Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 699%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -213 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -339%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -276%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -289%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.01

Key risks
NUVB key risks include [1] high cash burn and financial dependence on revenue from its single product, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 699%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -213 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -339%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -276%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -289%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.01
10 Key risks
NUVB key risks include [1] high cash burn and financial dependence on revenue from its single product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.3% change in NUVB stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -63.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265012026Change
Stock Price ($)5.244.49-14.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2763135.2%
P/S Multiple67.124.6-63.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)342344-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-14.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NUVB-14.3% 
Market (SPY)3.6%36.1%
Sector (XLV)-5.8%42.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.0% change in NUVB stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -80.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255012026Change
Stock Price ($)5.224.49-14.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1463338.2%
P/S Multiple123.924.6-80.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)341344-1.1%
Cumulative Contribution-14.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NUVB-14.0% 
Market (SPY)5.5%22.6%
Sector (XLV)1.5%24.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 99.6% change in NUVB stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 699.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255012026Change
Stock Price ($)2.254.4999.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)863699.0%
P/S Multiple96.424.6-74.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)337344-2.0%
Cumulative Contribution99.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NUVB99.6% 
Market (SPY)30.4%27.7%
Sector (XLV)5.2%24.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 178.9% change in NUVB stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235012026Change
Stock Price ($)1.614.49178.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0639.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple24.6 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)219344-36.5%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NUVB178.9% 
Market (SPY)78.7%27.7%
Sector (XLV)14.3%26.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NUVB Return-27%-77%-21%76%237%-50%-62%
Peers Return15%15%11%17%10%7%103%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%5%92%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NUVB Win Rate42%25%50%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%48%43%57%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NUVB Max Drawdown-34%-80%-50%-3%-38%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-32%-28%-14%-20%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NUVL, AGIO, BMY, PFE, GILD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNUVBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven29 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-15.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven9 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-46.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven118 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-27.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven289 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-77.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven343.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1184 days427 days

Compare to NUVL, AGIO, BMY, PFE, GILD

In The Past

Nuvation Bio's stock fell -27.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventNUVBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven29 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-46.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven118 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-27.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven289 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-77.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven343.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1184 days427 days

Compare to NUVL, AGIO, BMY, PFE, GILD

In The Past

Nuvation Bio's stock fell -27.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nuvation Bio (NUVB)

Nuvation Bio Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutic candidates for oncology. The company's lead product candidate is NUV-422, a small molecule inhibitor targeting cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK)2, CDK4, and CDK6. It is also developing NUV-868, a selective oral small molecule BET inhibitor that epigenetically regulates proteins that control tumor growth and differentiation; NUV-569, a differentiated oral small molecule selective inhibitor of the Wee1 kinase for DNA damage repair; NUV-1182, an adenosine receptor inhibitor; and drug-drug conjugate (DDC) platform that focuses on targeting an inhibitor of poly ADP ribose polymerase (PARP) to anti-cancer warheads of existing drugs, as well as PARP inhibitor to address ER+ breast and ovarian cancer. The company was formerly known as RePharmation Inc. and changed its name to Nuvation Bio Inc. in April 2019. Nuvation Bio Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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1. An early-stage Genentech focused purely on developing new cancer therapies.

2. A biotech startup trying to discover the next breakthroughs in cancer treatment, much like a young Amgen in its early days.

3. A nascent Merck, but exclusively dedicated to inventing novel oncology drugs from the ground up.

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  • NUV-422: A small molecule inhibitor targeting cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK)2, CDK4, and CDK6.
  • NUV-868: A selective oral small molecule BET inhibitor that epigenetically regulates proteins controlling tumor growth and differentiation.
  • NUV-569: A differentiated oral small molecule selective inhibitor of the Wee1 kinase for DNA damage repair.
  • NUV-1182: An adenosine receptor inhibitor.
  • Drug-Drug Conjugate (DDC) platform: Focuses on targeting PARP inhibitors to anti-cancer warheads of existing drugs for conditions like ER+ breast and ovarian cancer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nuvation Bio Inc. (NUVB) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of therapeutic candidates for oncology. As a clinical-stage company, its product candidates are currently undergoing research and development and clinical trials and have not yet received regulatory approval for commercial sale. Therefore, Nuvation Bio Inc. does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense that purchase its therapeutic products.

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David Hung, M.D. - Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman

Dr. Hung founded Nuvation Bio in 2018. He previously founded Medivation, Inc. in 2003, which was acquired by Pfizer for $14.3 billion in 2016. Prior to Medivation, he served as President and CEO of ProDuct Health, Inc., a venture-backed startup he founded, which was acquired by Cytyc Corporation for $168 million in 2001. Between Medivation and founding Nuvation Bio, Dr. Hung served as Chief Executive Officer at Axovant Sciences for 10 months.

Philippe Sauvage - Chief Financial Officer and Principal Financial Officer

Mr. Sauvage joined Nuvation Bio in 2024, bringing more than 20 years of experience in global operations and finance. He previously served as Global Head of Operations and Access at Sanofi, where his roles also included Chief Financial Officer for Sanofi-Genzyme and Sanofi North America.

David Liu, M.D., Ph.D. - Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Liu joined Nuvation Bio in 2022 with over 20 years of experience leading the discovery and development of oncology therapies, including NDA submissions for multiple oncology assets in the U.S., Europe, and China. He most recently served as Chief Medical Officer at a biotechnology company in Shanghai, China.

Johanna Sjogren - Chief Commercial Officer

Ms. Sjogren joined Nuvation Bio in 2024, bringing nearly 30 years of experience in developing innovative, high-performing commercial organizations for successful product launches, particularly in oncology. She most recently served as the Senior Vice President of U.S. Sales at Madrigal Pharmaceuticals.

David Hanley, Ph.D. - Chief Technical Operations Officer

Dr. Hanley joined Nuvation Bio in 2021, bringing 20 years of pharmaceutical industry experience in driving strategy for technical operations and chemistry manufacturing and controls (CMC), including virtual networks, for drug development, manufacturing and distribution.

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The key risks for Nuvation Bio (NUVB) are primarily associated with the commercialization of its lead product, its financial stability, and the inherent challenges of drug development for its pipeline candidates.

  1. Commercialization and Market Concentration Risk for IBTROZI: Nuvation Bio has recently transitioned into a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with the FDA approval of IBTROZI (taletrectinib) for ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, a significant risk lies in the successful commercialization of this single product, as the market for ROS1-positive NSCLC is relatively small and highly competitive. Challenges include the slower-than-expected rollout, capturing sufficient market share against existing and upcoming competitors, and the complexities of establishing effective sales and marketing capabilities, particularly for international markets. The company's near-term financial performance and stock price will be predominantly determined by IBTROZI's success in the marketplace.
  2. Cash Burn and Path to Profitability: Despite the initial product sales from IBTROZI, Nuvation Bio continues to experience a substantial cash burn due to ongoing research and development (R&D) expenses for its pipeline and costs associated with commercial launch. The company reported significant net losses in recent quarters, highlighting that it remains deeply unprofitable. Its financial health hinges on the successful commercial execution of IBTROZI and the ability to manage its cash reserves until commercial growth can sufficiently offset clinical spending and R&D costs. Failure to achieve profitability in a timely manner could necessitate additional capital.
  3. Clinical Development and Competition for Pipeline Assets: While IBTROZI has received approval, Nuvation Bio's long-term growth is dependent on the successful development and regulatory approval of its other pipeline candidates, such as NUV-868, NUV-569, NUV-1182, and particularly safusidenib. These programs are subject to the inherent risks of clinical trial setbacks, unfavorable safety profiles, regulatory delays, and the emergence of superior competitive therapies. For example, safusidenib faces concerns regarding long development timelines and the need for clear differentiation in a competitive landscape with other IDH inhibitors for glioma. Delays or failures in these programs could leave the company overly reliant on IBTROZI for an extended period.

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Here are the addressable market sizes for Nuvation Bio's main products and services:
  • NUV-422 (CDK2, CDK4, and CDK6 inhibitor): This product targets various cancers, including HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced or metastatic breast cancer. The global market for metastatic HR+/HER2− breast cancer was estimated at approximately USD 9.1 billion in 2022 across the 7MM (United States, EU4, United Kingdom, and Japan). It is projected to reach USD 17.26 billion globally by 2030. The global CDK4/6 inhibitors market is estimated to grow from USD 11.34 billion in 2024 to USD 55.92 billion by 2035. Additionally, the global estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer treatment market size was estimated at USD 19.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 33.7 billion by 2030.
  • NUV-868 (selective oral small molecule BET inhibitor): This inhibitor targets tumor growth and differentiation, relevant for both hematologic malignancies and solid tumors. The global hematologic malignancies market size reached USD 65.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 129.5 billion by 2033. Another estimate for the global hematologic malignancies treatment market is USD 67.32 billion in 2024, growing to USD 139.13 billion by 2034. The global solid tumors market size was valued at USD 362.21 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1557.42 billion by 2032.
  • NUV-569 (differentiated oral small molecule selective inhibitor of the Wee1 kinase for DNA damage repair): This product falls under the broader category of DNA repair drugs. The global DNA repair drugs market was valued at USD 6.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 14.5 billion by 2032. Another report estimates this market to be valued at USD 8.05 billion in 2025, reaching USD 19.29 billion by 2032.
  • NUV-1182 (adenosine receptor inhibitor): This type of inhibitor is often relevant in the immuno-oncology space. The global Immuno-Oncology (IO) market size was estimated at USD 54.35 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately USD 435.70 billion by 2035. The global immuno-oncology market was also reported to be worth USD 6.53 billion in 2024, with an expectation to reach USD 19.93 billion by 2033.
  • Drug-drug conjugate (DDC) platform: This platform focuses on targeting a PARP inhibitor to anti-cancer warheads of existing drugs, as well as addressing ER+ breast and ovarian cancer. The global PARP inhibitor market is estimated to be valued at USD 7.85 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 14.36 billion by 2032. For ER+ breast cancer, the global estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer treatment market size was estimated at USD 19.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 33.7 billion by 2030. For ovarian cancer, the global market size was valued at USD 4.11 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 35 billion by 2034. The global ovarian cancer drugs market generated USD 3,611.0 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 5,654.6 million by 2030.

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Nuvation Bio (NUVB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives: * Commercialization and Increased Adoption of IBTROZI (taletrectinib): Nuvation Bio became a commercial-stage company following the FDA approval of IBTROZI in June 2025 for the treatment of adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This product is now the preferred tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) for patients with advanced ROS1+ NSCLC and has demonstrated rapid adoption, significantly contributing to the company's revenue. The company is actively working to improve first-line adoption, which is expected to lead to longer durations on therapy and further revenue growth. * Global Expansion of IBTROZI through Partnerships and Clinical Trials: Nuvation Bio has strategic partnerships in place, such as with Eisai Co., Ltd., which grants Eisai development and commercialization rights for taletrectinib in Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, Russia, Turkey, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and several Asian markets. Additionally, the company is sponsoring global Phase 3 studies like TRUST-IV, evaluating IBTROZI for the adjuvant treatment of resected early-stage ROS1-positive NSCLC in regions including the U.S., Canada, Europe, Japan, and China, which can expand its market reach and generate future sales. * Advancement and Potential Approval of Safusidenib: Safusidenib, a brain-penetrant IDH1 inhibitor for IDH1-mutant gliomas, is currently in a pivotal Phase 3 study for patients with high-grade and high-risk IDH1-mutant glioma. Successful progression through clinical trials and eventual regulatory approval for safusidenib would unlock a significant new revenue stream, addressing unmet needs in oncology. * Milestone Payments and Royalties from International Collaborations: The company benefits from milestone payments and royalties derived from its international partnerships for taletrectinib (IBTROZI), particularly in regions like China (Innovent Biologics) and Japan (Nippon Kayaku). These agreements provide upfront payments and ongoing royalties, strengthening Nuvation Bio's financial flexibility and contributing to non-U.S. revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • Nuvation Bio completed its merger with Panacea Acquisition Corp. on February 11, 2021, resulting in its Class A common stock trading on the NYSE under the symbol "NUVB".
  • In September 2024, stockholders approved the issuance of up to 85,120,200 shares of Class A Common Stock, which were issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2024, following the conversion of Series A Non-Voting Convertible Preferred Stock.
  • As part of the acquisition of AnHeart Therapeutics Ltd. on April 9, 2024, Nuvation Bio issued approximately 113 million shares of common stock.

Inbound Investments

  • Nuvation Bio had cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $611.2 million as of December 31, 2023, $502.7 million as of December 31, 2024, and $529.2 million as of December 31, 2025.
  • Institutional investors held 61.67% of Nuvation Bio's stock as of March 14, 2026.
  • Nuvation Bio entered into an exclusive licensing and collaboration agreement with Eisai on January 11, 2026, for taletrectinib in Europe and other territories outside the U.S., China, and Japan, contributing to collaboration revenue.
  • Total revenue for 2025 reached $62.9 million, partly due to a $25 million milestone payment from Nippon Kayaku and increased license, service, supply, and royalty revenue.

Outbound Investments

  • Nuvation Bio completed the acquisition of AnHeart Therapeutics Ltd. on April 9, 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the last 12 months were approximately -$354,000.
  • Research and development expenses were $99.1 million for the full year 2024 and $115.1 million for the full year 2025, demonstrating significant investment in its pipeline.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NUVB.

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GEHC_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026GEHCGE HealthCare TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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IQV_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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ABT_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026ABTAbbott LaboratoriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
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ZBIO_4302026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K04302026ZBIOZenas BioPharmaInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NUVBNUVLAGIOBMYPFEGILDMedian
NameNuvation.Nuvalent Agios Ph.Bristol-.Pfizer Gilead S. 
Mkt Price4.4999.0428.1658.2226.33131.6543.19
Mkt Cap1.57.41.7118.4149.7163.462.9
Rev LTM6306648,19562,57929,44114,754
Op Inc LTM-213-414-47613,72317,40611,6995,743
FCF LTM-182-275-39512,8459,0759,4564,447
FCF 3Y Avg-127-187-37213,1467,9019,0613,887
CFO LTM-173-275-38014,15611,70410,0194,923
CFO 3Y Avg-124-187-36114,40211,0499,6184,747

Growth & Margins

NUVBNUVLAGIOBMYPFEGILDMedian
NameNuvation.Nuvalent Agios Ph.Bristol-.Pfizer Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM699.0%-78.3%-0.2%-1.6%2.4%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--53.0%1.5%-12.0%2.6%2.1%
Rev Chg Q633.1%-137.7%1.3%-1.2%4.7%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM135.2%-22.2%0.3%-0.3%1.2%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-27.2%-47.8%-8.0%133.1%16.5%10.4%1.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-26.1%-69.6%-8.0%31.7%55.5%3.6%-2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-338.7%--720.0%28.5%27.8%39.7%27.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---1,081.7%19.6%19.6%36.4%19.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM532.3%-153.9%4.7%0.9%1.1%4.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-275.7%--576.0%29.4%18.7%34.0%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---894.3%30.5%17.8%33.7%24.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-289.0%--597.6%26.7%14.5%32.1%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---924.3%27.9%12.7%31.8%20.3%

Valuation

NUVBNUVLAGIOBMYPFEGILDMedian
NameNuvation.Nuvalent Agios Ph.Bristol-.Pfizer Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap1.57.41.7118.4149.7163.462.9
P/S24.6-25.12.52.45.55.5
P/Op Inc-7.3-18.0-3.58.68.614.02.6
P/EBIT-8.1-18.0-3.510.614.715.13.5
P/E-7.6-17.5-3.916.819.319.26.4
P/CFO-8.9-27.0-4.48.412.816.32.0
Total Yield-13.2%-5.7%-25.5%10.2%11.7%7.7%1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%4.3%6.5%2.5%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.7%-3.0%-21.1%12.0%5.3%7.5%1.1%
D/E0.00.00.00.40.40.20.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.2-0.10.30.30.10.0

Returns

NUVBNUVLAGIOBMYPFEGILDMedian
NameNuvation.Nuvalent Agios Ph.Bristol-.Pfizer Gilead S. 
1M Rtn-0.4%-6.2%-17.6%-5.7%-7.8%-6.2%-6.2%
3M Rtn-14.3%-3.7%2.6%6.8%-0.4%-6.7%-2.1%
6M Rtn-14.0%-0.3%-34.9%29.2%10.5%11.3%5.1%
12M Rtn97.8%29.9%-9.0%23.2%18.0%30.9%26.6%
3Y Rtn177.2%174.8%24.4%-1.8%-19.2%81.2%52.8%
1M Excs Rtn-10.4%-16.2%-27.6%-15.6%-17.7%-16.1%-16.2%
3M Excs Rtn-18.5%-7.9%-1.6%2.7%-4.6%-10.9%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn-19.6%-8.7%-37.8%34.8%7.2%7.5%-0.8%
12M Excs Rtn69.7%-0.8%-35.0%-8.1%-14.1%-3.0%-5.5%
3Y Excs Rtn95.5%103.4%-50.8%-79.9%-96.6%-4.2%-27.5%

Comparison Analyses

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FDA Approved Drugs Data

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Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA219713  IBTROZItaletrectinib adipatecapsule611202550.9%256.4%102.3%102.3%102.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Oncology development activities8    
Total8    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Oncology development activities 621672776222
Total 621672776222


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.49 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.5 
First Trading Date08/21/2020 
Distance from 52W High-52.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$4.72$4.95
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-4.9%-9.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility70.5%93.4%
Downside Capture1.611.32
Upside Capture151.34253.94
Correlation (SPY)36.1%27.8%
NUVB Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.732.201.701.702.061.51
Up Beta2.032.061.721.851.621.26
Down Beta0.460.940.950.331.371.08
Up Capture99%163%161%199%568%1154%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12203261128347
Down Capture124%325%212%184%169%111%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days9223163117365

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NUVB
NUVB97.2%93.4%1.13-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.2%16.0%0.1324.1%
Equity (SPY)30.6%12.5%1.8827.8%
Gold (GLD)39.5%27.2%1.202.3%
Commodities (DBC)51.5%17.9%2.20-16.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.5%0.6713.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.2%42.1%-0.367.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NUVB
NUVB-17.1%75.4%0.07-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.0%14.6%0.1728.5%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5930.7%
Gold (GLD)20.5%17.9%0.945.4%
Commodities (DBC)14.3%19.1%0.610.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.0925.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.4%56.1%0.3514.6%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NUVB
NUVB-7.8%73.1%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.1%16.5%0.4525.9%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7128.9%
Gold (GLD)13.6%15.9%0.715.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%17.7%0.461.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2423.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.9%1.0714.2%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity50.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120263.2%
Average Daily Volume2.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest19.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity344.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/12/2026-19.7%-27.2%-29.0%
11/3/2025-6.6%-10.3%60.7%
8/7/2025-0.4%11.1%66.0%
3/6/20256.9%16.9%-12.2%
11/6/20243.1%16.1%12.2%
8/5/2024-5.4%-15.8%-11.3%
5/14/20240.0%3.0%-9.4%
2/29/202419.3%33.2%97.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121010
# Negative688
Median Positive4.4%14.0%11.0%
Median Negative-4.4%-9.2%-10.4%
Max Positive19.3%33.2%97.3%
Max Negative-19.7%-27.2%-29.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/15/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Liu, DongfangCHIEF MEDICAL OFFICERDirectSell42120265.0250,000251,00090,360Form
2Wentworth, KerryCHIEF REGULATORY OFFICERDirectSell42120265.0136,750184,279265,763Form
3Wentworth, KerryCHIEF REGULATORY OFFICERDirectSell40820264.52200,000903,560239,443Form
4Liu, DongfangCHIEF MEDICAL OFFICERDirectSell120320257.82150,0001,173,255140,791Form
5Liu, DongfangCHIEF MEDICAL OFFICERDirectSell112620258.0010,00080,000144,000Form