VICI Properties (VICI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.03 | Market Cap: $29.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
VICI Properties (VICI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.03Market Cap: $29.9 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Experiential Retail. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Experiential Retail. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VICI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining why VICI Properties' stock moved by approximately -15% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Analyst Downgrades and Concerns Over Caesars Lease: Several analyst firms, including Evercore ISI and Wells Fargo, downgraded VICI Properties around December 2025 and November 2025. These downgrades stemmed from growing concerns regarding VICI's regional gaming lease arrangements with Caesars Entertainment, specifically focusing on a low coverage ratio of approximately 1x and the potential impact on future earnings and rent.
2. Impact of Elevated Interest Rates: Higher interest rates have been identified as a significant factor affecting REITs like VICI, increasing borrowing costs and potentially diminishing the attractiveness of their dividend yields relative to risk-free Treasury yields. This macroeconomic headwind can weigh on VICI's share price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VICI Return | 6% | 24% | 13% | 4% | -3% | 1% | 51% |
| Peers Return | -5% | 14% | -15% | 18% | 7% | -12% | 2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VICI Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 43% | 48% | 48% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VICI Max Drawdown | -56% | -3% | -11% | -13% | -14% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -61% | -6% | -26% | -16% | -14% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, PK, XHR, IHT, VICI. See VICI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VICI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 120 days |
Compare to HST, PK, XHR, IHT, VICI
In The Past
VICI Properties's stock fell -23.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -23.5% loss requires a 30.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VICI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for VICI Properties
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real estate investment activities | 3,612 | ||||
| Golf revenues | 36 | 31 | |||
| Income from lease financing receivables, loans and securities | 1,041 | 283 | |||
| Income from sales-type leases | 1,464 | 1,168 | |||
| Other income | 60 | 28 | |||
| Golf Course Business | 24 | 29 | |||
| Real Property Business | 1,202 | 866 | |||
| Total | 3,612 | 2,601 | 1,510 | 1,226 | 895 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |