Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 64x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 119x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Key risks
ONON key risks include [1] heavy reliance on third-party manufacturing concentrated in Asia, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 64x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 119x
4 Key risks
ONON key risks include [1] heavy reliance on third-party manufacturing concentrated in Asia, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ONON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of On (ONON) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. On Holding AG reported third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced net sales of CHF 794.4 million against estimates of CHF 777.0 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of CHF 0.43, substantially higher than the CHF 0.25 per share anticipated by analysts.

2. Enthusiastic Market Reaction to Earnings. Following the robust Q3 2025 earnings report, investors responded positively, with On Holding shares surging approximately 8.7% in pre-market trading. One report even indicated a 24.93% increase in the stock price, closing at $43.41, directly after the earnings announcement, reflecting strong investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ONON Return-55%57%103%-12%
Peers Return-15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ONON Win Rate67%33%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ONON Max Drawdown-58%-1%-3%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, DECK, LULU, AS, VFC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventONONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven221.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven717 days464 days

Compare to WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON


In The Past

On's stock fell -68.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -68.9% loss requires a 221.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About On (ONON)

Better Bets than On (ONON)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ONON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for On

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ONONNKEDECKLULUASVFCMedian
NameOn Nike Deckers .Lululemo.Amer Spo.VF  
Mkt Price48.1065.69102.39207.8737.9118.5456.89
Mkt Cap26.797.015.321.119.37.220.2
Rev LTM2,87746,4405,12511,0736,1019,5417,821
Op Inc LTM3483,4201,2122,440679468945
FCF LTM3453,0098801,128-240880
FCF 3Y Avg2414,8938041,343-285804
CFO LTM4153,5269681,861-375968
CFO 3Y Avg3065,6118932,025-455893

Growth & Margins

ONONNKEDECKLULUASVFCMedian
NameOn Nike Deckers .Lululemo.Amer Spo.VF  
Rev Chg LTM33.3%-7.1%15.5%8.8%25.1%-0.1%12.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg41.0%-0.3%16.3%14.2%--6.7%14.2%
Rev Chg Q24.9%1.1%16.9%7.1%29.7%1.6%12.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.8%0.3%2.8%1.6%7.1%0.5%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM12.1%7.4%23.6%22.0%11.1%4.9%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.1%10.2%21.3%22.4%9.0%5.2%10.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.6%-0.0%-0.8%0.1%0.4%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM14.4%7.6%18.9%16.8%-3.9%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%11.3%20.2%20.1%-4.7%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM12.0%6.5%17.2%10.2%-2.5%10.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%9.9%18.1%13.4%-3.0%9.9%

Valuation

ONONNKEDECKLULUASVFCMedian
NameOn Nike Deckers .Lululemo.Amer Spo.VF  
Mkt Cap26.797.015.321.119.37.220.2
P/S9.32.23.01.93.20.62.6
P/EBIT-30.111.8--14.114.1
P/E119.235.615.312.162.162.448.8
P/CFO64.429.215.611.3-15.115.6
Total Yield0.8%2.8%6.5%8.3%1.6%4.1%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.8%4.7%--4.1%4.1%
D/E-0.10.0--1.00.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.1--1.00.0

Returns

ONONNKEDECKLULUASVFCMedian
NameOn Nike Deckers .Lululemo.Amer Spo.VF  
1M Rtn16.2%5.1%26.8%26.6%23.2%30.8%24.9%
3M Rtn9.7%-8.6%-13.7%27.2%2.2%26.2%6.0%
6M Rtn-7.3%11.7%1.4%-9.1%4.8%59.4%3.1%
12M Rtn-15.1%-13.8%-51.3%-46.8%31.9%-16.1%-15.6%
3Y Rtn191.7%-34.6%66.3%-35.3%--22.9%-22.9%
1M Excs Rtn15.4%4.4%26.1%25.9%22.5%30.0%24.2%
3M Excs Rtn5.6%-9.7%-12.6%21.1%-1.3%22.0%2.1%
6M Excs Rtn-19.7%-0.7%-11.0%-21.5%-7.6%47.0%-9.3%
12M Excs Rtn-27.1%-24.0%-61.5%-58.0%26.0%-21.1%-25.6%
3Y Excs Rtn103.0%-106.6%-6.4%-105.1%--96.2%-96.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Shoes1,7111,168683406
Apparel69473616
Accessories12753
Total1,7921,222725425


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,641,459
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.1%
Average Daily Volume6,020,434
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.10
Basic Shares Quantity631,389,178
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111220256-K 9/30/2025
630202581220256-K 6/30/2025
331202551320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024304202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023312202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202351620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022321202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111620226-K 9/30/2022
630202281620226-K 6/30/2022
331202251720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021318202220-F 12/31/2021