Tearsheet

PubMatic (PUBM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.0 | Market Cap: $424.7 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

PubMatic (PUBM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.0
Market Cap: $424.7 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.3%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PUBM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining PubMatic's (PUBM) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. PubMatic reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company's Q3 2025 earnings significantly surpassed analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue, leading to a notable surge in its stock price in aftermarket trading.

2. The company demonstrated robust growth in Connected TV (CTV) and emerging revenue streams. PubMatic announced over 50% year-over-year growth in CTV revenue, excluding political advertising, and an 80% year-over-year increase in emerging revenue streams, which contributed 10% to total revenue.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PUBM Return-22%-62%27%-10%-38%-68%
Peers Return13%-2%-7%5%55%836%1483%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PUBM Win Rate 50%33%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate13%10%9%30%44%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PUBM Max Drawdown--19%-64%-13%-16%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-8%-15%-8%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPUBMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven526.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-21.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

PubMatic's stock fell -84.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -84.0% loss requires a 526.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PubMatic (PUBM)

Better Bets than PubMatic (PUBM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PUBM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PubMatic

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PUBMADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePubMatic Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Price9.01307.241.292.223.427.565.49
Mkt Cap0.465.40.1---0.4
Rev LTM2926,60527-21,026292
Op Inc LTM-41,5151--0651
FCF LTM281,8471--255142
FCF 3Y Avg411,704---216216
CFO LTM681,9254--310189
CFO 3Y Avg781,775---271271

Growth & Margins

PUBMADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePubMatic Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM3.5%13.8%29.7%--10.6%12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%11.7%---10.2%10.2%
Rev Chg Q5.7%17.1%86.2%--12.0%14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%4.1%19.3%--2.9%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM-1.3%22.9%5.0%--3.8%6.3%5.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.9%21.5%---6.9%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.8%-0.1%---0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM23.2%29.1%13.5%--30.2%26.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.0%30.7%---29.0%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%28.0%4.9%--24.9%17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%29.5%---23.1%23.1%

Valuation

PUBMADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePubMatic Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Cap0.465.40.1---0.4
P/S2.010.01.8---2.0
P/EBIT-149.546.724.6---24.6
P/E-343.963.235.8---35.8
P/CFO8.734.313.5---13.5
Total Yield-0.3%1.6%2.8%---1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%3.3%----4.0%
D/E0.10.00.0---0.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.2----0.1

Returns

PUBMADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NamePubMatic Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
1M Rtn8.5%1.2%-52.2%-12.3%-3.1%-13.3%-7.7%
3M Rtn7.3%-3.2%-53.8%-20.1%-14.5%-64.8%-17.3%
6M Rtn-25.9%3.0%104.0%-30.6%-14.5%-64.8%-20.2%
12M Rtn-46.0%2.8%--27.5%4,785.7%-64.8%-27.5%
3Y Rtn-43.1%52.8%--3,320.0%-64.8%4.8%
1M Excs Rtn8.5%1.2%-52.2%-12.2%-3.1%-13.3%-7.7%
3M Excs Rtn3.1%-9.3%-59.4%-23.1%-19.8%-70.2%-21.5%
6M Excs Rtn-40.6%-11.7%89.3%-45.3%-29.2%-79.6%-34.9%
12M Excs Rtn-57.1%-8.3%--45.7%4,643.1%-78.4%-45.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.9%-15.5%--3,299.3%-137.6%-64.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment267256227149114
Total267256227149114


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,733,656
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.8%
Average Daily Volume1,651,993
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.65
Basic Shares Quantity47,185,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021