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Patria Investments (PAX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.575 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Patria Investments (PAX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.575
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PAX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Patria Investments (PAX) experienced a positive stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Patria Investments reported robust unaudited results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 4, 2025. The company's Distributable Earnings reached $46.9 million, or $0.30 per share, marking a 31% increase from Q3 2024. Fee Related Earnings (FRE) also grew by 22% year-over-year to $49.5 million.

2. Significant Growth in Assets Under Management (AUM) and Fundraising: As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, Patria's Assets Under Management (AUM) surpassed $50 billion, representing more than a 3.5-fold increase since its IPO in 2021. The company successfully raised over $1.5 billion in Q3 2025, bringing its year-to-date fundraising to $6 billion, and expressed confidence in exceeding its full-year fundraising target of $6.6 billion.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PAX Return---10%19%-20%37%17%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PAX Win Rate-55%58%67%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PAX Max Drawdown---21%-3%-27%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPAXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Patria Investments's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 82.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Patria Investments (PAX)

Better Bets than Patria Investments (PAX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PAX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Patria Investments

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PAXVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NamePatria I.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price15.23163.1616.02116.902.60-16.02
Mkt Cap2.41.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM39787410015216-152
Op Inc LTM165179-44-8-104
FCF LTM-70104-35-9-30
FCF 3Y Avg-12513816-10-71
CFO LTM-77104-32-9-34
CFO 3Y Avg-13213817-9-75

Growth & Margins

PAXVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NamePatria I.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM26.5%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.0%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q10.0%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM41.4%20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg46.5%18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-12.9%

Valuation

PAXVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NamePatria I.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap2.41.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S5.61.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT18.83.6-8.72.8-6.1
P/E26.69.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO-16.68.0-11.8-6.1-0.9
Total Yield3.8%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-4.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-5.8%
D/E0.12.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E-0.01.60.9-0.1-0.9--0.0

Returns

PAXVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NamePatria I.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn5.5%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-4.2%
3M Rtn12.7%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn20.7%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%-0.7%
12M Rtn32.8%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%-5.6%
3Y Rtn33.4%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.6%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn5.9%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--14.1%
12M Excs Rtn19.8%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-35.3%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Revenue from management fees253220141109102
Revenue from performance fees75298904
Revenue from incentive fees465316
Revenue from advisory and other ancillary fees3412 
Rebate fees0    
Taxes on revenue-7    
M&A and monitoring fees    1
Total328259236115123


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,986,354
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.2%
Average Daily Volume624,888
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.38
Basic Shares Quantity159,466,996
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580120256-K 6/30/2025
331202580120256-K 3/31/2025
12312024515202520-F 12/31/2024
930202421220256-K 9/30/2024
6302024110520246-K 6/30/2024
331202480120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023429202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023112720236-K 9/30/2023
6302023110620236-K 6/30/2023
3312023110620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022428202320-F 12/31/2022
930202241720236-K 9/30/2022
6302022101220226-K 6/30/2022
331202292120226-K 3/31/2022
12312021428202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111820216-K 9/30/2021