Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.7%, FCF Yield is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.7%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PEBO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) experienced a slight decrease of 0.3% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several factors, primarily related to its Q3 2025 earnings report and subsequent analyst reactions. Here are five key points highlighting why the stock moved by -0.3%: **1. Q3 2025 Earnings Performance: Meeting EPS but Missing Revenue.** Peoples Bancorp reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.83, which met analysts' expectations. However, the company's revenue of $115.18 million was slightly below projections of $116.88 million. While meeting EPS expectations can be positive, the revenue miss might have contributed to a slight downward pressure on the stock. **2. Net Income Decline Compared to Prior Year.** Net income for the third quarter of 2025 was $29.5 million, which represented earnings per diluted common share of $0.83. This was lower than the net income of $31.7 million, or $0.89 per diluted common share, reported for the third quarter of 2024. This year-over-year decline in net income, despite meeting current quarter EPS estimates, could have been a contributing factor to the stock's negative movement. **3. Impact of Investment Securities Sales.** During Q3 2025, Peoples Bancorp sold approximately $75 million of investment securities at a loss of $2.7 million. This strategic move aimed to increase future investment securities yields but negatively impacted diluted earnings per share by $0.06 for the quarter. **4. Analyst Revisions and Ratings.** While some analysts revised earnings expectations upward for the upcoming period and several maintained "Buy" or "Hold" ratings with price targets indicating an upside, there were also instances of negative revisions. The mean earnings estimate from analysts had fallen by about 2.6% in the three months leading up to the Q3 report, and one analyst negatively revised an earnings estimate in the 30 days prior. This mixed analyst sentiment and slight downward revisions could have influenced investor confidence. **5. Overall Stock Performance and Forecast.** In the broader context, Peoples Bancorp shares had fallen by 4.3% in the quarter ending September 2025 and lost 9.4% year-to-date as of October 21, 2025. Although the stock did see a pre-market rise of 1.67% to $29.02 following the Q3 earnings release, reflecting investor confidence in strategic initiatives, its movement during the broader specified period included a slight decline. Analysts' average 12-month price targets generally suggest an upside from the stock's price in early December 2025, with a consensus rating of "Hold" among some analysts. However, the actual price movement in the period indicates that the positive sentiment might not have fully offset other factors or the broader market conditions.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PEBO Return-17%23%-7%26%-1%-1%18%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEBO Win Rate42%75%50%75%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PEBO Max Drawdown-45%0%-16%-15%-19%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPEBOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven244 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven312.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2830 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Peoples Bancorp's stock fell -36.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -36.1% loss requires a 56.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Peoples Bancorp (PEBO)

Better Bets than Peoples Bancorp (PEBO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PEBO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Peoples Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PEBONEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePeoples .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price30.4011.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap1.10.30.2--84.20.7
Rev LTM4482696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM133-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg126-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM139-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg135-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

PEBONEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePeoples .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM1.2%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.3%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%14.3%
Rev Chg Q0.6%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM31.1%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%24.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.4%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.4%
FCF/Rev LTM29.8%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%22.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg29.3%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

PEBONEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePeoples .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap1.10.30.2--84.20.7
P/S2.31.12.7--7.42.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.34.911.6--28.810.9
P/CFO7.5-0.67.9--16.87.7
Total Yield13.9%20.2%13.5%--3.5%13.7%
Dividend Yield4.1%0.0%4.9%--0.0%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.7%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.72.60.2--0.00.4
Net D/E0.51.8-4.5---0.40.0

Returns

PEBONEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePeoples .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn5.4%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn0.4%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn7.3%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-7.7%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%12.4%
3Y Rtn18.5%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%13.6%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-6.4%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-7.4%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-22.0%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-0.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-51.0%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-55.8%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking422324230194199
Total422324230194199


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity900,458
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.8%
Average Daily Volume176,297
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.11
Basic Shares Quantity35,003,054
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021