Tearsheet

Sally Beauty (SBH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.36 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores

Sally Beauty (SBH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.36
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialty Stores

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 150%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 18%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 150%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SBH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Sally Beauty (SBH), analysis of recent events from August 2025 to December 2025 indicates several key factors that could have influenced its stock movement.



1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Beat. Sally Beauty reported robust financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, with adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.55, significantly surpassing the forecast of $0.45 and analysts' consensus estimates of $0.49. The company's revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $947.1 million against a consensus estimate of $932.88 million. This strong performance, including a 1.3% year-over-year revenue increase, sparked positive market reaction.

2. Improved Fiscal Year 2025 and 2026 Outlook. Following the strong Q4 2025 results, Sally Beauty initiated an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, anticipating adjusted income of $2.00 to $2.10 per share, which aligns with or beats analysts' views. The company also projected full-year sales of $3.71 billion to $3.77 billion, in line with Street estimates. This positive guidance for future performance likely contributed to investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SBH Return-29%42%-32%6%-21%51%-13%
Peers Return45%66%-20%25%-1%17%179%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SBH Win Rate33%50%50%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%47%57%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SBH Max Drawdown-63%-2%-40%-42%-29%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-15%-46%-15%-37%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ULTA, SFIX, DKS, FIVE, SIG. See SBH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSBHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven248.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-74.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven296.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven669 days1480 days

Compare to ULTA, SFIX, DKS, FIVE, SIG


In The Past

Sally Beauty's stock fell -71.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -71.3% loss requires a 248.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sally Beauty (SBH)

Better Bets than Sally Beauty (SBH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SBH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
SBH_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018SBHSally BeautyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.4%7.0%-31.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
SBH_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018SBHSally BeautyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.4%7.0%-31.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sally Beauty

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SBHULTASFIXDKSFIVESIGMedian
NameSally Be.Ulta Bea.Stitch F.Dick's S.Five Bel.Signet J. 
Mkt Price15.39544.524.56227.94163.1589.02126.09
Mkt Cap1.524.50.618.09.03.76.3
Rev LTM3,68911,6551,26713,7724,2326,7795,505
Op Inc LTM3301,595-391,553349536443
FCF LTM1689529465345454400
FCF 3Y Avg15897226761181514347
CFO LTM2651,296261,421559616587
CFO 3Y Avg2521,358421,465475654564

Growth & Margins

SBHULTASFIXDKSFIVESIGMedian
NameSally Be.Ulta Bea.Stitch F.Dick's S.Five Bel.Signet J. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%2.9%-5.3%2.7%13.9%-1.6%1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%7.7%-14.1%5.0%13.3%-5.1%1.8%
Rev Chg Q-1.0%9.3%-2.6%5.0%23.7%3.0%4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%2.1%-0.7%1.3%4.9%0.7%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%13.7%-3.1%11.3%8.3%7.9%8.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.4%14.4%-7.6%11.0%9.6%8.2%9.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.1%2.4%-0.2%-0.1%0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM7.2%11.1%2.0%10.3%13.2%9.1%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%12.1%2.9%11.1%12.7%9.3%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM4.6%8.2%0.7%3.4%8.2%6.7%5.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.2%8.7%1.7%5.8%4.7%7.3%5.3%

Valuation

SBHULTASFIXDKSFIVESIGMedian
NameSally Be.Ulta Bea.Stitch F.Dick's S.Five Bel.Signet J. 
Mkt Cap1.524.50.618.09.03.76.3
P/S0.31.80.41.11.70.50.8
P/EBIT2.813.2-12.59.720.77.28.5
P/E4.817.5-16.913.326.524.815.4
P/CFO3.516.219.011.012.95.312.0
Total Yield20.9%5.7%-5.9%8.1%3.8%5.6%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%1.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.5%4.7%5.6%5.6%2.2%15.3%5.6%
D/E1.60.10.20.30.30.40.3
Net D/E1.50.1-0.30.20.20.30.2

Returns

SBHULTASFIXDKSFIVESIGMedian
NameSally Be.Ulta Bea.Stitch F.Dick's S.Five Bel.Signet J. 
1M Rtn7.8%5.2%8.1%4.7%3.0%-9.1%4.9%
3M Rtn9.0%2.5%-14.0%9.0%8.1%0.7%5.3%
6M Rtn68.9%16.9%-4.0%30.6%34.6%20.5%25.5%
12M Rtn12.3%37.7%2.7%11.3%58.1%-7.9%11.8%
3Y Rtn35.5%15.5%20.3%105.6%-11.4%50.9%27.9%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%5.3%8.1%4.7%3.0%-9.0%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn3.6%-2.5%-24.1%-2.1%1.4%-6.7%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn54.2%2.2%-18.7%15.8%19.8%5.8%10.8%
12M Excs Rtn-3.1%27.3%-17.8%-1.0%62.4%-23.2%-2.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.7%-53.7%-54.7%33.2%-71.4%-24.9%-48.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,384,245
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.1%
Average Daily Volume2,550,878
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.21
Basic Shares Quantity100,463,000
Short % of Basic Shares18.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231116202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221117202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211122202110-K 9/30/2021