PureCycle Technologies (PCT)
Market Price (1/29/2026): $11.34 | Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services
PureCycle Technologies (PCT)
Market Price (1/29/2026): $11.34Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -51% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -52% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2781% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, and Sustainable Packaging Materials. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 361x | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 277% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2578%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3445% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% | ||
| Key risksPCT key risks include [1] persistent operational and scalability challenges at its flagship Ironton facility and [2] significant financial strains from a high cash burn and substantial future capital requirements. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -51% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, and Sustainable Packaging Materials. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2781% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 361x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 277% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2578%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3445% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
| Key risksPCT key risks include [1] persistent operational and scalability challenges at its flagship Ironton facility and [2] significant financial strains from a high cash burn and substantial future capital requirements. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued Financial Losses and Unprofitability: PureCycle Technologies has continued to face significant financial challenges, reporting a substantial loss of $289.14 million in 2024 and being forecast to remain unprofitable over the subsequent three years as of November 2025. The company recorded a loss of $(0.81) per share in the second quarter of 2025. While the Q3 2025 update noted "significant progress," it also acknowledged ongoing financial challenges and a normalized cash burn of approximately $27 million per quarter.
2. High Debt Burden and Liquidity Concerns: The company's high debt load has been a persistent concern for investors. As of December 31, 2024, PureCycle had total consolidated debt of $346.6 million and "no sources of material revenue" according to filings. Although capital was raised, including about $33 million in February 2025 and plans to monetize $118 million in revenue bonds in 2025, the company's reliance on such financing, coupled with an expensive credit line (17.5% interest rate) extended in September 2025 to March 2026, highlighted ongoing liquidity pressures.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.7% change in PCT stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.15 | 11.35 | -13.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 6 | 75.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 731.5 | 361.1 | -50.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 180 | 180 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.7% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PCT | -13.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 39.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 6.4% | 49.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.2% change in PCT stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -76.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.70 | 11.35 | -17.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2 | 6 | 258.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1,537.4 | 361.1 | -76.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 177 | 180 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.2% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PCT | -17.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.9% | 40.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.7% | 48.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.7% change in PCT stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312024 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.25 | 11.35 | 10.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 6 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 361.1 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 167 | 180 | -7.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2024 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PCT | 10.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.7% | 51.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 25.9% | 51.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 67.9% change in PCT stock from 12/31/2022 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312022 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.76 | 11.35 | 67.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 6 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 361.1 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 163 | 180 | -9.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2022 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PCT | 67.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 88.6% | 34.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 74.4% | 34.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PCT Return | -41% | -29% | -40% | 153% | -16% | 32% | -30% |
| Peers Return | 27% | -4% | 19% | 3% | -11% | 8% | 44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PCT Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 48% | 52% | 55% | 45% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PCT Max Drawdown | -46% | -46% | -59% | -41% | -46% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -17% | -3% | -9% | -18% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LYB, DOW, WM, RSG, WCN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -91.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1067.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -8.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 9.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 148 days |
Compare to LYB, DOW, WM, RSG, WCN
In The Past
PureCycle Technologies's stock fell -91.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/18/2021. A -91.4% loss requires a 1067.5% gain to breakeven.
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About PureCycle Technologies (PCT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. The Impossible Foods of plastic.
2. Like a Nucor for plastic, transforming waste polypropylene into high-quality new material.
3. A specialized chemical company, similar to a Dow or LyondellBasell, but focused on ultra-pure recycled plastics.
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- UPRâ„¢ Polypropylene Resin: A high-quality, ultrapure recycled polypropylene plastic resin derived from waste plastic, suitable for demanding applications including food-grade and medical products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
PureCycle Technologies (PCT) primarily operates on a business-to-business (B2B) model, selling its ultra-pure recycled polypropylene (UPRP) resin to other companies that use plastic in their manufacturing processes. The company does not sell directly to individual consumers.
Its major customers and strategic partners, often secured through multi-year off-take agreements for its UPRP, include:
- Procter & Gamble (PG): A global consumer goods giant and a foundational partner for PureCycle, committed to incorporating UPRP into various product packaging across its brands.
- SK Geo Centric: A prominent South Korean chemical company and subsidiary of SK Innovation, with significant off-take agreements and a joint venture partnership for the Asian market. (SK Geo Centric does not have a direct public stock symbol on major U.S. exchanges.)
- L'Oréal (OR): A world leader in beauty, partnering with PureCycle to integrate high-quality recycled plastic into its cosmetic packaging solutions.
- Milliken & Company: A global diversified manufacturing company that has signed off-take agreements for UPRP to use in various industrial and consumer applications. (This is a private company.)
- Ravago Americas: A leading global distributor and compounder of plastics and rubber, holding an off-take agreement for PureCycle's UPRP, enabling wider market penetration. (This is a private company.)
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- TotalEnergies (TTE)
- Mitsui & Co., Ltd. (8031.T)
- Wood Group PLC (WG.L)
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Dustin Olson, Chief Executive Officer
Dustin Olson joined PureCycle Technologies in 2021, initially as Chief Manufacturing Officer, before being promoted to Chief Operating Officer in early 2022, and subsequently appointed Chief Executive Officer in August 2022. He possesses over 20 years of experience in the plastics, petrochemical, and refining industries, with a career spanning the United States, Europe, and China. Prior to PureCycle, Olson held various senior leadership positions in manufacturing, commercial, and business support functions at LyondellBasell, where he was responsible for significant growth in volume and profitability. He holds a Bachelor of Science in chemical engineering, a Master's in Chemical Engineering, and a Master of Business Administration.
Jaime Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer
Jaime Vasquez was appointed Chief Financial Officer of PureCycle Technologies in February 2024. He brings more than 20 years of experience as a financial executive. Before joining PureCycle, Mr. Vasquez served as Chief Financial Officer at C&D Technologies from September 2020 to November 2022. His previous roles include Chief Financial Officer at AK Steel from 2015 to 2019, and Director of Finance from 2014 to 2015. From 2001 to 2014, he held various financial positions at Carpenter Technology Corporation, a public company specializing in stainless steel and corrosion-resistant alloys, including serving as a division chief financial officer. Mr. Vasquez holds a Master's in Business Administration and a Bachelor of Arts degree.
Tamsin Ettefagh, Chief Sustainability Officer and VP of Government
Ms. Ettefagh has over 32 years of experience in the recycling and plastics recycling sectors. Her extensive background includes implementing recycling collection programs, managing recycling operations for manufacturing recycling facilities, and handling the purchasing of raw materials and sales of recycled resins for plastic recycling companies. Before her tenure at PureCycle, she worked as a Senior Consultant, both independently and for major consulting firms, focusing on strategy and process advancements in the plastics recycling space, particularly within polyolefins.
Brad Kalter, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary
Brad Kalter has served as PureCycle's General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since January 2021, and also holds the title of Chief Compliance Officer. Prior to joining PureCycle, Mr. Kalter was the General Counsel, Chief Legal Officer, and Secretary of United Insurance Holdings Corp., a property and casualty insurance holding company, from February 2019 to January 2021. From October 2015 to February 2019, he served as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of Exide Technologies, a battery manufacturing and energy storage business, where he oversaw global legal operations.
Brett Hafer, Executive Vice President of Manufacturing and Tech
Brett Hafer joined PureCycle Technologies in 2021 and is responsible for leading the company's manufacturing operations, engineering, environmental health & safety (EHS), research & development, information technology, and digital initiatives. He brings over 20 years of experience in operational leadership, gained across the oil refining, petrochemical, and polymer manufacturing industries in the United States and the Netherlands.
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The key risks to PureCycle Technologies (PCT) are:-
Financial Strains and Funding Needs
PureCycle Technologies faces significant financial challenges, characterized by a high cash burn, a lack of profitability, and a substantial reliance on external funding. The company's financial results show operating losses and weak cash flow from operations. PureCycle has considerable capital expenditure requirements for facility expansion, estimated at $350-$450 million as of Q4 2023, and a long-term business plan requiring over $2 billion in capital expenditures through 2029. While the company has raised capital through equity and debt, this has led to potential dilution for existing shareholders. The valuation is considered extremely stretched given current fundamentals, indicating that future success is already heavily priced into the stock.
-
Operational and Commercialization Challenges
The company has faced persistent delays and operational bottlenecks in getting its flagship Ironton facility to function smoothly, with inconsistent production and challenges in process scalability and technology validation. This includes issues with removing certain waste from feedstock and the general complexity of implementing their recycling technology. There's also uncertainty regarding the conversion of product trials into long-term contracts and an inventory buildup, which raises questions about whether PureCycle is producing more than the market is currently willing to buy.
-
Market Adoption and Competition
PureCycle operates in a recycled polypropylene (PP) resin market that is not yet commoditized and lacks mandatory demand, meaning its product must directly compete with virgin PP on both cost and performance. The plastic recycling technology market is experiencing rapid advancements and intense competition, with numerous startups and significant venture capital investments. Furthermore, potential regulatory changes could introduce increased compliance requirements and affect investments in the plastic recycling sector.
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The rapid acceleration of investment and scaling of diverse advanced plastic recycling technologies by major incumbent chemical and energy companies poses a clear emerging threat. Companies such as ExxonMobil, LyondellBasell, SABIC, TotalEnergies, and others are committing significant capital to develop and commercialize various chemical recycling methods (e.g., pyrolysis, gasification) that aim to produce high-quality, virgin-like polymers from plastic waste, including polypropylene. While the specific technologies may differ from PureCycle's solvent-based purification, these efforts target the same end-market for high-quality recycled plastic and compete for the same feedstock of plastic waste. This intensified competition from established, resource-rich players could lead to increased feedstock costs, downward pressure on the pricing of recycled polypropylene, and a more crowded market for securing supply agreements for virgin-like recycled resin.
AI Analysis | Feedback
PureCycle Technologies (PCT) primarily focuses on the production of Ultra-Pure Recycled (UPR) Polypropylene (PP) resin, which is a virgin-like material derived from polypropylene waste.
The addressable market for their main product, recycled polypropylene, has been sized globally and for the United States.
- Global Market: The global recycled polypropylene market was valued at approximately USD 9.81 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow to nearly USD 16.05 billion by 2032, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.34% from 2025 to 2032. Another estimate placed the global market at USD 9.15 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 16.44 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 5.47% from 2025 to 2035. In terms of volume, the global recycle polypropylene market reached approximately 7,500 thousand tonnes in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.06% by 2035.
- U.S. Market: The recycled polypropylene market in the United States generated a revenue of USD 1,779.4 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 2,548.0 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.3% from 2024 to 2030. North America accounted for a significant portion of the global recycled polypropylene market, with a 19.3% share in 2023. Specifically, the North American recycled polypropylene in packaging market was valued at approximately USD 3.6 billion in 2024, holding a 38.90% share of the global recycled polypropylene in packaging market.
The applications for recycled polypropylene include packaging, consumer goods, automotive, industrial applications, textiles, and building & construction.
AI Analysis | Feedback
PureCycle Technologies (PCT) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives:
- Increased Production and Operational Efficiency at the Ironton Facility: The Ironton facility has demonstrated record production, with 7.2 million pounds of PureFiveâ„¢ resin produced in Q3 2025, including a monthly record of 3.3 million pounds in September. The company anticipates that the completion of in-house compounding at Ironton by year-end 2025 will enable the production of approximately 100 million annual pounds of single-pellet solutions, leading to higher sellable volume.
- Commercialization and Customer Adoption of PureFiveâ„¢ Resin: PureCycle is transitioning from trials to commercial sales, with momentum seen in brand owners and converters beginning to purchase their PureFiveâ„¢ resin. Shipments to a top-five global Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) are expected to commence in Q4 2025, and products containing PureCycle resin for Procter & Gamble are slated for shelf appearance in early 2026. The company has developed a comprehensive PureFiveâ„¢ product portfolio suitable for various applications, including food-grade flexible film, thermoforming, injection molding, and textiles.
- Global Expansion into New Geographies: PureCycle is actively pursuing international expansion with plans for facilities in Thailand and Belgium. Key feedstock Letters of Intent for the Thailand project target over 100 million pounds annually, with mechanical completion projected for 2027. The Antwerp facility in Europe is expected to be operational by 2028. These new facilities are part of a broader strategy to achieve 1 billion pounds of installed capacity across the United States, Europe, and Asia by 2030, with future "Gen 2" facilities designed for capacities exceeding 300 million pounds per year.
- Completion of Compounding Expansion at Ironton: The in-house compounding expansion at the Ironton facility, targeted for completion by year-end 2025, is expected to produce approximately 100 million annual pounds of single-pellet solutions. This expansion aims to reduce production costs, simplify supply chain operations, and broaden the market reach for PureCycle's products.
- Advancement of the Augusta Facility: While the full purification lines at the Augusta, Georgia, facility are projected for a later date, the Augusta PreP (pre-processing) facility is expected to be operational by mid-2026. Furthermore, construction for the Gen 2 facility in Augusta is anticipated to begin in mid-2026, contributing to future capacity and revenue generation within the 2-3 year timeframe.
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Share Repurchases
- PureCycle Technologies reported share repurchases of $1.049 million in 2024, primarily related to taxes due on employee restricted stock award vesting.
Share Issuance
- In March 2021, PureCycle Technologies went public through a SPAC merger, raising approximately $590 million for expansion plans, which included a $250 million common stock PIPE transaction.
- In March 2022, PureCycle completed a private placement of common stock and warrants, raising approximately $250 million in net proceeds.
- In June 2025, the company announced a $300 million capital raise through Series B convertible perpetual preferred stock to support global expansion.
Inbound Investments
- The SPAC merger in March 2021 resulted in approximately $590 million in funding for the company.
- A $250 million private equity capital raise was secured in March 2022 from a group of existing and new investors, including Sylebra Capital, Samlyn Capital, and SK geo centric.
- In June 2025, PureCycle announced a $300 million capital raise from new and existing investors such as Duquesne Family Office LLC, Wasserstein Debt Opportunities, Samlyn Capital, Pleiad Investment Advisors, and Sylebra Capital Management.
Outbound Investments
- No information is available regarding PureCycle Technologies (PCT) making strategic investments in other companies during the specified period.
Capital Expenditures
- The Ironton, Ohio plant (Plant 1) had an original budget of $242.1 million, which was expected to be exceeded by $55 - $65 million as of March 2022. Operations for in-house compounding are projected to be completed by the end of 2025 to enable 100 million annual pounds of single-pellet solutions.
- PureCycle announced a $440 million investment in July 2021 for a multi-line manufacturing facility in Augusta, Georgia (Plant 2), with construction on a larger "Gen 2" line expected to begin in mid-2026 and the first purification line operational by 2029.
- The company plans global expansion with new facilities, including a 130-million-pound line in Thailand with construction starting in the second half of 2025 and operations expected by mid-2027, and another 130-million-pound line in Antwerp, Belgium, projected to be operational in 2028. The total major expansion plans are expected to cost around $2 billion.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 109.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.6 |
| Rev LTM | 20,643 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,643 |
| FCF LTM | 849 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,639 |
| CFO LTM | 2,392 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,748 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 31.6 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | 25.6 |
| P/E | 34.3 |
| P/CFO | 14.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 34.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $11.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/14/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $9.44 | $11.26 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 20.2% | 0.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 84.4% | 82.2% |
| Downside Capture | 357.93 | 292.72 |
| Upside Capture | 298.65 | 266.86 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.6% | 51.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 6.86 | 3.88 | 3.17 | 3.00 | 2.22 | 2.18 |
| Up Beta | 10.41 | -0.01 | -0.21 | 0.66 | 1.64 | 1.95 |
| Down Beta | 2.29 | 4.02 | 3.51 | 3.35 | 2.18 | 1.84 |
| Up Capture | 929% | 403% | 286% | 328% | 639% | 2974% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 18 | 28 | 54 | 112 | 336 |
| Down Capture | 688% | 451% | 369% | 304% | 162% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 23 | 36 | 70 | 134 | 398 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PCT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCT | 13.7% | 82.1% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 19.2% | 19.0% | 0.80 | 53.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.1% | 19.3% | 0.69 | 52.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 97.2% | 20.8% | 3.18 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 15.4% | 0.64 | 21.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 16.5% | -0.10 | 37.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -12.7% | 39.6% | -0.25 | 37.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PCT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCT | -10.3% | 95.2% | 0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.7% | 17.2% | 0.69 | 31.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 33.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.2% | 15.8% | 1.19 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.6% | 18.8% | 0.54 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 26.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 23.7% | 57.6% | 0.60 | 16.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PCT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCT | 0.6% | 91.1% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.1% | 19.8% | 0.67 | 29.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.0% | 17.9% | 0.77 | 32.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 14.9% | 0.94 | 4.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.2% | 17.6% | 0.43 | 8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.1% | 20.8% | 0.26 | 25.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 70.9% | 66.5% | 1.10 | 15.0% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 9.7% | -7.6% | -4.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | -2.6% | -1.9% | -22.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | -6.7% | -11.8% | -1.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.6% | -6.9% | -23.4% |
| 3/5/2024 | -11.5% | -12.7% | 0.4% |
| 11/8/2023 | -16.9% | 13.2% | 35.2% |
| 8/8/2023 | -0.8% | -1.6% | -18.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 9.7% | 13.8% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.1% | -9.7% | -16.2% |
| Max Positive | 39.4% | 42.7% | 53.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.9% | -31.6% | -23.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/29/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sylebra, Capital Llc | See Footnote | Buy | 2102025 | 8.06 | 619,925 | 4,996,596 | 274,665,246 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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