Tearsheet

Viper Energy (VNOM)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $37.93 | Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Viper Energy (VNOM)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $37.93
Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 5.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -166%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
  Key risks
VNOM key risks include [1] its reliance on third-party operators for all acreage development and [2] significant asset concentration in the Permian Basin.
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 54%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 5.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 54%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -166%
8 Key risks
VNOM key risks include [1] its reliance on third-party operators for all acreage development and [2] significant asset concentration in the Permian Basin.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VNOM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Viper Energy's (VNOM) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Negative Market Reaction to Strong Q3 2025 Earnings: Despite Viper Energy Inc. (VNOM) exceeding its earnings per share and revenue forecasts for the third quarter of 2025, the stock experienced a decline of 2.11% on November 4, 2025, with an additional 1.14% decrease in premarket trading. This "sell the news" event indicated investor skepticism or profit-taking despite positive financial performance.

2. Recent Bearish Trend and Significant Price Decline in December 2025: Leading up to December 19, 2025, Viper Energy's stock price decreased in 7 out of 10 trading days, resulting in an overall decline of -6.78% during that short period. This recent bearish momentum significantly contributed to the overall negative movement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VNOM Return65%-17%
Peers Return-3%73%91%-32%115%-19%280%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VNOM Win Rate100%58%17% 
Peers Win Rate42%50%67%33%75%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VNOM Max Drawdown-3%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%0%-20%-45%-9%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

VNOM has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,858 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Viper Energy (VNOM)

Better Bets than Viper Energy (VNOM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VNOM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.2%11.2%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.0%27.0%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.5%-5.5%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.2%11.2%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.0%27.0%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.5%-5.5%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viper Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VNOMTPLMedian
NameViper En.Texas Pa. 
Mkt Price37.91898.86468.38
Mkt Cap5.620.713.2
Rev LTM1,189772981
Op Inc LTM642585614
FCF LTM-1,971236-867
FCF 3Y Avg-630323-154
CFO LTM812559685
CFO 3Y Avg699491595

Growth & Margins

VNOMTPLMedian
NameViper En.Texas Pa. 
Rev Chg LTM42.3%12.5%27.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.4%5.7%10.0%
Rev Chg Q99.0%17.0%58.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.2%4.0%12.6%
Op Mgn LTM54.0%75.8%64.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg66.3%76.7%71.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.0%-0.1%-2.6%
CFO/Rev LTM68.3%72.3%70.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg74.4%70.9%72.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-165.8%30.5%-67.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-51.8%47.9%-2.0%

Valuation

VNOMTPLMedian
NameViper En.Texas Pa. 
Mkt Cap5.620.713.2
P/S4.726.715.7
P/EBIT22.435.328.9
P/E23.043.433.2
P/CFO7.037.022.0
Total Yield10.2%3.0%6.6%
Dividend Yield5.8%0.7%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.9%1.9%
D/E0.50.00.2
Net D/E0.5-0.00.2

Returns

VNOMTPLMedian
NameViper En.Texas Pa. 
1M Rtn5.8%1.9%3.8%
3M Rtn2.9%2.9%2.9%
6M Rtn-4.1%-16.8%-10.5%
12M Rtn-15.7%-20.2%-17.9%
3Y Rtn-7.3%7.3%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%-3.5%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn1.0%0.6%0.8%
6M Excs Rtn-12.5%-27.5%-20.0%
12M Excs Rtn-33.0%-37.8%-35.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--63.4%-63.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil income619667398218264
Lease bonus income-related party10823   
Natural gas liquids income6788552021
Natural gas income31834998
Lease bonus income24334
Total827866504250298


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,506,712
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume1,441,866
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.29
Basic Shares Quantity148,882,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-3.0%-0.3%7.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive001
# Negative110
Median Positive  7.5%
Median Negative-3.0%-0.3% 
Max Positive  7.5%
Max Negative-3.0%-0.3% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021