Tearsheet

Valmont Industries (VMI)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $409.56 | Market Cap: $8.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Valmont Industries (VMI)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $409.56
Market Cap: $8.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.7%, Dist 3Y High is -3.7%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -45%
Key risks
VMI key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from volatile steel prices, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.7%, Dist 3Y High is -3.7%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -45%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%
7 Key risks
VMI key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from volatile steel prices, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VMI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Valmont Industries (VMI) stock moved by approximately 12.3% from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:

1. Stronger-Than-Anticipated Q3 2025 Earnings and Raised Full-Year Guidance: Valmont Industries reported third-quarter results in October 2025 that exceeded expectations, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.98, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.64 per share. The company also reported net sales of $1.05 billion, surpassing estimates. This strong performance led to Valmont raising its full-year 2025 adjusted earnings guidance, demonstrating management's confidence in the company's trajectory.

2. Robust Growth in the Infrastructure Segment, Particularly Utility Sales: The Infrastructure segment was a significant driver of growth, with sales increasing by 6.6% year-over-year in Q3 2025. This was notably fueled by a 12.3% surge in Utility sales, attributed to strong pricing and higher volumes. The consistent strength in infrastructure helped offset softer agriculture volumes.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VMI Return19%44%33%-29%33%34%188%
Peers Return13%46%-5%33%14%17%181%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VMI Win Rate58%83%58%33%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate55%63%45%57%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VMI Max Drawdown-42%-1%-17%-43%-12%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-3%-29%-10%-12%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LNN, AZZ, HUBB, NUE, PNR. See VMI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVMIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven376 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven722 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven212.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,239 days1,480 days

Compare to HUBB, TMHC, MTH, AZZ, LNN


In The Past

Valmont Industries's stock fell -45.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -45.6% loss requires a 83.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Valmont Industries (VMI)

Better Bets than Valmont Industries (VMI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Valmont Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VMILNNAZZHUBBNUEPNRMedian
NameValmont .Lindsay AZZ Hubbell Nucor Pentair  
Mkt Price411.60120.60107.80442.51159.15103.87139.88
Mkt Cap8.11.33.223.536.617.012.6
Rev LTM4,1036761,5955,68631,8834,1284,116
Op Inc LTM519882371,1642,518864692
FCF LTM40990407850-331783408
FCF 3Y Avg354862417302,512675514
CFO LTM5391335041,0153,168850695
CFO 3Y Avg4561163378985,353748602

Growth & Margins

VMILNNAZZHUBBNUEPNRMedian
NameValmont .Lindsay AZZ Hubbell Nucor Pentair  
Rev Chg LTM1.2%11.4%1.6%0.8%1.7%0.8%1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.5%-3.7%25.6%5.7%-9.3%0.2%-0.2%
Rev Chg Q2.5%-0.9%2.0%4.1%14.5%2.9%2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%-0.2%0.5%1.1%3.5%0.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM12.7%13.0%14.9%20.5%7.9%20.9%13.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.1%13.6%14.5%19.4%12.9%18.8%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.3%-0.0%0.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM13.1%19.7%31.6%17.8%9.9%20.6%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%17.7%21.6%16.2%16.0%18.2%17.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.0%13.4%25.5%15.0%-1.0%19.0%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.6%13.1%15.4%13.2%7.2%16.4%13.1%

Valuation

VMILNNAZZHUBBNUEPNRMedian
NameValmont .Lindsay AZZ Hubbell Nucor Pentair  
Mkt Cap8.11.33.223.536.617.012.6
P/S2.01.92.04.11.14.12.0
P/EBIT19.513.66.720.513.820.716.7
P/E34.817.710.327.122.126.024.1
P/CFO15.19.96.423.211.520.013.3
Total Yield3.2%6.9%10.0%4.9%5.9%4.8%5.4%
Dividend Yield0.3%1.2%0.3%1.2%1.4%0.9%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%6.2%11.2%3.5%6.5%4.5%6.0%
D/E0.10.10.20.10.20.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.10.20.10.10.10.1

Returns

VMILNNAZZHUBBNUEPNRMedian
NameValmont .Lindsay AZZ Hubbell Nucor Pentair  
1M Rtn8.5%10.0%8.4%9.0%8.1%2.4%8.4%
3M Rtn9.9%-12.9%-5.2%0.6%19.9%-5.6%-2.3%
6M Rtn29.7%-10.7%23.7%12.5%29.1%7.3%18.1%
12M Rtn34.6%-0.5%33.1%5.1%38.9%2.9%19.1%
3Y Rtn26.6%-26.2%182.7%92.6%21.0%141.9%59.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.3%7.9%6.0%3.0%4.2%-1.6%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn7.7%-15.9%-7.8%-0.9%16.5%-7.5%-4.2%
6M Excs Rtn14.4%-24.7%8.3%-0.6%13.9%-8.6%3.9%
12M Excs Rtn14.2%-17.1%7.9%-10.9%20.9%-13.5%-1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-44.8%-97.0%100.1%14.3%-58.6%64.1%-15.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Infrastructure3,0002,9102,362  
Agriculture1,1751,3351,017  
Other 100123  
Coatings   270301
Engineered Support Structures   9841,002
Irrigation   640579
Utility Support Structures   1,002886
Total4,1754,3453,5022,8952,767


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Infrastructure396354274  
Agriculture17179137  
Unallocated corporate expenses-122-103-84-66-48
Other 2-40  
Coatings   4351
Engineered Support Structures   6566
Irrigation   8372
Utility Support Structures   10188
Total292433287226228


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Infrastructure2,2492,2682,103  
Agriculture9791,1131,027  
Unallocated corporate expenses250177250417410
Other 068  
Coatings   361363
Engineered Support Structures   933944
Irrigation   465348
Utility Support Structures   778742
Total3,4773,5573,4472,9532,807


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity281,925
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.8%
Average Daily Volume177,529
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.59
Basic Shares Quantity19,736,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20251.4%1.5%-5.4%
7/22/20256.5%7.8%12.7%
2/18/202517.5%6.9%0.5%
10/23/2024-1.5%-3.1%4.0%
7/25/20241.0%-2.5%-3.6%
5/2/20240.7%4.5%2.1%
2/22/2024-0.0%-3.3%0.6%
10/26/2023-5.1%0.5%4.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121115
# Negative784
Median Positive1.4%4.5%4.1%
Median Negative-0.5%-2.8%-5.3%
Max Positive17.5%9.3%13.7%
Max Negative-5.1%-12.2%-31.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023426202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/25/2021