Amer Sports (AS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.0 | Market Cap: $20.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
Amer Sports (AS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.0Market Cap: $20.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.8x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 96x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Experiential Retail, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.8x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 96x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain why Amer Sports (AS) stock moved by approximately -6% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Overvaluation and Profit-Taking Following All-Time High. The stock reached an all-time high of $41.48 on August 22, 2025, just prior to the specified period. Such peaks often precede periods of profit-taking by investors, leading to a natural correction in the stock price. Furthermore, Amer Sports has been noted for its high valuation, with its price-to-earnings ratio significantly exceeding industry averages, suggesting the stock was "priced for significant growth" and potentially considered expensive by the market.
2. High Expectations Leading to "Little Margin for Error". The company's elevated valuation indicated high investor expectations for substantial growth. This situation created "little margin for error if expectations are not met," implying that even strong earnings might not be enough to satisfy aggressive growth projections already factored into the stock price. Any perceived slight deviation from these high expectations could have contributed to a downward adjustment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AS Return | - | - | - | - | - | 32% | 32% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 3% | -3% | -1% | 7% | -5% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AS Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 12% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 33% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -2% | -8% | -9% | -5% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
AS has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Amer Sports Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | |
| Amer Sports (AS) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | |
| Amer Sports (AS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Amer Sports (AS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Amer Sports (AS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Amer Sports (AS) Revenue Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amer Sports
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,288 |
| Op Inc LTM | 248 |
| FCF LTM | -1 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 22 |
| CFO LTM | 166 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 344 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -23.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.1 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 21.5 |
| P/E | 42.1 |
| P/CFO | 15.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8202025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5202025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3072025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8202024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5212024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 10052023 | DRS/A 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022024 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |