Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 214x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 80x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 244x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 214x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 80x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 244x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ONON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why On (ONON) stock moved by approximately 4.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: On Holding AG reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 12, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue. This strong performance, with earnings beating projections by approximately 74%, led to a substantial positive reaction in its stock price, including an approximate 8.7% rise in pre-market trading.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Following the impressive Q3 results, On raised its full-year 2025 guidance across key metrics, including an expected net sales growth of 34% year-over-year on a constant currency basis and a gross profit margin of around 62.5%. This upward revision signaled strong confidence from management in the company's sustained momentum and future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ONON Return---55%57%103%-18%19%
Peers Return-7%14%-36%6%61%10%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ONON Win Rate-67%33%50%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate25%47%32%42%43%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ONON Max Drawdown---58%-1%-3%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-3%-41%-21%-15%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventONONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven221.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven717 days464 days

Compare to WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON


In The Past

On's stock fell -68.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -68.9% loss requires a 221.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About On (ONON)

Better Bets than On (ONON)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ONON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for On

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ONONWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIMedian
NameOn Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward . 
Mkt Price47.0717.4631.793.758.5117.46
Mkt Cap30.01.40.30.2-0.9
Rev LTM2,7181,8522811,084271,084
Op Inc LTM2961413319-533
FCF LTM3485433-48-233
FCF 3Y Avg17718044-12-044
CFO LTM4167634-43-234
CFO 3Y Avg24320247-3-047

Growth & Margins

ONONWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIMedian
NameOn Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward . 
Rev Chg LTM35.7%3.6%-6.4%-15.3%5.6%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg43.6%-10.6%-3.6%-16.2%-13.5%-10.6%
Rev Chg Q32.0%6.8%-8.9%-15.2%-50.5%-8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.2%1.7%-2.0%-3.5%-8.6%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM10.9%7.6%11.6%1.7%-19.0%7.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.6%3.4%12.6%-2.0%-6.9%3.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.6%-0.7%3.0%-8.7%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM15.3%4.1%12.2%-4.0%-6.8%4.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%9.8%15.2%-0.3%-0.7%9.8%
FCF/Rev LTM12.8%2.9%11.6%-4.4%-6.9%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%8.7%14.5%-0.9%-0.9%6.5%

Valuation

ONONWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIMedian
NameOn Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward . 
Mkt Cap30.01.40.30.2-0.9
P/S12.21.21.10.1-1.2
P/EBIT214.215.68.9-1.9-12.2
P/E243.825.212.1-1.3-18.7
P/CFO79.629.49.1-1.8-19.3
Total Yield0.4%5.4%17.5%-74.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%9.3%0.0%-0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.6%20.5%15.6%-6.7%-8.1%
D/E0.00.40.04.1-0.2
Net D/E-0.00.3-0.22.7-0.1

Returns

ONONWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIMedian
NameOn Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward . 
1M Rtn29.1%-21.8%19.0%82.0%-24.0%
3M Rtn5.1%-44.2%13.2%15.4%-9.1%
6M Rtn-18.9%5.8%8.3%145.1%-7.1%
12M Rtn-20.9%-24.7%-2.1%77.7%--11.5%
3Y Rtn140.0%71.5%50.0%-18.8%-60.8%
1M Excs Rtn29.1%-21.8%19.0%82.1%-24.1%
3M Excs Rtn-3.1%-50.6%2.7%4.3%--0.2%
6M Excs Rtn-33.6%-8.9%-6.5%130.4%--7.7%
12M Excs Rtn-32.9%-36.7%-15.8%143.3%--24.3%
3Y Excs Rtn81.5%1.6%-18.7%-91.1%--8.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,248,523
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.7%
Average Daily Volume14,228,838
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.21
Basic Shares Quantity636,575,401
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581220256-K 6/30/2025
331202551320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024304202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023312202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202351620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022321202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111620226-K 9/30/2022
630202281620226-K 6/30/2022
331202251720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021318202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111620216-K 9/30/2021