.1%
3Y Rtn-12.7%-46.4%-49.8%-50.2%-66.1%-50.3%-50.0%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%3.0%8.0%0.5%-7.2%33.8%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-8.8%-27.8%19.2%-13.9%-27.3%104.3%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn-27.7%-31.7%-10.7%-26.9%-2.8%163.5%-18.8%
12M Excs Rtn-27.2%-38.4%-53.3%-52.2%4.9%65.0%-32.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.0%-124.0%-123.5%-124.1%-139.8%-120.8%-123.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Software1591361139367
Drug discovery5845251619
Total21718113810886


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,329,983
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.2%
Average Daily Volume902,272
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.45
Basic Shares Quantity73,613,090
Short % of Basic Shares14.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-5.7%-9.1%-10.2%
8/6/20250.1%2.6%-1.1%
5/7/20250.7%0.8%3.8%
2/26/20252.5%0.6%-6.6%
11/12/202413.9%-6.7%11.4%
7/31/20241.4%-19.0%-4.8%
2/28/2024-18.8%-20.9%-13.9%
11/1/202314.7%24.8%48.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1087
# Negative91112
Median Positive3.4%12.7%13.3%
Median Negative-11.7%-12.8%-17.4%
Max Positive19.1%24.8%48.9%
Max Negative-26.8%-27.1%-33.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021