Tearsheet

Marten Transport (MRTN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.04 | Market Cap: $900.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Marten Transport (MRTN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.04
Market Cap: $900.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 55x
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.3%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.9%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 55x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MRTN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -5.4% stock movement for Marten Transport (MRTN) during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Marten Transport reported weaker-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results. On October 23, 2025, the company announced net income of $2.2 million, or 3 cents per diluted share, for the third quarter, falling short of the consensus EPS forecast of $0.04. Additionally, quarterly revenue decreased by 7.1% year-over-year to $194 million, missing analysts' expectations of $230.38 million. 2. The completion of the intermodal business asset sale to Hub Group. Effective September 30, 2025, Marten Transport closed on its previously announced agreement to sell assets related to its intermodal business to Hub Group, Inc. This transaction involved the sale of approximately 1,200 refrigerated containers and associated contracts. While potentially streamlining operations, such asset sales can sometimes be interpreted by the market as a contraction or divestment of less profitable segments, contributing to a negative stock reaction.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MRTN Return25%4%17%7%-25%-31%-15%
Peers Return30%41%-15%54%10%-3%156%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MRTN Win Rate58%50%42%50%50%20% 
Peers Win Rate60%68%40%62%53%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MRTN Max Drawdown-21%-13%-7%-11%-25%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-3%-30%-7%-14%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMRTNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven38 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven498 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days1480 days

Compare to XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT


In The Past

Marten Transport's stock fell -24.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/7/2023. A -24.7% loss requires a 32.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Marten Transport (MRTN)

Better Bets than Marten Transport (MRTN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MRTN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Marten Transport

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MRTNXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameMarten T.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Price11.14139.76178.4928.79150.94187.92145.35
Mkt Cap0.916.57.31.731.718.111.9
Rev LTM9048,06712,7082,9915,57512,0496,821
Op Inc LTM167061,112541,391826766
FCF LTM-72232-88-5592179089
FCF 3Y Avg-70-206-458-88827388-79
CFO LTM1129492,4031911,4611,6101,205
CFO 3Y Avg1488082,3293471,5501,6471,179

Growth & Margins

MRTNXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameMarten T.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Rev Chg LTM-9.7%-0.3%1.3%-3.4%-5.9%-1.6%-2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.0%38.4%2.0%-2.1%-3.3%-6.3%-2.7%
Rev Chg Q-7.1%2.8%-0.3%3.5%-4.3%-0.5%-0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%0.7%-0.1%0.9%-1.1%-0.1%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM1.8%8.8%8.8%1.8%24.9%6.9%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%8.0%8.8%3.9%26.9%7.2%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.1%0.0%-1.0%-0.4%0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.4%11.8%18.9%6.4%26.2%13.4%12.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%10.1%18.7%10.9%26.8%13.1%13.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.9%2.9%-0.7%-1.8%16.5%6.6%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.0%-2.6%-3.7%-2.7%14.3%3.2%-2.6%

Valuation

MRTNXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameMarten T.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Cap0.916.57.31.731.718.111.9
P/S1.01.90.60.55.31.11.0
P/EBIT54.622.97.020.721.215.520.9
P/E44.845.915.362.327.922.536.4
P/CFO7.816.13.28.320.28.08.1
Total Yield4.5%2.2%8.4%3.8%4.4%5.8%4.4%
Dividend Yield2.3%0.0%1.9%2.2%0.8%1.3%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.9%-1.8%-8.5%-4.0%2.2%2.8%-2.9%
D/E0.00.31.20.50.00.10.2
Net D/E-0.10.21.10.40.00.10.2

Returns

MRTNXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameMarten T.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
1M Rtn10.3%1.1%6.5%12.1%10.0%10.7%10.1%
3M Rtn-3.6%11.1%-3.5%1.6%2.1%29.6%1.9%
6M Rtn-14.4%21.6%21.4%7.6%-6.2%34.9%14.5%
12M Rtn-33.4%-8.9%9.6%-26.9%-30.4%2.8%-17.9%
3Y Rtn-45.9%266.4%112.3%-32.0%1.5%5.9%3.7%
1M Excs Rtn10.3%1.1%6.6%12.1%10.0%10.7%10.2%
3M Excs Rtn-10.1%1.5%-10.2%-4.9%-3.7%24.3%-4.3%
6M Excs Rtn-29.1%6.9%6.6%-7.1%-20.9%20.2%-0.3%
12M Excs Rtn-48.3%-21.8%-5.7%-41.8%-45.9%-13.0%-31.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.2%206.7%35.1%-102.3%-66.2%-62.9%-64.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload465500397379378
Dedicated408429329310266
Brokerage16620514597109
Intermodal921301028990
Total1,1311,264974874843


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Dedicated4851364131
Truckload2559514030
Brokerage17231579
Intermodal-011967
Total901431129376


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,429,483
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.8%
Average Daily Volume571,777
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.50
Basic Shares Quantity81,520,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021