Tearsheet

StoneCo (STNE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.31 | Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

StoneCo (STNE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.31
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 172%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 172%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STNE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that could explain a stock movement like a -4.4% drop for StoneCo (STNE), based on recent market information:

1. StoneCo experienced investor disappointment due to a revenue miss in its latest earnings report, even when earnings per share (EPS) exceeded expectations. For instance, in its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report, StoneCo's stock declined by 11.61% in after-hours trading, despite beating EPS forecasts, because revenue of $3.57 billion fell slightly short of the anticipated $3.61 billion. Similarly, after its Q3 2025 earnings, the stock declined approximately 3% in after-hours trading as revenue slightly missed consensus estimates.

2. Concerns over market saturation and intense competition within the Brazilian payments industry have led to analyst downgrades and projections of slower growth. In September 2024, Morgan Stanley downgraded StoneCo's stock rating, citing market saturation in the Brazilian payments industry, which is expected to result in slower Total Payment Volume (TPV) growth, price compression, and reduced operating leverage. Intense competition from rivals like PagSeguro, Cielo, and Mercado Pago also pressures pricing and can limit margin expansion.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STNE Return110%-80%-44%91%-56%119%-56%
Peers Return13%13%-38%33%-9%-8%-11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STNE Win Rate75%42%50%67%25%80% 
Peers Win Rate23%40%30%45%45%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STNE Max Drawdown-55%-82%-57%-13%-56%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-1%-42%-20%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTNES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1199.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven117 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days120 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW


In The Past

StoneCo's stock fell -92.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -92.3% loss requires a 1199.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About StoneCo (STNE)

Better Bets than StoneCo (STNE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STNE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for StoneCo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STNEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameStoneCo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Price15.7427.1914.8616.96-9.8015.74
Mkt Cap4.216.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM14,5334,4731,497907--2,985
Op Inc LTM6,9791,697-46-328--825
FCF LTM-1,5371,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-1,7271,463268-44--112
CFO LTM-3341,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg-5551,480282-22--130

Growth & Margins

STNEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameStoneCo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Rev Chg LTM23.5%16.2%8.3%25.4%--19.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.3%16.5%14.6%45.6%--18.9%
Rev Chg Q16.0%25.3%14.4%21.7%--18.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.2%
Op Mgn LTM48.0%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%--17.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg48.3%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%--12.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.3%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.0%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--8.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-10.6%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.5%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--5.5%

Valuation

STNEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameStoneCo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Cap4.216.78.05.6--6.8
P/S0.33.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT4.810.9-148.1-19.8---7.5
P/E-4.630.7340.3-14.1--13.1
P/CFO-15.013.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield-22.0%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-46.6%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E3.20.50.00.0--0.3
Net D/E1.70.5-0.2-0.1--0.2

Returns

STNEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameStoneCo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
1M Rtn-17.2%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%-11.4%-4.1%
3M Rtn-3.9%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%---4.9%
6M Rtn13.8%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%--4.1%
12M Rtn66.4%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---3.5%
3Y Rtn32.2%21.7%2.3%14.7%--18.2%
1M Excs Rtn-17.2%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%-11.4%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-10.0%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---11.0%
6M Excs Rtn-0.9%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---10.6%
12M Excs Rtn52.5%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.0%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---48.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Financial Services10,4958,0844,091  
Software1,4921,420686  
Non allocated678646  
Other financial income-691-573-247  
Financial income    1,288
Net revenue from subscription services and equipment rental    332
Net revenue from transaction activities and other services    770
Total11,3649,0164,576 2,390


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,213,882
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.5%
Average Daily Volume7,072,937
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.01
Basic Shares Quantity264,785,128
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024424202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202451320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023424202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111320236-K 9/30/2023
630202381620236-K 6/30/2023
331202351720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022501202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111720226-K 9/30/2022
630202281820226-K 6/30/2022
331202260320226-K 3/31/2022
12312021429202220-F 12/31/2021