Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.7%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -73 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 338%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 41x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.8%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -45%

Key risks
TROX key risks include [1] a substantial debt load that limits its financial flexibility and [2] securities class action lawsuits alleging the company issued misleading financial projections.

0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -73 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 338%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 41x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.8%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -45%
10 Key risks
TROX key risks include [1] a substantial debt load that limits its financial flexibility and [2] securities class action lawsuits alleging the company issued misleading financial projections.

TROX in ETFs

Weight = TROX's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.02%
FNDA0.23%
AVUV0.10%
IWN0.05%
ESML0.04%
VTWO0.03%
+5 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 7/1/2026

Tronox (TROX) stock has lost about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected fiscal Q1 2026 earnings and profitability decline. Tronox reported an adjusted diluted loss per share of $0.55 for fiscal Q1 2026, missing analyst expectations of a -$0.42 loss by over 30%. The company's Adjusted EBITDA also significantly declined by 45% year-over-year to $62 million, with the Adjusted EBITDA margin compressing to 8.2% from 15.2% in fiscal Q1 2025. This was partly due to $15 million in restructuring charges associated with plant closures.

2. High net leverage and negative free cash flow. As of March 31, 2026, Tronox reported a substantial net debt of $3.2 billion, resulting in a high net leverage ratio of 11.1x on a trailing twelve-month basis. Furthermore, the company experienced a significant free cash flow usage of $135 million during fiscal Q1 2026, raising concerns about its financial stability and ability to manage its debt burden.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Tronox (TROX) stock has lost about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected fiscal Q1 2026 earnings and profitability decline. Tronox reported an adjusted diluted loss per share of $0.55 for fiscal Q1 2026, missing analyst expectations of a -$0.42 loss by over 30%. The company's Adjusted EBITDA also significantly declined by 45% year-over-year to $62 million, with the Adjusted EBITDA margin compressing to 8.2% from 15.2% in fiscal Q1 2025. This was partly due to $15 million in restructuring charges associated with plant closures.

2. High net leverage and negative free cash flow. As of March 31, 2026, Tronox reported a substantial net debt of $3.2 billion, resulting in a high net leverage ratio of 11.1x on a trailing twelve-month basis. Furthermore, the company experienced a significant free cash flow usage of $135 million during fiscal Q1 2026, raising concerns about its financial stability and ability to manage its debt burden.

3. Adverse titanium dioxide market dynamics and margin compression. Despite titanium dioxide (TiO2) prices increasing by approximately $450-$500 per ton from March through May 2026, Tronox's profitability was negatively impacted by soaring raw material costs, particularly a roughly 45% rise in sulfuric acid prices. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East exacerbated these cost pressures by disrupting global sulfur supply chains, leading to a "price increase without profit growth" phenomenon that squeezed margins for TiO2 producers.

4. Analyst downgrades and cautionary outlook. Goldman Sachs downgraded Tronox's stock to "Sell" in May 2026, citing deteriorating fundamentals in the titanium dioxide market. While Truist Securities upgraded the stock to "Hold" in June 2026, they maintained a conservative $7.00 price target and highlighted ongoing risks from elevated input costs, logistics challenges, and potential demand stagnation, contributing to a consensus "Reduce" rating among analysts.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.1% change in TROX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267042026Change
Stock Price ($)9.716.21-36.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8982,9200.8%
P/S Multiple0.50.3-36.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)159159-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-36.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TROX-36.1% 
Market (SPY)14.5%32.9%
Sector (XLB)4.1%45.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 50.9% change in TROX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257042026Change
Stock Price ($)4.126.2150.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8442,9202.7%
P/S Multiple0.20.347.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)159159-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution50.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TROX50.9% 
Market (SPY)9.5%33.7%
Sector (XLB)15.2%59.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.0% change in TROX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257042026Change
Stock Price ($)4.856.2128.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0382,920-3.9%
P/S Multiple0.30.333.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)158159-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution28.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TROX28.0% 
Market (SPY)21.6%31.1%
Sector (XLB)20.2%52.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -43.9% change in TROX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237042026Change
Stock Price ($)11.076.21-43.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1972,920-8.7%
P/S Multiple0.50.3-37.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)155159-2.3%
Cumulative Contribution-43.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TROX-43.9% 
Market (SPY)74.0%42.1%
Sector (XLB)32.5%57.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TROX Return67%-41%7%-26%-56%56%-45%
Peers Return29%-20%5%-22%-40%40%-29%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TROX Win Rate67%17%50%50%42%71% 
Peers Win Rate56%47%44%36%31%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TROX Max Drawdown-29%-56%-40%-50%-70%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-47%-37%-36%-55%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CC, KRO, HUN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTROXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-43.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven75.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven308 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven60 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-33.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven281 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-58.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven138.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven153 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-45.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-20.8%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven6 days6 days

Compare to CC, KRO, HUN

In The Past

Tronox's stock fell -43.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 75.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTROXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-43.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven75.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven308 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven60 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-33.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven281 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-58.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven138.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven153 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-45.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-20.8%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven6 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-64.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven180.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven242 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-88.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven803.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven659 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-53.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven114.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven149 days123 days

Compare to CC, KRO, HUN

In The Past

Tronox's stock fell -43.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 75.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tronox (TROX)

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Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) is a globally operating, vertically integrated manufacturer specializing in titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigment. The company controls its production process from start to finish, which includes operating titanium-bearing mineral sand mines and performing beneficiation and smelting operations. This integrated model ensures a consistent supply chain for its key products.

The primary product offered by Tronox is TiO2 pigment, which is critical for providing whiteness, opacity, and brightness in a multitude of manufactured goods. In addition to standard TiO2 pigment, the company also produces ultrafine specialty TiO2, zircon, feedstock, pig iron, and titanium tetrachloride. These materials are fundamental inputs for various industrial processes.

Tronox's products cater to a broad range of industries, with primary applications in the manufacturing of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, alongside numerous other specialized uses. The company serves customers across major global regions, including North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, establishing itself as a significant player in the global chemical market.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Tronox (TROX) analogies:

  • The 'Intel Inside' for paints, plastics, and paper, supplying the essential white pigment.
  • Similar to how ADM or Cargill process agricultural commodities into essential food ingredients, Tronox mines titanium minerals and processes them into the foundational white pigment for industrial uses like paints and plastics.
  • A specialized industrial chemicals and materials producer, like a focused segment of Dow Chemical or BASF, but dedicated primarily to titanium dioxide pigment for a wide range of products including paints, plastics, and paper.

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  • TiO2 Pigment: A white pigment used extensively in paints, coatings, plastics, and paper for its opacity and brightness.
  • Ultrafine Specialty TiO2: A specialized form of titanium dioxide used in specific applications requiring very fine particle size.
  • Zircon: A valuable mineral primarily used in ceramics, refractories, and foundry applications.
  • Feedstock: Raw materials, typically titanium-bearing mineral sands, essential for the production of titanium dioxide.
  • Pig Iron: An intermediate product of iron, often a co-product derived from the smelting of titanium minerals.
  • Titanium Tetrachloride: An intermediate chemical compound used in the manufacturing processes for titanium dioxide and titanium metal.

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Tronox (TROX) operates as a business-to-business (B2B) company, supplying raw materials such as TiO2 pigment, zircon, and other products used in the manufacturing processes of other companies. According to Tronox's public filings, the company serves a diverse global customer base and does not have any single customer that accounts for 10% or more of its consolidated net sales in recent years. Therefore, specific "major customers" are not individually disclosed.

Based on the description of where Tronox's products are used ("paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications"), its customers are typically large manufacturers in the following industries:

  • Paints and Coatings Manufacturers: Companies that produce architectural, industrial, and specialty paints and coatings are significant users of TiO2 pigment for whiteness, opacity, and durability.
    Examples of public companies in this sector that would be potential customers include:
    • Sherwin-Williams (NYSE: SHW)
    • PPG Industries (NYSE: PPG)
    • Akzo Nobel (Euronext Amsterdam: AKZO.AS)
  • Plastics Manufacturers: TiO2 pigment is widely used in plastics for whitening, opacity, and UV resistance in various applications, from packaging to automotive parts.
    Examples of public companies operating in the broader chemicals and plastics manufacturing sector that would be potential customers include:
    • Dow Inc. (NYSE: DOW)
    • LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB)
  • Paper Manufacturers: TiO2 is used in paper production to improve brightness, opacity, and print quality. Zircon is used in specialty paper applications.
    Examples of public companies in this sector that would be potential customers include:
    • International Paper (NYSE: IP)
    • WestRock (NASDAQ: WRK)
  • Other Specialty Manufacturers: Tronox's products also cater to manufacturers of ceramics, inks, rubber, and various other industrial applications that require high-performance pigments and materials.

While the companies listed above are prominent players in the industries Tronox serves, it is important to note that these are examples of the *types* of customers Tronox supplies, rather than a definitive list of its specific major customers, which are not individually identified by Tronox in its public disclosures.

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John D. Romano, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Romano was appointed Chief Executive Officer in April 2024, after serving as Co-CEO since March 2021. He has been with Tronox and its predecessors since 1988, holding senior roles across sales, marketing, pigment operations, and commercial strategy. His previous positions include Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial and Strategy Officer, and Senior Vice President and President of the Company's Pigment and Electrolytic operations. Mr. Romano holds a Bachelor's degree in Accounting from Oklahoma State University.

John Srivisal, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Srivisal was appointed Chief Financial Officer in April 2023. He joined Tronox in March 2018 to lead the company's business development efforts, which included closing the transformative acquisition of the Cristal TiO2 business. In May 2020, he also assumed responsibility for the company's financial planning and analysis activities. Mr. Srivisal has over two decades of finance experience as an investment banker and senior corporate executive, working across various industries on capital markets and mergers and acquisition transactions. He graduated magna cum laude with a Bachelor of Science degree in economics (with a concentration in finance) and a minor in mathematics from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

Jean-François Turgeon, Director (former Co-Chief Executive Officer)

Mr. Turgeon served as co-Chief Executive Officer of Tronox from March 2021 to April 2024. Prior to that, he held the roles of Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. He joined Tronox in January 2014 to integrate the mineral sands and pigment business. Before joining Tronox, Mr. Turgeon spent more than 24 years at the Rio Tinto Group, where he rose to become Managing Director of its iron and titanium division, overseeing international TiO2 operations. He also served as chairman of the advisory board of UMCC Titanium. Mr. Turgeon holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Chemical Engineering from Université Laval and a Master's degree in Hydrometallurgy from McGill University.

Jeff Engle, Chief Commercial Officer

Mr. Engle joined Tronox in July 2001 as an engineer in the technical sales and service laboratory. Over his more than 20 years with the company, he has worked in various areas, including sales and marketing, and research.

Jeffrey Neuman, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Mr. Neuman joined Tronox in April 2018. His previous experience includes serving as vice president, corporate secretary and deputy general counsel of Honeywell International Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) include:

  1. Market Volatility, Price Sensitivity, and Global Demand: The titanium dioxide (TiO2) industry, in which Tronox operates, is highly cyclical and extremely sensitive to global economic conditions, particularly affecting demand in key markets such as construction and automotive industries. Weak demand and oversupply, notably from China, consistently lead to pricing pressure and reduced sales volumes, directly impacting Tronox's profitability. Tronox experienced a decline in revenue in 2025 due to lower sales volumes and average selling prices for its TiO2 and zircon products. The company recently announced the permanent closure of its TiO2 plant in Fuzhou, China, citing weak domestic demand, escalating operational costs, and persistent excess Chinese TiO2 production as primary reasons.
  2. High Leverage and Financial Health Concerns: Tronox carries a substantial debt load. As of December 31, 2025, the company's total debt amounted to $3.2 billion, with a net debt to trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 9.0x. This high leverage ratio can significantly constrain Tronox's financial flexibility and poses a considerable risk, particularly during prolonged periods of reduced earnings or market downturns. The company's financial health grades highlight concerns, including a high debt-to-equity ratio and ongoing cash burn.
  3. Operational Risks and Cost Pressures: Tronox faces ongoing challenges related to the volatility of energy and raw material costs, which are susceptible to global supply and demand fluctuations. Disruptions in energy supply, particularly in regions like South Africa where Tronox has operations, could lead to increased production costs or operational interruptions. Additionally, the company has contended with profitability pressures stemming from high-cost inventories. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates also contribute to higher costs for raw materials and logistics, thereby affecting Tronox's competitive position.

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Tronox Holdings plc operates in several addressable markets with its main products, including TiO2 pigment, zircon, feedstock, and pig iron.

TiO2 Pigment

  • Global: The global titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigment market was valued at approximately USD 24.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 41.73 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate places the global market size at USD 16.2 billion in 2024, growing to USD 17.1 billion in 2025, and expected to reach USD 29.4 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 5.57% from 2025 to 2035.
  • North America: The North American titanium dioxide market was valued at USD 5.97 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach USD 10.01 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.92% from 2025 to 2033.
  • Europe: The European titanium dioxide market was valued at USD 4.70 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 10.96 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 9.86% from 2025 to 2033.
  • Asia Pacific: The Asia Pacific titanium dioxide market was valued at USD 4.17 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 15.37 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 15.6% during the forecast period. The region dominated the global market with a market share of 47% in 2025, valued at USD 8.96 billion in 2025 and USD 9.69 billion in 2026.

Zircon

  • Global: The global zircon and derivative market size was valued at USD 2,763.28 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 6,677.46 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.3% from 2025 to 2033. Global zircon production reached approximately 1.3 million metric tons in 2024. Another estimate places the global zircon market size at USD 2.1 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 3.3 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 5.2% from 2025 to 2033.
  • North America: North America consumed approximately 185,000 metric tons of zircon in 2024.
  • Europe: The zircon market in Europe had a market size of approximately USD 370 million in 2024.
  • Asia Pacific: The Asia Pacific region dominates the global zircon market, accounting for over 45% of total consumption in 2024, with a market value of approximately USD 945 million. The region also led consumption by volume, representing over 62% of the global market share in 2024.

Feedstock (Titanium Feedstock)

  • Global: The global titanium feedstock market size was valued at approximately USD 4.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 7.6 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.2%. Global titanium feedstock production generated revenue of USD 5.3 billion in 2024. TiO2 pigment production accounts for almost 90% of global titanium feedstock consumption.

Pig Iron

  • Global: The global pig iron market size is anticipated to be valued at USD 642,335.3 million in 2025, with a projected growth to USD 777,198.9 million by 2034 at a CAGR of 2.14%. The global merchant pig iron market was worth USD 47.18 billion in 2024 and is expected to surpass USD 116.54 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 8.7% from 2025 to 2034.
  • North America: North America holds approximately 9% of the global pig iron market share, with consumption exceeding 14 million metric tons.
  • Asia Pacific: Asia-Pacific dominates the pig iron market with approximately a 68% share, producing over 870 million metric tons annually.

Ultrafine Specialty TiO2

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Titanium Tetrachloride

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Tronox (TROX)

Over the next 2-3 years, Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) is expected to drive revenue growth through several key initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Improving TiO2 and Zircon Pricing and Volumes: The company anticipates an improvement in both pricing and sales volumes for its core titanium dioxide (TiO2) and zircon products. TiO2 pricing is expected to improve in Q1 2026, with zircon pricing projected to enhance in Q2 2026, which is expected to drive revenue growth. Tronox saw sequential EBITDA recovery in 2024 driven by higher pigment volumes and selective firmer pricing. Consensus-like analyst models for 2025 predict mid-single to high-single-digit revenue growth off 2024.
  2. Market Share Gains from Trade Protection Measures: Tronox is benefiting from definitive anti-dumping duties finalized in regions such as Brazil and Saudi Arabia. These measures are expected to improve market penetration and growth for its TiO2, leading to increased market share in protected regions, as demonstrated by higher volumes in Asia and India in Q4 2025.
  3. Expansion into New Geographic Markets and Higher-Value Specialty Products: The company is strategically focusing on commercial expansion in faster-growing regions like Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and parts of Latin America, where mid-single-digit TiO2 demand CAGR is anticipated through 2027-2028. Additionally, Tronox aims to increase its mix of specialty-grade products, such as those used in high-durability coatings and low-abrasion plastics, to capture higher margins.
  4. Strategic Investments in Vertical Integration and High-Grade Mining Assets: Tronox continues to invest in its vertically integrated business model, including mining projects like the East OFS mine, Fairbreeze extension, and Namakwa East OFS. These investments are designed to secure a consistent supply of higher-quality raw materials, enhance cost efficiencies, and provide a substantial competitive advantage in its value chain.
  5. Development of Rare Earths Opportunity: Tronox is advancing a strategy to capitalize on rare earth elements by utilizing monazite from its Australian and South African mining operations. This initiative aligns with the Western world's push to diversify supply chains and presents a new revenue stream, potentially driving future growth.

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Share Issuance

  • In February 2026, Tronox filed an omnibus shelf registration for ordinary shares, preference shares, and debt securities, providing an option for future capital access.
  • The number of issued and outstanding shares increased marginally from 157,938,056 at December 31, 2024, to 158,557,858 at December 31, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • In 2023, Tronox secured an incremental term loan of $350 million to bolster liquidity, primarily to support expansion projects for mines in South Africa nearing the end of their operational life.

Capital Expenditures

  • In 2025, capital expenditures amounted to $341 million, with a significant portion (approximately 60%) directed towards maintenance and safety, and 40% allocated to mining extensions in South Africa to uphold the company's integrated cost advantage.
  • Capital expenditures for 2024 were $370 million, including $135 million specifically for replacing mines reaching the end of their operational life in South Africa.
  • For 2026, capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $260 million, a reduction from previous years as the heavy spending on major mining projects has largely concluded, with ongoing focus on asset maintenance, vertical integration, and rare earth projects.

Better Bets vs. Tronox (TROX)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TROXCCKROHUNMedian
NameTronox Chemours Kronos W.Huntsman  
Mkt Price6.2119.015.9710.828.52
Mkt Cap1.02.90.71.91.4
Rev LTM2,9205,8211,8795,7484,334
Op Inc LTM-73-60-6722-63
FCF LTM-27415433620
FCF 3Y Avg-130-2112221-54
CFO LTM2433254160107
CFO 3Y Avg1858946211137

Growth & Margins

TROXCCKROHUNMedian
NameTronox Chemours Kronos W.Huntsman  
Rev Chg LTM-3.9%0.6%-1.0%-4.8%-2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.8%-4.0%1.8%-9.9%-3.4%
Rev Chg Q3.0%1.0%4.1%-2.2%2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%0.2%1.1%-0.6%0.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-136.0%-115.4%-144.3%-69.9%-125.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-58.8%8.4%185.6%-61.6%-25.2%
Op Mgn LTM-2.5%-1.0%-3.5%0.4%-1.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.3%0.6%1.1%1.1%1.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%-0.7%-1.3%0.8%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM0.8%5.7%2.9%2.8%2.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%1.5%2.6%3.5%3.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.4%2.6%1.8%0.1%0.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.4%-3.7%1.3%0.4%-1.6%

Valuation

TROXCCKROHUNMedian
NameTronox Chemours Kronos W.Huntsman  
Mkt Cap1.02.90.71.91.4
P/S0.30.50.40.30.4
P/Op Inc-13.5-47.8-10.385.1-11.9
P/EBIT-3.7-106.2-9.9-27.9-18.9
P/E-2.1-7.0-5.1-7.8-6.1
P/CFO41.18.612.811.712.3
Total Yield-41.1%-12.5%-19.5%-5.0%-16.0%
Dividend Yield5.7%1.9%0.0%7.9%3.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.2%-11.5%2.0%0.9%-4.2%
D/E3.51.50.91.31.4
Net D/E3.41.30.91.11.2

Returns

TROXCCKROHUNMedian
NameTronox Chemours Kronos W.Huntsman  
1M Rtn-20.5%-12.3%-13.0%-23.7%-16.7%
3M Rtn-32.0%-11.5%-5.6%-15.7%-13.6%
6M Rtn47.3%56.5%35.5%7.5%41.4%
12M Rtn16.3%50.2%-5.4%1.8%9.0%
3Y Rtn-42.5%-41.5%-20.8%-53.1%-42.0%
1M Excs Rtn-25.4%-16.6%-15.2%-25.8%-21.0%
3M Excs Rtn-47.2%-25.2%-20.4%-30.2%-27.7%
6M Excs Rtn42.0%53.7%27.6%-0.8%34.8%
12M Excs Rtn-0.6%36.5%-24.5%-18.5%-9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-113.0%-110.3%-91.5%-122.9%-111.6%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Titanium dioxide (TiO2)2,2982,4072,2482,6932,793
Other products326345345323301
Zircon274322257438478
Total2,8983,0742,8503,4543,572


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20182017201620152014
Titanium dioxide (TiO2)3232616  
Corporate-123-123-54-64 
Alkali  8469 
TiO2   -123 
Corporate and other    -83
Eliminations    33
Minerals    1
Pigment    49
Total20013836-1180


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20182017201620152014
Titanium dioxide (TiO2)2,8413,0582,990  
Corporate1,8011,806291327 
Alkali  1,6691,690 
TiO2   3,055 
Corporate and other    1,268
Eliminations    -11
Minerals    2,624
Pigment    1,184
Total4,6424,8644,9505,0725,065


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.21 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.0 
First Trading Date12/01/2010 
Distance from 52W High-40.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$8.15$6.22
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-23.8%-0.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility68.6%89.7%
Downside Capture465.94273.98
Upside Capture109.16233.96
Correlation (SPY)32.4%31.3%
TROX Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.702.221.771.882.201.88
Up Beta0.240.040.350.662.011.90
Down Beta1.851.131.792.152.121.66
Up Capture75%129%95%380%409%660%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days7162865122361
Down Capture279%414%368%168%172%112%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days14253459124376

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TROX
TROX20.2%89.4%0.62-
Sector ETF (XLB)17.2%17.5%0.7552.2%
Equity (SPY)21.7%12.5%1.2931.3%
Gold (GLD)23.1%27.7%0.7320.8%
Commodities (DBC)21.3%18.6%0.908.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.8%0.6822.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.0%42.7%-1.1523.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TROX
TROX-19.0%60.9%-0.10-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.9%19.0%0.2559.3%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6046.0%
Gold (GLD)17.9%18.3%0.7914.2%
Commodities (DBC)6.9%19.5%0.2518.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%18.9%0.0637.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.2%53.8%0.4119.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TROX
TROX7.0%64.2%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.3%20.7%0.4460.2%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7349.8%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.1%0.618.4%
Commodities (DBC)5.7%18.0%0.2525.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2339.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.0%66.2%0.9912.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5312026-2.1%
Average Daily Volume2.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity158.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares13.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20264.8%2.0%-12.8%
2/19/2026-10.3%-6.4%-4.2%
11/6/2025-0.6%14.5%19.3%
7/31/2025-37.9%-37.2%-18.0%
5/1/20251.5%-9.2%7.5%
2/13/2025-11.0%-17.8%-26.8%
10/25/2024-7.7%-9.8%-7.6%
8/2/2024-14.9%-17.1%-10.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81210
# Negative161214
Median Positive4.7%5.3%15.2%
Median Negative-4.7%-10.7%-8.9%
Max Positive15.0%32.1%50.8%
Max Negative-37.9%-37.2%-26.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20264.8%2.0%-12.8%
2/19/2026-10.3%-6.4%-4.2%
11/6/2025-0.6%14.5%19.3%
7/31/2025-37.9%-37.2%-18.0%
5/1/20251.5%-9.2%7.5%
2/13/2025-11.0%-17.8%-26.8%
10/25/2024-7.7%-9.8%-7.6%
8/2/2024-14.9%-17.1%-10.1%
5/2/202412.2%12.3%16.7%
2/16/20245.5%11.6%27.6%
10/26/20234.6%0.4%23.7%
7/27/2023-4.9%-12.6%-17.7%
4/27/20230.5%4.5%-7.4%
2/16/2023-3.3%-6.2%-19.4%
10/27/2022-4.5%-12.5%10.2%
7/28/2022-3.2%-6.4%-4.1%
4/28/2022-2.8%2.1%-0.5%
2/17/2022-5.1%-11.6%-11.1%
10/28/2021-3.9%1.0%-3.0%
7/29/2021-0.8%-5.0%13.7%
4/29/20213.7%10.2%11.8%
2/18/2021-2.2%1.7%-1.3%
10/29/202015.0%32.1%50.8%
7/30/2020-8.4%6.1%7.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81210
# Negative161214
Median Positive4.7%5.3%15.2%
Median Negative-4.7%-10.7%-8.9%
Max Positive15.0%32.1%50.8%
Max Negative-37.9%-37.2%-26.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202102/22/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/23/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201903/16/202010-K
09/30/201911/12/201910-Q
06/30/201908/09/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/1/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA65.00 Mil75.00 Mil85.00 Mil25.0% RaisedGuidance: 60.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Run-rate savings125.00 Mil150.00 Mil175.00 Mil  Higher New

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA55.00 Mil60.00 Mil65.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Romano, John DCEO and DirectorDirectSell30920266.59101,600669,6359,713,273Form
2Srivisal, JohnSVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell30920266.5919,461128,2971,843,771Form
3Turgeon, Jean Francois DirectSell30920266.6018,563122,4884,975,328Form
4Neuman, Jeffrey NSVP, General Counsel & Sec.DirectSell30920266.5922,965151,4431,640,916Form
5Engle, Jeffrey ASVP, Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell30920266.6014,57596,1371,155,956Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Romano, John DCEO and DirectorDirectSell30920266.59101,600669,6359,713,273Form
2Srivisal, JohnSVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell30920266.5919,461128,2971,843,771Form
3Turgeon, Jean Francois DirectSell30920266.6018,563122,4884,975,328Form
4Neuman, Jeffrey NSVP, General Counsel & Sec.DirectSell30920266.5922,965151,4431,640,916Form
5Engle, Jeffrey ASVP, Chief Commercial OfficerDirectSell30920266.6014,57596,1371,155,956Form
6Flood, JonathanPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell30920266.588,00852,729611,443Form
7Flood, JonathanPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell30920267.557,00052,852761,591Form
8Johnston, Peter DirectBuy81320253.2120,00064,200614,757Form
9Turgeon, Jean Francois DirectBuy80820253.2131,150100,0272,480,834Form
10Jones, Stephen J Stephen J. Jones Revocable TrustBuy80720253.198,00025,480162,435Form
11Jones, Stephen J Stephen J. Jones Revocable TrustBuy80720253.207,00022,379137,471Form
12Jones, Stephen J Stephen J. Jones Revocable TrustBuy80620253.326,00019,920119,520Form
13Srivisal, JohnSVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectBuy80120253.3937,000125,478804,698Form
14Engle, Jeffrey ASVP, Commercial and StrategyDirectBuy80120253.0712,60038,682451,063Form
15Romano, John DCEO and DirectorDirectBuy80120253.09100,000308,9304,119,535Form
16Neuman, Jeffrey NSVP, General Counsel & Sec.Jeffrey Neuman Revocable TrustBuy50920254.8910,26650,19650,196Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/4/2026