Off The Hook YS (OTH)
Market Price (5/25/2026): $2.54 | Market Cap: $61.7 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail
Off The Hook YS (OTH)
Market Price (5/25/2026): $2.54Market Cap: $61.7 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.6% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 69% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% Key risksOTH key risks include [1] execution challenges for its complex, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 69% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Key risksOTH key risks include [1] execution challenges for its complex, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Q1 2026 Financial Results and Increased Expenses.
Off The Hook YS reported record revenue of $29.8 million in Q1 2026, a 9.6% increase year-over-year. However, the company also posted a net loss of $3.47 million for the quarter, a reversal from a profit in Q1 2025. Furthermore, Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) expenses surged by 225% year-over-year to $1.3 million, impacting overall profitability despite revenue growth.
2. Significant Decline in New Boat Sales.
While pre-owned boat sales saw a robust increase of 31.8% in Q1 2026, new boat sales experienced a substantial decrease of 76.4% during the same period. This sharp decline in a key segment of the business likely raised concerns among investors regarding market demand and the company's growth strategy for new inventory.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.2% change in OTH stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.73 | 2.56 | -6.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 122 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 0.5 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 24 | -17.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTH | -6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.1% | 30.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.4% | 29.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTH | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 26.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.3% | 24.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTH | ||
| Market (SPY) | 36.0% | 26.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 21.8% | 24.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTH | ||
| Market (SPY) | 86.3% | 26.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 65.2% | 24.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OTH Return | - | - | - | - | -45% | 22% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 61% | 13% | 31% | 28% | 3% | 2% | 222% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OTH Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 53% | 58% | 63% | 57% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OTH Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -23% | -17% | -16% | -22% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MUSA, AN, GPI, ORLY, AZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OTH has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 874 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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OTH has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 874 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 372 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Off The Hook YS (OTH)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Analogy 1: Carvana for boats and yachts
Analogy 2: AutoNation for boats and yachts
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Buying Yachts and Boats: Acquiring yachts and boats from individuals or other entities for inventory.
- Selling Yachts and Boats: Facilitating the retail sale of yachts and boats to end-user customers.
- Wholesaling Yachts and Boats: Selling yachts and boats in bulk or to other dealerships in the industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Off The Hook YS (OTH) primarily sells yachts and boats to individuals through its dealership operations, which span eight locations and employ 35 sales representatives. Based on the provided information, the company serves the following categories of customers:
- Affluent Individuals and Families: These customers purchase yachts and boats for personal leisure, recreation, and luxury lifestyle. Given an average vessel price of approximately $225,000 (derived from $90 million in sales across 400+ vessels), these sales cater to a clientele seeking high-quality and premium marine vessels.
- Small Business Owners and Charter Operators: This category includes individuals or small companies acquiring vessels for commercial purposes, such as operating yacht charters, boat rental services, or specialized marine tours.
- Experienced Boaters and Enthusiasts: Customers with significant prior boating experience who are looking to upgrade their current vessel, expand their fleet, or acquire specific types of boats (e.g., for fishing, cruising, or performance). These buyers often possess a deep understanding of the marine market and specific needs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Brian John, Chief Executive Officer
Brian John is the Chief Executive Officer and a Director of Off The Hook YS Inc.. He brings experience in taking companies public and managing mergers and acquisitions within the marine sector. Prior to his role at Off The Hook YS Inc., he served as the former Chairman of Tron Inc. and was the CEO and Director of Bonk Inc.. John has also held positions as a director and 10% owner of Caring Brands Inc..
Jason Ruegg, Founder, President and Chairman of the Board
Jason Ruegg founded Off The Hook Yachts, LLC in 2012, driven by a lifelong passion for buying and selling boats, a pursuit he began at the age of 10. He earned a Bachelor's Degree in Business Management with a concentration in Accounting from the University of North Carolina Wilmington. Under his leadership, Off The Hook YS has been recognized on the Inc. 500 list of America's Fastest-Growing Companies and consistently ranked as a Top 100 Dealer in the USA by Boating Industry.
Chad Corbin, Chief Financial Officer
Chad Corbin, 47, possesses over 22 years of experience in financial and operational senior management. He began his career at Ferguson Enterprises, serving as Credit Manager and later Operations Manager from 2000 through 2008. From 2008 to 2017, he held various positions, including Chief Financial Officer, Controller, General Manager, and Operations Manager, across multiple companies in the financial and manufacturing industries.
Blake R. Phillips, Chief Operating Officer
Blake R. Phillips serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Off The Hook YS Inc.. He is also noted as an insider shareholder of the company.
Andrew Simmons, Executive Vice President and Director
Andrew Simmons, 37, has over 19 years of experience in senior sales and marketing leadership within the marine and automotive industries. He joined Off The Hook Yachts in 2024. Before this, he was the President of Sales at HCB Yachts, where he played a key role in increasing the company's annual sales to over $100 million. Simmons was also the Founder and Partner of American Yacht Group.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Off The Hook YS (OTH):
- Economic Downturns and Discretionary Spending: As a premier dealer and wholesaler of yachts and boats, Off The Hook YS operates in a market highly sensitive to economic conditions. Yachts and boats are discretionary luxury purchases, meaning demand can significantly decline during economic recessions, periods of high inflation, or decreases in consumer confidence and disposable income. Such conditions directly impact sales volumes and profitability.
- Interest Rate Fluctuations: A substantial portion of yacht and boat purchases are financed. Increases in interest rates directly raise the cost of financing for customers, reducing affordability and potentially deterring buyers, thereby negatively impacting sales and the overall market demand for vessels.
- Inventory Management and Depreciation Risk: As a large marine wholesaler, Off The Hook YS carries a significant inventory of high-value vessels. Fluctuations in market demand, rapid technological advancements, or the introduction of new models can lead to the depreciation of existing inventory, requiring write-downs. Additionally, holding substantial inventory incurs carrying costs, and an inability to sell vessels promptly at expected prices can negatively impact profitability and cash flow.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Off The Hook YS (OTH) is the growing trend of "access over ownership" in the marine industry. This involves the increasing popularity of boat clubs, fractional ownership programs, and peer-to-peer boat rental platforms. As consumers, particularly newer generations or those looking to avoid the responsibilities and costs of full ownership, opt for these models, it reduces the market for outright boat purchases and sales, which is OTH's primary business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Off The Hook YS (OTH), specializing in the buying, selling, and wholesaling of yachts and boats, are primarily within the recreational boating and luxury yacht sectors in North America and the United States. The North America recreational boating market was valued at USD 10.52 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.67 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.53% from 2026 to 2034. Within this, the U.S. recreational boat market is estimated at USD 7.1 billion in 2025, with an anticipated growth to USD 12.9 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 6.9%. The United States holds the largest recreational boat market globally in terms of ownership and registration activity, with over 11.9 million registered recreational vessels as of 2023. The broader North America leisure boat market generated approximately USD 19.47 billion in revenue in 2023 and is expected to reach about USD 26.24 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.4% from 2024 to 2030. Notably, the used leisure boat segment accounted for the largest share of revenue in this market, at 76.47% in 2023. The U.S. alone contributed around 60% of the overall North American leisure boat market. Focusing on the luxury segment, the United States luxury yacht market is estimated at USD 4.82 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 7.16 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 8.25%.AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Off The Hook YS (OTH)
Off The Hook YS (OTH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and expansions:
- Strategic Acquisitions: The acquisition of the Apex Marine Group (APEX) is anticipated to significantly boost revenue, with an expectation to add $30 million in revenue and yield $3 million in annual cost savings. This acquisition aims to establish a comprehensive "Mega Service, Refurbishment & Sales Hub" to support a growing global customer base.
- Geographic Market Expansion: OTH is actively expanding its national footprint. This includes a strategic partnership with Jefferson Beach Yacht Sales to enter the Great Lakes market, as well as an agreement with Puerto Rico's CFR Yacht Sales to expand into the Caribbean and Latin America. These expansions are part of a broader strategy to increase market share within the U.S. marine industry.
- Increased Inventory Financing Capacity: The company has boosted its inventory financing floorplan to $60 million. This increase is specifically intended to remove prior inventory constraints and drive "unprecedented growth" in 2026 by enabling higher transaction volumes.
- Leveraging AI-Powered Marine Marketplace: Off The Hook YS operates a vertically integrated, AI-powered marine marketplace. Its AI-driven systems are highlighted for enhancing speed and efficiency in the buying, selling, and financing of used boats and yachts, positioning the company to gain market share in a fragmented industry.
- Growth in Financing Services: The company's financing services segment, operating under Azure Funding, provides financing products for marine, aviation, and recreational vehicle purchases. Expanding these offerings and increasing penetration in this segment can contribute to overall revenue growth by facilitating more sales and providing an additional revenue stream.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Off The Hook Yachts announced a share buyback plan on January 8, 2026.
Share Issuance
- On November 12, 2025, Off The Hook YS Inc. priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO), issuing 3,750,000 shares at $4.00 per share.
- The IPO generated gross proceeds of $15 million.
- Underwriters were granted a 45-day option to purchase up to an additional 562,500 shares at the IPO price to cover over-allotments.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2026, Off The Hook Yachts signed a definitive agreement to acquire the Apex Marine Group of Companies (APEX).
- The APEX acquisition is expected to add approximately $30 million in annual revenue based on unaudited 2025 data and projected to deliver an estimated $3 million in annual cost savings.
- Off The Hook Yachts expanded into the Great Lakes region through a strategic partnership with Jefferson Beach Yacht Sales in February 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- Proceeds from the November 2025 IPO were earmarked for potential down payments to acquire and develop waterfront properties for storage and service centers.
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 258.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.3 |
| Rev LTM | 19,644 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,117 |
| FCF LTM | 441 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 452 |
| CFO LTM | 817 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 872 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.3 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 15.0 |
| P/CFO | 14.3 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.1% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | -3.1% | -5.5% | |
| 12/15/2025 | -15.3% | -31.0% | -22.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | -9.2% | -18.3% | -22.1% |
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | -15.3% | -31.0% | -22.1% |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 165.00 Mil | 167.50 Mil | 170.00 Mil | 17.5% | Raised | Guidance: 142.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruegg, Jason Daniel | President and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5192026 | 2.64 | 5,000 | 13,200 | 6,992,700 | Form |
| 2 | Ruegg, Jason Daniel | President and Chairman | See Footnote | Sell | 5192026 | 2.00 | 475,000 | 950,000 | 21,550,000 | Form |
| 3 | John, Brian | CEO and Director | See Footnote | Sell | 5192026 | 2.41 | 120,000 | 289,200 | 2,731,374 | Form |
| 4 | Ruegg, Jason Daniel | President and Chairman | Direct | Buy | 4012026 | 2.03 | 10,000 | 20,294 | 28,216,270 | Form |
| 5 | Simmons, Andrew James | Vice President and Director | Direct | Buy | 4012026 | 2.01 | 10,000 | 20,144 | 2,469,399 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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