Bank OZK (OZK)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $51.075 | Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Bank OZK (OZK)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $51.075
Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 14%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%

Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 2.1%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%

Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%

Key risks
OZK key risks include [1] a significant concentration in large, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 2.1%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
8 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%
9 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
10 Key risks
OZK key risks include [1] a significant concentration in large, Show more.

OZK in ETFs

Weight = OZK's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.14%
SCHD0.12%
VYM0.02%
VB0.06%
KRE1.2%
+21 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Bank OZK (OZK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Performance.

Bank OZK reported a diluted earnings per common share (EPS) of $1.50 for fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.43 by $0.07. While net income available to common stockholders decreased by 9.0% from the third quarter of 2025 to $164.3 million, it showed a slight increase of 0.6% from the second quarter of 2026. Total assets, loans, and deposits reached record levels, with assets totaling $43.2 billion at September 30, 2026. This combination of an EPS beat, sequential growth, but a year-over-year decline in net income, coupled with mixed revenue results, likely contributed to a balanced investor reaction, preventing significant directional movement in the stock.

2. Proactive Management of Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) Loan Risks.

Bank OZK actively managed its Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) portfolio, which includes large construction loans considered a riskier segment of commercial real estate. On October 9, 2026, the bank extended a $915 million loan commitment for a San Diego project to December 2029. This extension was accompanied by an additional $100 million capital contribution from the sponsor and its partners, resulting in a $121.3 million reduction in the outstanding principal balance. This demonstrated commitment from partners and proactive risk mitigation by the bank likely alleviated some investor concerns regarding credit quality within its commercial real estate exposure.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Bank OZK (OZK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Performance.

Bank OZK reported a diluted earnings per common share (EPS) of $1.50 for fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.43 by $0.07. While net income available to common stockholders decreased by 9.0% from the third quarter of 2025 to $164.3 million, it showed a slight increase of 0.6% from the second quarter of 2026. Total assets, loans, and deposits reached record levels, with assets totaling $43.2 billion at September 30, 2026. This combination of an EPS beat, sequential growth, but a year-over-year decline in net income, coupled with mixed revenue results, likely contributed to a balanced investor reaction, preventing significant directional movement in the stock.

2. Proactive Management of Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) Loan Risks.

Bank OZK actively managed its Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) portfolio, which includes large construction loans considered a riskier segment of commercial real estate. On October 9, 2026, the bank extended a $915 million loan commitment for a San Diego project to December 2029. This extension was accompanied by an additional $100 million capital contribution from the sponsor and its partners, resulting in a $121.3 million reduction in the outstanding principal balance. This demonstrated commitment from partners and proactive risk mitigation by the bank likely alleviated some investor concerns regarding credit quality within its commercial real estate exposure.

3. Consistent Dividend Increases Offset by Broader Macroeconomic Headwinds.

Bank OZK continued its strong track record of shareholder returns by increasing its quarterly common stock dividend twice within the period: to $0.48 per share on July 1, 2026 (marking the 64th consecutive increase), and further to $0.49 per share on October 1, 2026 (the 65th consecutive increase). However, broader macroeconomic factors, such as persistent inflation, the Federal Reserve's 25-basis-point interest rate hike in September 2026 (the first since July 2023), and general market caution surrounding commercial real estate, likely tempered a more significant upward trajectory, creating a more stable stock price environment.

4. Stable Regional Banking Sector Amidst Cautious Sentiment.

The regional banking sector experienced a mix of tailwinds and headwinds during fiscal Q3 2026. Higher interest rates generally benefited regional banks by widening net interest margins. However, a noted slowdown in capital markets activity and ongoing concerns about commercial real estate and economic stability created a cautious investor sentiment across the sector. Bank OZK's individual positive developments, such as record asset growth and managed loan portfolios, were likely viewed within this broader, somewhat muted, industry context, contributing to the stock largely maintaining its level.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.7% change in OZK stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)50.7551.090.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7371,7390.1%
Net Income Margin (%)40.7%39.8%-2.3%
P/E Multiple7.98.11.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1111091.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OZK0.7% 
Market (SPY)-1.9%17.3%
Sector (XLF)1.0%56.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.3% change in OZK stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)47.1951.098.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7281,7390.6%
Net Income Margin (%)41.4%39.8%-4.0%
P/E Multiple7.48.19.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1121092.0%
Cumulative Contribution8.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OZK8.3% 
Market (SPY)2.3%14.9%
Sector (XLF)10.7%45.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.2% change in OZK stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511052026Change
Stock Price ($)43.2351.0918.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6731,7394.0%
Net Income Margin (%)42.9%39.8%-7.4%
P/E Multiple6.88.119.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1131093.2%
Cumulative Contribution18.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OZK18.2% 
Market (SPY)8.4%27.7%
Sector (XLF)11.1%55.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 60.0% change in OZK stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311052026Change
Stock Price ($)31.9351.0960.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4491,73920.0%
Net Income Margin (%)44.0%39.8%-9.6%
P/E Multiple5.78.141.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1141094.2%
Cumulative Contribution60.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OZK60.0% 
Market (SPY)81.3%46.7%
Sector (XLF)85.5%62.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
OZK Return53%-11%29%-7%7%16%102%
Peers Return22%2%10%15%6%14%90%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OZK Win Rate75%58%58%33%50%55% 
Peers Win Rate71%46%52%54%54%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OZK Max Drawdown-15%-30%-35%-23%-29%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-21%-31%-16%-22%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HOMB, SSB, ABCB, UBSI, PNFP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventOZKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-16.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven48 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-33.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven216 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-24.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven147 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven78.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven63 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-44.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven755 days105 days

Compare to HOMB, SSB, ABCB, UBSI, PNFP

In The Past

Bank OZK's stock fell -25.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventOZKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-33.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven216 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-24.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven147 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven78.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven63 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-44.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven755 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven54 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-50.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven103.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven73 days1085 days

Compare to HOMB, SSB, ABCB, UBSI, PNFP

In The Past

Bank OZK's stock fell -25.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bank OZK (OZK)

Bank OZK (symbol: OZK) is a regional financial institution providing a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking services. Established in 1903 and headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas, the bank operates approximately 240 offices primarily across states like Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Texas, California, and New York, serving a diverse customer base within these regions.

The company's primary offerings include a variety of deposit products such as non-interest-bearing checking, interest-bearing transaction, savings, money market, and time deposits. On the lending side, Bank OZK provides extensive financing options, including commercial and residential real estate loans, consumer and business purpose loans, indirect recreational vehicle and marine loans, commercial and industrial loans, and specialized services like business aviation and subscription financing.

In addition to core banking, Bank OZK offers trust and wealth management services (personal, custodial, investment management), comprehensive treasury management solutions for businesses (ACH, wire transfers, lockbox), and digital banking options like online and mobile banking. Its clientele ranges from individual consumers to small businesses and larger commercial entities, all seeking a wide array of financial products and services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. It's like PNC Bank, providing a full suite of retail and commercial banking services, wealth management, and diverse lending options across multiple states.

2. Consider it a Wells Fargo or Bank of America on a more regional scale, serving both individuals and businesses with a wide array of financial products in key growth areas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Deposit Services: The bank offers various accounts including checking, savings, money market, and time deposits to individuals and businesses.
  • Lending Services: Bank OZK provides a wide range of loans, encompassing real estate, consumer, business, commercial and industrial, and specialized financing for areas like recreational vehicles, aviation, and affordable housing.
  • Wealth Management Services: The company offers trust and wealth management solutions, including personal, custodial, investment management, and retirement accounts, alongside corporate trust services.
  • Business Banking Services (Treasury Management): It provides businesses with treasury management tools like ACH, wire transfers, lockbox services, remote deposit capture, and commercial card services to manage transactions and cash flow.
  • General Banking Services: Customers have access to ATMs, online and mobile banking, debit and credit cards, and safe deposit boxes for everyday banking needs.

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Major Customers of Bank OZK (OZK)

Bank OZK serves a broad base of customers, providing both retail and commercial banking services. Due to the nature of its business as a bank, its major customers are best described by categories rather than specific named companies. Its customer base can be broadly categorized into the following:
  • Individual and Retail Customers: This category includes consumers who utilize Bank OZK for personal banking services such as checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts. It also covers individuals seeking consumer loans (including indirect recreational vehicle and marine loans), mortgages, and wealth management services (personal, custodial, investment management, and retirement accounts).
  • Commercial and Small Business Clients: Bank OZK provides comprehensive services to businesses of various sizes. This includes commercial and industrial loans, government-guaranteed loans, agricultural loans, and small business loans. These clients also utilize business deposit products, treasury management services (e.g., automated clearing house, wire transfers, remote deposit capture), merchant services, and commercial card services.
  • Real Estate Developers and Investors: Bank OZK has a significant focus on real estate lending. This category includes professional real estate developers, investors, and homebuilders who seek financing for various projects, including commercial real estate, residential developments, and affordable housing initiatives.

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George G. Gleason II, Chairman & CEO

George G. Gleason II acquired control of Bank of Ozark in 1979 at the age of 25. He purchased the bank, which at the time had two branches, 28 employees, and $28 million in assets, for $3.7 million, with his personal investment being $10,000 and the remainder financed by a loan collateralized by family assets. Gleason left a legal career at a prominent Little Rock law firm to lead the bank. Under his leadership, Bank OZK (formerly Bank of the Ozarks) has grown significantly, becoming the largest bank in Arkansas and a nationally recognized financial institution. He oversaw the bank's relocation of its headquarters to Little Rock in 1995 and its initial public offering in 1997. During the 2008 financial crisis, Gleason strategically acquired several failed banks, contributing to the company's expansion into new markets. He was inducted into the Arkansas Business Hall of Fame in 2021.

Tim Hicks, Chief Financial Officer

Tim Hicks became Chief Financial Officer of Bank OZK in June 2022. He joined the bank in 2009 and previously held the position of Chief Credit and Administrative Officer starting in October 2020. His tenure at Bank OZK has included various roles such as Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance; Executive Vice President, Corporate Finance; Executive Vice President and Chief of Staff; and Chief Administrative Officer and Executive Director of Investor Relations. Prior to 2006, Mr. Hicks worked in several capacities for a "big-four public accounting firm," rising to the level of senior audit manager. From 2006 to 2009, he served as director of investor relations and assistant treasurer for a publicly traded telecommunications company. He is a Certified Public Accountant (inactive) and holds a B.A. in Business and Economics from Hendrix College.

Paschall Hamblen, President

Paschall Hamblen assumed the role of President of Bank OZK in July 2021. Before this, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer of the Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) since 2018. Mr. Hamblen joined Bank OZK in 2008. His professional background before joining the bank includes experience in real estate consulting at Ernst & Young/Kenneth Leventhal and KPMG, as well as in acquisitions, development, asset management, and capital markets for a Dallas-based real estate owner/operator. Mr. Hamblen holds a B.S. in Agricultural Economics and an M.S. in Land Economics & Real Estate from Texas A&M University.

Cynthia "Cindy" Wolfe, Chief Operating Officer

Cynthia "Cindy" Wolfe was appointed Chief Operating Officer in June 2022. She previously held the position of Chief Banking Officer since 2018. Ms. Wolfe began her career with Bank OZK in 1998, where she opened the bank's Charlotte loan production office in 2001. Over her tenure, she has held various leadership roles, including Senior Vice President – Lending, Executive Vice President – Lending, Charlotte Market President, Carolinas Division President, and Deputy Director of Community Banking. Prior to joining Bank OZK, Ms. Wolfe gained experience in commercial lending, operations, project management, and internal audit at other national banks. She earned a B.A. in Business Administration from Queens University of Charlotte and is a Certified Commercial Investment Member.

Stan Thomas, Chief Accounting Officer

Stan Thomas has served as the Chief Accounting Officer of Bank OZK since January 2020. Before taking on this role, he was the Executive Vice President/Director of Financial Reporting from 2015 to 2019. Mr. Thomas joined Bank OZK in 2011 as Senior Vice President/Director of Financial Reporting. Prior to his time at the bank, he worked as an auditor for various "big-four audit firms," specializing in clients within the financial services industry. Mr. Thomas is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and holds a B.S. in Accounting and a Master of Business Administration from Louisiana Tech University.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Bank OZK (symbol: OZK):

  1. Concentration in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) and Construction & Development (C&D) Loans: Bank OZK has a significant portion of its loan portfolio concentrated in commercial real estate, particularly through its Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG), which focuses on complex construction loans. This high concentration, exceeding that of many regional peers, makes the bank particularly vulnerable to downturns or stress in the commercial real estate market, as well as economic cycles impacting these specific loan types. Concerns are heightened by a challenging operating environment in the CRE market.
  2. Net Interest Margin (NIM) Compression and Sensitivity to Interest Rate Fluctuations: The bank's business model is largely reliant on net interest income, with a predominantly variable-rate loan portfolio and an asset-sensitive balance sheet. This means that during periods of falling interest rates, the yield on its loans can decrease faster than its deposit costs, leading to a contraction in its net interest margin and impacting profitability. Conversely, a high cost of funding is also cited as a risk.
  3. Asset Quality and Credit Risk: While Bank OZK has historically demonstrated strong credit performance within its RESG portfolio, there are ongoing concerns regarding its asset quality and potential for increased credit losses, particularly in a challenging credit environment or if the credit cycle turns. Recent upticks in net charge-offs have further highlighted this risk, even if overall ratios remain within management's guidance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rise of digital-first challenger banks and fintech platforms offering streamlined, often lower-cost, and more convenient banking services (deposits, payments, lending) that attract customers away from traditional banks.

The increasing penetration of large technology companies (e.g., Apple, Google, Amazon) into financial services, leveraging their vast customer bases and technological capabilities to offer services like payments, savings accounts, and credit, directly competing with banks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bank OZK, a financial institution offering a diverse range of retail and commercial banking services, operates within several significant addressable markets primarily across the United States. These markets represent the total potential revenue or volume for the main products and services offered by the bank.

Addressable Markets for Bank OZK's Main Products and Services (U.S. Region)

  • Commercial Banking: The U.S. commercial banking market size is estimated at USD 765.53 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 954.48 billion by 2031.
  • Retail Banking: The U.S. retail banking market generated a revenue of USD 454.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 678.3 billion by 2033.
  • Deposits: Total deposits held by all commercial banks in the U.S. were approximately $18,815.7927 billion as of March 4, 2026. More broadly, total commercial bank deposits surpassed $18.5 trillion recently.
  • Real Estate Lending: The U.S. real estate loan market reached an impressive valuation of $3.5 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6%. Specifically, the U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) mortgage market for income-producing properties was approximately $4.5 trillion as of March 2023, with an additional $470 billion in construction loans. Total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at $498 billion in 2024.
  • Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Lending: Commercial and Industrial loans for all commercial banks in the U.S. totaled $2,789.6057 billion in February 2026. The broader North American commercial lending market is projected to reach a valuation of USD 2,892.50 billion by 2025.
  • Consumer Lending: The consumer lending market in the U.S. has a market size of $27 trillion and is growing.
  • Wealth Management Services: The wealth management market in the U.S. oversees approximately trillions in assets under management. The wealth management market size globally is valued to increase by USD 469.1 billion, at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030, with North America dominating this market.
  • Treasury Management Services: The global treasury management market is estimated to be valued at USD 6.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 16.31 billion in 2032. North America holds the largest share of this market, estimated at 35% in 2025. The U.S. Treasury Management Software market size specifically is projected at USD 1.54 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bank OZK (NASDAQ: OZK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Diversified Loan Growth: Bank OZK anticipates continued expansion of its loan portfolio with a strategic emphasis on diversification. While Real Estate Specialties Group (RESG) funded balances have been at record levels, the bank aims to reduce the proportion of RESG loans to 50% or less by late 2025 and into 2026. This shift is expected to be offset by strong growth in other lending divisions, particularly Corporate and Institutional Banking (CIB) and Indirect Recreational Vehicle and Marine loans. Management forecasts mid-single-digit loan growth for 2026, accelerating to 10-11% in 2027.
  2. Branch Network Expansion and Deposit Growth: The company is aggressively expanding its physical presence to attract new customers and increase deposit generation, which is a key funding source for lending activities. Bank OZK opened 11 new branches in the first half of 2025, plans approximately 15 more in the second half of 2025, and an additional 25 branches in 2026, with further growth projected in 2026 and 2027. This expansion targets key markets, including doubling its branch presence in Houston.
  3. Growth in Non-Interest Income: Bank OZK is investing resources to enhance non-interest income streams. Efforts are focused on increasing revenue from secondary market mortgage lending, which was launched in April 2024, as well as trust and wealth services, treasury management, and fee-generating businesses within Corporate and Institutional Banking. These initiatives are projected to result in a mid-to high-single digit percentage increase in non-interest income in 2026, with a more significant impact expected in 2027 and beyond.
  4. Net Interest Income Improvement/Stabilization: Despite potential fluctuations in interest rates, Bank OZK's management expects net interest income (NII) to be higher in subsequent quarters of 2026. This anticipated improvement is attributed to factors such as increased earning days, overall loan growth, and the repricing of time deposits catching up with earlier loan repricing. The bank aims to achieve record net interest income for the full year of 2025 and further improve upon that in 2026.
  5. Launch and Expansion of New Products and Services: The bank has introduced and is expanding several new offerings to diversify its revenue base and cater to a broader customer segment. This includes the launch of a secondary market mortgage business in April 2024, the deployment of business banking teams in various metropolitan areas starting in late 2023 and continuing through 2025, significant increases in home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) originations, and the launch of a private bank and expanded trust and wealth services in 2025. These initiatives are considered foundational investments for future growth and profitability.

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Share Repurchases

  • In November 2022, Bank OZK authorized a new stock repurchase program for up to $300 million, set to expire in November 2023, following a previous $650 million authorization from 2021.
  • In July 2024, the Board approved a stock repurchase program allowing for the purchase of up to $200 million of outstanding common stock, which was set to expire in July 2025.
  • Bank OZK repurchased $143 million of stock in 2025. A new $200 million stock repurchase program became effective July 1, 2025, and is expected to run through July 1, 2026.

Share Issuance

  • In September 2021, Bank OZK priced a public offering of $350 million in 2.750% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2031, with proceeds intended for general corporate purposes such as financing organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and supporting regulatory capital.

Capital Expenditures

  • Bank OZK's capital expenditures were $29.3 million in 2023.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2024 were in the range of $40 million to $50 million, primarily focused on construction projects, furniture and equipment, network and information technology costs, and acquiring sites for future development.
  • The bank undertook a significant physical expansion, opening 11 new branches in the first half of 2025, with plans for approximately 15 additional branches in the latter half of 2025 and another 25 in 2026.

Peer Outperformance in Regional Banks

OZK has trailed 68% of its 262 Regional Banks peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are FBP, BPOP and OFG. Regional Banks ranks 8th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return.
Share of Regional Banks constituents that OZK has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
27%
of 281 industry peers · 19.7% return
3Y
14%
of 273 industry peers · 46.1% return
5Y
32%
of 262 industry peers · 28.3% return
Regional Banks peers with revenue growth within 4pp of OZK's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
OZK Bank OZK 6.3% 8.1x 19.7%46.1%28.3% —
FBP First BanCorp 2.9% 10.7x 33.9%101.1%117.2% +89pp
BPOP Popular 2.8% 10.3x 41.4%144.6%117.1% +89pp
OFG OFG Bancorp 4.5% 9.7x 30.7%73.5%113.0% +85pp
SRCE 1st Source 7.5% 11.8x 46.3%95.9%95.9% +68pp
WTFC Wintrust Financial 9.1% 11.1x 19.0%98.3%77.6% +49pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Regional Banks is OZK's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 33.1%75.7%125.1% SPNT 168% · RGA 162% · RNR 141%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -3.9%89.1%93.1% IBKR 305% · SNEX 152% · GS 141%
Diversified Banks 12 30.0%140.4%90.3% CM 144% · RY 129% · JPM 127%
Life & Health Insurance 20 14.3%52.3%75.4% JXN 514% · UNM 224% · FG 188%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 18.9%76.8%66.8% TRV 178% · PGR 172% · ACGL 168%
Multi-Sector Holdings 3 10.1%53.8%59.4% BRK-B 99% · VOYA 59% · JEF 37%
Multi-line Insurance 9 9.5%71.4%59.4% AIZ 105% · GNW 104% · L 98%
Regional Banks ← 263 30.0%87.5%46.7% CBC 268% · FCNCA 176% · NIC 136%
Insurance Brokers 15 5.5%13.4%33.4% LIFE 287% · ARX 89% · WTW 56%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 20.6%37.2%27.9% CBOE 183% · VIRT 131% · CME 71%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -5.9%22.8%12.3% VCTR 210% · AAMI 207% · WT 205%
Consumer Finance 30 2.9%81.0%8.1% ENVA 330% · FCFS 130% · ECPG 111%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 14 -46.5%36.8%2.5% FNMA 327% · FMCC 293% · ACT 158%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -1.6%20.1%-1.1% FRHC 153% · EQH 71%
Specialized Finance 3 15.8%31.5%-19.7% HASI -20% · CACC -24%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 19.3%9.1%-29.4% V 103% · MA 94% · CPAY 83%
Mortgage REITs 35 -18.0%-6.1%-37.2% RITM 36% · DX 17% · AGNC 10%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -47.1%-8.5%-70.1% LPLA 83% · TW 38% · RIOT -53%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OZKHOMBSSBABCBUBSIPNFPMedian
NameBank OZK Home Ban.SouthSta.Ameris B.United B.Pinnacle. 
Mkt Price51.0830.07104.7081.6548.38101.6066.36
Mkt Cap5.66.110.15.56.715.46.4
Rev LTM1,7391,1092,6431,2291,2803,9951,509
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM7624301,4985225341,423648
FCF 3Y Avg775411567389472969520
CFO LTM8664521,5655495561,508711
CFO 3Y Avg8634416244094881,054556

Growth & Margins

OZKHOMBSSBABCBUBSIPNFPMedian
NameBank OZK Home Ban.SouthSta.Ameris B.United B.Pinnacle. 
Rev Chg LTM4.0%7.4%10.4%9.1%14.6%116.1%9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.3%3.2%16.7%5.2%6.3%48.8%6.3%
Rev Chg Q0.5%9.3%-1.9%8.8%5.8%151.3%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%2.3%-0.5%2.1%1.4%23.5%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM49.8%40.8%59.2%44.6%43.4%37.7%44.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg51.5%42.6%23.3%35.4%42.6%45.2%42.6%
FCF/Rev LTM43.8%38.8%56.7%42.5%41.7%35.6%42.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg46.2%39.7%20.8%33.7%41.3%40.9%40.3%

Valuation

OZKHOMBSSBABCBUBSIPNFPMedian
NameBank OZK Home Ban.SouthSta.Ameris B.United B.Pinnacle. 
Mkt Cap5.66.110.15.56.715.46.4
P/S3.25.53.84.45.23.84.1
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.112.610.914.513.015.012.8
P/CFO6.513.46.510.012.010.210.1
Total Yield16.0%10.6%11.6%7.9%10.9%8.3%10.8%
Dividend Yield3.6%2.7%2.4%1.0%3.2%1.6%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.0%7.7%5.7%7.8%9.0%-7.8%
D/E0.10.10.10.30.10.70.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.30.0-0.3-0.3-1.0-0.3

Returns

OZKHOMBSSBABCBUBSIPNFPMedian
NameBank OZK Home Ban.SouthSta.Ameris B.United B.Pinnacle. 
1M Rtn15.8%5.3%3.7%2.1%5.0%5.7%5.2%
3M Rtn0.1%-1.7%-3.0%-7.2%0.4%-4.1%-2.3%
6M Rtn7.9%13.8%8.9%-5.0%13.3%3.5%8.4%
12M Rtn19.7%14.4%22.0%12.8%37.5%8.4%17.0%
3Y Rtn46.1%53.8%57.6%104.2%79.1%8.4%55.7%
1M Excs Rtn20.0%8.2%7.3%5.0%8.2%10.6%8.2%
3M Excs Rtn1.3%-0.8%-2.3%-5.8%1.8%-2.0%-1.4%
6M Excs Rtn3.1%9.0%4.0%-9.8%8.5%-1.4%3.6%
12M Excs Rtn5.4%1.2%8.5%0.3%25.8%-5.2%3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.3%-22.8%-13.3%43.2%8.3%-75.4%-18.1%

Comparison Analyses

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FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment1,7281,6581,5621,2571,105
Total1,7281,6581,5621,2571,105


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$51.09 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.6 
First Trading Date07/17/1997 
Distance from 52W High-2.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$47.69$47.69
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA7.1%7.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.7%23.8%
Downside Capture13.7046.97
Upside Capture25.7061.89
Correlation (S&P 500)10.8%27.4%
OZK Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.350.210.310.250.511.01
Up Beta-2.60-0.640.23-0.190.300.88
Down Beta0.600.070.12-0.060.321.08
Up Capture32%53%34%47%62%106%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days13233270138388
Down Capture-141%16%41%47%67%103%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days9203256113362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OZK
OZK19.0%23.8%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.1%15.2%0.4755.3%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4127.7%
Gold (GLD)3.6%28.7%0.113.8%
Commodities (DBC)37.7%21.2%1.40-22.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.0%14.2%0.5543.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.8%43.3%-0.426.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OZK
OZK6.9%34.3%0.25-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.1%18.4%0.3667.3%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4852.4%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.74-1.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.297.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.9%-0.0552.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.9%51.5%0.2923.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OZK
OZK6.5%38.8%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.3%22.1%0.5469.6%
Equity (SPY)14.9%18.0%0.7053.7%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.5%0.59-6.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3316.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2346.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.3%66.2%1.0112.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020267.4%
Average Daily Volume2.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity109.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/201705/05/201710-Q
12/31/201603/01/201710-K
09/30/201611/08/201610-Q
06/30/201608/08/201610-Q
03/31/201605/06/201610-Q
12/31/201502/19/201610-K
09/30/201511/06/201510-Q
06/30/201508/07/201510-Q
03/31/201505/08/201510-Q
12/31/201402/27/201510-K
09/30/201411/07/201410-Q
06/30/201408/07/201410-Q
03/31/201405/09/201410-Q
12/31/201302/28/201410-K
09/30/201311/07/201310-Q
06/30/201308/09/201310-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/201705/05/201710-Q
12/31/201603/01/201710-K
09/30/201611/08/201610-Q
06/30/201608/08/201610-Q
03/31/201605/06/201610-Q
12/31/201502/19/201610-K
09/30/201511/06/201510-Q
06/30/201508/07/201510-Q
03/31/201505/08/201510-Q
12/31/201402/27/201510-K
09/30/201411/07/201410-Q
06/30/201408/07/201410-Q
03/31/201405/09/201410-Q
12/31/201302/28/201410-K
09/30/201311/07/201310-Q
06/30/201308/09/201310-Q
03/31/201305/10/201310-Q
12/31/201202/28/201310-K
09/30/201211/05/201210-Q
06/30/201208/08/201210-Q
03/31/201205/10/201210-Q
12/31/201102/29/201210-K
09/30/201111/08/201110-Q
06/30/201108/05/201110-Q
03/31/201105/05/201110-Q
12/31/201003/10/201110-K
09/30/201011/08/201010-Q
06/30/201008/09/201010-Q

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 6, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Weybosset Research & Management LLC$11.0 Mil3.2%33Hold13F
Fairholme Capital Management LLC$42.3 Mil2.8%10Hold13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC$8.7 Mil1.8%46Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fairholme Capital Management LLC$42.3 Mil2.8%10Hold13F
Weybosset Research & Management LLC$11.0 Mil3.2%33Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/5/2026