Avista (AVA)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $41.87 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
Avista (AVA)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $41.87Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -51% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 95% Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% Key risksAVA key risks include [1] significant wildfire exposure in its Pacific Northwest operating region and [2] financial pressures from its substantial capital expenditure plan, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 95% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% |
| Key risksAVA key risks include [1] significant wildfire exposure in its Pacific Northwest operating region and [2] financial pressures from its substantial capital expenditure plan, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Regulatory approvals drove increased revenue and supported future investments.
Avista saw new Washington electric base revenue increase by $68 million (11.6%) and gas revenue by $4 million (2.8%), effective January 1, 2026, with an authorized Return on Equity (ROE) of 9.8%. Additionally, the company's 2025 Clean Energy Implementation Plan (CEIP), which outlines increased clean energy delivery targets, was approved by the Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission on March 24, 2026. Avista also made an annual price adjustment filing in Idaho in February 2026, following electric base revenue increases of $19.5 million (6.3%) in year 1 and $14.7 million (4.5%) in year 2 that were effective September 1, 2025.
2. The company announced a 24th consecutive annual dividend increase.
On February 9, 2026, Avista's board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.4925 per share, resulting in an annualized dividend of $1.97. This marked the 24th consecutive year of dividend increases, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.9% change in AVA stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 38.09 | 41.87 | 9.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,964 | 1,964 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.4 | 17.7 | 8.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81 | 82 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVA | 9.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | -11.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | 10.0% | 56.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.4% change in AVA stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.93 | 41.87 | 13.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,955 | 1,964 | 0.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.7 | 17.7 | 5.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81 | 82 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVA | 13.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | -4.3% |
| Sector (XLU) | 8.5% | 49.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.1% change in AVA stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 39.85 | 41.87 | 5.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,938 | 1,964 | 1.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.7 | 17.7 | 0.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 80 | 82 | -2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVA | 5.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 10.5% |
| Sector (XLU) | 21.7% | 58.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.7% change in AVA stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.50 | 41.87 | 14.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,710 | 1,964 | 14.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.5 | 17.7 | 1.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 74 | 82 | -9.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVA | 14.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 16.1% |
| Sector (XLU) | 51.0% | 64.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AVA Return | 10% | 9% | -15% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 34% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 1% | -9% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AVA Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 65% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AVA Max Drawdown | -7% | -11% | -27% | -10% | -4% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -15% | -19% | -8% | -6% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IDA, NWE, POR, MDU, BKH. See AVA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AVA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 367 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 848 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to IDA, NWE, POR, MDU, BKH
In The Past
Avista's stock fell -30.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/24/2023. A -30.5% loss requires a 43.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Avista (AVA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies to describe Avista:
- It's like a smaller, regional version of Duke Energy, providing essential electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses.
- Think of it as the Consolidated Edison for parts of Washington, Idaho, and Oregon, supplying power and natural gas to its service area.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Electric Utility Services: Avista provides electric distribution, transmission, and generation to residential and business customers in parts of eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and Juneau, Alaska.
- Natural Gas Utility Services: The company offers natural gas distribution services to customers in parts of eastern Washington, northern Idaho, northeastern, and southwestern Oregon.
- Wholesale Energy Trading: Avista engages in the wholesale purchase and sale of electricity and natural gas.
- Venture Fund Investments: The company participates in investments in venture capital funds.
- Real Estate Investments: Avista also engages in investments in real estate properties.
- Other Investments: The company holds various other types of investments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Avista Corporation (AVA) Major Customers
Avista Corporation, as an electric and natural gas utility company, primarily serves a diverse base of customers rather than a few major corporate entities. Its customer base, consisting of hundreds of thousands of electric and natural gas customers across its service territories, is broadly categorized into the following segments:
- Residential: Individual households and dwellings that consume electricity and natural gas for personal use.
- Commercial: Businesses, offices, retail establishments, and other non-industrial enterprises that utilize electricity and natural gas for their operations.
- Industrial: Manufacturing plants, production facilities, and other large-scale industrial operations that require significant amounts of electricity and natural gas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Heather Rosentrater, President and Chief Executive Officer
Heather Rosentrater became the first female President and CEO of Avista Corp. in October 2023. Her career at Avista began in 1996 as a student engineering technician for Avista Labs, a fuel cell subsidiary that was later sold. In 1999, she joined Avista Corp. as an electrical engineer, advancing through various leadership roles in electric and natural gas businesses, including Vice President of Energy Delivery (2015), Senior Vice President of Energy Delivery and Shared Services (2019), and Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer (2022). Rosentrater is a registered Professional Engineer and holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Electrical Engineering from Gonzaga University.
Kevin Christie, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Regulatory Affairs Officer
Kevin Christie was appointed Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Senior Vice President of Regulatory Affairs, effective May 11, 2023. He joined Avista in 2005 and has held various leadership positions within the company's natural gas business, including Senior Director of Finance (2012), Vice President of Customer Solutions (2015), and Senior Vice President, External Affairs and Chief Customer Officer (2019). Prior to Avista, Christie worked for Gas Transmission Northwest (GTN) in accounting, pipeline marketing and development, and pricing and business analysis roles. He played a key role in Avista's acquisition of Alaska Electric Light and Power Company. He holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Accounting from Washington State University and has completed finance programs at Harvard Business School.
Jason Thackston, Senior Vice President, Growth, Energy Policy and External Relations
Jason Thackston is the Senior Vice President, Growth, Energy Policy and External Relations for Avista. He joined the company in 1996 and has held various leadership positions in areas such as energy resources, customer solutions, energy delivery, finance, risk management, investor relations, and corporate development. He previously served as Senior Vice President, Energy Policy and Chief Strategy Officer. Thackston earned a Bachelor of Arts degree from Whitworth University and a Master of Business Administration degree from Gonzaga University.
Bryan Cox, Senior Vice President, Safety and Chief People Officer
Bryan Cox serves as the Senior Vice President, Safety and Chief People Officer. His responsibilities encompass enhancing safety throughout Avista, leading the company's equity, inclusion, and diversity strategy, and overseeing other human resources functions. He was promoted to this role in September 2023, having previously served as Vice President, Safety and Human Resources, and then Vice President, Safety and Chief People Officer.
Gregory Hesler, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Ethics/Compliance Officer
Gregory Hesler is the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Ethics/Compliance Officer at Avista Corp. He was promoted to this senior vice president role in August 2022. Prior to this, he served as Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Ethics/Compliance Officer.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Avista Corporation (AVA) primarily stem from its operations as a regulated utility in the Pacific Northwest, with a significant emphasis on environmental and regulatory factors.
- Wildfire Risk: Avista faces a significant and increasing risk from wildfires in its service territories, particularly in eastern Washington and northern Idaho. Factors contributing to this risk include above-normal fire seasons, residential expansion into forested areas, and climate change leading to hotter, drier summers. Wildfires can cause substantial damage to Avista's electric distribution and transmission infrastructure, leading to service disruptions, increased operational costs for mitigation efforts, and potential liabilities. The company has invested heavily in a Wildfire Resiliency Plan, which includes grid hardening, vegetation management, advanced risk monitoring, and the implementation of Public Safety Power Shutoffs (PSPS) during extreme weather conditions to reduce ignition risks.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risk: As a utility company, Avista's financial health and operational flexibility are heavily dependent on regulatory decisions from utility commissions in Washington, Idaho, and Oregon. Key challenges include securing timely and favorable rate increases to recover significant capital investments related to infrastructure modernization, clean energy initiatives, and wildfire mitigation costs. Furthermore, Avista must comply with evolving and stringent environmental mandates, such as Washington's Clean Energy Transformation Act (CETA), which requires a carbon-neutral electricity supply by 2030 and 100% clean energy by 2045. Regulatory lag or unfavorable outcomes in rate cases and compliance decisions can significantly impact the company's profitability and ability to fund necessary upgrades and environmental transitions.
- Climate Change Impact on Hydroelectric Resources: Avista relies significantly on hydroelectric facilities for electricity generation. This makes the company vulnerable to climate change impacts that affect water resources, such as reduced snowpack, lower streamflows, and increased frequency and intensity of severe weather events like droughts. These conditions can adversely affect energy generation and supply, potentially increasing operational costs due to the need to purchase replacement power from the wholesale market at higher rates.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Emerging Threats for Avista (AVA):
- Widespread Adoption of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs): As costs decrease and efficiency increases for technologies like rooftop solar, battery storage, and localized microgrids, customers can generate, store, and potentially sell their own electricity. This trend reduces reliance on Avista's traditional centralized grid and purchased power, potentially leading to declining electricity sales and underutilized grid infrastructure.
- Accelerated Decarbonization and Electrification Trends Impacting Natural Gas Demand: Increasing regulatory and societal pressure to reduce carbon emissions could drive policies that favor the widespread conversion from natural gas to electricity for heating and other applications (e.g., electric heat pumps replacing natural gas furnaces). This presents a significant emerging threat to Avista's natural gas distribution segment, potentially leading to declining customer demand and stranded natural gas infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Avista Corporation's addressable markets for its main products and services, electricity and natural gas, are defined by its customer base and service territories in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and Alaska.
For its electric and natural gas distribution services, Avista Utilities serves approximately 422,000 to 423,000 electric customers and 383,000 to 386,000 natural gas customers. This service territory spans eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and parts of southern and eastern Oregon, covering an area of about 30,000 to 34,000 square miles with a total population of approximately 1.7 million people.
Through its subsidiary, Alaska Electric Light & Power Company (AEL&P), Avista also provides electric service to roughly 17,000 to 18,000 customers in the city and borough of Juneau, Alaska.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Avista Corporation (AVA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives: * **Significant Capital Investments and Rate Base Growth:** Avista plans a substantial $3.4 billion capital expenditure program from 2026 to 2030, with $585 million allocated for 2026. These investments are directed towards infrastructure upgrades, wildfire mitigation, grid hardening, and decarbonization efforts. As a regulated utility, these capital deployments contribute to rate base growth, which is a primary driver for increased revenue. * **Regulatory Rate Increases:** The company has secured and is pursuing regulatory approvals for new electric and natural gas base revenue increases across its service territories in Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and Alaska. For instance, new Washington electric base revenue increases of $68 million (11.6%) and gas increases of $4 million (2.8%) became effective January 1, 2026. Avista also filed a four-year rate plan in early 2026, seeking substantial revenue increases for 2027 and beyond to support ongoing investments and maintain authorized returns. * **Growth in Customer Base, Particularly Large Industrial Loads:** Avista anticipates revenue growth from an expanding customer base, including a pipeline of prospective large-load customers totaling 1,700 MW. Notably, the company has received a significant deposit from a data center developer with an initial planned load of 125 MW, potentially increasing to 500 MW by 2030. These new large customer additions are expected to contribute significantly to future electricity and natural gas sales. * **Clean Energy Transition and Grid Modernization Initiatives:** Avista is investing in smart grid technologies, renewable energy sources, and battery energy storage systems as part of its clean energy transition goals. The company aims to achieve a 66% clean energy share in 2026, rising to 76.5% by 2029. These strategic initiatives involve considerable capital deployment, which, through the regulated utility model, supports revenue growth by expanding the rate base and ensuring cost recovery.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Avista issued $78 million of common stock in 2025.
- The company expects to issue up to $90 million of common stock in 2026.
Inbound Investments
- Avista received a significant deposit from a data center developer, with an initial load of 125 MW expected to ramp up to 500 MW by 2030.
Outbound Investments
- Losses at Avista's non-regulated other businesses were $14 million in 2025, primarily due to higher net investment losses, with approximately 75% related to clean technology investments.
- Avista is considering monetizing non-regulated investments valued at $148 million in equity as of December 2025, to potentially limit future equity issuances.
- The company highlighted a signed memorandum of understanding for a potential 10% ownership stake in the 3,000-megawatt North Plains Connector high-voltage direct-current transmission project.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Avista Utilities were $553 million in 2025.
- Expected capital expenditures for Avista Utilities are $585 million in 2026.
- From 2026 through 2030, planned capital expenditures total $3.4 billion, representing a 5% compound annual growth rate, focused on wildfire mitigation, grid modernization, and clean energy goals.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to AVA.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SRE | Sempra | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | CTRI | Centuri | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.5% |
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,920 |
| Op Inc LTM | 354 |
| FCF LTM | -138 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -137 |
| CFO LTM | 538 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 486 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -7.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 21.9 |
| P/CFO | 9.0 |
| Total Yield | 8.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.6% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -29.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $41.87 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/16/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $40.60 | $38.21 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.1% | 9.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.3% | 17.4% |
| Downside Capture | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| Upside Capture | -19.68 | 2.19 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -11.6% | 4.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.31 | -0.31 | -0.16 | -0.06 | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| Up Beta | 1.93 | -0.60 | -0.58 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| Down Beta | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Up Capture | 9% | -57% | -13% | -2% | 4% | 7% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 38 | 72 | 134 | 379 |
| Down Capture | 29% | -30% | -31% | -27% | 9% | 48% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 25 | 53 | 116 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVA | 11.3% | 17.5% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 31.4% | 14.6% | 1.64 | 54.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 3.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | -13.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 42.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | -12.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVA | 2.2% | 21.4% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 10.9% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 65.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 26.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 14.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 50.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 2.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVA | 4.3% | 25.4% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.9% | 19.2% | 0.45 | 67.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 38.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 11.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 50.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | -2.1% | -0.7% | -2.5% |
| 11/5/2025 | 2.7% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| 5/7/2025 | -1.2% | -7.5% | -7.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | -0.6% | -1.4% | 1.6% |
| 5/1/2024 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.1% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| Max Positive | 4.6% | 8.2% | 19.6% |
| Max Negative | -3.3% | -9.8% | -12.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Utility Earnings | 2.52 | 2.62 | 2.72 | 0.0% | Same New | Actual: 2.62 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Long-term Debt Issuance | 230.00 Mil | 91.7% | Raised | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Common Stock Issuance | 90.00 Mil | 12.5% | Raised | Guidance: 80.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Base Capital Expenditures | 585.00 Mil | 1.7% | Raised | Guidance: 575.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2027 Base Capital Expenditures | 635.00 Mil | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: 605.00 Mil for 2027 | |||
| 2028 Base Capital Expenditures | 800.00 Mil | 26.0% | Raised | Guidance: 635.00 Mil for 2028 | |||
| 2029 Base Capital Expenditures | 680.00 Mil | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 670.00 Mil for 2029 | |||
| 2030 Base Capital Expenditures | 710.00 Mil | 0.7% | Raised | Guidance: 705.00 Mil for 2030 | |||
| 2026 AEL&P Capital Expenditures | 17.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2027 AEL&P Capital Expenditures | 16.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2028 AEL&P Capital Expenditures | 11.00 Mil | ||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Consolidated Earnings per Diluted Share | 2.52 | 2.62 | 2.72 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.62 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Avista Utilities Earnings per Diluted Share | 2.43 | 2.52 | 2.61 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.52 for 2025 | |
| 2025 AEL&P Earnings per Diluted Share | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.1 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Common Stock Issuance | 80.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 80.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 525.00 Mil | -4.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 551.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 575.00 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel, Wayne O | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 38.74 | 1,785 | 69,151 | 382,867 | Form |
| 2 | Widmann, Janet D | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 38.63 | 7,400 | 285,875 | 743,508 | Form | |
| 3 | Alexander, Alexis G | Vice President | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 40.87 | 127 | 5,190 | 132,909 | Form |
| 4 | Cox, Bryan Alden | Senior Vice President | Shares held in 401(k) Plan | Buy | 9172025 | 35.55 | 3,671 | 130,518 | 355,104 | Form |
| 5 | Meyer, David J | Vice President | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 36.72 | 1,367 | 50,196 | 308,228 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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