VICI Properties (VICI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.35 | Market Cap: $30.3 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
VICI Properties (VICI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.35Market Cap: $30.3 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 7.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Key risksVICI key risks include [1] a significant tenant concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 93% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Experiential Retail. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 7.1% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 93% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Key risksVICI key risks include [1] a significant tenant concentration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VICI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -13.4% stock movement for VICI Properties (VICI) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:
1. Broader REIT Sector Headwinds: The overall Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) sector faced significant headwinds during this period, primarily driven by uncertainty surrounding interest rates. This environment contributed to a general decline in REIT performance in the fourth quarter of 2025.
2. Concerns Over Las Vegas Tourism Trends: Persistent concerns regarding declining tourism traffic in Las Vegas, where VICI Properties holds a substantial portfolio, likely impacted investor sentiment. Discussions in early December 2025 highlighted a continued drop in visitor numbers, despite some expectations for improvement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VICI Return | 6% | 24% | 13% | 4% | -3% | 3% | 53% |
| Peers Return | -8% | 33% | -18% | 16% | -10% | 2% | 7% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VICI Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 62% | 45% | 52% | 47% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VICI Max Drawdown | -56% | -3% | -11% | -13% | -14% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -71% | -8% | -32% | -10% | -19% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GLPI, EPR, MGM, CZR, O. See VICI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VICI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 120 days |
Compare to HST, PK, XHR, IHT, VICI
In The Past
VICI Properties's stock fell -23.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -23.5% loss requires a 30.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VICI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.7% | -1.7% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.7% | -1.7% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for VICI Properties
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,791 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,716 |
| FCF LTM | 1,183 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,187 |
| CFO LTM | 1,885 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,879 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 50.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 49.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 62.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 62.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 62.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 62.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.4 |
| P/E | 19.6 |
| P/CFO | 11.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real estate investment activities | 3,612 | ||||
| Golf revenues | 36 | 31 | |||
| Income from lease financing receivables, loans and securities | 1,041 | 283 | |||
| Income from sales-type leases | 1,464 | 1,168 | |||
| Other income | 60 | 28 | |||
| Golf Course Business | 24 | 29 | |||
| Real Property Business | 1,202 | 866 | |||
| Total | 3,612 | 2,601 | 1,510 | 1,226 | 895 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.6% | 0.9% | -3.6% |
| 7/30/2025 | 0.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| 2/20/2025 | 1.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | -1.0% | -2.6% | 1.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 5.8% |
| 2/22/2024 | 1.2% | 0.8% | -1.6% |
| 10/25/2023 | -0.0% | 1.1% | 4.0% |
| 7/26/2023 | -2.5% | -4.3% | -7.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -4.2% | -5.3% |
| Max Positive | 3.7% | 8.6% | 18.3% |
| Max Negative | -4.9% | -11.8% | -56.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |