Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Media & News Dissemination, and Political & Opinion Media. Themes include Online News Broadcasting, Digital News Content Monetization, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -144 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -84%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -28%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Media & News Dissemination, and Political & Opinion Media. Themes include Online News Broadcasting, Digital News Content Monetization, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -144 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -84%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -28%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NMAX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -40.9% movement of Newsmax (NMAX) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Continued Correction from "Meme Stock" Phenomenon and Shareholder Exits: Newsmax's stock initially experienced a surge in value due to support from "meme-stock" traders; however, during this period, shareholders hoping for explosive short-term gains gradually exited their positions, leading to ongoing sell-offs and a downward valuation adjustment.

2. Persistent Lack of Profitability and High-Risk Investor Perception: Despite reporting revenue growth, Newsmax Inc. continued to be viewed as a "risky play" due to its lack of profitability and other contributing factors, which sustained a negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NMAX Return------ 
Peers Return-9%16%-8%-3%18%40%55%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NMAX Win Rate-----14% 
Peers Win Rate42%38%30%35%43%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NMAX Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-6%-17%-12%-12%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAST, WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NMAX has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Newsmax (NMAX)

Better Bets than Newsmax (NMAX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NMAX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Newsmax

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NMAXCASTWBDFOXANXSTTGNAMedian
NameNewsmax FreeCast Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna  
Mkt Price8.38-24.5766.45190.9219.4024.57
Mkt Cap1.1-60.929.75.83.15.8
Rev LTM172137,86316,4745,1483,0324,090
Op Inc LTM-144-141,4123,2431,049737893
FCF LTM-47-124,1342,665983576779
FCF 3Y Avg--4,9251,8349085681,371
CFO LTM-46-125,2303,0361,112619866
CFO 3Y Avg--6,0712,1881,0566171,622

Growth & Margins

NMAXCASTWBDFOXANXSTTGNAMedian
NameNewsmax FreeCast Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna  
Rev Chg LTM-23.7%-4.3%14.9%-1.4%5.9%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--5.3%17.2%5.6%1.2%-0.4%1.2%
Rev Chg Q-93.6%-6.0%4.9%-12.3%-5.0%-5.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-19.7%-1.5%1.1%-3.2%-1.2%-1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-83.7%-2,189.8%3.7%19.7%20.4%24.3%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--2,567.0%-0.5%18.4%19.8%23.8%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-560.7%1.2%-0.1%-2.4%-0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-27.0%-1,963.3%13.8%18.4%21.6%20.4%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--15.2%14.2%20.5%20.3%17.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-27.6%-1,967.6%10.9%16.2%19.1%19.0%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--12.3%11.9%17.6%18.7%15.0%

Valuation

NMAXCASTWBDFOXANXSTTGNAMedian
NameNewsmax FreeCast Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna  
Mkt Cap1.1-60.929.75.83.15.8
P/S11.3-1.31.71.20.91.3
P/EBIT-13.1-13.19.05.53.65.5
P/E-13.1-99.813.911.65.911.6
P/CFO-41.9-9.39.35.44.45.4
Total Yield-7.6%-1.0%8.2%12.3%19.8%8.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%1.0%3.7%3.0%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--18.3%8.5%16.7%19.8%17.5%
D/E0.0-0.70.31.11.20.7
Net D/E-0.1-0.60.11.00.90.6

Returns

NMAXCASTWBDFOXANXSTTGNAMedian
NameNewsmax FreeCast Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna  
1M Rtn-12.7%-10.2%4.4%-1.2%-1.6%-1.2%
3M Rtn-39.5%-106.1%10.6%-6.3%-8.4%-6.3%
6M Rtn-53.7%-151.0%23.6%17.3%21.9%21.9%
12M Rtn--132.9%44.5%16.8%7.5%30.6%
3Y Rtn--112.7%112.5%16.8%5.1%64.7%
1M Excs Rtn-12.7%-10.3%4.5%-1.2%-1.6%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-42.4%-103.4%3.9%-12.1%-13.7%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-68.4%-136.3%8.9%2.6%7.2%7.2%
12M Excs Rtn--120.9%28.8%3.1%-7.3%15.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--52.2%50.3%-50.2%-65.1%0.1%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,628,477
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-14.8%
Average Daily Volume920,837
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.77
Basic Shares Quantity128,333,356
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024