Blackbaud (BLKB)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $63.25 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Blackbaud (BLKB)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $63.25Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.1% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Digital Payments. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Digital Payments. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BLKB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Blackbaud reported a significant GAAP net loss for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, heavily impacted by impairment charges related to EVERFI. The company recorded a GAAP net loss of $330.8 million for Q4 2024 and $270.5 million for the full year, primarily due to pre-tax EVERFI impairment and disposition charges totaling $405.4 million. This led to a GAAP operating margin of (121.5)% for Q4 2024.
2. The company's Q3 2024 earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst expectations. Blackbaud delivered an EPS of $0.99 for the third quarter of 2024, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05 per share, resulting in an earnings surprise of -5.71%.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BLKB Return | -28% | 37% | -25% | 47% | -15% | -16% | -22% |
| Peers Return | 39% | 28% | -32% | 56% | 26% | -4% | 131% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BLKB Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 57% | 32% | 63% | 63% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BLKB Max Drawdown | -49% | -1% | -44% | -9% | -22% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -8% | -42% | -3% | -10% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CRM, MSFT, ORCL, WDAY, TYL. See BLKB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BLKB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 437 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 596 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 225.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 792 days | 1480 days |
Compare to RMBS, CVLT, OPEN, PRGS, SABR
In The Past
Blackbaud's stock fell -49.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -49.1% loss requires a 96.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BLKB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | BLKB | Blackbaud | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 28.0% | -14.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | BLKB | Blackbaud | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 28.0% | -14.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Blackbaud
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 243.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 156.3 |
| Rev LTM | 24,774 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,874 |
| FCF LTM | 1,592 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,123 |
| CFO LTM | 8,138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,102 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 156.3 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| P/EBIT | 27.4 |
| P/E | 44.5 |
| P/CFO | 24.6 |
| Total Yield | 2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 63.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | 5.9% | -3.3% | -11.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 11.0% | -2.1% | 3.2% |
| 4/30/2025 | -5.5% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| 2/18/2025 | -11.2% | -13.7% | -20.0% |
| 10/30/2024 | -15.1% | -11.1% | -3.7% |
| 7/30/2024 | -1.2% | -6.1% | 1.9% |
| 4/30/2024 | -2.4% | 0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2/12/2024 | -14.8% | -16.5% | -10.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 6.7% | 3.7% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -7.3% | -3.8% |
| Max Positive | 14.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% |
| Max Negative | -15.1% | -17.6% | -21.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |