Tearsheet

Insperity (NSP)


Market Price (5/22/2026): $30.88 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services

Insperity (NSP)


Market Price (5/22/2026): $30.88
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 5.7%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work. Themes include HR Technology & Outsourcing, Employee Benefits Management, and Workforce Management Solutions.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 107x

Key risks
NSP key risks include [1] significant margin compression from escalating employee benefits and healthcare costs, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work. Themes include HR Technology & Outsourcing, Employee Benefits Management, and Workforce Management Solutions.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 107x
7 Key risks
NSP key risks include [1] significant margin compression from escalating employee benefits and healthcare costs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Insperity (NSP) stock has lost about 25% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Poor Q4 2025 Earnings and Initial Weak 2026 Guidance.

Insperity reported an adjusted loss of $0.60 per share for the fourth quarter of 2025, significantly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.49 per share profit. This was coupled with a 21% fall in gross profit and a 320 basis point decline in gross margin for Q4 2025. The company also provided an initial full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $1.69-$2.72, with the midpoint ($2.21) falling below the consensus estimate of $2.42. This news led to an 18.2% drop in the stock price following the earnings release on February 10, 2026.

2. Reduced Worksite Employee (WSEE) Growth Forecasts and Weak Small Business Sentiment.

For the full year 2026, Insperity lowered its guidance for average paid worksite employees (WSEEs) to a range of 303,000 to 307,000, which represents a 1% to 2.3% decrease from 2025. This downward revision was largely attributed to weakening small business economic sentiment and the near-term impacts of the company's margin recovery actions on sales and client retention. New client sales declined by 7% compared to Q1 2025, and client attrition reached 11% in Q1 2026, aligning with the higher end of historical ranges.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -25.7% change in NSP stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265212026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5630.86-25.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,7576,8441.3%
P/S Multiple0.20.2-26.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)38380.0%
Cumulative Contribution-25.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSP-25.7% 
Market (SPY)7.6%-3.6%
Sector (XLI)3.4%-15.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.8% change in NSP stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255212026Change
Stock Price ($)42.1830.86-26.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,6956,8442.2%
P/S Multiple0.20.2-28.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)38380.0%
Cumulative Contribution-26.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSP-26.8% 
Market (SPY)9.5%5.9%
Sector (XLI)10.7%0.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.3% change in NSP stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255212026Change
Stock Price ($)60.9030.86-49.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,6426,8443.0%
P/S Multiple0.30.2-50.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)38380.0%
Cumulative Contribution-49.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSP-49.3% 
Market (SPY)35.5%17.8%
Sector (XLI)31.7%11.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -71.8% change in NSP stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -74.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235212026Change
Stock Price ($)109.3130.86-71.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,1316,84411.6%
P/S Multiple0.70.2-74.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)38380.0%
Cumulative Contribution-71.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NSP-71.8% 
Market (SPY)85.6%22.1%
Sector (XLI)78.3%24.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NSP Return50%-2%5%-32%-48%-16%-54%
Peers Return39%-8%26%12%-27%-14%13%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NSP Win Rate67%50%50%25%25%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%40%57%60%42%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NSP Max Drawdown-14%-28%-27%-38%-65%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-28%-19%-19%-38%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ADP, PAYX, TNET, BBSI, RHI. See NSP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNSPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-27.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven238 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven173.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven148 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven49 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-12.1%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven103 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-12.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven92 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-33.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven140 days123 days

Compare to ADP, PAYX, TNET, BBSI, RHI

In The Past

Insperity's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNSPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-27.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven238 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven173.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven148 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven49 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-33.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven140 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-54.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven120.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven721 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-22.4%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.9%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven57 days47 days

Compare to ADP, PAYX, TNET, BBSI, RHI

In The Past

Insperity's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Insperity (NSP)

Insperity, Inc. provides human resources (HR) and business solutions to improve business performance for small and medium-sized businesses. The company offers its HR services through its Workforce Optimization and Workforce Synchronization solutions that include a range of human resources functions, such as payroll and employment administration, employee benefits, workers' compensation, government compliance, performance management, and training and development services. It also provides Insperity Premier, a cloud-based human capital management platform that offers professional employer organization HR outsourcing solutions to its clients; personnel record management services; and employer liability management services, as well as solutions for middle market. In addition, the company offers MarketPlace, an e-commerce portal that offers a range of products and services; and Workforce Acceleration, a human capital management and payroll services solution; time and attendance; performance management; organizational planning; recruiting; employment screening; retirement; and insurance services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through 85 sales offices in the United States. The company was formerly known as Administaff, Inc. and changed its name to Insperity, Inc. in March 2011. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Kingwood, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Insperity is like **ADP or Paychex, but for a full-service, outsourced HR department, including PEO (Professional Employer Organization) services for small and medium-sized businesses.**

Alternatively, Insperity is like the **Amazon for human resources services for small and medium-sized businesses, offering everything from payroll to benefits to compliance in one place.**

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Workforce Optimization and Workforce Synchronization: These solutions provide comprehensive HR services including payroll, benefits, workers' compensation, compliance, performance management, and training for small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Insperity Premier: A cloud-based human capital management platform that offers professional employer organization (PEO) HR outsourcing solutions, personnel record management, and employer liability management.
  • Workforce Acceleration: This human capital management and payroll services solution assists clients with various HR functions including time tracking, performance management, organizational planning, recruiting, and employment screening.
  • MarketPlace: An e-commerce portal offering a diverse range of products and services for businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Insperity (NSP) primarily sells its human resources and business solutions to other companies, specifically **small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs)** and **middle-market companies**.

Due to the nature of its business model as a professional employer organization (PEO), Insperity serves a highly diversified client base across various industries. As a result, no single customer or a small group of customers accounts for a significant portion of Insperity's revenues (typically 10% or more). Therefore, there are no individually identifiable "major customer companies" that are publicly disclosed or represent a substantial concentration of revenue for Insperity.

It is not possible to list specific names of customer companies and their symbols, as no single client or small group of clients constitutes a major customer for Insperity in the traditional sense.

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Paul J. Sarvadi, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Paul J. Sarvadi co-founded Insperity in 1986, pioneering the HR outsourcing industry. Prior to Insperity, he started and operated several small companies. He led Insperity to become a publicly traded company in 1997. Mr. Sarvadi served as President and a board member of the National Association of Professional Employer Organizations (NAPEO) for five years. He was honored as the 2001 National Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year for service industries and inducted into the Texas Business Hall of Fame in 2007. He is also the author of "Take Care of Your People: The Enlightened CEO's Guide to Business Success."

James D. Allison, Executive Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

James D. Allison became Insperity's Chief Financial Officer on November 15, 2024, succeeding Douglas S. Sharp. He joined Insperity in 1997 and has held various finance roles of increasing responsibility. Mr. Allison was promoted to Senior Vice President of Pricing and Cost Analysis in 2011. Before his current appointment, he served as executive vice president of comprehensive benefits solutions and chief profitability officer starting in May 2023.

A. Steve Arizpe, President and Chief Operating Officer

A. Steve Arizpe serves as President and Chief Operating Officer for Insperity. He joined the company in 1989 as Houston sales manager and has since held various leadership positions, including regional sales manager, national sales manager, vice president of sales, and executive vice president of client services. Earlier in his career, he held sales and sales management roles at NCR Corporation and Clarke American. Mr. Arizpe has also served as a director in the Texas Chapter of the National Association of Professional Employer Organizations (NAPEO).

Christian P. Callens, Senior Vice President of Legal, General Counsel and Secretary

Christian P. Callens has been Insperity's Senior Vice President, Legal, General Counsel, and Secretary since January 2024. He began his tenure at Insperity in January 2014 as Managing Counsel and Assistant Secretary, where he led the Transactions and Corporate Law Practice Group. He was later promoted to Deputy General Counsel, Managing Counsel & Assistant Secretary in October 2022. Prior to joining Insperity, Mr. Callens was counsel in the corporate practice of Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and also held an executive position at a privately-held technology company.

Kathy Johnson, Executive Vice President of Strategic Development

Kathy Johnson is the Executive Vice President of Strategic Development for Insperity. Since joining the company in 2002, she has taken on various leadership roles across operations, sales, and technology. Her previous position was senior vice president of middle market operations, where she managed both sales and operations for Insperity's largest customer segments. In her current role, Ms. Johnson is responsible for developing and executing the company's long-range strategies and growth initiatives, including data and analytics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Insperity's business:

  1. Elevated and Volatile Healthcare Costs: Insperity assumes liability for client employee benefits costs, particularly health insurance. Rapid shifts in healthcare costs due to factors like new technologies (e.g., AI and GLP-1 drugs) and increased utilization can lead to significant margin compression and make accurate pricing challenging. This volatility directly impacts the company's profitability and has been cited as a primary reason for recent stock declines and earnings misses.

  2. Economic Downturns and Client Hiring Sensitivity: Insperity's revenue is directly tied to the number of employees on its clients' payrolls, known as worksite employees (WSEs). Economic uncertainties, such as a recession or market downturn, can lead to layoffs or slower hiring among its small and medium-sized business (SMB) clientele, directly reducing Insperity's revenue and profitability.

  3. Uncertainty in HRScale/Workday Partnership Success: Insperity is making a substantial investment in modernizing its technology platform through a partnership with Workday, specifically the HRScale project. There is a risk that this partnership may not generate the anticipated demand from mid-sized businesses, leading to inefficient capital deployment and potential margin contraction due to platform license fees. The success of this strategic initiative is crucial for enhancing client retention and long-term competitiveness.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The addressable markets for Insperity's main products and services in the U.S. are substantial, focusing on Professional Employer Organization (PEO) services, Human Resources (HR) outsourcing, Human Capital Management (HCM) platforms, and payroll services. For its Professional Employer Organization (PEO) services, the U.S. PEO industry's gross revenues were estimated to be between $136 billion and $156 billion. Additionally, the Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) market size in the U.S. was valued at approximately US$ 71.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach US$ 147.1 billion by 2032. In the realm of HR outsourcing, the U.S. Human Resource Outsourcing (HRO) market generated USD 10.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 4.2%. The U.S. HR Business Process Outsourcing (HR BPO) market has a current size of approximately $12 billion. Within HR BPO, payroll outsourcing represents the largest segment, with a current market size of $12 billion. Benefits Administration Outsourcing is a crucial segment with a current market size of $7 billion. Recruitment Process Outsourcing (RPO) has a current market size of $10 billion. For its cloud-based Human Capital Management (HCM) platforms, the U.S. human capital management market size was estimated at USD 10.14 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 24.73 billion by 2034. Furthermore, nearly 2 million companies in the United States collectively spend $13.3 billion on HCM software. The U.S. Payroll and HR Solution and Services Market, which combines these offerings, is expected to grow from USD 9.1 billion in 2024 to USD 45.9 billion by 2032. Regarding payroll services, the market size of Payroll & Bookkeeping Services in the U.S. was $75.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $76.5 billion in 2025. The United States payroll services market is also estimated at USD 8.44 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 11.06 billion by 2030.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Insperity (NSP)

Over the next two to three years, Insperity (NSP) is expected to drive revenue growth through several key initiatives and market dynamics:
  • Growth in Worksite Employees (WSEEs) and Client Acquisition: Despite recent macroeconomic headwinds impacting net hiring in its client base, Insperity's fundamental revenue growth driver remains the increase in the number of average paid worksite employees (WSEEs) and acquiring new clients. The company exited 2025 with a 1.1% increase in average paid WSEEs in Q4 and expects a potential year-over-year change between -1.5% and +1.5% for 2026, aiming to regain growth momentum. High client retention rates, averaging 99% per month in Q3 2025, also contribute to a stable base for growth.
  • Strategic Partnership with Workday and HRScale Solution: A significant future growth driver is Insperity's exclusive strategic partnership with Workday and the rollout of their joint "HRScale" solution. This offering is specifically designed to target mid-market clients, an expansion beyond its traditional small and medium-sized business (SME) focus, and is anticipated to enhance growth potential and client retention in this segment starting in 2026. Insperity views this partnership as a potential "game changer" to elevate its long-term growth trajectory.
  • Pricing Strategy and Increased Revenue per WSEE: Insperity has been actively implementing and adjusting its pricing strategy to manage costs, particularly elevated healthcare benefit expenses, and to increase revenue per worksite employee (WSEE). In Q4 2025, revenue per WSEE increased by 2% due to higher pricing. This ongoing focus on pricing adjustments is a crucial component of future revenue expansion.
  • Launch and Expansion of New HR Solutions (HR360, HRCore): The company is updating its HR solutions portfolio, including offerings like HR360 and HRCore, which are designed to support retention and attract new clients. These solutions align with Insperity's strategy to expand further into the mid-market and provide higher-value HR services. Solid new booked HR360 sales were reported at the end of 2025, indicating potential for these offerings to contribute to growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • In 2025, Insperity repurchased approximately 232,000 shares of its common stock at a cost of $19 million.
  • During 2024, the company repurchased approximately 697,000 shares for $63 million. As of December 31, 2024, approximately 1.45 million shares remained authorized for repurchase under its program.
  • In 2023, Insperity repurchased approximately 1,259,000 shares of common stock at a cost of $131.5 million.

Share Issuance

  • In 2025, a long-term incentive plan was approved for executives, involving the potential award of 400,000 and 100,000 shares, respectively, based on Insperity's share price on June 30, 2030.
  • Phantom stock performance units granted in 2023 under the Long-Term Incentive Program vested over three years, with the final performance conditions certified, leading to conversion into common stock.

Outbound Investments

  • Insperity has invested in a strategic partnership with Workday for the implementation of its HRScale platform, a "significant transformation" aimed at driving growth.
  • The company spent approximately $57 million in 2024 and $48 million in 2025 on this Workday strategic partnership, with these amounts primarily included in operating expenses.
  • The total investment in the Workday platform over a three-year period is approximately $150 million, with expenses related to this partnership expected to decrease to $33 million in 2026.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $31 million in 2025.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $38 million in 2024.
  • In 2023, capital expenditures amounted to $40.1 million.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $40 million and $45 million.

Better Bets vs. Insperity (NSP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NSP.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026GEOGEODip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RSG_4172026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04172026RSGRepublic ServicesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.1%
VRSK_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026VRSKVerisk AnalyticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.3%12.3%0.0%
UHAL_4102026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04102026UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-1.0%
NSP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NSPInsperityInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
31.5%31.5%-7.4%
NSP_8312025_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K08312025NSPInsperityInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
-58.6%-31.9%-61.9%
NSP_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020NSPInsperityDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
77.3%129.6%-16.8%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NSPADPPAYXTNETBBSIRHIMedian
NameInsperityAutomati.Paychex Trinet Barrett .Robert H. 
Mkt Price30.86220.0794.2541.8331.0227.1836.42
Mkt Cap1.288.433.82.00.82.72.3
Rev LTM6,84421,6006,3344,9441,2555,3275,830
Op Inc LTM-165,7272,3372806074177
FCF LTM674,8412,09027819218248
FCF 3Y Avg754,1901,87537233345358
CFO LTM985,4522,32035739267312
CFO 3Y Avg1114,7652,06444949396423

Growth & Margins

NSPADPPAYXTNETBBSIRHIMedian
NameInsperityAutomati.Paychex Trinet Barrett .Robert H. 
Rev Chg LTM3.0%6.9%16.4%-2.4%7.1%-6.1%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%6.9%8.9%0.1%5.7%-9.2%4.7%
Rev Chg Q1.7%7.0%19.9%-5.1%4.9%-3.8%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%1.8%5.0%-1.3%1.2%-1.0%0.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-120.8%7.9%3.5%1.1%-0.7%-68.9%0.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-69.3%10.0%5.8%-13.2%0.6%-53.6%-6.3%
Op Mgn LTM-0.2%26.5%36.9%5.7%4.8%1.4%5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.4%26.2%39.9%7.1%5.1%3.9%6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%-0.2%0.2%-0.2%-0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM1.4%25.2%36.6%7.2%3.1%5.0%6.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.7%23.5%36.5%9.0%4.4%6.8%7.9%
FCF/Rev LTM1.0%22.4%33.0%5.6%1.5%4.1%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.1%20.6%33.2%7.4%3.0%5.9%6.7%

Valuation

NSPADPPAYXTNETBBSIRHIMedian
NameInsperityAutomati.Paychex Trinet Barrett .Robert H. 
Mkt Cap1.288.433.82.00.82.72.3
P/S0.24.15.30.40.60.50.6
P/Op Inc-73.315.414.57.013.036.413.7
P/EBIT106.614.514.07.011.336.414.2
P/E-46.920.320.712.419.120.919.7
P/CFO12.016.214.65.520.110.113.3
Total Yield3.7%7.8%9.4%10.8%5.5%13.6%8.6%
Dividend Yield5.8%2.9%4.6%2.7%0.3%8.8%3.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%4.2%4.5%10.3%4.2%6.8%4.4%
D/E0.40.00.10.50.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.10.00.10.3-0.1-0.00.0

Returns

NSPADPPAYXTNETBBSIRHIMedian
NameInsperityAutomati.Paychex Trinet Barrett .Robert H. 
1M Rtn-3.1%8.5%1.9%3.1%2.5%-6.0%2.2%
3M Rtn26.0%2.7%3.4%-1.2%-4.5%4.3%3.1%
6M Rtn-0.5%-10.3%-11.1%-22.8%-8.9%10.6%-9.6%
12M Rtn-50.9%-30.1%-37.2%-48.6%-24.8%-35.7%-36.4%
3Y Rtn-69.5%8.9%-5.4%-53.8%50.9%-54.6%-29.6%
1M Excs Rtn-9.0%4.8%-2.1%-1.6%-1.9%-12.1%-2.0%
3M Excs Rtn28.4%-4.3%-3.1%1.8%-11.4%0.4%-1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-11.8%-23.1%-24.8%-35.9%-25.2%-4.0%-23.9%
12M Excs Rtn-78.9%-55.4%-63.1%-75.4%-51.6%-63.4%-63.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-149.3%-70.2%-83.1%-133.5%-21.2%-134.2%-108.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Human Resources (HR) Solutions6,5816,4865,9394,9734,287
Total6,5816,4865,9394,9734,287


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$30.86 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.2 
First Trading Date01/29/1997 
Distance from 52W High-50.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$28.67$37.06
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA7.6%-16.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility84.3%65.3%
Downside Capture-192.66142.07
Upside Capture-48.2116.35
Correlation (SPY)-13.0%15.8%
NSP Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.60-0.560.250.691.160.76
Up Beta-2.28-1.66-1.28-0.720.520.79
Down Beta-0.93-2.10-0.810.181.530.56
Up Capture105%168%74%115%65%22%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12243263119371
Down Capture-448%-130%154%155%159%105%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days9183161132381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSP
NSP-53.7%65.3%-0.90-
Sector ETF (XLI)20.3%15.5%1.009.6%
Equity (SPY)26.8%12.1%1.6716.0%
Gold (GLD)37.5%26.8%1.16-16.3%
Commodities (DBC)43.5%18.6%1.807.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.0%13.4%0.5915.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.2%41.8%-0.655.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSP
NSP-16.4%43.1%-0.28-
Sector ETF (XLI)11.9%17.4%0.5334.5%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.0%0.6433.6%
Gold (GLD)19.3%18.0%0.87-7.1%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.4%0.448.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.8%18.8%0.1031.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.3%55.6%0.3713.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSP
NSP1.9%46.1%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.8%20.0%0.6144.1%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7442.8%
Gold (GLD)13.2%16.0%0.68-3.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%17.9%0.3514.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2240.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.3%66.9%1.0611.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 415202610.6%
Average Daily Volume0.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity38.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-19.8%-8.1% 
2/10/2026-10.9%-23.6%-37.2%
11/3/2025-17.9%-27.2%-20.3%
8/1/2025-24.4%-12.3%-7.3%
4/29/2025-14.5%-17.6%-18.3%
2/10/202516.2%26.0%28.8%
10/31/2024-2.9%2.3%-2.8%
8/1/2024-5.2%-10.4%-9.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101210
# Negative151314
Median Positive8.0%5.6%9.6%
Median Negative-10.9%-12.3%-9.8%
Max Positive16.2%26.0%28.8%
Max Negative-24.4%-27.2%-37.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/09/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Average WSEEs paid0.30 Mil0.30 Mil0.30 Mil-0.2% LoweredGuidance: 0.30 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS0.020.260.5-79.4% LoweredGuidance: 1.26 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA18.00 Mil32.00 Mil46.00 Mil-66.7% LoweredGuidance: 96.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Average WSEEs paid0.30 Mil0.30 Mil0.31 Mil-1.6% LoweredGuidance: 0.31 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS1.62.12.6-4.8% LoweredGuidance: 2.21 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA170.00 Mil200.00 Mil230.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 200.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Average WSEEs paid0.30 Mil0.30 Mil0.30 Mil   
Q1 2026 EPS1.031.261.5-366.3%174.0%Higher NewActual: -0.47 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA81.00 Mil96.00 Mil111.00 Mil-13 Higher NewActual: -8.00 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 Average WSEEs paid0.31 Mil0.31 Mil0.31 Mil-0.1% Lower NewActual: 0.31 Mil for 2025
2026 EPS1.692.212.7290.9%105.0%Higher NewActual: 1.16 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA170.00 Mil200.00 Mil230.00 Mil47.1% Higher NewActual: 136.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sarvadi, Paul JChairman of the Board & CEODirectBuy506202628.73100,0002,873,23620,103,167Form
2Sarvadi, Paul JChairman of the Board & CEOSelf, As General Partner of Our Ship Limited Partnership, Ltd.Buy319202623.6025,000589,97323,549,655Form
3Sarvadi, Paul JChairman of the Board & CEOSelf, As General Partner of Our Ship Limited Partnership, Ltd.Buy319202623.22160,0003,715,20022,591,017Form
4Sarvadi, Paul JChairman of the Board & CEODirectBuy319202622.5816,987383,61710,719,464Form
5Masterson, Ellen H DirectBuy311202619.901,20023,880417,502Form