Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -69%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.21, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 154%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -69%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.21, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 154%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ORKA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Oruka Therapeutics (ORKA) stock moved by 109% from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Oruka Therapeutics announced positive interim Phase 1 results for ORKA-001 in September 2025. This investigational drug, a long-acting IL-23p19 antibody for plaque psoriasis, demonstrated a half-life of approximately 100 days, which is more than three times that of risankizumab. This extended half-life indicates the potential for once-yearly dosing, higher efficacy, and extended off-treatment remissions, with the drug also showing a favorable safety profile and being well-tolerated.

2. The U.S. FDA cleared Oruka's investigational new drug (IND) application for its Phase 2a trial of ORKA-001 (EVERLAST-A) in moderate-to-severe psoriasis, with first patients dosed in the study. This clearance and the initiation of the Phase 2a trial in July 2025 (reported in August/September) represented significant clinical progress for the company's lead program.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ORKA Return-30%-46%10%-28%77%60%-16%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORKA Win Rate33%25%58%42%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ORKA Max Drawdown-59%-46%-18%-28%-7%-65% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventORKAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven212.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-80.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven413.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-90.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven936.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-99.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven13233.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven45 days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Oruka Therapeutics's stock fell -68.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -68.0% loss requires a 212.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Oruka Therapeutics (ORKA)

Better Bets than Oruka Therapeutics (ORKA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ORKA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Oruka Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ORKAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOruka Th.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price30.93457.362.631.1711.5421.9316.73
Mkt Cap1.3116.9----59.1
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-104-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-3,337-6--60-64-33
FCF 3Y Avg-2,064-10---1,027
CFO LTM-3,718-6--60-64-33
CFO 3Y Avg-2,419-10---1,204

Growth & Margins

ORKAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOruka Th.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ORKAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOruka Th.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap1.3116.9----59.1
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-5.022.4----8.7
P/E-4.927.2----11.2
P/CFO-26.9----26.9
Total Yield-20.4%3.7%-----8.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%----2.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.7-0.0-----0.4

Returns

ORKAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameOruka Th.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn12.8%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-10.6%
3M Rtn106.6%15.2%--14.5%-15.2%
6M Rtn153.7%3.1%----78.4%
12M Rtn47.5%-1.4%----23.0%
3Y Rtn125.0%44.0%----84.5%
1M Excs Rtn11.5%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-9.3%
3M Excs Rtn83.4%9.7%--10.8%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn138.3%-12.4%----62.9%
12M Excs Rtn34.2%-15.2%----9.5%
3Y Excs Rtn59.4%-28.7%----15.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,249,677
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.8%
Average Daily Volume468,396
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.21
Basic Shares Quantity42,233,089
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
33120245142024S-4 3/31/2024