Nexxen International (NEXN)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $6.47 | Market Cap: $423.9 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Nexxen International (NEXN)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $6.47Market Cap: $423.9 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 19% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NEXN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Nexxen International (NEXN) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 35.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, primarily due to several key factors:
1. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Financial Guidance. On November 13, 2025, Nexxen International announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results and, despite meeting its expectations for the quarter, the company significantly lowered its full-year 2025 financial guidance for Contribution ex-TAC, programmatic revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA.
2. Weakening Demand Environment. The revised guidance was attributed to "softness within the Company's OMP channel," primarily due to changes in spending behavior from a specific Demand-Side Platform (DSP) customer. Additionally, Nexxen observed lower-than-expected spending from certain customers and within particular verticals in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NEXN Return | - | - | -57% | -22% | 98% | -68% | -79% |
| Peers Return | 94% | 12% | -23% | 25% | 16% | -29% | 71% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NEXN Win Rate | - | 33% | 42% | 58% | 75% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 51% | 40% | 58% | 55% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NEXN Max Drawdown | - | - | -59% | -50% | -9% | -68% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -18% | -43% | -14% | -19% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NEXN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 628.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI
In The Past
Nexxen International's stock fell -86.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/27/2021. A -86.3% loss requires a 628.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NEXN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nexxen International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,762 |
| Op Inc LTM | 307 |
| FCF LTM | 420 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 382 |
| CFO LTM | 551 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 473 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 18.7 |
| P/E | 31.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -29.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -28.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -48.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -22.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -33.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -43.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -61.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -92.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11152024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8222024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | Annual 12/31/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
| 6302021 | 8192021 | 6-K 6/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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