PubMatic (PUBM)
Market Price (1/22/2026): $7.79 | Market Cap: $357.8 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
PubMatic (PUBM)
Market Price (1/22/2026): $7.79Market Cap: $357.8 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 14% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% | |
| Key risksPUBM key risks include [1] significant revenue volatility due to its high concentration and dependence on a few key DSP partners and [2] strategic challenges to the long-term viability of its stand-alone SSP business model as the lines between supply and demand platforms blur. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
| Key risksPUBM key risks include [1] significant revenue volatility due to its high concentration and dependence on a few key DSP partners and [2] strategic challenges to the long-term viability of its stand-alone SSP business model as the lines between supply and demand platforms blur. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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PubMatic (PUBM) stock has lost about 10% since 9/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Weak Revenue Outlook and Declining Profitability Projections: Despite PubMatic reporting better-than-expected Q3 2025 revenue and earnings per share, with revenue of $68 million surpassing forecasts and EPS at $0.03 against a projected loss, the year-over-year revenue still declined by 5%. More critically, analyst forecasts for future periods indicated significant headwinds, with earnings per share expected to decrease substantially (over 40-70% for the next year) and a projection for the company to remain unprofitable for up to three years. This negative forward-looking guidance likely contributed to a downward reassessment of the stock's value.
2. Persistent Impact from a Large Demand-Side Platform (DSP) Partner: PubMatic continued to experience "anticipated headwinds" and "spend declines" in the Americas region, primarily attributed to a significant legacy demand-side platform (DSP) partner and the "Trade Desk platform shift." Although these headwinds were noted to have "stabilized," their ongoing effect on revenue, and the broader concerns they raised about customer concentration or platform changes, likely weighed on investor sentiment during the period.
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1. Weak Revenue Outlook and Declining Profitability Projections: Despite PubMatic reporting better-than-expected Q3 2025 revenue and earnings per share, with revenue of $68 million surpassing forecasts and EPS at $0.03 against a projected loss, the year-over-year revenue still declined by 5%. More critically, analyst forecasts for future periods indicated significant headwinds, with earnings per share expected to decrease substantially (over 40-70% for the next year) and a projection for the company to remain unprofitable for up to three years. This negative forward-looking guidance likely contributed to a downward reassessment of the stock's value.
2. Persistent Impact from a Large Demand-Side Platform (DSP) Partner: PubMatic continued to experience "anticipated headwinds" and "spend declines" in the Americas region, primarily attributed to a significant legacy demand-side platform (DSP) partner and the "Trade Desk platform shift." Although these headwinds were noted to have "stabilized," their ongoing effect on revenue, and the broader concerns they raised about customer concentration or platform changes, likely weighed on investor sentiment during the period.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.8% change in PUBM stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 10312025 | 1212026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.36 | 7.46 | -10.8% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 292 | 288 | -1.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.2 | -12.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 47 | 46 | 2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -10.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.5% | 23.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | -4.3% | 10.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.9% change in PUBM stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 7312025 | 1212026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.01 | 7.46 | -37.9% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 288 | 288 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 1.2 | -41.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 46 | 5.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -38.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -37.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 24.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 9.6% | 14.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -50.7% change in PUBM stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 1312025 | 1212026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.12 | 7.46 | -50.7% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 290 | 288 | -0.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.6 | 1.2 | -53.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 46 | 6.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -50.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -50.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.9% | 33.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 25.2% | 30.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -51.3% change in PUBM stock from 1/31/2023 to 1/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -61.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 1312023 | 1212026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.33 | 7.46 | -51.3% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 258 | 288 | 11.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.1 | 1.2 | -61.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 46 | 12.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -52.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -51.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 34.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 115.9% | 32.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PUBM Return | 22% | -62% | 27% | -10% | -40% | -15% | -73% |
| Peers Return | 18% | -41% | 49% | 45% | 4% | -4% | 50% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PUBM Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 27% | 68% | 63% | 48% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 0% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PUBM Max Drawdown | -19% | -64% | -13% | -16% | -50% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -51% | -11% | -7% | -35% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MGNI, TTD, GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PUBM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 526.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 148 days |
Compare to MGNI, TTD, GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT
In The Past
PubMatic's stock fell -84.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -84.0% loss requires a 526.5% gain to breakeven.
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PubMatic, Inc. provides a cloud infrastructure platform that enables real-time programmatic advertising transactions for Internet content creators and advertisers worldwide. The company's solutions include Openwrap, a header bidding solution that provides enterprise-grade management and analytics tools; Openwrap OTT, a header bidding management solution for OTT; Openwrap SDK, a header bidding solution for in-app developers; private marketplace solutions; and media buyer consoles. In addition, it offers Real-Time Bidding (RTB) programmatic technologies, which provides various selling options across screens and ad formats; digital advertising inventory quality solutions to detect and filter out invalid traffic and other nefarious activity; Ad quality solutions targeting the reduction of security issues, quality issues, and performance issues; Identity Hub, an identity solution that allows for the use of any advertiser preferred user identifier in a scaled and privacy-compliant fashion; Audience Encore, an audience data platform; and cross-platform video, a sell side platform, which connects trusted video buyers to premium publishers. The company's platform supports an array of ad formats and digital device types, including mobile app, mobile web, desktop, display, video, over-the-top (OTT), connected television, and media. PubMatic, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Redwood City, California.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe PubMatic:
- Shopify for digital advertising publishers.
- Airbnb for digital ad space.
- Square for publishers selling their ad inventory.
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- Supply-Side Platform (SSP) and Ad Exchange: A cloud-based technology platform enabling publishers to sell their digital ad inventory to advertisers across various formats like display, video, and CTV.
- OpenWrap: A header bidding solution that allows publishers to offer their ad impressions to multiple ad buyers simultaneously, increasing competition and revenue.
- Audience Data Solutions: Tools and services designed to help publishers leverage their first-party audience data for enhanced ad targeting and monetization.
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PubMatic (symbol: PUBM) primarily sells its advertising technology platform and services to other companies (B2B model).
According to its most recent financial filings (10-K report for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023), PubMatic does not have any single customer that accounted for 10% or more of its total revenue. This indicates a highly diversified customer base rather than reliance on a few "major" named customers that would typically be disclosed.
Instead, PubMatic serves a broad ecosystem of companies that seek to monetize their digital content through advertising. Its customer base can be broadly categorized as:
- Digital Publishers: Companies that own and operate websites, news portals, blogs, and other online content platforms. These customers utilize PubMatic's supply-side platform (SSP) to manage and sell their ad inventory to advertisers and demand-side platforms.
- Mobile App Developers: Businesses and individual developers who create mobile applications and integrate PubMatic's platform to monetize the ad space within their apps.
- Connected TV (CTV) Broadcasters and Content Owners: Companies that provide video content over internet-connected televisions (e.g., streaming services, smart TV manufacturers, content creators). They use PubMatic's technology to manage and sell their video ad impressions across various CTV environments.
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- Google Cloud Platform (Alphabet Inc. - GOOGL)
- Amazon Web Services (Amazon.com, Inc. - AMZN)
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Rajeev Goel, Co-Founder & Chief Executive Officer
Rajeev Goel co-founded PubMatic in 2006 with his brother Amar Goel, Anand Das, and Mukul Kumar. PubMatic is his second entrepreneurial venture; he previously co-founded Chipshot.com, an online retailer of custom-built golf equipment, where he served as vice president of technology and oversaw product management and development. Before PubMatic, he was a product marketing director at SAP and a principal at Diamond Management and Technology Consultants. Under his leadership, PubMatic has significantly expanded and is now a publicly traded company.
Steve Pantelick, Chief Financial Officer
Steve Pantelick joined PubMatic in 2011. Prior to his role at PubMatic, he served as CFO of Aggregate Knowledge, a data management platform company. He was also the CFO of Ofoto/Kodak Gallery, an online digital imaging and services company, where he was responsible for finance, printing, and customer service operations. Earlier in his career, he held various high-impact roles at Blockbuster, Inc., including COO of its New Media Division and Senior Vice President of U.S. Financial Operations, and was instrumental in taking the company public in 1999. He also spent seven years with Cadbury Schweppes in finance roles across the U.S. and Europe.
Amar Goel, Founder, Chairman & Chief Innovation Officer
Amar Goel co-founded PubMatic in 2006 and served as its first CEO before his brother, Rajeev Goel, took over the role. He leads PubMatic's marketplace group, focusing on increasing liquidity and monetization for publishers, and is responsible for the machine learning team as well as the EMEA and APAC regions.
Mukul Kumar, Co-Founder & President, Engineering
Mukul Kumar co-founded PubMatic in 2006. He is responsible for ensuring the execution of PubMatic's product vision and driving the company's continuous product innovation.
Paulina Klimenko, Chief Growth Officer
Paulina Klimenko serves as PubMatic's Chief Growth Officer and has also been listed as SVP Corporate Development and GM of Mobile.
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The key risks to PubMatic's business include:
- Revenue Concentration and Client-Dependent Volatility: PubMatic's business model carries a significant risk due to its reliance on a few key demand-side platform (DSP) partners. Shifts in the business strategies or ad spending of these major partners can substantially impact PubMatic's revenue. For example, a recent securities fraud lawsuit against PubMatic alleges that the company failed to disclose a critical shift by a top DSP partner, which led to a significant reduction in PubMatic's revenue and a 21.1% stock price drop. This highlights the fragility of ad-tech business models dependent on a limited number of key partners.
- Evolving Regulatory Landscape and Data Privacy: The digital advertising sector is subject to a rapidly changing and complex web of laws, regulations, and industry requirements concerning data privacy, data protection, and consumer protection across various markets. The deprecation of third-party cookies, for instance, could adversely affect PubMatic's business as its ability to collect, use, and disclose data is fundamental to its operations. Additionally, the industry faces ongoing antitrust scrutiny, with major players like Google having faced significant fines for ad-tech practices, which can reshape the competitive landscape and create regulatory headwinds.
- Intense Competition and Market Volatility: PubMatic operates in a highly competitive digital advertising landscape, facing numerous other supply-side platforms (SSPs) and ad tech companies, including major players like Google Ad Manager, The Trade Desk, and Magnite. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures and requires continuous technological innovation and adaptation. The lines between SSPs and DSPs are also blurring, presenting additional challenges and questioning the long-term viability of stand-alone SSP businesses. The market is also susceptible to economic fluctuations and rapid technological changes, such as the increasing integration of AI, which necessitates constant investment in new solutions.
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One clear emerging threat for PubMatic is the architectural shift in digital advertising being driven by Google's Privacy Sandbox initiatives, particularly the Protected Audience API (formerly FLEDGE) and Topics API. These proposals, which aim to deprecate third-party cookies in Chrome, fundamentally restructure how programmatic advertising operates on the open web.
This shift poses a threat to independent Sell-Side Platforms (SSPs) like PubMatic because their core value proposition and operational effectiveness are significantly impacted:
- Altered Ad Auction Mechanics: The Protected Audience API moves key parts of the ad auction, particularly for interest-group-based ads, into the browser environment (on-device). This could limit the transparency, control, and real-time optimization capabilities that independent SSPs currently provide through sophisticated server-side bidding and proprietary algorithms. IfSSP's ability to maximize yield for publishers through their current advanced auction technology is diminished by this architectural change, it could erode their value.
- Reduced Targeting Granularity: The Topics API replaces third-party cookies for interest-based advertising with a system that provides generalized, on-device interest categories. While SSPs are adapting, this shift to less granular and controlled targeting data could reduce the precision and effectiveness of audience matching and targeting capabilities that SSPs offer to publishers and demand partners, potentially impacting ad yield and the attractiveness of open programmatic inventory.
- Potential for Disintermediation: By embedding more ad logic within the browser, there is a risk that Google's Privacy Sandbox framework could, over time, centralize more control or inadvertently favor integrated solutions over independent intermediaries. This could reduce the necessity for, or the competitive edge of, independent SSPs, which thrive on enabling a robust, competitive, and transparent marketplace for publishers.
While PubMatic is actively investing in adapting to these changes by developing new identity solutions, contextual targeting capabilities, and participating in Privacy Sandbox trials, the fundamental restructuring of the core mechanics of advertising delivery on the web represents a significant emerging threat that could redefine the role and value of independent SSPs in the programmatic ecosystem.
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PubMatic's total addressable market (TAM) is over $120 billion globally. This market size is attributed to products that cater to four primary stakeholders within the digital advertising ecosystem: publishers, media buyers, curators and data providers, and commerce media networks.
For its Connected TV (CTV) products, the addressable market in the U.S. is projected to reach $36.87 billion in 2025.
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PubMatic (PUBM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Connected TV (CTV) Growth: PubMatic anticipates continued strong growth in its CTV segment, excluding political advertising, with year-over-year growth exceeding 50% in recent quarters. The company is expanding its partnerships with a significant number of global streamers and enhancing its offerings with AI-powered live sports marketplaces and new ad formats like pause ads, which are expected to increase monetization through unique ad demand.
- Expansion of Emerging Revenue Streams: Emerging revenue streams, which include "Activate" (its direct-to-supply buying platform), its "Connect" curation and data business, and commerce media, have shown high growth, increasing over 80% year-over-year and scaling to a notable portion of total revenue. PubMatic plans to continue investing in these areas to diversify its revenue beyond core sell-side platform capabilities.
- Artificial Intelligence (AI) Solutions: AI is central to PubMatic's strategy, driving new revenue streams and improving operational efficiency. The company's new AI-based yield optimization solution for publishers has increased publisher revenue on average by 10%, generating incremental revenue for PubMatic. Additionally, AI-driven infrastructure, developed in collaboration with NVIDIA, has led to significantly faster bid responses and fewer auction timeouts, recovering millions in ad spend.
- Supply Path Optimization (SPO) and Buyer Diversification: Supply path optimization remains a key growth driver, consistently representing over 55% of activity on PubMatic's platform. The company is actively onboarding more buyers onto its Activate platform and expanding its demand-side ecosystem through new and deeper partnerships with Demand-Side Platforms (DSPs), particularly targeting high-growth mid-market segments and independent agencies. This strategy aims to diversify revenue sources and reduce reliance on a few large DSPs.
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Share Repurchases
- PubMatic repurchased $180.6 million of Class A common stock, representing 12.4 million shares, through September 30, 2025, since the inception of its share repurchase program.
- The company's board of directors authorized a $100 million expansion of the share repurchase program through 2026.
- As of September 30, 2025, $94.4 million remained authorized for future share repurchases through December 31, 2026.
Share Issuance
- PubMatic completed its initial public offering in 2020, raising net proceeds of $45.0 million.
- As of November 3, 2025, the company had 38,151,563 Class A and 8,263,239 Class B shares outstanding.
- In the first nine months of 2025, PubMatic received $1.357 million from the issuance of common stock for its employee stock purchase plan and $1.495 million from the exercise of stock options.
Capital Expenditures
- PubMatic's capital expenditures were $49 million in 2022, $28 million in 2023, and $39 million in 2024.
- For the three months ended March 31, 2025, capital expenditures included $1.4 million for purchases of property and equipment, primarily data center infrastructure, and $6.9 million for capitalized internal-use software.
- Capital expenditures have focused on infrastructure optimization, which contributed to processing approximately 87 trillion ad impressions in Q3 2025 and a 19% decrease in the cost of revenue per million impressions over the trailing twelve-month period.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PubMatic Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can PubMatic Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for PubMatic Stock with -29% Return (vs. -43% YTD) [8/12/2025] | 08/13/2025 | |
| Should You Buy PubMatic Stock? | 08/09/2025 | |
| PubMatic (PUBM) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| PubMatic (PUBM) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| PubMatic (PUBM) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| PubMatic (PUBM) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| PubMatic (PUBM) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| PubMatic (PUBM) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| PUBM Stock Down -29% after 6-Day Loss Streak | 08/13/2025 | |
| Market Movers | Winners: GDOT, ULCC, HBI | Losers: PUBM, KODK, FLNC | 08/13/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PubMatic
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 1,238.8 |
| Rev LTM | 148,301 |
| Op Inc LTM | 38,359 |
| FCF LTM | 7,080 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,138 |
| CFO LTM | 61,009 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 48,854 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.8% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.46 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/09/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -56.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.80 | $9.69 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -15.2% | -23.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 101.5% | 75.5% |
| Downside Capture | 290.64 | 190.37 |
| Upside Capture | 188.25 | 94.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.9% | 33.3% |
PUBM Betas & Captures as of 12/31/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.12 | 2.55 | 2.35 | 2.15 | 1.33 | 1.46 |
| Up Beta | -1.05 | -0.82 | 0.56 | 0.86 | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Down Beta | 1.75 | 3.98 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 1.31 | 1.51 |
| Up Capture | 105% | 337% | 300% | 144% | 105% | 282% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 33 | 60 | 123 | 369 |
| Down Capture | 133% | 228% | 220% | 236% | 138% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 29 | 64 | 123 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PUBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -47.8% | 75.6% | -0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.5% | 27.4% | 0.75 | 29.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 19.3% | 0.63 | 33.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 79.5% | 20.4% | 2.78 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 15.3% | 0.16 | 20.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 16.7% | 0.17 | 24.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.7% | 39.8% | -0.31 | 21.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PUBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -23.4% | 72.7% | -0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 18.1% | 24.7% | 0.66 | 39.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 39.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.8% | 15.7% | 1.07 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 18.7% | 0.49 | 11.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 18.8% | 0.21 | 27.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 19.0% | 58.0% | 0.53 | 21.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PUBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUBM | -23.4% | 73.9% | -0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.9% | 24.2% | 0.86 | 38.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 38.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.7% | 14.9% | 0.87 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 10.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 26.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 70.3% | 66.7% | 1.09 | 21.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 43.4% | 20.1% | 22.0% |
| 8/11/2025 | -21.1% | -20.0% | -23.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | 0.8% | 5.0% | 10.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | -23.9% | -28.4% | -33.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | -1.0% | -5.7% | 0.6% |
| 8/8/2024 | -28.3% | -29.3% | -28.5% |
| 5/7/2024 | -6.0% | -5.0% | -11.1% |
| 2/26/2024 | 23.6% | 28.6% | 42.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 18.2% | 19.3% | 10.1% |
| Median Negative | -15.7% | -18.1% | -15.9% |
| Max Positive | 43.4% | 46.9% | 49.0% |
| Max Negative | -33.7% | -33.1% | -33.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klimenko, Paulina | CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 1072026 | 8.73 | 12,315 | 107,509 | 452,034 | Form |
| 2 | Goel, Amar K | CHAIRMAN, CHIEF INNOVATION OFF | Direct | Sell | 1072026 | 8.73 | 7,158 | 62,510 | 109,126 | Form |
| 3 | Goel, Rajeev K | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 8.61 | 25,333 | 218,191 | 346,092 | Form |
| 4 | Goel, Rajeev K | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 8.80 | 44,000 | Form | ||
| 5 | Pantelick, Steven | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 8.61 | 12,567 | 108,238 | 405,521 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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