Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -35%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%

Key risks
NWE key risks include [1] adverse regulatory determinations in Montana that threaten the company's ability to recover costs and [2] vulnerability to energy price volatility and supply disruptions due to its reliance on market purchases.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%
8 Key risks
NWE key risks include [1] adverse regulatory determinations in Montana that threaten the company's ability to recover costs and [2] vulnerability to energy price volatility and supply disruptions due to its reliance on market purchases.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthWestern Energy (NWE) stock has gained about 5% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Earnings Performance and Reaffirmed Guidance.

NorthWestern Energy delivered a robust financial performance, reporting adjusted diluted non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.31 for the first quarter of 2026, surpassing consensus forecasts by 6.5%. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 earnings guidance range of $3.68 to $3.83 per diluted share and maintained a long-term EPS and rate base growth rate of 4% to 6%. Additionally, the company had previously reported a 3.5% increase in non-GAAP EPS for Q4 2025 and announced a 1.5% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.67 per share, payable March 31, 2026, alongside a $3.2 billion 5-year capital plan, a 17% increase over its previous plan.

2. Significant Progress on Black Hills Merger.

The company achieved critical milestones in its all-stock merger with Black Hills Corporation. Both NorthWestern Energy and Black Hills shareholders approved the merger proposals on April 2, 2026, and constructive settlement agreements were reached with key intervenors in Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota. These developments meaningfully advance the transaction toward a targeted closing in the second half of 2026, reducing uncertainty and paving the way for expanded operations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.7% change in NWE stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265052026Change
Stock Price ($)67.1870.995.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5701,6414.6%
Net Income Margin (%)13.8%10.2%-26.1%
P/E Multiple19.026.036.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6161-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution5.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NWE5.7% 
Market (SPY)3.6%5.6%
Sector (XLU)8.0%62.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.3% change in NWE stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 57.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255052026Change
Stock Price ($)58.5070.9921.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5701,6414.6%
Net Income Margin (%)13.8%10.2%-26.1%
P/E Multiple16.626.057.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6161-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution21.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NWE21.3% 
Market (SPY)5.5%7.4%
Sector (XLU)5.6%48.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.4% change in NWE stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 79.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255052026Change
Stock Price ($)55.7270.9927.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5051,6419.1%
Net Income Margin (%)15.7%10.2%-34.9%
P/E Multiple14.526.079.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6161-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution27.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NWE27.4% 
Market (SPY)30.4%11.9%
Sector (XLU)20.9%51.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 39.6% change in NWE stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 59.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235052026Change
Stock Price ($)50.8670.9939.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5381,6416.7%
Net Income Margin (%)12.1%10.2%-15.8%
P/E Multiple16.326.059.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6061-2.7%
Cumulative Contribution39.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NWE39.6% 
Market (SPY)78.7%23.3%
Sector (XLU)47.4%60.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NWE Return2%8%-10%11%26%13%57%
Peers Return25%1%0%19%15%11%92%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%5%92%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NWE Win Rate50%58%50%50%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%55%57%52%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%40% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NWE Max Drawdown-7%-11%-19%-8%-4%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-16%-18%-11%-6%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BKH, MDU, XEL, AVA, OTTR. See NWE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNWES&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-15.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven264 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-10.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven49 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-39.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven2044 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-12.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.2%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven35 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-12.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven21 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-14.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.5%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven128 days125 days

Compare to BKH, MDU, XEL, AVA, OTTR

In The Past

NorthWestern Energy's stock fell -0.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNWES&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-39.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven2044 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-40.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven67.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven427 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-20.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven970 days47 days

Compare to BKH, MDU, XEL, AVA, OTTR

In The Past

NorthWestern Energy's stock fell -0.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NorthWestern Energy (NWE)

NorthWestern Corporation, doing business as NorthWestern Energy, provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and various industrial customers. The company operates through Electric and Natural Gas segments. It generates, purchases, transmits, and distributes electricity; and produces, purchases, stores, transmits, and distributes natural gas, as well as owns municipal franchises to provide natural gas service in the communities. The company operates 6,819 miles of electric transmission and 18,177 miles of electric distribution lines with approximately 400 transmission and distribution substations; and 2,166 miles of natural gas transmission and 4,945 miles of natural gas distribution lines with approximately 138 city gate stations in Montana. It also operates 1,308 miles of electric transmission and 2,320 miles of electric distribution lines in South Dakota; and 55 miles of natural gas transmission and 2,517 miles of natural gas distribution lines in South Dakota and Nebraska. The company serves approximately 753,600 customers in Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone National Park. NorthWestern Corporation was incorporated in 1923 and is based in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe NorthWestern Energy (NWE):

  • Like a regional Duke Energy, providing essential electricity and natural gas services across Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska.
  • The Con Edison for the Northern Plains, delivering power and natural gas to homes and businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Electricity Services: NorthWestern Energy generates, purchases, transmits, and distributes electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Natural Gas Services: NorthWestern Energy produces, purchases, stores, transmits, and distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, also holding municipal franchises for this service.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthWestern Energy (NWE) primarily sells electricity and natural gas services to a broad base of customers, including individuals and various businesses, rather than a few major corporate clients. The company serves the following three categories of customers:

  • Residential customers
  • Commercial customers
  • Industrial customers

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Brian B. Bird, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Bird became President and CEO of NorthWestern Energy Group in January 2023, after serving as President and Chief Operating Officer from February 2021 to December 2022. He previously held the position of Chief Financial Officer for NorthWestern Energy from December 2003 to February 2021. He joined NorthWestern Corporation nearly 20 years ago as CFO during the company's Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Before joining NorthWestern Energy, Mr. Bird's experience included roles as Treasurer & Vice President at NRG Energy, Inc. from 1997 to 2002 and Chief Financial Officer at SUN Sports & Entertainment, Inc. from 2002 to 2003. His background encompasses corporate finance, treasury, accounting, and mergers and acquisitions. He also serves as a Director at Kilowatt Labs, Inc. and Energy Insurance Mutual Ltd. Co. Mr. Bird earned an MBA in finance from the University of Minnesota.

Crystal D. Lail, Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Lail was appointed Chief Financial Officer of NorthWestern Energy in February 2021. She joined the company in 2003 as an accountant and rose through the ranks, becoming Assistant Controller and then Vice President and Controller around 2015. Before her tenure at NorthWestern, Ms. Lail worked in public accounting. As CFO, she is responsible for overseeing the company's accounting, treasury, financial planning, tax, and investor relations functions.

Bobbi L. Schroeppel, Vice President, Customer Care, Communications and Human Resources

Ms. Schroeppel has served as Vice President of Customer Care, Communications and Human Resources at NorthWestern Energy since May 2009 and at NorthWestern Energy Public Service Corporation since January 1, 2024. She joined NorthWestern in May 1998, holding various positions in market research, support services, and strategy. Her current responsibilities involve strategic and daily leadership of the company's customer-facing, corporate communication, and human resources processes. She also previously served as Director-at-Large at the MEA Energy Association and was named Chair of the MEA Board of Directors in 2018.

Shannon M. Heim Esq., Vice President of Federal Government Affairs and General Counsel

Ms. Heim serves as the Vice President of Federal Government Affairs and General Counsel for NorthWestern Energy. She previously held the position of Director – Regulatory Corporate Counsel for the company.

Michael R. Cashell, Vice President, Transmission

Mr. Cashell is responsible for all electric transmission and natural gas transmission and storage operations at NorthWestern Energy. He has been in his current position since 2011 and has been in the utility industry since 1986.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to NorthWestern Energy:

Key Risks to NorthWestern Energy (NWE)

  1. Regulatory Concentration and Unfavorable Outcomes: NorthWestern Energy faces substantial risk due to its significant reliance on operating income from its Montana service territory, making it highly susceptible to decisions by the Montana Public Service Commission. Unfavorable rate case outcomes or stricter cost-recovery rules could materially reduce the company's earnings per share. The energy sector is broadly subject to significant regulatory and political influences, including changes in environmental policies and energy regulations, which can impose new compliance requirements or operational constraints.
  2. Wildfire and Catastrophe Risks: NorthWestern Energy is exposed to wildfire and other catastrophe risks that can threaten its costs, revenue, and credit. The company has faced substantial wildfire losses in recent years, with industry-wide losses exceeding $50 billion between 2020 and 2023. These catastrophic events can also make it more difficult or costly for the utility to secure sufficient liability insurance, potentially leading to significantly higher insurance premium costs.
  3. Interest Rate Volatility and Elevated Debt Levels: As a capital-intensive utility, NorthWestern Energy is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Rising interest rates, such as the increase since 2022, have elevated corporate borrowing costs across the industry, increasing project finance costs and potentially pressuring future returns. The company carried approximately $2.9 billion in long-term debt as of year-end 2024, which funds grid upgrades and gas projects. Elevated leverage could reduce financial flexibility if interest rates remain high, leading to increased debt service pressures that could compress free cash flow and raise the cost of capital.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing adoption of distributed generation, particularly rooftop solar panels, poses a clear emerging threat to NorthWestern Energy. As residential, commercial, and industrial customers generate their own electricity, they reduce their reliance on purchasing power from NWE, directly impacting the utility's electricity sales and grid utilization revenue. This trend allows customers to partially or entirely bypass the traditional utility model, similar to how Netflix allowed customers to bypass Blockbuster's rental model or YouTube allowed content consumers to bypass traditional cable companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthWestern Energy (NWE) operates in the electricity and natural gas markets across Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska. The addressable markets for their main products and services in these regions are as follows:

Natural Gas Market

  • Montana: The market size of the Natural Gas Distribution industry in Montana is projected to be $260.6 million in 2026.
  • South Dakota: The market size of the Natural Gas Distribution industry in South Dakota is estimated to be $974.0 million in 2026.
  • Nebraska: In 2021, customers in Nebraska consumed 180.1 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas. The value of natural gas delivered to consumers in Nebraska was $831 million in 2015.

Electricity Market

  • Montana: Total retail electricity sales in Montana amounted to 15,567,013 megawatthours (MWh) in 2024.
  • South Dakota: Total retail electricity sales in South Dakota were 13,637,204 MWh in 2024.
  • Nebraska: Total retail electricity sales in Nebraska were 35,191,045 MWh in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthWestern Energy (NWE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
  • Strategic Infrastructure Investments and Rate Base Growth: The company has outlined a significant capital investment program, including a forecasted $683 million in 2026 and a five-year $2.6 billion capital program from 2025-2029. These investments are directed towards grid modernization, capacity expansion, and upgrades to transmission and distribution lines for both electricity and natural gas. Such investments are anticipated to increase the company's rate base, which in turn allows for higher rates and increased electric transmission and natural gas transportation revenues.
  • Expansion into Large Load Customer Markets, particularly Data Centers: NorthWestern Energy is actively pursuing opportunities to serve large-load customers, with a particular focus on the growing data center industry in Montana and South Dakota. The company has signed letters of intent and development agreements for data centers, seeing this as a key area for diversifying revenue streams and attracting significant capital investment.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Mergers: Acquisitions of additional utility assets and customer bases are expected to contribute to revenue growth. NorthWestern Energy completed the acquisition of Energy West and Cut Bank Gas facilities in July 2025, adding approximately 33,000 new natural gas customers. Furthermore, the proposed merger with Black Hills Corporation, anticipated to close in the second half of 2026, is expected to create a larger combined utility platform and enhance earnings per share growth.
  • Favorable Regulatory Outcomes and Rate Adjustments: The company's ability to secure favorable outcomes from rate reviews is a crucial driver for revenue. NorthWestern Energy has already received unanimous approval for multi-party rate review settlements in Montana for both electric and natural gas, and in South Dakota for electric services. A decision on the Montana rate review is expected in Q4 2025, which could further impact financial projections positively.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In 2025, NorthWestern Energy repurchased 3,129 shares at an average price of $67.87 under its equity compensation plan.

Share Issuance

  • Equity issuances are expected to support South Dakota generation investments starting in 2027.

Outbound Investments

  • NorthWestern increased its ownership stake in the Colstrip power plant from 15% to 55% with the acquisition of Avista and Puget interests on December 31, 2025.
  • In July 2025, NorthWestern completed the acquisition of Energy West Montana's and Cut Bank Gas's natural gas assets for approximately $35.9 million in cash, adding around 33,000 natural gas customers.
  • NorthWestern and Black Hills Corporation announced an all-stock merger of equals in August 2025, expected to close in the second half of 2026, forming a combined entity with approximately $9.8 billion market capitalization and $18 billion enterprise value.

Capital Expenditures

  • NorthWestern Energy updated its five-year capital plan to $3.21 billion for 2026-2030, a 17% increase over the prior plan.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are forecasted at $683 million.
  • The 2026-2030 capital plan includes significant investments in electric distribution ($792 million), electric transmission ($741 million), and a 131 MW South Dakota generation project ($332 million).

Better Bets vs. NorthWestern Energy (NWE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NWE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SRE_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026SRESempraInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
-2.1%-2.1%-4.9%
CTRI_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025CTRICenturiInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
41.5%41.5%-5.5%
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.1%2.1%-4.0%
NWE_8312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312020NWENorthWestern EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%28.5%-5.9%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NWEBKHMDUXELAVAOTTRMedian
NameNorthWes.Black Hi.MDU Reso.Xcel Ene.Avista Otter Ta. 
Mkt Price70.9973.8422.4681.4540.9388.7472.41
Mkt Cap4.45.54.650.83.43.74.5
Rev LTM1,6412,3101,87514,7841,9171,3041,896
Op Inc LTM3155382902,934363346354
FCF LTM-148-146-297-7,190-15398-150
FCF 3Y Avg-12872-156-3,891-39103-83
CFO LTM4006734734,752464386469
CFO 3Y Avg4127794364,737512414474

Growth & Margins

NWEBKHMDUXELAVAOTTRMedian
NameNorthWes.Black Hi.MDU Reso.Xcel Ene.Avista Otter Ta. 
Rev Chg LTM9.1%8.6%6.7%7.9%-1.5%-2.0%7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.4%-2.9%-2.7%-1.5%3.7%-3.7%-2.1%
Rev Chg Q6.6%6.4%-0.3%2.9%-7.6%1.6%2.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%1.7%-0.1%0.8%-2.4%0.4%0.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-8.9%6.9%9.3%23.1%9.7%-9.1%8.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg4.5%5.7%22.5%6.6%26.9%-3.9%6.1%
Op Mgn LTM19.2%23.3%15.5%19.8%18.9%26.5%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.1%22.4%14.4%18.9%17.0%27.7%20.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-0.0%0.7%0.2%0.9%-0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM24.4%29.2%25.2%32.1%24.2%29.6%27.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.1%34.5%24.1%33.7%26.7%31.2%29.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.0%-6.3%-15.8%-48.6%-8.0%7.5%-8.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.3%3.1%-8.5%-27.1%-2.0%7.8%-5.2%

Valuation

NWEBKHMDUXELAVAOTTRMedian
NameNorthWes.Black Hi.MDU Reso.Xcel Ene.Avista Otter Ta. 
Mkt Cap4.45.54.650.83.43.74.5
P/S2.72.42.43.41.82.82.6
P/Op Inc13.810.315.817.39.310.812.3
P/EBIT13.410.114.415.68.910.111.7
P/E26.019.024.124.316.413.521.6
P/CFO10.98.29.710.77.39.69.7
Total Yield7.6%8.8%6.5%6.7%10.9%9.8%8.2%
Dividend Yield3.7%3.6%2.4%2.6%4.7%2.4%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.6%2.4%-3.9%-8.9%-1.1%3.1%-2.3%
D/E0.80.80.60.81.00.30.8
Net D/E0.80.80.60.71.00.20.8

Returns

NWEBKHMDUXELAVAOTTRMedian
NameNorthWes.Black Hi.MDU Reso.Xcel Ene.Avista Otter Ta. 
1M Rtn5.0%4.2%5.3%0.9%-1.0%0.2%2.6%
3M Rtn3.5%0.7%8.1%8.0%-2.0%0.5%2.1%
6M Rtn19.0%16.5%17.3%1.3%8.3%9.6%13.1%
12M Rtn27.3%26.1%33.0%18.5%2.5%12.4%22.3%
3Y Rtn37.0%27.4%124.6%29.7%6.9%21.3%28.6%
1M Excs Rtn-5.6%-6.2%-4.8%-8.5%-10.0%-9.6%-7.3%
3M Excs Rtn-1.5%-4.2%3.2%3.1%-7.0%-4.5%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn15.2%12.5%12.6%-4.3%4.0%10.3%11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-0.2%-2.0%4.5%-8.9%-24.7%-15.2%-5.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.5%-45.0%51.3%-45.0%-66.1%-41.8%-43.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Electric1,2011,0691,1071,052 
Gas313353371320 
Eliminations  0  
Other  0  
Total1,5141,4221,4781,372 


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Electric182175159157 
Gas28303433 
Other14-12-10-3 
Eliminations  0  
Total224194183187 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$70.99 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.4 
First Trading Date12/29/2006 
Distance from 52W High-3.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$69.14$62.78
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA2.7%13.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.8%21.3%
Downside Capture0.140.02
Upside Capture33.3331.29
Correlation (SPY)5.7%12.4%
NWE Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.140.360.080.120.200.31
Up Beta-0.18-0.06-0.200.020.280.34
Down Beta2.950.430.360.230.260.26
Up Capture67%57%29%34%20%12%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12213672139399
Down Capture-16%47%-11%-16%0%53%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days10222852111349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NWE
NWE27.6%21.2%1.05-
Sector ETF (XLU)19.7%14.2%1.0351.7%
Equity (SPY)27.8%12.5%1.7312.1%
Gold (GLD)40.6%27.2%1.238.6%
Commodities (DBC)50.1%18.0%2.16-14.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.0%13.4%0.5349.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.3%42.2%-0.34-4.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NWE
NWE6.2%21.0%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLU)10.5%17.2%0.4665.8%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5930.3%
Gold (GLD)20.2%17.9%0.9214.2%
Commodities (DBC)14.0%19.1%0.605.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0953.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.9%56.2%0.357.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NWE
NWE6.7%24.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLU)10.4%19.2%0.4775.4%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7146.4%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.7010.8%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%17.7%0.4513.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2365.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.9%1.069.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-20.6%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity61.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/20261.4%  
2/12/20261.3%0.2%-0.3%
10/30/20250.3%2.0%13.6%
7/31/20252.1%4.7%9.3%
4/30/2025-2.2%-2.4%-7.5%
2/13/2025-2.3%-1.1%4.9%
10/30/2024-0.8%1.3%2.5%
7/31/20240.5%-3.0%0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive678
# Negative532
Median Positive1.3%2.2%5.2%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.4%-3.9%
Max Positive5.4%6.6%13.6%
Max Negative-2.3%-3.0%-7.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 EPS3.683.753.834.6% Higher NewGuidance: 3.59 for 2025
2026 EPS Growth4.0%5.0%6.0%0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.0% for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures 3.20 Bil 18.5% Higher NewGuidance: 2.70 Bil for 2025
2026 Rate Base Growth4.0%5.0%6.0%   

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 EPS3.533.593.650 AffirmedGuidance: 3.59 for 2025
2025 EPS Growth4.0%5.0%6.0%0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.0% for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures 2.70 Bil 408.5% RaisedGuidance: 531.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cashell, Michael RVP - TransmissionDirectSell502202558.032,349136,3121,397,827Form