Paycom Software (PAYC)
Market Price (2/16/2026): $125.92 | Market Cap: $7.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Paycom Software (PAYC)
Market Price (2/16/2026): $125.92Market Cap: $7.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 5.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% | Key risksPAYC key risks include [1] intense competition and a potentially saturated market that could pressure growth and pricing power and [2] significant data security vulnerabilities, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 5.5% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% |
| Key risksPAYC key risks include [1] intense competition and a potentially saturated market that could pressure growth and pricing power and [2] significant data security vulnerabilities, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Softer Outlook: Paycom reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 5, 2025, where the Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.94 missed the consensus estimate of $1.96. While revenue showed a year-over-year increase, the earnings miss was a significant disappointment for investors, leading to an 8.5% drop in shares after the announcement. This miss, coupled with a potentially softer outlook for future growth due to a shift towards its automated Beti system cannibalizing other revenue streams, contributed to investor concerns.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Following the Q3 2025 results, numerous analyst firms downgraded Paycom's stock and significantly reduced their price targets. For example, Mizuho lowered its price objective from $220.00 to $180.00, and Zacks Research cut its rating from "hold" to "strong sell" in January 2026. UBS Group lowered its price target from $245.00 to $210.00 on January 26, 2026, which alone caused a 5.7% drop in the stock. The consensus rating among analysts shifted to "Hold," with an average 12-month price target around $202.86 by early February 2026, down from previous higher targets.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -32.9% change in PAYC stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 186.66 | 125.31 | -32.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,960 | 2,001 | 2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.2% | 22.6% | 6.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.2 | 15.5 | -38.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -32.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAYC | -32.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.0% | 19.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.3% | 3.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -45.7% change in PAYC stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 230.63 | 125.31 | -45.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,914 | 2,001 | 4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.6% | 22.6% | 9.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.8 | 15.5 | -52.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -45.7% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAYC | -45.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 21.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 15.1% | 13.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.2% change in PAYC stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 206.08 | 125.31 | -39.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,824 | 2,001 | 9.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 25.8% | 22.6% | -12.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.5 | 15.5 | -36.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAYC | -39.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.3% | 52.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 27.2% | 49.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -60.5% change in PAYC stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -78.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 317.51 | 125.31 | -60.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,290 | 2,001 | 55.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.4% | 22.6% | 16.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 73.5 | 15.5 | -78.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 56 | 3.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -60.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAYC | -60.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 37.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 78.5% | 38.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PAYC Return | -8% | -25% | -33% | -0% | -22% | -25% | -73% |
| Peers Return | 32% | -15% | 17% | 25% | -10% | -24% | 12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PAYC Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 40% | 53% | 65% | 45% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PAYC Max Drawdown | -32% | -37% | -51% | -32% | -22% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -31% | -10% | -10% | -22% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ADP, PAYX, PCTY, WDAY, ORCL. See PAYC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PAYC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 267.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 185 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 120 days |
Compare to ADP, PAYX, PCTY, WDAY, ORCL
In The Past
Paycom Software's stock fell -72.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -72.8% loss requires a 267.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Paycom Software (PAYC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Salesforce for Human Resources and Payroll.
- The cloud-native alternative to ADP or Paychex.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Payroll Services: Comprehensive processing of employee wages, taxes, and deductions, ensuring compliance with regulations.
- Time and Labor Management: Tools for tracking employee work hours, managing schedules, and administering leave requests.
- Talent Acquisition: Solutions for recruiting, applicant tracking, background checks, and streamlined onboarding processes.
- Talent Management: Features supporting performance reviews, goal setting, learning and development, and compensation administration.
- HR Management: Services for benefits administration, maintaining employee data, ensuring compliance, and providing HR analytics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paycom Software (PAYC) Customer Information
Paycom Software (PAYC) primarily sells its human capital management (HCM) software solution to other companies, not individuals. These companies utilize Paycom's platform for various HR functionalities including payroll, time and attendance, talent management, benefits administration, and more.
Due to the nature of its Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) business model, Paycom serves a broad and diverse client base across numerous industries. The company does not publicly disclose a list of specific "major customers" by name, as its revenue is diversified among a large number of client businesses rather than concentrated in a few named entities.
However, Paycom's target customer base can be characterized by the following categories of companies:
- Small to Mid-Sized Businesses (SMBs): Historically, Paycom's core focus and strongest market penetration have been with companies typically having between 50 and 5,000 employees. These businesses benefit from Paycom's comprehensive, single-database solution to streamline complex HR processes, improve efficiency, and ensure compliance.
- Companies Across Diverse Industries: Paycom's clients span a wide array of sectors, including retail, healthcare, hospitality, manufacturing, professional services, technology, and more. The need for efficient payroll and HR management is universal, making their solution applicable across various economic segments.
- Growing Enterprises: While traditionally strong in the SMB and mid-market, Paycom is increasingly expanding its reach to larger enterprises. These companies seek robust, scalable HCM solutions to manage their larger workforces, complex regulatory requirements, and multi-state or multi-national operations.
As Paycom's customer base consists of a vast number of private and public companies across various sizes and industries, and no individual customer accounts for a significant portion of its revenue, specific customer company names and symbols are not publicly identifiable or disclosed as "major customers" in the traditional sense.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Chad Richison, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Chairman Chad Richison founded Paycom Software, Inc. in 1998 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer, President, and Chairman since then. He previously began his career in sales with a national payroll and human resources company and a regional payroll company before founding Paycom. Richison led Paycom through its successful initial public offering (IPO) on the New York Stock Exchange in 2014. Bob Foster, Chief Financial Officer Bob Foster has served as Paycom's Chief Financial Officer since February 2025. Prior to joining Paycom in 2022, Mr. Foster spent eight years as CEO and chairman of a payroll company, where he significantly grew its revenue and expanded its offices. He also had a distinguished 31-year career at Ernst & Young, serving as a senior partner and managing several of the firm's largest accounts. Mr. Foster is a Certified Public Accountant. Randy Peck, Chief Operating Officer Randy Peck was appointed Paycom's Chief Operating Officer in May 2024, following his role as Senior Advisor to Executive Management. He joined Paycom in 2002 and has held various positions across operations, client service, product management, and sales, including Director of Software Strategy, Director of Operations, and Director of Client Service. Mr. Peck has more than 34 years of management experience in the payroll and human capital management (HCM) space. Shane Hadlock, Chief Client Officer and Chief Technology Officer Shane Hadlock was named Paycom's Chief Technology Officer in August 2025, in addition to his role as Chief Client Officer, which he assumed in October 2024. With over 30 years of technology experience, Mr. Hadlock has led multiple IT functions at Paycom for nearly 14 years, including six years as Executive Vice President of Information Technology and Information Security. Before joining Paycom, he spent 10 years in various leadership roles at Hertz. Rachael Gannon, Chief Automation Officer Rachael Gannon was promoted to Chief Automation Officer in August 2025, previously serving as Executive Vice President of Product and Development since April 2025. She joined Paycom in 2013 in the client services department and has held multiple product management leadership roles from 2020 to 2023. In her current role, she is responsible for driving the company's product strategy.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Paycom Software (PAYC):1. Intense Competition and Market Saturation
Paycom operates in a fiercely competitive human capital management (HCM) software market, facing established industry giants such as Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and Paychex, as well as an increasing number of aggressive new entrants. This intense competition can lead to slowing organic revenue growth and pressure on pricing power due to a lack of significant product differentiation. Some analyses suggest that the total addressable market (TAM) for Paycom may be more saturated than the company's management indicates, making it more challenging to gain further market share. Legacy leaders like ADP have also "retrenched and gone on offense," making the competitive landscape even more challenging.
2. Economic Slowdown and Impact on Employment
Paycom's business model relies heavily on a per-employee billing structure for its payroll and HR services. Consequently, an economic downturn that leads to increased unemployment directly and negatively impacts the company's fundamentals and recurring revenue growth. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, a spike in unemployment significantly reduced Paycom's recurring revenue growth rate due to client headcount reductions. This sensitivity to employment levels makes the company vulnerable to broader economic conditions.
3. Data Security and Compliance Risks
As a provider of human capital management solutions, Paycom handles vast amounts of highly sensitive personal and financial data for its clients and their employees. This makes the company a prime target for cyber-attacks, including data breaches, phishing, and malicious software. A data breach that occurred between May and June 2023, which exposed personal information including driver's license numbers for thousands of individuals, underscores this risk and resulted in a class-action lawsuit alleging unauthorized access to customer accounts and re-routing of direct deposits. Such incidents can lead to significant financial liabilities, reputational damage, loss of customer trust, and increased operational costs for remediation and enhanced security measures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Paycom Software Inc. (PAYC) operates in the Human Capital Management (HCM) software market, offering a comprehensive suite of cloud-based solutions including payroll processing, talent acquisition, talent management, human resource management, and workforce management systems.
The estimated addressable market for Paycom's main products and services in the United States varies depending on the specific segmentation:
- The total addressable market (TAM) for Paycom's cloud-based Human Capital Management (HCM) software solutions, primarily targeting mid-sized companies and large enterprises, is estimated to be $22.4 billion.
- Management estimates the addressable market for its services, primarily targeting small-to-medium size businesses (SMBs) with 50 to 5,000 employees, to be $24 billion in the U.S., with an anticipated annual growth rate of 9-10%.
- The total addressable market (TAM) for U.S. HCM software is estimated to be around $25 billion, growing at approximately 10% to 12% annually.
For the broader payroll and HCM industry, the market is estimated to be $70 billion, comprised of a $50 billion payroll market and a $20 billion HCM market. The U.S. payroll services market alone is expected to reach $8.44 billion in 2025 and grow to $11.06 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paycom Software (PAYC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
-
Continued Product Innovation and Automation: Paycom is heavily investing in and expanding its suite of automated, AI-driven solutions such as "Beti" and "IWant." These products aim to enhance efficiency, reduce manual tasks, and improve overall client experience, thereby driving adoption and sales. Beti, the payroll solution, is noted for significantly reducing payroll processing labor and error correction time, while the AI-powered "IWant" is transforming how clients engage with HR and payroll data, leading to increased client engagement and expanded sales pipelines.
-
New Client Acquisition and Market Share Expansion: The company continues to prioritize acquiring new clients and increasing its market share. This includes further penetration into the small to mid-sized business market, as well as a strategic shift towards targeting larger enterprises. Efforts in sales execution and streamlined sales processes are aimed at winning new "logos" (clients) across various market segments.
-
International Expansion: Paycom is actively pursuing growth opportunities through international expansion. Recent efforts include investments in this area and the launch of "Global HCM" with native payroll processing capabilities in countries like Mexico and Canada, indicating a strategic push to broaden its geographical footprint.
-
Cross-selling and Upselling Additional Modules: With its comprehensive, cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform, Paycom aims to drive revenue by cross-selling and upselling additional software modules to its existing client base. The introduction of new, innovative products and enhanced automation capabilities is expected to increase "product attach rates" and enable clients to derive more value, leading to the adoption of more services.
-
Enhanced Client Retention through Operational Efficiencies: By providing high-ROI solutions and improving operational efficiencies through automation, Paycom aims to significantly boost client satisfaction and retention. Automation has led to a notable decline in internal support tickets and inbound client call volumes, which are positive indicators for client loyalty. Strong client retention is a critical component of Paycom's recurring revenue model and overall growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
Share Repurchases
- Paycom's board of directors authorized an increase to its stock repurchase plan to $1.5 billion through August 15, 2026, as of July 31, 2024.
- Since July 2023, the company repurchased approximately 2.3 million shares for nearly $413 million. Since the beginning of 2023, Paycom repurchased 4.1 million shares of common stock for $806 million.
- As of October 31, 2025, approximately $1.1 billion remained available under the current buyback authorization.
Capital Expenditures
- Approximately $100 million was invested in AI-focused capital expenditures for Phoenix and Oklahoma City data centers, largely completed by Q3 2025, to support AI initiatives such as iOne.
- Capital expenditures for the expansion of its corporate headquarters commenced in Q4 2021 and continued throughout 2022, with an estimated cost of $70 million to $75 million, with construction expected to be completed in the first half of 2024.
- Paycom anticipates capital expenditures to be in the single digits as a percentage of revenue for the upcoming year (presumably 2026).
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 134.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 36.2 |
| Rev LTM | 7,632 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,552 |
| FCF LTM | 1,196 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,945 |
| CFO LTM | 2,498 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,152 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 36.2 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 15.9 |
| P/E | 22.8 |
| P/CFO | 14.6 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -17.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -26.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -35.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -36.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -40.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -49.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -82.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $125.31 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/15/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -52.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $150.79 | $201.60 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -16.9% | -37.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 33.8% | 37.2% |
| Downside Capture | 154.04 | 116.65 |
| Upside Capture | -17.59 | 50.38 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 4.3% | 52.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.55 | 0.08 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| Up Beta | 2.60 | 0.86 | 1.16 | 1.57 | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Down Beta | -0.35 | -0.85 | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| Up Capture | -108% | -53% | -15% | -28% | 41% | 40% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 27 | 57 | 126 | 397 |
| Down Capture | 286% | 159% | 177% | 131% | 107% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 34 | 68 | 125 | 355 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAYC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAYC | -39.2% | 37.2% | -1.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 27.9% | 19.2% | 1.15 | 49.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 19.4% | 0.55 | 52.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.3% | 25.3% | 2.17 | -7.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 9.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.9% | 16.6% | 0.28 | 49.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.8% | 44.9% | -0.65 | 15.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAYC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAYC | -21.5% | 44.2% | -0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.9% | 17.2% | 0.74 | 45.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 52.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.0% | 1.06 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.5% | 18.9% | 0.44 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 41.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.3% | 57.2% | 0.37 | 23.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAYC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAYC | 17.0% | 44.4% | 0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.3% | 19.8% | 0.68 | 49.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 58.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.82 | 0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 16.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.4% | 20.7% | 0.27 | 48.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.9% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 15.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | |||
| 11/5/2025 | -10.7% | -8.7% | -10.5% |
| 8/6/2025 | 4.5% | -0.8% | 0.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
| 2/12/2025 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| 10/30/2024 | 21.4% | 34.2% | 34.9% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.4% | -8.4% | -1.7% |
| 5/1/2024 | -10.5% | -7.5% | -21.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 7 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 17 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Median Negative | -7.5% | -7.5% | -10.5% |
| Max Positive | 21.4% | 34.2% | 34.9% |
| Max Negative | -38.5% | -31.5% | -25.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/17/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Foster, Robert D | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 162.66 | 1,300 | 211,458 | 2,398,747 | Form |
| 2 | Peck, Randall | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 165.85 | 2,192 | 363,541 | 7,828,402 | Form |
| 3 | Smith, Bradley Scott | Chief Information Officer | Bradley Scott Smith Revocable Trust, dated October 30, 2017 | Sell | 9162025 | 223.27 | 1,500 | 334,900 | 5,477,395 | Form |
| 4 | Smith, Bradley Scott | Chief Information Officer | Bradley Scott Smith Revocable Trust, dated October 30, 2017 | Sell | 6162025 | 249.96 | 1,500 | 374,938 | 6,807,126 | Form |
| 5 | Richison, Chad R | CEO, President and Chairman | Ernest Group, Inc. | Sell | 6062025 | 265.20 | 23,200 | 6,152,640 | 855,017,795 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.