Tearsheet

PureCycle Technologies (PCT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.01 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

PureCycle Technologies (PCT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.01
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -46%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2781%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, and Sustainable Packaging Materials.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 418x
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2578%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3445%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -46%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, and Sustainable Packaging Materials.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2781%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 418x
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2578%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3445%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -37.7% stock movement for PureCycle Technologies (PCT) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Significant Miss in Q2 2025 Earnings and Revenue. PureCycle Technologies reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings on August 7, 2025, which revealed a substantial miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue compared to analysts' forecasts. The company reported an EPS of -$0.81 against an expected -$0.208, and revenue of $1.65 million, significantly lower than the forecasted $2.7 million, leading to a 5% drop in after-hours trading.

2. Cautious Investor Reaction to Q3 2025 Financials Despite Production Records. On November 6, 2025, PureCycle announced its third-quarter 2025 corporate update, reporting sales of $2.43 million and a net loss of $28.37 million. Although the Ironton Facility achieved a record production of 7.2 million pounds of pellets, the reported revenue fell short of the consensus estimate of $6.04 million, causing the stock to decline by 7.03% in after-hours trading due to cautious investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCT Return--41%-29%-40%153%-19%-48%
Peers Return74%-12%28%16%58%23%341%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCT Win Rate80%50%50%50%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate48%46%50%52%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCT Max Drawdown--46%-46%-59%-41%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-33%-28%-19%-6%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, MDRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1067.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-8.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven9.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, MDRN


In The Past

PureCycle Technologies's stock fell -91.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/18/2021. A -91.4% loss requires a 1067.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PureCycle Technologies (PCT)

Better Bets than PureCycle Technologies (PCT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PureCycle Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PCTCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NamePureCycl.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
Mkt Price8.9095.6817.1054.501.83-17.10
Mkt Cap1.66.12.41.90.1-1.9
Rev LTM61,7952,53171825-718
Op Inc LTM-1579327948-4-48
FCF LTM-1957826-173-3
FCF 3Y Avg-2277414713-0-13
CFO LTM-146343208-23-3
CFO 3Y Avg-123271257250-25

Growth & Margins

PCTCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NamePureCycl.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
Rev Chg LTM-20.5%4.4%29.9%-5.7%-12.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.6%3.1%21.9%-2.0%-11.3%
Rev Chg Q-17.9%13.1%45.8%-4.6%-15.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM75.2%4.3%3.2%9.5%-1.4%-4.3%
Op Mgn LTM-2,781.5%5.2%11.0%6.7%-17.7%-5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.9%13.3%7.0%-12.7%-6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1,856.2%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,577.6%19.1%8.2%-0.3%11.9%-8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-18.2%10.5%4.8%0.7%-7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3,445.1%4.4%1.0%-2.4%10.7%-1.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.2%6.0%2.8%-0.7%-4.0%

Valuation

PCTCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NamePureCycl.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
Mkt Cap1.66.12.41.90.1-1.9
P/S418.43.41.12.53.8-3.4
P/EBIT-14.473.15.918.6-60.7-5.9
P/E-10.4394.811.934.9-31.0-11.9
P/CFO-16.217.613.6-796.831.8-13.6
Total Yield-9.6%0.3%8.4%2.9%-3.2%-0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.5%1.4%11.3%2.5%-2.4%-1.4%
D/E0.20.20.60.10.0-0.2
Net D/E0.10.20.50.1-0.3-0.1

Returns

PCTCWSTGEOCECOFTEKMDRNMedian
NamePureCycl.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Fuel TechModern M. 
1M Rtn-18.3%7.8%1.7%4.8%-30.7%-1.7%
3M Rtn-32.9%0.1%-18.7%17.4%-36.0%--18.7%
6M Rtn-10.4%-18.3%-36.2%104.0%9.6%--10.4%
12M Rtn-35.3%-16.0%-36.5%68.9%77.7%--16.0%
3Y Rtn36.7%10.4%49.6%346.7%27.1%-36.7%
1M Excs Rtn-18.3%7.9%1.8%4.8%-30.6%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-37.7%-5.2%-24.5%6.4%-42.0%--24.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.1%-33.0%-50.9%89.2%-5.1%--25.1%
12M Excs Rtn-46.6%-29.0%-53.6%56.5%57.5%--29.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.4%-60.1%-5.6%272.5%-30.9%--30.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41,105,847
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.8%
Average Daily Volume5,455,584
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.53
Basic Shares Quantity180,069,000
Short % of Basic Shares22.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241115202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021