Tearsheet

AutoZone (AZO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3825.23 | Market Cap: $63.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

AutoZone (AZO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3825.23
Market Cap: $63.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and Automotive Aftermarket Innovation. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and Automotive Aftermarket Innovation. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AZO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate 8.9% decline in AutoZone (AZO) stock from late August 2025 to early December 2025 can be attributed to several key factors:



1. Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Miss: AutoZone reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings (for the period ending August 30, 2025) at $48.71 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $50.52. This earnings miss, despite sales topping expectations, concerned investors.

2. Pressure on Operating Margins: The company experienced a decline in its operating margin, which fell to 19.2% from 20.9% in the comparable period last year, indicating profitability pressures.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AZO Return-0%77%18%5%24%20%221%
Peers Return8%50%-24%2%-17%1%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AZO Win Rate42%75%50%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate64%63%37%48%50%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AZO Max Drawdown-39%-6%-15%-6%-2%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-6%-36%-21%-27%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORLY, LEA, GNTX, AAP, ONEW. See AZO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAZOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-21.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven191 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-36.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days1480 days

Compare to ORLY, LEA, GNTX, AAP, ONEW


In The Past

AutoZone's stock fell -21.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -21.4% loss requires a 27.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AutoZone (AZO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AZO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
AZO_5312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312023AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.8%16.2%-3.4%
AZO_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.1%36.2%-9.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
AZO_5312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312023AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.8%16.2%-3.4%
AZO_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.1%36.2%-9.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AutoZone

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AZOORLYLEAGNTXAAPONEWMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Lear Gentex Advance .OneWater. 
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Growth & Margins

AZOORLYLEAGNTXAAPONEWMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Lear Gentex Advance .OneWater. 
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Valuation

AZOORLYLEAGNTXAAPONEWMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Lear Gentex Advance .OneWater. 
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Returns

AZOORLYLEAGNTXAAPONEWMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Lear Gentex Advance .OneWater. 
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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity294,568
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.2%
Average Daily Volume133,577
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.21
Basic Shares Quantity16,711,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251027202510-K 8/30/2025
5312025613202510-Q 5/10/2025
2282025321202510-Q 2/15/2025
113020241220202410-Q 11/23/2024
83120241028202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024607202410-Q 5/4/2024
2292024315202410-Q 2/10/2024
113020231218202310-Q 11/18/2023
83120231024202310-K 8/26/2023
5312023609202310-Q 5/6/2023
2282023317202310-Q 2/11/2023
113020221220202210-Q 11/19/2022
83120221024202210-K 8/27/2022
5312022610202210-Q 5/7/2022
2282022318202210-Q 2/12/2022
113020211217202110-Q 11/20/2021