Bank of New York Mellon (BK)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $115.48 | Market Cap: $82.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Bank of New York Mellon (BK)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $115.48Market Cap: $82.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 22x |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -200% | Key risksBK key risks include [1] litigation and legal liabilities from regulatory non-compliance, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Asset Custody, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -200% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Asset Custody, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 22x |
| Key risksBK key risks include [1] litigation and legal liabilities from regulatory non-compliance, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The Bank of New York Mellon (BK) experienced positive stock movement, including a 10.2% increase, during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance and Positive Outlook. The company reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with total revenue increasing by 9% year-over-year and earnings per share (EPS) surging by 27%. This performance included an expansion of the pre-tax margin to 37% and an improvement in return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) to 27.8%, indicating effective management and profitability. BNY Mellon also updated its financial outlook for 2025, raising guidance for net interest income growth. 2. Robust Capital Returns to Shareholders. BNY Mellon demonstrated a commitment to returning capital to shareholders by increasing its quarterly cash dividend by 12.8% for the third quarter of 2025. Furthermore, management indicated an expectation to return 100% or more of its earnings to shareholders in 2025. The company maintained strong capital and liquidity positions, with a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 6.1% and a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 11.5%, both well above regulatory requirements.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BK Return | -13% | 41% | -19% | 19% | 52% | 52% | 171% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BK Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 83% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BK Max Drawdown | -45% | -6% | -34% | -11% | -0% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: . See BK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 639 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 409 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 785 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 176.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,021 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Bank of New York Mellon's stock fell -41.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -41.4% loss requires a 70.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Bank of New York Mellon
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 115.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 82.8 |
| Rev LTM | 18,930 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 2,380 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,005 |
| CFO LTM | 3,847 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,286 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 82.8 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 16.6 |
| P/CFO | 21.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -2.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 55.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 185.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 38.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 110.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Securities Services | 8,598 | 8,032 | 7,244 | 7,375 | |
| Market and Wealth Services | 5,870 | 5,282 | 4,741 | 4,806 | |
| Investment and wealth management | 3,155 | 3,550 | 4,042 | 3,692 | 3,721 |
| Other | 72 | -474 | -108 | -74 | 728 |
| Amortization of intangible assets | -117 | ||||
| Bank assessment charges | -125 | ||||
| Investment Services | 11,987 | ||||
| Provision for credit losses | -25 | ||||
| Total | 17,695 | 16,390 | 15,919 | 15,799 | 16,169 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/16/2025 | -2.0% | -1.7% | 2.4% |
| 7/15/2025 | -0.1% | 3.5% | 9.4% |
| 4/11/2025 | 1.4% | -0.4% | 14.4% |
| 1/15/2025 | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% |
| 10/11/2024 | -0.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| 7/12/2024 | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% |
| 4/16/2024 | -2.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% |
| 1/12/2024 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 3.6% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.0% | -4.4% | -7.2% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -9.8% | -9.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
