Tearsheet

NorthWestern Energy (NWE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.54 | Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities

NorthWestern Energy (NWE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.54
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Multi-Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NWE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

NorthWestern Energy (NWE) experienced significant stock price movement leading up to December 4, 2025. The company's stock reached a new 52-week high of $69.23 in late November 2025. The year-to-date gain for NWE shares was approximately 23% as of November 17, 2025, with a 10% gain in the month prior. Here are five key points explaining the stock's movement:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: NorthWestern Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.79, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $0.75. The company's revenue also increased by 12.1% year-over-year.

2. Merger Announcement with Black Hills Energy: In August 2025, NorthWestern Energy announced a definitive agreement to merge with Black Hills Energy in an all-stock, tax-free transaction. This merger is expected to create a larger regional utility company with a pro forma market capitalization of approximately $7.8 billion and a combined enterprise value of $15.4 billion.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NWE Return-15%2%8%-10%11%30%21%
Peers Return-5%28%-5%2%12%8%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NWE Win Rate50%50%58%50%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate47%67%52%50%47%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NWE Max Drawdown-32%-7%-11%-19%-8%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-7%-22%-18%-10%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALE, OTTR, AVA, MGEE, NEE. See NWE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNWES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven302 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1156 days1480 days

Compare to ALE, OTTR, AVA, MGEE, NEE


In The Past

NorthWestern Energy's stock fell -33.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2021. A -33.8% loss requires a 51.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NorthWestern Energy (NWE)

Better Bets than NorthWestern Energy (NWE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NWE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
NWE_8312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312020NWENorthWestern EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%28.5%-5.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
NWE_8312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312020NWENorthWestern EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%28.5%-5.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NorthWestern Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NWEALEOTTRAVAMGEENEEMedian
NameNorthWes.ALLETE Otter Ta.Avista MGE Ener.NextEra . 
Mkt Price66.7267.6582.7439.3379.9784.9573.81
Mkt Cap4.13.93.53.22.9175.43.7
Rev LTM1,5701,5001,2991,96472626,2981,535
Op Inc LTM3571393453441667,404344
FCF LTM-122-322107-23-323,073-27
FCF 3Y Avg-12967113-81-12,42133
CFO LTM40134341948429711,967410
CFO 3Y Avg41147841643025111,847423

Growth & Margins

NWEALEOTTRAVAMGEENEEMedian
NameNorthWes.ALLETE Otter Ta.Avista MGE Ener.NextEra . 
Rev Chg LTM4.9%-4.3%-3.2%2.1%8.3%0.2%1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.9%0.4%-4.4%6.4%2.0%11.4%3.0%
Rev Chg Q12.1%-7.9%-3.7%2.3%4.3%5.3%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%-2.1%-1.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM22.8%9.2%26.5%17.5%22.9%28.2%22.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.3%9.6%27.4%15.4%21.7%31.5%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.8%-0.6%0.5%0.2%-1.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM25.6%22.8%32.2%24.6%40.9%45.5%28.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.1%28.4%31.4%22.7%35.7%44.6%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.8%-21.5%8.2%-1.2%-4.4%11.7%-2.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.5%2.5%8.6%-4.5%-0.0%9.3%1.2%

Valuation

NWEALEOTTRAVAMGEENEEMedian
NameNorthWes.ALLETE Otter Ta.Avista MGE Ener.NextEra . 
Mkt Cap4.13.93.53.22.9175.43.7
P/S2.32.62.61.64.25.92.6
P/EBIT9.721.19.38.716.420.713.1
P/E16.623.312.316.322.924.019.7
P/CFO9.011.38.26.310.413.09.7
Total Yield10.5%8.6%10.6%11.3%6.5%7.1%9.6%
Dividend Yield4.5%4.3%2.5%5.1%2.2%2.9%3.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%2.8%3.5%-3.1%-0.0%1.3%0.7%
D/E0.90.60.31.00.30.60.6
Net D/E0.90.60.21.00.30.60.6

Returns

NWEALEOTTRAVAMGEENEEMedian
NameNorthWes.ALLETE Otter Ta.Avista MGE Ener.NextEra . 
1M Rtn11.1%0.5%6.8%4.4%-3.0%4.6%4.5%
3M Rtn18.0%6.6%-0.6%9.3%-4.8%19.4%7.9%
6M Rtn29.6%5.0%9.3%8.2%-8.9%23.3%8.8%
12M Rtn28.8%8.3%5.2%8.9%-21.5%14.8%8.6%
3Y Rtn32.6%16.4%50.8%9.0%20.7%8.8%18.6%
1M Excs Rtn11.1%0.5%6.8%4.4%-3.0%4.6%4.5%
3M Excs Rtn11.6%0.9%-6.7%3.4%-11.0%15.3%2.1%
6M Excs Rtn14.9%-9.8%-5.4%-6.5%-23.6%8.6%-6.0%
12M Excs Rtn13.3%-5.7%-8.2%-6.6%-35.2%-2.2%-6.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.8%-57.1%-18.2%-60.7%-51.7%-62.1%-54.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric1,0691,1071,052 981
Gas353371320 277
Eliminations 0   
Other 0   
Total1,4221,4781,372 1,258


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric175159157 145
Gas303433 42
Other-12-10-3 15
Eliminations 0   
Total194183187 202


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,485,570
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202541.8%
Average Daily Volume553,409
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.68
Basic Shares Quantity61,395,002
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021