Bank OZK (OZK)
Market Price (7/25/2026): $0 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Bank OZK (OZK)
Market Price (7/25/2026): $0Market Cap: $-Sector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 13% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 2.1% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% Moderate capital ratioTier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.75, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Key risksOZK key risks include [1] a significant concentration in large, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 2.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Moderate capital ratioTier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.75, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Key risksOZK key risks include [1] a significant concentration in large, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bank OZK (OZK) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Stronger-than-Expected Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings.
Bank OZK reported diluted earnings per share of $1.49 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.46 per share by $0.03. This positive earnings surprise, coupled with a sequential increase in net income of 2.5% from fiscal Q1 2026, signaled improved profitability and resilience.
2. Robust Shareholder Return Initiatives.
The bank demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns through both dividend increases and stock repurchases. Bank OZK announced its 64th consecutive quarterly common stock dividend increase, raising it by 2.13% to $0.48 per share. Additionally, a new $200 million stock repurchase program was authorized, effective July 1, 2026, representing approximately 3.4% of outstanding shares, which signaled management's confidence in the company's valuation.
Show more
Bank OZK (OZK) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Stronger-than-Expected Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings.
Bank OZK reported diluted earnings per share of $1.49 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.46 per share by $0.03. This positive earnings surprise, coupled with a sequential increase in net income of 2.5% from fiscal Q1 2026, signaled improved profitability and resilience.
2. Robust Shareholder Return Initiatives.
The bank demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns through both dividend increases and stock repurchases. Bank OZK announced its 64th consecutive quarterly common stock dividend increase, raising it by 2.13% to $0.48 per share. Additionally, a new $200 million stock repurchase program was authorized, effective July 1, 2026, representing approximately 3.4% of outstanding shares, which signaled management's confidence in the company's valuation.
3. Strategic Loan Portfolio Diversification and Asset Quality Management.
Bank OZK continued its strategic diversification efforts, particularly in fiscal Q1 2026 and fiscal Q2 2026, showing significant growth in its Corporate & Institutional Banking (CIB) and Indirect RV & Marine loan segments. This growth helped offset repayments within the Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG), reducing RESG's proportion of total loans to 52.1% by March 31, 2026. Management also highlighted strong increases in book value, tangible book value per common share, and capital ratios in fiscal Q2 2026, which further reassured investors about the bank's asset quality and future stability despite broader concerns regarding commercial real estate.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.8% change in OZK stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.01 | 50.33 | 11.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,728 | 1,737 | 0.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 41.4% | 40.7% | -1.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.0 | 7.9 | 12.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 111 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OZK | 11.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 14.1% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.6% change in OZK stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 44.70 | 50.33 | 12.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,700 | 1,737 | 2.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 42.5% | 40.7% | -4.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.0 | 7.9 | 12.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 113 | 111 | 2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OZK | 12.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.3% | 53.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.0% change in OZK stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 44.92 | 50.33 | 12.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,661 | 1,737 | 4.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 42.9% | 40.7% | -5.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.2 | 7.9 | 9.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 114 | 111 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OZK | 12.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.6% | 36.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.8% | 56.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 41.7% change in OZK stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.53 | 50.33 | 41.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,350 | 1,737 | 28.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 44.5% | 40.7% | -8.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.9 | 7.9 | 13.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 111 | 5.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 41.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OZK | 41.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 72.6% | 48.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.5% | 63.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OZK Return | 53% | -11% | 29% | -7% | 7% | 12% | 96% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 2% | 10% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OZK Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 71% | 46% | 52% | 54% | 54% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OZK Max Drawdown | -15% | -30% | -35% | -23% | -29% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -21% | -31% | -16% | -22% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HOMB, SSB, ABCB, UBSI, PNFP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OZK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 216 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 755 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Bank OZK's stock fell -25.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | OZK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 216 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 755 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.7% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.4% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 73 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Bank OZK's stock fell -25.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Bank OZK (OZK)
Bank OZK (symbol: OZK) is a regional financial institution providing a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking services. Established in 1903 and headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas, the bank operates approximately 240 offices primarily across states like Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Texas, California, and New York, serving a diverse customer base within these regions.
The company's primary offerings include a variety of deposit products such as non-interest-bearing checking, interest-bearing transaction, savings, money market, and time deposits. On the lending side, Bank OZK provides extensive financing options, including commercial and residential real estate loans, consumer and business purpose loans, indirect recreational vehicle and marine loans, commercial and industrial loans, and specialized services like business aviation and subscription financing.
In addition to core banking, Bank OZK offers trust and wealth management services (personal, custodial, investment management), comprehensive treasury management solutions for businesses (ACH, wire transfers, lockbox), and digital banking options like online and mobile banking. Its clientele ranges from individual consumers to small businesses and larger commercial entities, all seeking a wide array of financial products and services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. It's like PNC Bank, providing a full suite of retail and commercial banking services, wealth management, and diverse lending options across multiple states.
2. Consider it a Wells Fargo or Bank of America on a more regional scale, serving both individuals and businesses with a wide array of financial products in key growth areas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Deposit Services: The bank offers various accounts including checking, savings, money market, and time deposits to individuals and businesses.
- Lending Services: Bank OZK provides a wide range of loans, encompassing real estate, consumer, business, commercial and industrial, and specialized financing for areas like recreational vehicles, aviation, and affordable housing.
- Wealth Management Services: The company offers trust and wealth management solutions, including personal, custodial, investment management, and retirement accounts, alongside corporate trust services.
- Business Banking Services (Treasury Management): It provides businesses with treasury management tools like ACH, wire transfers, lockbox services, remote deposit capture, and commercial card services to manage transactions and cash flow.
- General Banking Services: Customers have access to ATMs, online and mobile banking, debit and credit cards, and safe deposit boxes for everyday banking needs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Bank OZK (OZK)
Bank OZK serves a broad base of customers, providing both retail and commercial banking services. Due to the nature of its business as a bank, its major customers are best described by categories rather than specific named companies. Its customer base can be broadly categorized into the following:- Individual and Retail Customers: This category includes consumers who utilize Bank OZK for personal banking services such as checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts. It also covers individuals seeking consumer loans (including indirect recreational vehicle and marine loans), mortgages, and wealth management services (personal, custodial, investment management, and retirement accounts).
- Commercial and Small Business Clients: Bank OZK provides comprehensive services to businesses of various sizes. This includes commercial and industrial loans, government-guaranteed loans, agricultural loans, and small business loans. These clients also utilize business deposit products, treasury management services (e.g., automated clearing house, wire transfers, remote deposit capture), merchant services, and commercial card services.
- Real Estate Developers and Investors: Bank OZK has a significant focus on real estate lending. This category includes professional real estate developers, investors, and homebuilders who seek financing for various projects, including commercial real estate, residential developments, and affordable housing initiatives.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
George G. Gleason II, Chairman & CEO
George G. Gleason II acquired control of Bank of Ozark in 1979 at the age of 25. He purchased the bank, which at the time had two branches, 28 employees, and $28 million in assets, for $3.7 million, with his personal investment being $10,000 and the remainder financed by a loan collateralized by family assets. Gleason left a legal career at a prominent Little Rock law firm to lead the bank. Under his leadership, Bank OZK (formerly Bank of the Ozarks) has grown significantly, becoming the largest bank in Arkansas and a nationally recognized financial institution. He oversaw the bank's relocation of its headquarters to Little Rock in 1995 and its initial public offering in 1997. During the 2008 financial crisis, Gleason strategically acquired several failed banks, contributing to the company's expansion into new markets. He was inducted into the Arkansas Business Hall of Fame in 2021.
Tim Hicks, Chief Financial Officer
Tim Hicks became Chief Financial Officer of Bank OZK in June 2022. He joined the bank in 2009 and previously held the position of Chief Credit and Administrative Officer starting in October 2020. His tenure at Bank OZK has included various roles such as Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance; Executive Vice President, Corporate Finance; Executive Vice President and Chief of Staff; and Chief Administrative Officer and Executive Director of Investor Relations. Prior to 2006, Mr. Hicks worked in several capacities for a "big-four public accounting firm," rising to the level of senior audit manager. From 2006 to 2009, he served as director of investor relations and assistant treasurer for a publicly traded telecommunications company. He is a Certified Public Accountant (inactive) and holds a B.A. in Business and Economics from Hendrix College.
Paschall Hamblen, President
Paschall Hamblen assumed the role of President of Bank OZK in July 2021. Before this, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer of the Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) since 2018. Mr. Hamblen joined Bank OZK in 2008. His professional background before joining the bank includes experience in real estate consulting at Ernst & Young/Kenneth Leventhal and KPMG, as well as in acquisitions, development, asset management, and capital markets for a Dallas-based real estate owner/operator. Mr. Hamblen holds a B.S. in Agricultural Economics and an M.S. in Land Economics & Real Estate from Texas A&M University.
Cynthia "Cindy" Wolfe, Chief Operating Officer
Cynthia "Cindy" Wolfe was appointed Chief Operating Officer in June 2022. She previously held the position of Chief Banking Officer since 2018. Ms. Wolfe began her career with Bank OZK in 1998, where she opened the bank's Charlotte loan production office in 2001. Over her tenure, she has held various leadership roles, including Senior Vice President – Lending, Executive Vice President – Lending, Charlotte Market President, Carolinas Division President, and Deputy Director of Community Banking. Prior to joining Bank OZK, Ms. Wolfe gained experience in commercial lending, operations, project management, and internal audit at other national banks. She earned a B.A. in Business Administration from Queens University of Charlotte and is a Certified Commercial Investment Member.
Stan Thomas, Chief Accounting Officer
Stan Thomas has served as the Chief Accounting Officer of Bank OZK since January 2020. Before taking on this role, he was the Executive Vice President/Director of Financial Reporting from 2015 to 2019. Mr. Thomas joined Bank OZK in 2011 as Senior Vice President/Director of Financial Reporting. Prior to his time at the bank, he worked as an auditor for various "big-four audit firms," specializing in clients within the financial services industry. Mr. Thomas is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and holds a B.S. in Accounting and a Master of Business Administration from Louisiana Tech University.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Bank OZK (symbol: OZK):
- Concentration in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) and Construction & Development (C&D) Loans: Bank OZK has a significant portion of its loan portfolio concentrated in commercial real estate, particularly through its Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG), which focuses on complex construction loans. This high concentration, exceeding that of many regional peers, makes the bank particularly vulnerable to downturns or stress in the commercial real estate market, as well as economic cycles impacting these specific loan types. Concerns are heightened by a challenging operating environment in the CRE market.
- Net Interest Margin (NIM) Compression and Sensitivity to Interest Rate Fluctuations: The bank's business model is largely reliant on net interest income, with a predominantly variable-rate loan portfolio and an asset-sensitive balance sheet. This means that during periods of falling interest rates, the yield on its loans can decrease faster than its deposit costs, leading to a contraction in its net interest margin and impacting profitability. Conversely, a high cost of funding is also cited as a risk.
- Asset Quality and Credit Risk: While Bank OZK has historically demonstrated strong credit performance within its RESG portfolio, there are ongoing concerns regarding its asset quality and potential for increased credit losses, particularly in a challenging credit environment or if the credit cycle turns. Recent upticks in net charge-offs have further highlighted this risk, even if overall ratios remain within management's guidance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rise of digital-first challenger banks and fintech platforms offering streamlined, often lower-cost, and more convenient banking services (deposits, payments, lending) that attract customers away from traditional banks.
The increasing penetration of large technology companies (e.g., Apple, Google, Amazon) into financial services, leveraging their vast customer bases and technological capabilities to offer services like payments, savings accounts, and credit, directly competing with banks.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bank OZK, a financial institution offering a diverse range of retail and commercial banking services, operates within several significant addressable markets primarily across the United States. These markets represent the total potential revenue or volume for the main products and services offered by the bank.
Addressable Markets for Bank OZK's Main Products and Services (U.S. Region)
- Commercial Banking: The U.S. commercial banking market size is estimated at USD 765.53 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 954.48 billion by 2031.
- Retail Banking: The U.S. retail banking market generated a revenue of USD 454.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 678.3 billion by 2033.
- Deposits: Total deposits held by all commercial banks in the U.S. were approximately $18,815.7927 billion as of March 4, 2026. More broadly, total commercial bank deposits surpassed $18.5 trillion recently.
- Real Estate Lending: The U.S. real estate loan market reached an impressive valuation of $3.5 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6%. Specifically, the U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) mortgage market for income-producing properties was approximately $4.5 trillion as of March 2023, with an additional $470 billion in construction loans. Total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at $498 billion in 2024.
- Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Lending: Commercial and Industrial loans for all commercial banks in the U.S. totaled $2,789.6057 billion in February 2026. The broader North American commercial lending market is projected to reach a valuation of USD 2,892.50 billion by 2025.
- Consumer Lending: The consumer lending market in the U.S. has a market size of $27 trillion and is growing.
- Wealth Management Services: The wealth management market in the U.S. oversees approximately trillions in assets under management. The wealth management market size globally is valued to increase by USD 469.1 billion, at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030, with North America dominating this market.
- Treasury Management Services: The global treasury management market is estimated to be valued at USD 6.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 16.31 billion in 2032. North America holds the largest share of this market, estimated at 35% in 2025. The U.S. Treasury Management Software market size specifically is projected at USD 1.54 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bank OZK (NASDAQ: OZK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:
- Diversified Loan Growth: Bank OZK anticipates continued expansion of its loan portfolio with a strategic emphasis on diversification. While Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) funded balances have been at record levels, the bank aims to reduce the proportion of RESG loans to 50% or less by late 2025 and into 2026. This shift is expected to be offset by strong growth in other lending divisions, particularly Corporate and Institutional Banking (CIB) and Indirect Recreational Vehicle and Marine loans. Management forecasts mid-single-digit loan growth for 2026, accelerating to 10-11% in 2027.
- Branch Network Expansion and Deposit Growth: The company is aggressively expanding its physical presence to attract new customers and increase deposit generation, which is a key funding source for lending activities. Bank OZK opened 11 new branches in the first half of 2025, plans approximately 15 more in the second half of 2025, and an additional 25 branches in 2026, with further growth projected in 2026 and 2027. This expansion targets key markets, including doubling its branch presence in Houston.
- Growth in Non-Interest Income: Bank OZK is investing resources to enhance non-interest income streams. Efforts are focused on increasing revenue from secondary market mortgage lending, which was launched in April 2024, as well as trust and wealth services, treasury management, and fee-generating businesses within Corporate and Institutional Banking. These initiatives are projected to result in a mid-to high-single digit percentage increase in non-interest income in 2026, with a more significant impact expected in 2027 and beyond.
- Net Interest Income Improvement/Stabilization: Despite potential fluctuations in interest rates, Bank OZK's management expects net interest income (NII) to be higher in subsequent quarters of 2026. This anticipated improvement is attributed to factors such as increased earning days, overall loan growth, and the repricing of time deposits catching up with earlier loan repricing. The bank aims to achieve record net interest income for the full year of 2025 and further improve upon that in 2026.
- Launch and Expansion of New Products and Services: The bank has introduced and is expanding several new offerings to diversify its revenue base and cater to a broader customer segment. This includes the launch of a secondary market mortgage business in April 2024, the deployment of business banking teams in various metropolitan areas starting in late 2023 and continuing through 2025, significant increases in home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) originations, and the launch of a private bank and expanded trust and wealth services in 2025. These initiatives are considered foundational investments for future growth and profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In November 2022, Bank OZK authorized a new stock repurchase program for up to $300 million, set to expire in November 2023, following a previous $650 million authorization from 2021.
- In July 2024, the Board approved a stock repurchase program allowing for the purchase of up to $200 million of outstanding common stock, which was set to expire in July 2025.
- Bank OZK repurchased $143 million of stock in 2025. A new $200 million stock repurchase program became effective July 1, 2025, and is expected to run through July 1, 2026.
Share Issuance
- In September 2021, Bank OZK priced a public offering of $350 million in 2.750% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2031, with proceeds intended for general corporate purposes such as financing organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and supporting regulatory capital.
Capital Expenditures
- Bank OZK's capital expenditures were $29.3 million in 2023.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2024 were in the range of $40 million to $50 million, primarily focused on construction projects, furniture and equipment, network and information technology costs, and acquiring sites for future development.
- The bank undertook a significant physical expansion, opening 11 new branches in the first half of 2025, with plans for approximately 15 additional branches in the latter half of 2025 and another 25 in 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Why Bank OZK Stock Moved: OZK Stock Has Gained 32% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | 08/08/2025 | |
| Bank OZK (OZK) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| OZK Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| null | 02/28/2025 | |
| Bank OZK (OZK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Bank OZK (OZK) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,499 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 587 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 471 |
| CFO LTM | 633 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 504 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 43.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 40.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $50.33 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/17/1997 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $49.50 | $46.85 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.7% | 7.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.4% | 24.9% |
| Downside Capture | 56.52 | 85.94 |
| Upside Capture | 79.30 | 69.91 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.6% | 37.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.02 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.53 | 0.75 | 1.07 |
| Up Beta | -1.14 | -0.22 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.69 | 0.91 |
| Down Beta | -0.02 | -0.14 | -0.10 | 0.32 | 0.79 | 1.09 |
| Up Capture | 76% | 67% | 60% | 69% | 66% | 141% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 25 | 39 | 71 | 131 | 383 |
| Down Capture | -11% | 28% | 25% | 60% | 83% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 16 | 24 | 54 | 120 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OZK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OZK | -0.6% | 24.9% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.3% | 14.6% | 0.27 | 58.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.6% | 12.7% | 1.00 | 37.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.2% | 28.1% | 0.61 | 2.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 34.7% | 19.1% | 1.42 | -14.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.8% | 14.1% | 0.69 | 43.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -45.4% | 42.9% | -1.29 | 18.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OZK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OZK | 8.3% | 34.4% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.1% | 18.5% | 0.46 | 67.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 53.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.0% | 18.4% | 0.75 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.6% | 19.5% | 0.38 | 10.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 52.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 15.7% | 53.4% | 0.47 | 24.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OZK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OZK | 5.5% | 38.8% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.4% | 22.0% | 0.56 | 69.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 54.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | -7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 17.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 46.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 12.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2017 | 05/05/2017 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2016 | 03/01/2017 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2016 | 11/08/2016 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2016 | 08/08/2016 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2016 | 05/06/2016 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2015 | 02/19/2016 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2015 | 11/06/2015 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2015 | 08/07/2015 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2015 | 05/08/2015 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2014 | 02/27/2015 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2014 | 11/07/2014 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2014 | 08/07/2014 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2014 | 05/09/2014 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2013 | 02/28/2014 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2013 | 11/07/2013 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2013 | 08/09/2013 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2017 | 05/05/2017 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2016 | 03/01/2017 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2016 | 11/08/2016 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2016 | 08/08/2016 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2016 | 05/06/2016 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2015 | 02/19/2016 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2015 | 11/06/2015 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2015 | 08/07/2015 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2015 | 05/08/2015 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2014 | 02/27/2015 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2014 | 11/07/2014 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2014 | 08/07/2014 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2014 | 05/09/2014 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2013 | 02/28/2014 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2013 | 11/07/2013 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2013 | 08/09/2013 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2013 | 05/10/2013 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2012 | 02/28/2013 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2012 | 11/05/2012 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2012 | 08/08/2012 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2012 | 05/10/2012 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2011 | 02/29/2012 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2011 | 11/08/2011 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2011 | 08/05/2011 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2011 | 05/05/2011 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2010 | 03/10/2011 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2010 | 11/08/2010 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2010 | 08/09/2010 | 10-Q |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 25, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.

