Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $32.93 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $32.93Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -42% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Personalized Diagnostics. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -472 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -874% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -690%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -717% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26% Key risksAGIO key risks include [1] make-or-break regulatory and clinical outcomes for its lead drug PYRUKYND, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -42% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Personalized Diagnostics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -472 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -874% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -690%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -717% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26% |
| Key risksAGIO key risks include [1] make-or-break regulatory and clinical outcomes for its lead drug PYRUKYND, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. U.S. Commercial Launch of AQVESME for Thalassemia and Strong PYRUKYND Sales Growth.
Agios Pharmaceuticals initiated the U.S. commercial launch of AQVESME (mitapivat) in late January 2026, following its FDA approval in December 2025 for the treatment of anemia in adults with alpha- or beta-thalassemia. This represents a new significant revenue stream for the company, as AQVESME is the only FDA-approved medicine for this indication. Additionally, U.S. sales of their existing drug, PYRUKYND, for pyruvate kinase deficiency in the fourth quarter of 2025 were $16.0 million, a 49% increase year-over-year.
2. Better-than-Expected Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results.
On February 12, 2026, Agios Pharmaceuticals reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted a narrower loss of $1.85 per share, beating estimates of -$1.99 by $0.14. Total revenue for the quarter reached $19.97 million, significantly exceeding the estimated $12.25 million by $7.72 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.0% change in AGIO stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.22 | 32.93 | 21.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 45 | 54 | 20.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 35.3 | 35.6 | 0.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 58 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGIO | 20.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 28.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.8% | 45.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.0% change in AGIO stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.14 | 32.93 | -18.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 41 | 54 | 32.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 56.9 | 35.6 | -37.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 58 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGIO | -18.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 9.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.3% | 23.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.4% change in AGIO stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.30 | 32.93 | 12.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 36 | 54 | 48.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 45.8 | 35.6 | -22.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 58 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGIO | 12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 24.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.3% | 30.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.4% change in AGIO stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 279.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.97 | 32.93 | 43.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14 | 54 | 279.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 88.6 | 35.6 | -59.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 58 | -5.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 43.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGIO | 43.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.1% | 26.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AGIO Return | -24% | -15% | -21% | 48% | -17% | 21% | -24% |
| Peers Return | -15% | 13% | 21% | -16% | 46% | -6% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AGIO Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 62% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AGIO Max Drawdown | -32% | -48% | -29% | -4% | -32% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -20% | -16% | -27% | -17% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, CRSP, BMRN, ALNY, IONS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AGIO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 259.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 906 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 231.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, CRSP, BMRN, ALNY, IONS
In The Past
Agios Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -72.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -72.2% loss requires a 259.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO)
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO):
- Like Alexion Pharmaceuticals, but dedicated to developing drugs for inherited metabolic blood disorders.
- A BioMarin Pharmaceutical, but specializing in medicines for rare blood disorders linked to cellular metabolism.
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- PYRUKYND (mitapivat): An activator of pyruvate kinase (PK) enzymes for the treatment of hemolytic anemias.
- AG-946: A product currently in Phase I clinical study for treating hemolytic anemias and other indications.
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Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO), as a biopharmaceutical company developing and selling prescription medicines, primarily sells its products through major pharmaceutical wholesalers. These wholesalers then distribute the medicines to hospitals, pharmacies, and other healthcare providers.
The major customers of Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. are typically the three largest pharmaceutical wholesale distributors in the United States:
- AmerisourceBergen Corporation (NYSE: ABC)
- Cardinal Health, Inc. (NYSE: CAH)
- McKesson Corporation (NYSE: MCK)
These companies act as intermediaries, purchasing the medicines directly from Agios and distributing them to the ultimate healthcare providers and patients.
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Brian Goff
Chief Executive Officer
Brian Goff joined Agios as Chief Executive Officer and a member of its board of directors in August 2022. He has over 30 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, with the last decade focused on rare diseases. Prior to Agios, he was Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial and Global Operations Officer of Alexion Pharmaceuticals until its acquisition by AstraZeneca in 2021. He also served as Chief Operating Officer and a board member of Neurovance, a venture-backed company that was acquired by Otsuka Pharmaceuticals in 2017. Before Neurovance, Mr. Goff was Executive Vice President and President of the hematology division at Baxalta until its acquisition by Shire Pharmaceuticals in 2016. His earlier career included roles at Baxter Healthcare Corporation, Novartis Pharmaceuticals, and nearly 14 years in the pharmaceutical division of Johnson & Johnson.
Cecilia Jones
Chief Financial Officer
Cecilia Jones was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Agios in September 2022. She brings over 20 years of financial experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, with a focus on rare diseases. Before joining Agios, Ms. Jones served as Chief Financial Officer at LogicBio Therapeutics, where she was responsible for the company's financial strategy, including evaluating financing alternatives, analyzing business development opportunities, and managing corporate financial planning, accounting, corporate communications, and investor relations. Prior to LogicBio, she spent over a decade at Biogen, holding various finance leadership roles, including Vice President of R&D, worldwide medical and business development finance, and Senior Director of Corporate Finance, where she led global long-range planning and financial assessments of business development and M&A opportunities. Earlier in her career, she was Director of International Finance at Genzyme.
Sarah Gheuens, M.D., Ph.D.
Chief Medical Officer, Head of Research & Development
Dr. Sarah Gheuens joined Agios in December 2019, becoming Chief Medical Officer in September 2021, and taking on the additional role of Head of Research & Development in August 2022. She has been instrumental in the completion of the pivotal Phase 3 program for pyruvate kinase deficiency, leading regulatory submissions to the FDA and EMA, and designing pivotal programs for thalassemia, sickle cell disease, and pediatric indications. Before Agios, Dr. Gheuens worked at Biogen in roles of increasing responsibility in safety, medical affairs, and clinical development, contributing to the approval of SPINRA®. Her prior experience includes working at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) with HIV patients and conducting research on progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy.
Jim Burns
Chief Legal Officer
Jim Burns serves as the Chief Legal Officer at Agios Pharmaceuticals. Previously, he held the position of Vice President, Commercial Healthcare Law & Chief Compliance Officer at the company.
Clive Patience, Ph.D.
Chief Technical Operations Officer
Dr. Clive Patience is the Chief Technical Operations Officer at Agios Pharmaceuticals. He previously held the role of Senior Vice President at Agios, which he joined in June 2017.
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Key Business Risks for Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO)
Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO) faces several significant risks inherent to the biopharmaceutical industry, particularly concerning regulatory hurdles, reliance on its lead product, and financial sustainability.
The most significant risk to Agios Pharmaceuticals is its **regulatory and clinical development risk**. The company's lead product, PYRUKYND (mitapivat), is undergoing regulatory review for additional indications, such as thalassemia, and has experienced delays, including an extended Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal date and a missed target date by the FDA due to a request for a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) to address safety concerns like hepatocellular injury (HCI). Any failure to secure approval or further delays for these expanded indications could significantly impact investor confidence and the company's market valuation. Additionally, there have been reports of deaths in PYRUKYND patients in the FDA's Adverse Events Reporting System (FAERS), raising safety concerns and potentially affecting market perception. Furthermore, pipeline candidates, such as AG-946, are in early-stage clinical development (Phase 1, advancing to Phase 2b for myelodysplastic syndromes), which inherently carry high failure rates and require successful trial outcomes and subsequent regulatory approvals for future growth. The Phase 3 RISE UP trial for PYRUKYND in sickle cell disease also yielded mixed results, meeting one primary endpoint but failing to significantly reduce annual pain crises, introducing uncertainty for that potential label expansion. General regulatory timing risks, including potential slowdowns from funding cuts or staff reductions at regulatory agencies, also pose a threat to clinical development timelines and revenues.
A second key risk is the company's **product concentration and heavy reliance on PYRUKYND**. PYRUKYND is considered the "centerpiece" of Agios's product pipeline and a "cornerstone" of its near-term growth strategy. The company's investment narrative heavily depends on PYRUKYND achieving commercial success across multiple rare blood disorders. This strong dependence on a single approved product means that any unforeseen challenges, such as unexpected adverse events, increased competition, or intellectual property disputes, could severely impact the company's financial performance and future growth prospects.
Finally, **ongoing operating losses and high research & development costs** present a significant financial risk. Despite showing consistent revenue growth, Agios has faced persistent operating losses and substantial costs associated with its clinical trials and general research and development efforts. The company exhibits negative EBITDA and EBIT margins, indicating challenges in cost management. While Agios maintains a strong financial position in terms of liquidity and low debt, continued operating losses and high expenses pose a challenge to achieving sustained profitability and long-term financial stability.
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Agios Pharmaceuticals' main product, PYRUKYND (mitapivat), targets several distinct addressable markets within hemolytic anemias.
- For the treatment of hemolytic anemia in adults with pyruvate kinase (PK) deficiency, the addressable market in the U.S. is estimated to be just less than 10,000 individuals.
- For adult patients with thalassemia in the U.S., Agios Pharmaceuticals targets a population of approximately 6,000 patients, with about 4,000 expected to be addressable at launch.
The company also states that its PYRUKYND franchise, which includes potential future indications like sickle cell disease and pediatric PK deficiency, is poised for multi-billion-dollar potential.
Agios Pharmaceuticals' other product, AG-946 (tebapivat), is in clinical development for indications such as lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS) and sickle cell disease. While these represent future market opportunities, specific addressable market sizes for AG-946 are not explicitly detailed in the provided information. Therefore, the addressable market size for AG-946 cannot be quantified at this time.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO)
- Continued Growth in Pyruvate Kinase (PK) Deficiency: Agios Pharmaceuticals expects sustained revenue growth from PYRUKYND (mitapivat) for the treatment of PK deficiency. The company projected U.S. PK deficiency revenues in the range of $45 million to $50 million for 2026. PYRUKYND generated $20 million in net revenue in Q4 2025, an 86% increase compared to Q4 2024, and $54 million for the full year 2025, reflecting robust year-on-year growth.
- U.S. Launch and Expansion of AQVESME (mitapivat) for Thalassemia: The recent FDA approval of AQVESME (mitapivat) for thalassemia in December 2025 is a significant new revenue driver. The U.S. launch is underway, with management focused on executing a high-impact launch and reporting strong early recognition and 44 prescriptions as of January 30, 2026. This expansion into thalassemia significantly broadens the addressable market for mitapivat.
- Potential Approval and Launch of Mitapivat in Sickle Cell Disease: Agios is actively pursuing the expansion of its PK activation franchise into sickle cell disease. The company completed enrollment in its Phase 3 RISE UP study for sickle cell disease in 2024 and is scheduled to meet with the FDA in Q1 2026 for a pre-sNDA meeting to determine the regulatory path forward, with a potential U.S. commercial launch anticipated in 2026.
- Advancement of PK Activation Franchise into Lower-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndromes (LR-MDS): Agios aims to expand its PK activation franchise into additional high-value indications, including lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes. The company achieved clinical proof-of-concept in the Phase 2a portion of a study of investigational pyruvate kinase activator AG-946 for anemia in adults with LR-MDS, with plans to initiate the placebo-controlled Phase 2b portion of the study. Furthermore, a Phase 2 tebapivat trial in sickle cell disease is fully enrolled, with topline results expected in the second half of 2026.
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```htmlShare Repurchases
- Agios announced plans in April 2021 to repurchase 7.1 million shares from Bristol Myers Squibb Co. for approximately $344.5 million.
- The company also indicated intentions to repurchase up to $1.2 billion in outstanding shares over the subsequent 12-18 months from April 2021.
- As of December 31, 2025, the reported share buyback amount was $0.
Share Issuance
- Agios Pharmaceuticals filed a Form S-8 on June 18, 2025, to register additional shares under its 2023 Stock Incentive Plan, enabling the continued issuance of equity-based compensation to employees, directors, and consultants.
- Insiders have engaged in share transactions to cover tax withholding obligations related to restricted stock unit (RSU) vesting, as seen in December 2025 and March 2026.
Inbound Investments
- In May 2025 (reported June 2024), Agios announced an agreement with Royalty Pharma to sell 15% of its royalties from Vorasidenib, resulting in a $905 million upfront payment contingent on FDA approval of Vorasidenib.
- Agios sold its oncology portfolio, including Vorasidenib, to Servier in 2021, retaining rights to a $200 million payment upon FDA approval and 15% royalties on US net sales.
- Agios Pharmaceuticals concluded fiscal year 2025 with approximately $1.2 billion in cash and marketable securities on its balance sheet.
Capital Expenditures
- Agios's capital expenditures were $5.74 million in 2021, $3.92 million in 2022, -$0.33 million in 2023, $1.65 million in 2024, and $4.32 million in 2025.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company invested $1.1 million in capital expenditures.
- For the last 12 months, capital expenditures were -$4.32 million.
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| 03312026 | PGNY | Progyny | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | CNC | Centene | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -0.6% |
| 03272026 | OSCR | Oscar Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.0% | 3.0% | -2.6% |
| 03202026 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 03202026 | GILD | Gilead Sciences | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,082 |
| Op Inc LTM | 14 |
| FCF LTM | 70 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -54 |
| CFO LTM | 128 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -21 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 37.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 5.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
| P/S | 11.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 11.7 |
| P/CFO | 3.8 |
| Total Yield | -1.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 38.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -20.6% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA216196 | PYRUKYND | mitapivat sulfate | tablet | 2172022 | -30.0% | -11.2% | -6.0% | -10.0% | 11.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product revenue, net | 27 | 12 | 60 | ||
| Milestone revenue | 0 | 2 | |||
| Collaboration revenue – other | 11 | ||||
| Collaboration revenue – related party | 39 | ||||
| Royalty revenue – related party | 8 | ||||
| Total | 27 | 14 | 118 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 1,438 | 853 | |||
| Total | 1,438 | 853 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $32.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/24/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $29.29 | $33.76 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 12.4% | -2.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 44.2% | 70.1% |
| Downside Capture | 0.02 | 0.32 |
| Upside Capture | 114.99 | 70.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.9% | 17.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.35 | 0.79 | 0.77 | 0.66 | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Up Beta | 4.69 | 1.16 | 1.59 | 2.48 | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| Down Beta | 0.09 | 0.75 | 0.49 | 0.08 | 0.81 | 0.78 |
| Up Capture | 185% | 115% | 112% | -13% | 56% | 171% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 30 | 63 | 131 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 86% | 23% | 37% | 60% | 87% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 33 | 63 | 120 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGIO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGIO | 34.9% | 70.4% | 0.82 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 12.3% | 16.8% | 0.52 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 21.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 23.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 13.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGIO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGIO | -9.6% | 57.3% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.3% | 14.6% | 0.25 | 32.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 36.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 6.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 30.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 18.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGIO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGIO | -2.3% | 57.3% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.5% | 0.48 | 37.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 37.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 11.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 25.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 10.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | 1.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| 10/30/2025 | 2.9% | -3.5% | -33.7% |
| 7/31/2025 | -0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 4.2% | -5.0% | 8.1% |
| 2/13/2025 | 1.5% | 2.9% | -5.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -4.0% | 11.4% | 28.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | -4.1% | -8.3% | -1.2% |
| 5/2/2024 | 2.7% | -3.6% | 8.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -7.6% | -17.1% |
| Max Positive | 14.7% | 17.1% | 28.3% |
| Max Negative | -5.5% | -15.1% | -33.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Pre-sNDA meeting with FDA for mitapivat in sickle cell disease | |||||||
| 2026 Topline results for Phase 2 tebapivat trial in sickle cell disease | |||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 RISE UP Phase 3 trial topline results | |||||||
| 2026 European Commission decision on PYRUKYND | |||||||
| 2026 Phase 2b tebapivat trial topline results | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burns, James William | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 27.09 | 2,932 | 79,428 | 859,241 | Form |
| 2 | Goff, Brian | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 27.09 | 18,703 | 506,664 | 3,700,033 | Form |
| 3 | Gheuens, Sarah | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 27.09 | 2,932 | 79,428 | 1,755,297 | Form |
| 4 | Milanova, Tsveta | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 27.09 | 2,932 | 79,428 | 790,757 | Form |
| 5 | Jones, Cecilia | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 27.09 | 2,932 | 79,428 | 1,013,003 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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