Tearsheet

NioCorp Developments (NB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.29 | Market Cap: $402.4 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

NioCorp Developments (NB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.29
Market Cap: $402.4 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Advanced Materials, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 267%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
4   Key risks
NB key risks include [1] a substantial going concern threat from its critical need to secure approximately $1.14 billion in financing for its developmental-stage Elk Creek Project and [2] significant execution risk in successfully constructing and commissioning the project as a pre-production company.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Advanced Materials, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 267%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
6 Key risks
NB key risks include [1] a substantial going concern threat from its critical need to secure approximately $1.14 billion in financing for its developmental-stage Elk Creek Project and [2] significant execution risk in successfully constructing and commissioning the project as a pre-production company.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, NioCorp Developments (NB) stock experienced a movement influenced by several key factors. These include significant capital raises, substantial progress on its Elk Creek Critical Minerals Project, increasing government support for critical minerals initiatives, advancements in scandium development, and a quarterly earnings miss.

1. Significant Capital Raising Activities. NioCorp undertook multiple financing initiatives that significantly bolstered its financial position. Following the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company raised approximately $155 million in gross proceeds through equity offerings and warrant exercises, achieving a record cash balance of about $162.8 million by September 30, 2025. This was further supplemented by the pricing and closing of $50 million and $60 million public offerings in September 2025. By October 2025, NioCorp reported securing over $370 million in funding during the year, which enhanced liquidity and supported project development.

2. Elk Creek Project Advancement and Land Acquisition Completion. The company achieved a major milestone for its Elk Creek Critical Minerals Project by completing the acquisition of all necessary land by November 10, 2025. NioCorp now owns a full square mile in Johnson County, Nebraska, designated for its proposed underground mine and integrated surface processing facility. This acquisition secures all surface and mineral rights required to commence construction and operations, contingent on securing full project financing. Additionally, positive assay results from the second diamond drill hole of the Elk Creek drilling program were reported on November 5, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NB Return-29%0%0%-28%-51%263%-10%
Peers Return30%-8%13%-14%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NB Win Rate8%0%0%17%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate68%55%48%47%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NB Max Drawdown-35%0%0%-33%-59%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-34%-22%-30%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MP, ATI, CC, TROX, KRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven653 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,098 days148 days

Compare to WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK


In The Past

NioCorp Developments's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/21/2023. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About NioCorp Developments (NB)

Better Bets than NioCorp Developments (NB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1NioCorp Developments Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NioCorp Developments

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NBMPATICCTROXKROMedian
NameNioCorp .MP Mater.ATI Chemours Tronox Kronos W. 
Mkt Price5.2852.03107.8911.614.424.718.45
Mkt Cap0.59.114.81.70.70.51.2
Rev LTM02334,5835,8372,8441,8642,354
Op Inc LTM-23-18563172625559
FCF LTM-31-230444-12-369-65-48
FCF 3Y Avg-20-225153-251-118-20-69
CFO LTM-17-7867926521-402
CFO 3Y Avg-15-137270221437

Growth & Margins

NBMPATICCTROXKROMedian
NameNioCorp .MP Mater.ATI Chemours Tronox Kronos W. 
Rev Chg LTM-26.4%7.7%0.0%-7.8%0.0%0.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--18.7%8.6%-5.8%-7.3%-2.3%-5.8%
Rev Chg Q--14.9%7.1%-0.9%-13.1%-5.7%-5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--3.9%1.6%-0.2%-3.6%-1.5%-1.5%
Op Mgn LTM--79.5%13.8%1.2%2.2%3.0%2.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--45.2%12.4%1.8%5.2%1.1%1.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--14.5%0.2%-0.4%-2.4%-2.8%-2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM--33.7%14.8%4.5%0.7%-2.2%0.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--5.3%8.4%1.2%7.5%0.1%1.2%
FCF/Rev LTM--98.8%9.7%-0.2%-13.0%-3.5%-3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--99.3%3.3%-4.3%-4.2%-1.2%-4.2%

Valuation

NBMPATICCTROXKROMedian
NameNioCorp .MP Mater.ATI Chemours Tronox Kronos W. 
Mkt Cap0.59.114.81.70.70.51.2
P/S-50.42.40.40.20.40.4
P/EBIT--87.716.129.8-6.511.611.6
P/E-8.8-99.825.1-7.4-2.0-16.0-8.1
P/CFO-30.4-149.716.49.030.4-16.4-3.7
Total Yield-11.4%-1.0%4.0%-9.3%-41.6%-6.3%-7.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%9.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.4%0.9%-8.1%-19.1%-4.0%-5.4%
D/E-0.10.21.95.31.01.0
Net D/E--0.10.11.65.10.90.9

Returns

NBMPATICCTROXKROMedian
NameNioCorp .MP Mater.ATI Chemours Tronox Kronos W. 
1M Rtn-5.2%-8.7%9.3%3.2%41.7%4.9%4.0%
3M Rtn-3.3%-22.1%37.5%-31.9%-9.7%-21.0%-15.4%
6M Rtn99.2%39.8%31.3%6.9%-17.1%-21.1%19.1%
12M Rtn266.7%183.2%95.3%-33.8%-53.2%-51.1%30.7%
3Y Rtn19.9%81.9%267.7%-57.7%-61.9%-40.9%-10.5%
1M Excs Rtn-5.9%-9.4%8.5%2.5%40.9%4.2%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%-29.2%32.7%-34.6%-12.7%-24.9%-18.8%
6M Excs Rtn86.9%27.4%18.9%-5.5%-29.5%-33.5%6.7%
12M Excs Rtn250.6%157.5%79.9%-47.8%-66.4%-63.6%16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.6%-2.7%191.4%-125.7%-132.1%-112.8%-80.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Exploration and development of mineral deposits2021232411
Total2021232411


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,147,597
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-20.0%
Average Daily Volume4,275,640
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.67
Basic Shares Quantity76,059,283
Short % of Basic Shares9.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/20253.1%-14.2%-47.2%
7/16/2025-19.8%-17.3%16.0%
4/11/202518.4%43.2%15.5%
11/8/20244.3%0.0%22.0%
8/27/2024-2.7%-8.2%12.1%
9/6/2023-3.0%4.3%-2.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive334
# Negative332
Median Positive4.3%4.3%15.8%
Median Negative-3.0%-14.2%-24.9%
Max Positive18.4%43.2%22.0%
Max Negative-19.8%-17.3%-47.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025911202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024923202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020231006202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023530202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022906202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021