Tearsheet

Olaplex (OLPX)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $1.36 | Market Cap: $907.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Olaplex (OLPX)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $1.36
Market Cap: $907.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.0%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
  Key risks
OLPX key risks include [1] brand-damaging lawsuits alleging its products cause hair loss and contain banned chemicals, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
6 Key risks
OLPX key risks include [1] brand-damaging lawsuits alleging its products cause hair loss and contain banned chemicals, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OLPX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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The search results provide information regarding Olaplex's financial performance and stock reactions around August 2025 and later in 2025, particularly related to Q2 and Q3 2025 earnings and analyst forecasts for Q4 2025. While a specific -5.6% stock movement for the entire period from 8/31/2025 to 12/28/2025 is not directly stated with accompanying reasons, I can infer key events and their associated stock movements and broader market sentiment around that time. I will focus on negative sentiment and reported declines.

<br><br>

1. Olaplex's stock experienced a 5.95% decline on July 24, 2025, following the announcement of its Q2 2025 earnings release date (August 7, 2025). This negative market reaction occurred before the actual earnings report, suggesting investor apprehension.

<br><br>

2. Despite reporting a 2.3% increase in Q2 2025 net sales compared to Q2 2024, Olaplex's profitability declined, and the company maintained a fiscal year 2025 guidance that projected potential sales decline for the full year. The mixed performance, characterized by revenue growth but declining profitability and a cautious outlook, likely contributed to negative sentiment.

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Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.7% change in OLPX stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -1.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)1.361.35-0.74%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)423.08418.58-1.06%
P/S Multiple2.142.150.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)665.95667.07-0.17%
Cumulative Contribution-0.74%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
OLPX-0.7% 
Market (SPY)4.3%34.6%
Sector (XLY)1.8%43.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.0% change in OLPX stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -9.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)1.501.35-10.00%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)420.74418.58-0.51%
P/S Multiple2.372.15-9.21%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)664.69667.07-0.36%
Cumulative Contribution-10.00%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
OLPX-10.0% 
Market (SPY)12.6%30.5%
Sector (XLY)11.9%42.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.9% change in OLPX stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -19.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)1.751.35-22.86%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)433.65418.58-3.47%
P/S Multiple2.672.15-19.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)662.25667.07-0.73%
Cumulative Contribution-22.86%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
OLPX-22.9% 
Market (SPY)17.0%42.3%
Sector (XLY)7.0%46.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -72.0% change in OLPX stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -49.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1228202212272025Change
Stock Price ($)4.821.35-71.99%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)740.05418.58-43.44%
P/S Multiple4.232.15-49.11%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)649.10667.07-2.77%
Cumulative Contribution-72.01%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
OLPX-48.5% 
Market (SPY)48.0%32.1%
Sector (XLY)37.7%36.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OLPX Return-19%-82%-51%-32%-18%-94%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OLPX Win Rate-50%25%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OLPX Max Drawdown--7%-86%-74%-50%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOLPXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2062.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Olaplex's stock fell -95.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/3/2022. A -95.4% loss requires a 2062.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Olaplex (OLPX)

Olaplex Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hair care products. The company offers hair care shampoos and conditioners for use in treatment, maintenance, and protection of hair. It provides hair care products to professional hair salons, retailers, and everyday consumers. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Santa Barbara, California.

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  • Dyson for hair treatments.
  • Lululemon for hair repair.

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  • Olaplex No. 0 Intensive Bond Building Treatment: A bond-building primer designed for deep repair when used as the first step in a two-part treatment with No. 3.
  • Olaplex No. 3 Hair Perfector: An at-home pre-shampoo treatment that reduces breakage and visibly strengthens hair by repairing bonds.
  • Olaplex No. 4 Bond Maintenance Shampoo: A daily use shampoo that repairs and protects hair from daily stresses while re-linking broken bonds.
  • Olaplex No. 5 Bond Maintenance Conditioner: A daily use conditioner that hydrates, strengthens, and repairs hair without adding excess weight.
  • Olaplex No. 6 Bond Smoother: A concentrated leave-in styling cream that tames frizz for up to 72 hours, hydrates, and protects all hair types.
  • Olaplex No. 7 Bonding Oil: A highly concentrated, weightless reparative styling oil that increases shine, softness, and color vibrancy while minimizing flyaways.
  • Olaplex No. 8 Bond Intense Moisture Mask: A highly concentrated reparative mask that adds shine, smoothness, and body while providing intense moisture to damaged hair.
  • Olaplex No. 9 Bond Protector Nourishing Hair Serum: A weightless, leave-in serum that protects hair from pollution, heat damage, and breakage for up to 48 hours.

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Olaplex (OLPX) Major Customers

Olaplex primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically major beauty retailers and professional beauty distributors. According to the company's financial disclosures, the most significant corporate customers for its retail products are:

  • Sephora: A global prestige beauty retailer. Sephora is privately held and is a subsidiary of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (Euronext: LVMH.PA / OTC: LVMUY).
  • Ulta Beauty, Inc. (Symbol: ULTA): A leading beauty retailer in the United States.
  • Nordstrom, Inc. (Symbol: JWN): An American luxury department store chain.

These three retailers collectively represent a substantial majority of Olaplex's net sales. While Olaplex also sells through a professional channel to salons and stylists, and directly to consumers via its own website, the listed retailers are its largest named corporate customers.

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Amanda Baldwin, Chief Executive Officer

Amanda Baldwin joined Olaplex as Chief Executive Officer in December 2023. She began her career at Goldman Sachs in 2000 as an Analyst in Investment Banking. Prior to Olaplex, she served as CEO of Supergoop! since 2016, where she grew the company significantly, made it profitable, raised capital multiple times, and oversaw a "great exit" (sale). Her background also includes roles at Estee Lauder and LVMH (Dior Beauty), and she served as a Senior Vice President at L Catterton, a global consumer-focused investment fund, collaborating with management teams across their portfolio. She is a winner of the EY Entrepreneur of the Year.

Catherine Dunleavy, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer

Catherine Dunleavy was appointed Olaplex's Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer, effective August 13, 2024. She brings over two decades of experience in consumer-facing brands. Her previous roles include President of the travel lifestyle brand Away, and prior to that, Chief Financial Officer at Away, which she joined in 2020. She spent three years at Nike, most recently as Vice President and CFO of Global Operations, Technology and Vice President, Strategic Investments. Earlier, she spent 16 years at Comcast and NBCUniversal in various financial leadership roles, including Chief Financial Officer of the Cable Entertainment Group. She began her career at General Electric.

Charlotte Watson, Chief Marketing Officer

Charlotte Watson serves as Olaplex's Chief Marketing Officer, a position she has held since January 2022. She has a diverse background in the fashion and beauty industries, having started her career in the LVMH fashion group. Prior to joining Olaplex, she was the global CMO for about three years at Hourglass Cosmetics. Her experience also includes senior marketing positions at global brands such as Pandora, Michael Kors, Kurt Geiger, Links of London, and Louis Vuitton.

John C. Duffy, General Counsel

John C. Duffy is the General Counsel for Olaplex Holdings, Inc. Before joining Olaplex, he was an attorney at the law firm of Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP from 2009 to 2014, where he practiced corporate, transactional, and securities law. He holds a J.D. and M.B.A. from Duke University and a B.A. in Economics from Princeton University.

Trisha Fox, Chief People Officer

Trisha Fox serves as Olaplex's Chief People Officer. Her career includes key human resources leadership roles at several notable companies, such as PepsiCo, Fifth Third Bank, Dean Foods, and Shell Oil Company. She earned a Bachelor's degree in Human Resources from Indiana University of Pennsylvania and a Master's degree in Industrial and Labor Relations from West Virginia University.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Olaplex (OLPX) primarily revolve around product-related litigation, intense market competition, and the long-term threat of patent expiration.

  1. Product Liability Lawsuits and Brand Damage: Olaplex faces multiple lawsuits alleging that its products cause hair loss, scalp irritation, and other adverse effects. These legal actions also claim deceptive marketing practices and the inclusion of harmful chemicals, such as lilial (butylphenyl methylpropional), which has been banned in the European Union. Although a class action lawsuit was denied in 2023, individual claims are still anticipated, posing ongoing legal and financial risks and potentially damaging consumer trust and brand reputation.
  2. Increased Competition and Market Dependence: Olaplex operates in a highly competitive hair care market, facing significant rivalry from established global brands like L'Oréal, Procter & Gamble, and Unilever, as well as emerging players such as K18 and Redken, which offer competing bond-building and repair products. The company's heavy reliance on the professional hair care market makes it vulnerable to economic downturns, changes in consumer behavior, and shifts in preferences towards alternatives or traditional conditioning treatments. This intense competition has contributed to declining sales and gross margins for Olaplex.
  3. Intellectual Property Risks and Patent Expiration: While Olaplex's proprietary bond-building technology is protected by patents, providing a competitive advantage, the company is exposed to risks of patent challenges or infringement by competitors. A significant long-term risk is the expiration of its key patents, particularly around 2034, which could lead to a proliferation of cheaper generic alternatives and significantly erode Olaplex's market position and future profitability. The company has previously been involved in substantial litigation to defend its intellectual property, highlighting its importance to the business.

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There are clear emerging threats to Olaplex, primarily stemming from heightened competition in the bond-building hair treatment segment:

  • Direct Competitors with Alternative Bond-Building Technologies: Brands like K18 have emerged and rapidly gained market share with their own patented, distinct biomimetic peptide technology for hair repair. K18 directly competes for Olaplex's professional and consumer base, offering an alternative solution that many users and salons perceive as highly effective, eroding Olaplex's unique market position.

  • Increased Focus from Established Beauty Conglomerates: Large beauty companies, such as L'Oréal (with lines like Redken Acidic Bonding Concentrate) and others, are intensifying their research, development, and marketing efforts in the bond-repair category. These companies possess vast resources for R&D, global distribution, and marketing, allowing them to introduce comparable or competitive products at scale and potentially at various price points, challenging Olaplex's premium positioning and market dominance.

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Olaplex (OLPX) operates within the global haircare market, specifically targeting the prestige haircare segment with its bond-building hair treatment products, shampoos, conditioners, and styling solutions.

The estimated addressable markets for Olaplex's main products and services are:

  • Global Retail Haircare Market: In 2023, consumers spent an estimated $91 billion globally on retail haircare products, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5% from 2023 to 2028.
  • Global Prestige Haircare Market: This segment, in which Olaplex primarily operates, is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of approximately 6% globally from 2023 to 2028.
  • U.S. Prestige Haircare Market: In the United States, prestige haircare sales reached $4.5 billion in 2024, showing a 9% increase compared to 2023.

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Olaplex (OLPX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  • New Product Innovation: Olaplex is investing in innovation and leveraging its acquisition of Purvala Bioscience to fuel its research and development pipeline, with upcoming product launches anticipated to support long-term growth. The company's Q3 2025 results reflected early positive outcomes from its latest new product introductions.
  • International Market Expansion: The company is focusing on targeted international investments to stimulate growth, with international sales increasing by 7.1% in Q3 2025. This strategy aims to offset headwinds experienced in other retail channels.
  • Strengthening the Professional Channel: Olaplex is committed to its "Pro-first" approach, implementing strategic initiatives, targeted events, and new educational materials to drive growth within its professional channel, which saw a 5.3% increase in net sales in Q3 2025.
  • Strategic Marketing and Brand Building: Significant investments in sales, marketing, and brand-building initiatives are designed to enhance consumer awareness, consideration, and overall demand for Olaplex products. Early results indicate gains in brand health metrics, including awareness and Net Promoter Score.

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Share Repurchases

  • No information is available regarding explicit share repurchase programs or significant share buybacks by Olaplex over the last 3-5 years.

Share Issuance

  • Olaplex completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on October 4, 2021. However, the company did not receive any proceeds from the sale of shares in this IPO, as all shares were offered by selling stockholders.
  • Shares are regularly issued through the exercise of stock options and the vesting of restricted stock units, such as 377,899 shares issued in a period around 2025.
  • The number of outstanding common shares was approximately 660.76 million as of February 23, 2024, and 664.62 million as of February 26, 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • Olaplex acquired the biotech company Purvala in August 2025.
  • This acquisition is aimed at fueling Olaplex's research and development pipeline and developing transformative bio-inspired technologies applicable across health and beauty industries.

Capital Expenditures

  • Olaplex's capital expenditures were $0.03 million in 2020, $0.88 million in 2021, $0.65 million in 2022, $0.38 million in 2023, and $1.12 million in 2024.
  • Projected capital expenditures are $2 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, and $3 million for 2028 and 2029.
  • These capital expenditures are estimated to be approximately 1% of revenue annually.

Better Bets than Olaplex (OLPX)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to OLPX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.7%19.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.6%
OLPX_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023OLPXOlaplexDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.5%20.0%-35.4%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Olaplex

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OLPXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOlaplex HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price1.3523.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap0.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM41955,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM203,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM722,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg1362,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM763,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1403,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

OLPXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOlaplex HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-3.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.0%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-3.8%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM4.8%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.3%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%17.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.3%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.1%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.1%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%23.8%
FCF/Rev LTM17.3%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg30.2%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%21.6%

Valuation

OLPXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOlaplex HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap0.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S2.20.41.04.45.410.03.3
P/EBIT23.56.819.925.122.531.323.0
P/E-181.98.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO11.95.911.221.122.537.516.5
Total Yield-0.5%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.9%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.40.50.70.20.10.00.3
Net D/E0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

OLPXHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOlaplex HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn20.5%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn-0.7%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-10.0%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-22.9%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%11.8%
3Y Rtn-72.0%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%76.2%
1M Excs Rtn20.3%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-5.0%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-22.3%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-40.6%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-154.7%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment458704598282
Total458704598282


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.35 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.9 
First Trading Date09/30/2021 
Distance from 52W High-22.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.16$1.31
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA15.9%3.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility58.8%65.3%
Downside Capture181.93146.17
Upside Capture142.0897.63
Correlation (SPY)34.7%42.4%
OLPX Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.621.341.371.761.401.53
Up Beta0.921.452.182.941.721.66
Down Beta-0.611.021.172.011.181.16
Up Capture291%75%36%76%81%141%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days11182656103328
Down Capture174%185%183%164%129%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days6213360125379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
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Based On 5-Year Data
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Based On 10-Year Data
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,750,773
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-3.4%
Average Daily Volume1,225,035
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.14
Basic Shares Quantity667,066,071
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20251.9%8.5%15.1%
8/7/20251.4%3.5%5.7%
3/4/202521.7%14.5%-6.5%
11/7/2024-9.5%-2.2%19.6%
8/6/202418.6%-8.1%23.8%
4/4/2024-6.8%-15.3%-8.5%
11/7/202325.4%25.4%85.5%
8/8/2023-9.5%-26.3%-28.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive556
# Negative998
Median Positive18.6%8.5%17.3%
Median Negative-9.1%-8.1%-17.2%
Max Positive25.4%25.4%85.5%
Max Negative-56.7%-56.1%-42.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
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