NioCorp Developments (NB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.29 | Market Cap: $402.4 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
NioCorp Developments (NB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.29Market Cap: $402.4 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Advanced Materials, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 267% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% | ||
| Key risksNB key risks include [1] a substantial going concern threat from its critical need to secure approximately $1.14 billion in financing for its developmental-stage Elk Creek Project and [2] significant execution risk in successfully constructing and commissioning the project as a pre-production company. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Advanced Materials, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 267% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
| Key risksNB key risks include [1] a substantial going concern threat from its critical need to secure approximately $1.14 billion in financing for its developmental-stage Elk Creek Project and [2] significant execution risk in successfully constructing and commissioning the project as a pre-production company. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, NioCorp Developments (NB) stock experienced a movement influenced by several key factors. These include significant capital raises, substantial progress on its Elk Creek Critical Minerals Project, increasing government support for critical minerals initiatives, advancements in scandium development, and a quarterly earnings miss.
1. Significant Capital Raising Activities. NioCorp undertook multiple financing initiatives that significantly bolstered its financial position. Following the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company raised approximately $155 million in gross proceeds through equity offerings and warrant exercises, achieving a record cash balance of about $162.8 million by September 30, 2025. This was further supplemented by the pricing and closing of $50 million and $60 million public offerings in September 2025. By October 2025, NioCorp reported securing over $370 million in funding during the year, which enhanced liquidity and supported project development.
2. Elk Creek Project Advancement and Land Acquisition Completion. The company achieved a major milestone for its Elk Creek Critical Minerals Project by completing the acquisition of all necessary land by November 10, 2025. NioCorp now owns a full square mile in Johnson County, Nebraska, designated for its proposed underground mine and integrated surface processing facility. This acquisition secures all surface and mineral rights required to commence construction and operations, contingent on securing full project financing. Additionally, positive assay results from the second diamond drill hole of the Elk Creek drilling program were reported on November 5, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NB Return | -29% | 0% | 0% | -28% | -51% | 263% | -10% |
| Peers Return | � | 30% | -8% | 13% | -14% | 42% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NB Win Rate | 8% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 55% | 48% | 47% | 45% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NB Max Drawdown | -35% | 0% | 0% | -33% | -59% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -12% | -34% | -22% | -30% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MP, ATI, CC, TROX, KRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 653 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,098 days | 148 days |
Compare to WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK
In The Past
NioCorp Developments's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/21/2023. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NioCorp Developments
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,354 |
| Op Inc LTM | 59 |
| FCF LTM | -48 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -69 |
| CFO LTM | 2 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 37 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | -8.1 |
| P/CFO | -3.7 |
| Total Yield | -7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.4% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -10.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -80.7% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/14/2025 | 3.1% | -14.2% | -47.2% |
| 7/16/2025 | -19.8% | -17.3% | 16.0% |
| 4/11/2025 | 18.4% | 43.2% | 15.5% |
| 11/8/2024 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 22.0% |
| 8/27/2024 | -2.7% | -8.2% | 12.1% |
| 9/6/2023 | -3.0% | 4.3% | -2.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 4.3% | 15.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -14.2% | -24.9% |
| Max Positive | 18.4% | 43.2% | 22.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.8% | -17.3% | -47.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 9112025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9232024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 10062023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5302023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9062022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
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