Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 102%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 102%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for Avista (AVA) around the requested timeframe and up to the most recent available data, specific details explaining a 6.8% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 14, 2025, are not available. However, recent news and analyst reports highlight several factors influencing Avista's stock performance.

1. Avista's Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations: Avista reported Q3 2025 EPS of $0.36, exceeding forecasts by 33.78%. This strong performance was attributed to favorable regulatory outcomes and an effective capital deployment strategy, which led to a 2.61% rise in the stock pre-market.

2. Mizuho Raised Price Target on Avista: Following the strong Q3 performance, Mizuho increased its price target on Avista (AVA) to $42.00 from $39.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating. This analyst sentiment can positively influence investor perception and stock valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVA Return-13%10%9%-15%8%11%6%
Peers Return-14%18%1%-9%24%21%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVA Win Rate50%42%67%42%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate52%57%50%50%60%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVA Max Drawdown-31%-7%-11%-27%-10%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-5%-15%-19%-8%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IDA, NWE, POR, MDU, BKH. See AVA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAVAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven848 days1480 days

Compare to D, XEL, ED, NEE, SRE


In The Past

Avista's stock fell -30.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/24/2023. A -30.5% loss requires a 43.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Avista (AVA)

Better Bets than Avista (AVA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.2%-2.2%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.2%-2.2%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Avista

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVAIDANWEPORMDUBKHMedian
NameAvista Idacorp NorthWes.Portland.MDU Reso.Black Hi. 
Mkt Price38.56125.8667.8448.1319.5972.6357.98
Mkt Cap3.16.84.25.34.05.34.7
Rev LTM1,9641,8061,5703,5111,8772,2721,920
Op Inc LTM344342357548278530351
FCF LTM-23-410-122-151-57-105-114
FCF 3Y Avg-81-388-129-494-290-105
CFO LTM4846004011,140453658542
CFO 3Y Avg430469411756484753477

Growth & Margins

AVAIDANWEPORMDUBKHMedian
NameAvista Idacorp NorthWes.Portland.MDU Reso.Black Hi. 
Rev Chg LTM2.1%-1.9%4.9%5.1%478.2%7.0%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.4%5.3%3.9%11.1%112.1%-0.1%5.9%
Rev Chg Q2.3%-0.8%12.1%2.5%8.7%7.1%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%-0.2%2.7%0.7%1.4%1.3%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM17.5%18.9%22.8%15.6%14.8%23.3%18.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.4%18.4%21.3%14.8%-21.4%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.7%0.2%0.7%0.1%-0.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM24.6%33.3%25.6%32.5%24.2%29.0%27.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.7%25.9%27.1%22.8%-32.7%25.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.2%-22.7%-7.8%-4.3%-3.0%-4.6%-4.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%-21.4%-8.5%-15.9%-3.6%-8.5%

Valuation

AVAIDANWEPORMDUBKHMedian
NameAvista Idacorp NorthWes.Portland.MDU Reso.Black Hi. 
Mkt Cap3.16.84.25.34.05.34.7
P/S1.64.02.31.42.12.02.1
P/EBIT8.715.49.78.211.78.49.2
P/E16.322.516.616.023.715.716.4
P/CFO6.311.99.04.38.86.87.8
Total Yield11.3%7.1%10.5%10.8%6.9%10.7%10.6%
Dividend Yield5.1%2.6%4.5%4.5%2.6%4.3%4.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.1%-6.8%-3.9%-11.0%-0.4%2.7%-3.5%
D/E1.00.50.91.00.61.00.9
Net D/E1.00.50.91.00.61.00.9

Returns

AVAIDANWEPORMDUBKHMedian
NameAvista Idacorp NorthWes.Portland.MDU Reso.Black Hi. 
1M Rtn-5.6%-2.6%4.0%-4.6%-4.3%3.3%-3.4%
3M Rtn7.2%1.1%20.1%14.4%21.5%23.5%17.3%
6M Rtn6.0%12.0%33.0%20.5%21.7%30.5%21.1%
12M Rtn10.5%14.6%38.1%13.5%7.2%24.5%14.0%
3Y Rtn4.1%28.0%33.8%12.0%87.3%17.8%22.9%
1M Excs Rtn-6.0%-3.3%1.1%-4.4%-6.5%1.0%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn5.1%-2.3%16.6%11.8%18.2%20.2%14.2%
6M Excs Rtn-8.2%-2.3%18.7%6.2%7.5%16.3%6.9%
12M Excs Rtn-4.1%1.6%21.8%-2.4%-5.9%10.5%-0.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-66.0%-44.7%-37.2%-59.5%15.6%-54.5%-49.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Avista Utilities7,2636,9766,4586,0355,713
Alaska Electric Light and Power Company270264265269271
Other Non-Reportable Segment Items192187132110113
Eliminations-22-10-2-12-16
Total7,7027,4176,8546,4026,082


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,417,621
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.0%
Average Daily Volume755,706
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.52
Basic Shares Quantity81,232,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20252.7%8.2%1.3%
8/6/20252.1%3.1%1.9%
5/7/2025-1.2%-7.5%-7.8%
2/26/20254.6%4.3%4.7%
11/6/2024-2.3%0.1%0.8%
8/7/2024-0.6%-1.4%1.6%
5/1/20240.4%2.6%2.2%
2/21/20240.4%-1.1%-0.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111613
# Negative13811
Median Positive1.8%2.6%3.1%
Median Negative-2.0%-3.8%-3.0%
Max Positive4.6%8.2%19.6%
Max Negative-3.3%-9.8%-18.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kinney Scott JVice President6122025Sell37.821,02438,728435,497Form
1Cox Bryan AldenSenior Vice President3132025Sell39.113,322129,915344,615Form
2Cox Bryan AldenSenior Vice President3102025Sell39.891,60564,019483,991Form
3Kinney Scott JVice President3062025Sell38.721,63263,191511,298Form
4Manuel Wayne OVice President3042025Sell40.002,48099,190467,914Form