Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -148%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include In-Space Logistics, and Commercial Space Exploration.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2930%
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -84%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1951%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1951%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -510%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 133%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include In-Space Logistics, and Commercial Space Exploration.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -148%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2930%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -84%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1951%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1951%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -510%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 133%
10 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MNTS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Momentus (MNTS) experienced a significant stock movement of -39.8% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, primarily due to several key factors.

1. Worsening Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Momentus reported a net loss of $11.07 million for the third quarter of 2025, which was a worsening from a $7.75 million loss in Q3 2024. The company's total revenue for the first nine months of 2025 also saw a significant decline to $0.7 million from $1.8 million in the same period of the prior year, largely due to reduced engineering services revenue.

2. Delay in Q3 2025 Financial Report Filing: On November 14, 2025, Momentus announced a delay in filing its Form 10-Q for the third quarter of 2025. This delay was attributed to the need for additional time to finalize the accounting treatment of certain financial instruments, which can raise concerns about a company's financial transparency and stability among investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MNTS Return--77%-81%-96%-67%-92%-100%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%-2%47%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MNTS Win Rate64%42%33%25%50%10% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MNTS Max Drawdown--77%-83%-97%-79%-92% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMNTSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124536.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-15.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Momentus's stock fell -99.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -99.9% loss requires a 124536.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Momentus (MNTS)

Better Bets than Momentus (MNTS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MNTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Momentus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MNTSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameMomentus Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price0.8018.5551.7229.503.543.5611.05
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
Rev LTM1101831-4-52
Op Inc LTM-27-21150--9--18
FCF LTM-18-19951--9--13
FCF 3Y Avg-43-8--11--11
CFO LTM-18-16574--9--13
CFO 3Y Avg-43-22--10--10

Growth & Margins

MNTSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameMomentus Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM-70.7%-6.2%-166.4%-6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg225.3%-19.5%-94.3%-94.3%
Rev Chg Q-84.2%-3.8%-330.2%-3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-52.9%-0.9%-35.8%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-2,930.5%-209.3%6.0%--209.1%--209.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2,837.7%-2.2%--699.5%--699.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1,498.3%-1.7%-86.7%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,951.3%-164.1%8.9%--212.3%--188.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2,296.5%-2.5%--716.7%--716.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,951.4%-197.5%6.1%--216.3%--206.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2,300.9%-0.8%--777.8%--777.8%

Valuation

MNTSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameMomentus Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
P/S7.0-1.9---4.5
P/EBIT-0.2-32.3---16.1
P/E-0.2--523.2----261.7
P/CFO-0.4-22.0---10.8
Total Yield-505.6%--0.2%----252.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-306.9%--0.5%----153.7%
D/E0.8-0.2---0.5
Net D/E0.8-0.2---0.5

Returns

MNTSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameMomentus Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn-25.9%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-20.0%
3M Rtn-37.0%-58.2%40.5%-19.6%-33.0%-33.0%
6M Rtn-52.9%-61.1%---4.1%
12M Rtn-89.8%-215.2%---62.7%
3Y Rtn-99.9%-466.5%---183.3%
1M Excs Rtn-25.9%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-20.0%
3M Excs Rtn-39.8%-62.0%27.1%-13.0%-42.0%-39.8%
6M Excs Rtn-67.7%-46.4%----10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-104.1%-206.7%---51.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.7%-493.7%---160.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,652,997
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-18.0%
Average Daily Volume702,967
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.35
Basic Shares Quantity5,226,377
Short % of Basic Shares31.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024401202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
63020241015202410-Q 6/30/2024
33120241015202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023606202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021