Tearsheet

Par Pacific (PARR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.46 | Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Par Pacific (PARR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.46
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include Domestic Petroleum Refining, Energy Logistics & Distribution, and Renewable Fuel Production.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 112%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 159%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 137%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include Domestic Petroleum Refining, Energy Logistics & Distribution, and Renewable Fuel Production.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 112%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 159%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 137%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PARR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Par Pacific (PARR) stock moved significantly from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Par Pacific reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced an Adjusted EPS of $5.95, which largely exceeded the consensus estimate of $1.96, and its revenue of $2.01 billion also beat estimates. This strong performance, which included an Adjusted EBITDA of $372.5 million, demonstrated a healthy core business and contributed positively to investor sentiment.

2. Significant Small Refinery Exemption (SRE) Gain

A major factor boosting Par Pacific's third-quarter results was the gain from Small Refinery Exemptions. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) granted Par Pacific's mainland refineries exemptions from the Renewable Fuel Standard program for the 2019-2024 compliance years, resulting in a gain of approximately $200 million in adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PARR Return-40%18%41%56%-55%181%98%
Peers Return-39%26%71%16%-16%59%106%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PARR Win Rate33%42%50%75%33%80% 
Peers Win Rate37%53%73%52%38%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PARR Max Drawdown-74%-8%-28%-11%-59%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-5%-2%-18%-21%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DK, MPC, PSX, VLO, DINO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPARRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven83 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven287.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven952 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven191 days120 days

Compare to DK, MPC, PSX, VLO, DINO


In The Past

Par Pacific's stock fell -40.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -40.1% loss requires a 67.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Par Pacific (PARR)

Better Bets than Par Pacific (PARR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PARR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Par Pacific

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PARRDKMPCPSXVLODINOMedian
NamePar Paci.Delek US Marathon.Phillips.Valero E.HF Sincl. 
Mkt Price44.6738.13189.43139.85177.0551.7295.78
Mkt Cap2.22.357.456.654.79.632.2
Rev LTM7,48410,667133,262131,953123,07126,90574,988
Op Inc LTM373-594,7341,7183,0857111,214
FCF LTM167-7414,2761,3513,9606761,014
FCF 3Y Avg248-2158,2984,0696,9891,4502,760
CFO LTM336-1307,3913,4084,8391,1672,288
CFO 3Y Avg36623010,7836,0607,9261,8763,968

Growth & Margins

PARRDKMPCPSXVLODINOMedian
NamePar Paci.Delek US Marathon.Phillips.Valero E.HF Sincl. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.1%-20.5%-6.1%-10.7%-8.5%-9.5%-9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%-17.2%-8.3%-6.6%-10.3%-8.2%-8.3%
Rev Chg Q-6.1%-5.1%-0.8%-2.9%-2.2%0.6%-2.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%-1.4%-0.2%-0.8%-0.6%0.2%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM5.0%-0.6%3.6%1.3%2.5%2.6%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.3%-0.2%6.0%3.1%5.3%4.5%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.3%3.9%0.4%0.7%0.8%2.5%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM4.5%-1.2%5.5%2.6%3.9%4.3%4.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%1.3%7.4%4.2%5.7%6.1%5.2%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%-6.9%3.2%1.0%3.2%2.5%2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%-2.2%5.7%2.8%5.0%4.6%3.9%

Valuation

PARRDKMPCPSXVLODINOMedian
NamePar Paci.Delek US Marathon.Phillips.Valero E.HF Sincl. 
Mkt Cap2.22.357.456.654.79.632.2
P/S0.20.20.40.40.40.40.4
P/EBIT4.4-10.68.518.622.313.310.9
P/E7.4-3.820.336.635.224.822.5
P/CFO5.2-14.97.916.110.98.48.1
Total Yield13.4%-23.3%6.9%6.2%5.5%7.9%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.2%1.9%3.5%2.7%3.9%2.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.7%-12.2%14.3%7.5%14.6%14.7%13.0%
D/E0.81.70.60.40.20.30.5
Net D/E0.71.40.50.40.10.20.5

Returns

PARRDKMPCPSXVLODINOMedian
NamePar Paci.Delek US Marathon.Phillips.Valero E.HF Sincl. 
1M Rtn8.4%-2.0%-2.8%2.3%3.8%-2.3%0.2%
3M Rtn27.3%20.2%6.4%8.1%14.7%1.2%11.4%
6M Rtn112.2%108.6%22.0%26.6%41.9%48.1%45.0%
12M Rtn158.8%110.2%24.5%7.9%32.8%34.2%33.5%
3Y Rtn100.7%50.7%71.0%46.2%52.8%3.9%51.7%
1M Excs Rtn8.4%-1.9%-2.7%2.3%3.9%-2.2%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn25.4%14.8%1.0%1.8%9.3%-4.1%5.6%
6M Excs Rtn97.5%93.9%7.3%11.9%27.2%33.4%30.3%
12M Excs Rtn142.7%97.1%10.5%-5.3%17.8%19.2%18.5%
3Y Excs Rtn17.9%-38.3%-6.9%-28.2%-28.8%-80.2%-28.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining7,9697,0464,4712,8875,168
Retail592570456364459
Logistics261199185181199
Corporate, Eliminations and Other-591-493-402-306-425
Total8,2327,3224,7103,1255,402


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining676402-89-33294
Logistics7054513559
Retail5749812449
Corporate, Eliminations and Other-123-67-51-45-54
Total680438-8-318148


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining2,9052,5801,9291,4791,907
Logistics530412398445494
Retail257244228193232
Corporate, Eliminations and Other17244151767
Total3,8643,2812,5702,1342,701


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,265,597
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.6%
Average Daily Volume1,255,828
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.40
Basic Shares Quantity49,633,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021