MediciNova (MNOV)


Market Price (9/21/2026): $3.35 | Market Cap: $164.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

MediciNova (MNOV)


Market Price (9/21/2026): $3.35
Market Cap: $164.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 584%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8%

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1287%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 178x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 161%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -990%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -991%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 57%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Key risks
MNOV key risks include its critical dependence on the successful outcomes of its lead product candidates, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 584%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1287%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 178x
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 161%
8 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100%
9 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -990%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -991%
10 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 57%
11 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
12 Key risks
MNOV key risks include its critical dependence on the successful outcomes of its lead product candidates, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 9/18/2026

MediciNova (MNOV) stock has gained about 145% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. MediciNova reported stronger-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q2 2026.

The company announced its Q2 2026 earnings on August 12, 2026, with a reported Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.05, surpassing analysts' estimates of -$0.06 by 16.67%. Furthermore, revenue for the quarter reached $0.46 million, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.07 million. These results contributed to a narrowing of the net loss to $2.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, compared to $3.28 million in the same period a year ago.

2. Significant progress was achieved in key clinical trials, including the completion of patient enrollment.

On July 15, 2026, MediciNova announced the successful enrollment of 200 patients, meeting the target for the SEANOBI-ALS study, an Expanded Access Program evaluating MN-166 (ibudilast) in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) patients. Additionally, the company confirmed on May 26, 2026, the completion of the last patient last visit in its Phase 2 MN-001-NATG-202 clinical trial of MN-001 (tipelukast) for hypertriglyceridemia and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) associated with Type 2 diabetes.

Show more
Updated on 9/18/2026

MediciNova (MNOV) stock has gained about 145% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. MediciNova reported stronger-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q2 2026.

The company announced its Q2 2026 earnings on August 12, 2026, with a reported Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.05, surpassing analysts' estimates of -$0.06 by 16.67%. Furthermore, revenue for the quarter reached $0.46 million, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.07 million. These results contributed to a narrowing of the net loss to $2.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, compared to $3.28 million in the same period a year ago.

2. Significant progress was achieved in key clinical trials, including the completion of patient enrollment.

On July 15, 2026, MediciNova announced the successful enrollment of 200 patients, meeting the target for the SEANOBI-ALS study, an Expanded Access Program evaluating MN-166 (ibudilast) in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) patients. Additionally, the company confirmed on May 26, 2026, the completion of the last patient last visit in its Phase 2 MN-001-NATG-202 clinical trial of MN-001 (tipelukast) for hypertriglyceridemia and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) associated with Type 2 diabetes.

3. Analyst upgrades and new coverage with optimistic price targets boosted investor confidence.

On September 17, 2026, Roth/MKM initiated coverage of MediciNova with a "Buy" rating and set a price target of $6.00, implying a potential upside of 138% from the stock's trading price of $2.52 at that time. This was followed by Roth Capital upgrading MediciNova to a "strong-buy" rating on September 18, 2026. The consensus analyst rating for MNOV was reported as a "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of $7.75.

4. Expectations for upcoming key clinical data readouts served as a significant catalyst.

MediciNova highlighted that top-line data from the COMBAT-ALS Phase 2b/3 trial for MN-166 is anticipated by year-end (fiscal Q4 2026), and initial data from the MN-001-NATG-202 study is expected by the end of fiscal Q3 2026. These prospective readouts for its lead drug candidates, MN-166 and MN-001, were identified as pivotal drivers for near-term value.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 144.1% change in MNOV stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269202026Change
Stock Price ($)1.363.32144.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1154.3%
P/S Multiple112.2177.558.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49490.0%
Cumulative Contribution144.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MNOV144.1% 
Market (SPY)0.9%9.7%
Sector (XLV)12.7%5.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 129.0% change in MNOV stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 256.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269202026Change
Stock Price ($)1.453.32129.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)01256.9%
P/S Multiple275.7177.5-35.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4949-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution129.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MNOV129.0% 
Market (SPY)11.6%9.1%
Sector (XLV)5.5%10.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 153.4% change in MNOV stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 583.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259202026Change
Stock Price ($)1.313.32153.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)01583.9%
P/S Multiple477.3177.5-62.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4949-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution153.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MNOV153.4% 
Market (SPY)19.4%7.8%
Sector (XLV)24.1%6.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.1% change in MNOV stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120239202026Change
Stock Price ($)2.443.3236.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)019.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple177.5 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4949-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MNOV36.1% 
Market (SPY)75.6%10.5%
Sector (XLV)32.3%8.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MNOV Return-49%-24%-27%40%-38%163%-34%
Peers Return-34%88%6%8%81%27%226%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MNOV Win Rate25%33%42%58%25%56% 
Peers Win Rate40%50%38%52%55%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MNOV Max Drawdown-70%-37%-47%-32%-45%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-45%-53%-51%-37%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IONS, DNLI, MDGL, VKTX, AMLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMNOVS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-18.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven20 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-33.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.4%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven355 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-16.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven91 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-49.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven98.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven17 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-38.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven135 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-35.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven275 days6 days

Compare to IONS, DNLI, MDGL, VKTX, AMLX

In The Past

MediciNova's stock fell -18.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 22.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMNOVS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-33.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.4%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven355 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-49.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven98.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven17 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-38.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven135 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-35.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven275 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven97 days62 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-52.3%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven182 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-29.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven158 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-30.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven2065 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-68.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven220.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven172 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-24.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.4%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven33 days47 days

Compare to IONS, DNLI, MDGL, VKTX, AMLX

In The Past

MediciNova's stock fell -18.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 22.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MediciNova (MNOV)

MediciNova, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel small molecule therapeutics for serious diseases with significant unmet medical needs in the United States. The company operates by advancing a pipeline of investigational drug candidates aimed at providing new treatment options for patients.

The core of MediciNova's business involves its product pipeline, led by MN-166 (ibudilast), an oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent. This compound is under development for a variety of neurological disorders, including primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy, and glioblastoma, in addition to substance dependence. Other key drug candidates include MN-221 (bedoradrine) for acute exacerbations of asthma, MN-001 (tipelukast) for fibrotic diseases such as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), and MN-029 (denibulin) for solid tumor cancers. The primary customers or markets MediciNova serves are patients suffering from these challenging neurological, respiratory, fibrotic, and oncological conditions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for MediciNova:

  • Like an early-stage Biogen, focused on developing novel treatments for neurological and other serious diseases.
  • A developing Amgen, building a pipeline of experimental drugs for diverse challenging conditions.

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  • MN-166 (ibudilast): An oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent for treating neurological disorders and substance dependence and addiction.
  • MN-221 (bedoradrine): A selective beta-2-adrenergic receptor agonist for the treatment of acute exacerbations of asthma.
  • MN-001 (tipelukast): An orally bioavailable small molecule compound to treat fibrotic diseases, including nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.
  • MN-029 (denibulin): A tubulin binding agent for treating solid tumor cancers.
```

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Major Customers of MediciNova (MNOV)

MediciNova, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel therapeutics. As such, its primary "customers" are other pharmaceutical companies with whom it enters into collaboration agreements for the development, licensing, and potential commercialization of its drug candidates. Based on the provided background, MediciNova's major partners/potential customers include:

  • Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (Symbol: 4547.T - Tokyo Stock Exchange)
  • Kyorin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd (Symbol: 4564.T - Tokyo Stock Exchange)
  • Angiogene Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (Private Company)
  • Meiji Seika Kaisha Ltd. (A subsidiary of Meiji Holdings Co Ltd, Symbol: 2269.T - Tokyo Stock Exchange)

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  • Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TYO: 4547)
  • Kyorin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TYO: 4564)
  • Angiogene Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
  • Meiji Seika Kaisha Ltd. (TYO: 2269 for parent Meiji Holdings Co., Ltd.)

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Yuichi Iwaki, M.D., Ph.D. President and Chief Executive Officer, and Founder

Dr. Iwaki co-founded MediciNova in September 2000 and has served as its CEO since March 2006. He holds three professorships at the University of Southern California School of Medicine in the Departments of Urology, Surgery, and Pathology, and has been Director of the Transplantation Immunology and Immunogenetic Laboratory since 1992. Prior to that, he held professorships at the University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine. Dr. Iwaki has advised pharmaceutical companies and venture capital funds on research and investment strategies for over 30 years and is a board member of several biotechnology companies, including Avigen, Inc.

Jason Kruger Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Kruger has served as Chief Financial Officer of MediciNova since June 2022. He is the president and founder of Signature Analytics, an accounting services firm he established in September 2008, which was acquired by Citrin Cooperman Advisors LLC in November 2024. Before founding Signature Analytics, Mr. Kruger was a Senior Manager for Deloitte & Touche LLP from 2003 to 2008 and a Senior Accountant for Moss Adams LLP from 1999 to 2003.

Kazuko Matsuda, M.D., Ph.D, MPH Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Matsuda has served as Chief Medical Officer for MediciNova since 2010, and previously as Vice President of Clinical Development. She is responsible for all clinical development. Prior to joining MediciNova, Dr. Matsuda was a clinical advisor to the company for its MN-221 and MN-166 development programs, and an assistant professor at the University of Southern California, Keck School of Medicine. She is a board-certified pediatrician in both the United States and Japan.

David H. Crean, Ph.D. Chief Business Officer

Dr. Crean has served as Chief Business Officer since May 2021. He is also the President and CEO of Coast BioVentures LLC, an emerging life sciences venture fund, and a managing partner with Cardiff Advisory LLC, a strategic and financial advisory firm focused on mergers, acquisitions, and partnering transactions within the life science and healthcare sectors. Dr. Crean was previously a Managing Director for Objective Capital Partners, LLC, and is a limited partner with Mesa Verde Venture Partners, a leading life sciences venture fund.

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Key Risks to MediciNova (MNOV)

MediciNova, Inc. (MNOV), a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel small molecule therapeutics for serious diseases, faces several significant risks inherent in the biotechnology industry. The most prominent risks relate to the unpredictable nature of drug development, the substantial capital required for research and commercialization, and the increasing competition in its target markets.

1. Clinical Trial Failure and Regulatory Approval Risk

The most significant risk to MediciNova's business is the potential for its product candidates to fail in clinical trials or to not receive regulatory approval. Biopharmaceutical development is a lengthy, costly, and uncertain process, where early positive results do not guarantee success in later-stage trials or ultimate approval by regulatory authorities such as the FDA. The company's lead assets, MN-166 (ibudilast) and MN-001 (tipelukast), as well as other candidates like MN-221 and MN-029, are subject to these inherent risks. Delays, suspensions, or terminations of clinical trials can lead to increased costs and significantly hinder or prevent regulatory approval. For example, a Phase 2b study for MN-221 in asthma exacerbations did not statistically meet its primary endpoint, resulting in a substantial drop in the company's stock price.

2. Funding and Capital Raising Risk

Another critical risk for MediciNova is the ongoing need to raise sufficient capital to fund its operations and contribute to the development of its product candidates. Developing novel therapeutics through multiple clinical phases to commercialization requires substantial financial resources. Although MediciNova has utilized a lean funding strategy involving grants and partnerships and reported a cash position in November 2025 that suggests it can sustain programs without near-term financing, the extensive and often unpredictable costs associated with drug development mean that the company may need to secure significant additional capital in the future. The ability to obtain such funding is crucial for the continued advancement of its pipeline.

3. Dependence on Lead Candidates and Market Competition

MediciNova's business prospects are highly dependent on the successful development and eventual commercialization of its lead product candidates, particularly MN-166 and MN-001. MN-166 is currently in Phase 3 for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM), and is Phase 3-ready for progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). The failure of these key programs would have a severe adverse impact on the company. Furthermore, while MediciNova targets diseases with unmet medical needs, the market for such conditions can be highly competitive. The landscape for drug development in areas like ALS, for instance, is seeing accelerated activity, with a surge in early-stage clinical trials. This increasing competition from other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies could affect the commercial viability and market share of MediciNova's products, even if approved.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

MediciNova (MNOV) is developing several product candidates for various diseases. The addressable markets for their main products or services are as follows:

MN-166 (ibudilast)

  • Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS): The addressable market for ALS treatment in the U.S. is US$987.6 million. Approximately 20,000 ALS patients are in the U.S., with around 5,000 new diagnoses annually.

MN-001 (tipelukast)

  • Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF): The global Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis market size is expected to reach $4.7 billion by 2027. In 2023, the total market size of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis in the 7MM (United States, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan) was approximately USD 3,300 million. The global Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis market generated US$2,970.69 million in 2025 and is estimated to reach US$6,736.49 million by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 9.4% from 2026-2035. In the U.S., IPF affects an estimated 128,000 individuals, with approximately 48,000 new cases diagnosed each year.
  • Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH): NASH prevalence in the U.S. is 2-5%, with an additional 10-20% of Americans having "fatty liver."

MN-221 (bedoradrine)

The license agreement for MN-221 was terminated in October 2022, and therefore, it is no longer actively developed by MediciNova.

  • Acute Exacerbations of Asthma: In 2010, the direct costs associated with hospital care due to asthma in the U.S. were estimated at $5.5 billion. Annual emergency department visits for asthma in the U.S. were approximately 1.75 million in 2007.

MN-029 (denibulin)

No specific addressable market size information for MN-029 (denibulin) for solid tumor cancers was found. However, it is being developed for solid tumor cancers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

MediciNova (MNOV) is a biopharmaceutical company with a pipeline of small molecule therapeutics focused on treating serious diseases. While analysts generally do not forecast significant product sales revenue for MediciNova within the next two to three years, several key pipeline advancements and strategic activities are expected to drive future revenue growth through potential partnerships, milestone payments, and eventually, product commercialization.

The primary anticipated drivers of future revenue growth for MediciNova include:

  1. Positive Top-Line Results and Potential Regulatory Submission for MN-166 (ibudilast) in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS): MediciNova completed patient enrollment in its Phase 2b/3 COMBAT-ALS clinical trial for MN-166 in September 2025, with top-line results anticipated by the end of 2026. Positive outcomes from this pivotal trial are crucial and could pave the way for a regulatory submission to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) within the 2-3 year timeframe. MN-166 has already received Fast Track and Orphan Drug designations from the FDA for ALS, which could accelerate the review process and provide market exclusivity upon approval. Any significant progress toward regulatory approval, including a successful submission, could trigger milestone payments from existing or new collaboration agreements.
  2. Advancement and Potential Partnering of MN-001 (tipelukast) for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH): MediciNova completed patient enrollment for its Phase 2 trial of MN-001 for NASH in November 2025, with top-line data expected in the summer of 2026. MN-001 also holds Fast Track designation for NASH with fibrosis. Positive clinical data for MN-001 could significantly enhance its attractiveness for new licensing agreements or expanded partnerships, leading to upfront payments and development milestones, contributing to revenue growth.
  3. New or Expanded Partnerships and Licensing Agreements for Pipeline Candidates: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, MediciNova's strategy includes building a strong product portfolio through alliances. Successful progression of its lead drug candidates, particularly MN-166 across its various indications (including progressive multiple sclerosis where it is Phase 3-ready and degenerative cervical myelopathy where it is in Phase 3), as well as MN-001, could lead to new or expanded collaboration agreements with pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships typically involve upfront payments, research and development funding, and milestone payments upon achieving specific clinical or regulatory goals, representing significant drivers of future revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • MediciNova entered into a Standby Equity Purchase Agreement (SEPA) in July/August 2025, allowing the company to sell up to $30 million of its common stock over a 36-month period to investment funds managed by Yorkville Advisors Global LP.
  • In March 2026, MediciNova established a $50 million at-the-market (ATM) facility to support operations.
  • In January 2021, MediciNova issued US$20 million in shares of its common stock to 3D Opportunity Master Fund through a private placement transaction.

Inbound Investments

  • MediciNova secured a $22 million grant from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) to support its Expanded Access Program for ALS, which commenced in March 2025.
  • A Standby Equity Purchase Agreement (SEPA) with Yorkville Advisors Global LP, signed in July/August 2025, provides access to up to $30 million in capital over 36 months.
  • In January 2021, the company received a US$20 million investment from 3D Opportunity Master Fund through a private placement.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total research and development (R&D) and patent spend for MediciNova remained consistent at $7.2 million in 2025, primarily directed towards advancing clinical programs for MN-166 and MN-001, including higher trial costs.
  • The US$20 million raised in January 2021 was allocated to initiating a new clinical trial of MN-166 for glioblastoma, developing an intravenous formulation of MN-166 for ALS, and commencing a Phase 2 clinical trial of MN-001 in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).
  • MediciNova's projected operating needs for 2026 are approximately $16.2 million, which includes funding for ongoing development programs.

Peer Outperformance in Biotechnology

MNOV has outperformed 73% of its 363 Biotechnology peers over 5Y. Biotechnology ranks 10th of 10 industries in Health Care by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Biotechnology constituents that MNOV has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
89%
of 455 industry peers · 161.4% return
3Y
70%
of 402 industry peers · 65.2% return
5Y
73%
of 363 industry peers · -13.1% return
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Median price return by industry across the Health Care sector, ranked by 5Y. Biotechnology is MNOV's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care Distributors 6 16.2%43.2%90.1% CAH 392% · MCK 346% · COR 168%
Managed Health Care 8 40.4%-5.3%2.3% OSCR 84% · HQY 56% · ELV 17%
Health Care Services 20 21.1%37.6%-0.3% HIMS 239% · RDNT 173% · DGX 76%
Health Care Facilities 24 6.0%6.5%-4.5% NHC 271% · THC 261% · ENSG 129%
Health Care Equipment 50 -2.7%-0.2%-21.1% POCI 11050% · UFPT 341% · GKOS 222%
Pharmaceuticals 62 -10.5%14.8%-38.6% LQDA 2472% · INDV 1099% · ETON 1051%
Health Care Supplies 12 14.1%-8.9%-39.7% LNTH 287% · HAE 54% · MMSI 20%
Life Sciences Tools & Services 109 4.3%-11.3%-68.4% SNWV 1757% · MEDP 231% · NTRA 199%
Health Care Technology 21 -25.8%-52.6%-79.2% SPOK 68% · HSTM 3% · VEEV -13%
Biotechnology ← 364 0.6%-21.7%-79.4% CELZ 1280% · DNTH 1221% · ELVN 1069%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can MediciNova Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MNOVIONSDNLIMDGLVKTXAMLXMedian
NameMediciNo.Ionis Ph.Denali T.Madrigal.Viking T.Amylyx P. 
Mkt Price3.3244.4419.72531.5228.9932.4130.70
Mkt Cap0.27.43.715.53.43.63.6
Rev LTM187441,284002
Op Inc LTM-12-594-543-323-560-162-433
FCF LTM-9-568-468-206-418-127-312
FCF 3Y Avg-9-410-413-323-214-117-269
CFO LTM-9-496-434-198-418-127-308
CFO 3Y Avg-9-358-392-318-214-117-266

Growth & Margins

MNOVIONSDNLIMDGLVKTXAMLXMedian
NameMediciNo.Ionis Ph.Denali T.Madrigal.Viking T.Amylyx P. 
Rev Chg LTM583.9%-7.4%-149.0%-100.0%124.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.5%---18.5%15.5%
Rev Chg Q240.6%-40.7%-71.2%--71.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM54.3%-17.4%-13.4%--13.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM10.9%-123.0%-1.7%-4.1%-163.1%-0.8%-2.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg0.7%-24.5%-71.0%-7.7%-96.1%-31.9%-28.2%
Op Mgn LTM-1,287.4%-68.0%-15,058.2%-25.1%---677.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4,050.8%-47.0%--1,236.0%---1,236.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM877.4%-34.7%-2.6%--2.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-989.7%-56.8%-12,043.3%-15.4%---523.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3,104.7%-41.2%--1,047.4%---1,047.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-990.9%-64.9%-12,975.4%-16.0%---527.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3,105.2%-47.1%--1,063.3%---1,063.3%

Valuation

MNOVIONSDNLIMDGLVKTXAMLXMedian
NameMediciNo.Ionis Ph.Denali T.Madrigal.Viking T.Amylyx P. 
Mkt Cap0.27.43.715.53.43.63.6
P/S177.58.41,024.912.1--94.8
P/Op Inc-13.8-12.4-6.8-48.0-6.0-22.2-13.1
P/EBIT-13.8-15.3-6.8-52.8-6.0-22.2-14.6
P/E-15.2-13.0-7.2-47.7-6.3-23.7-14.1
P/CFO-17.9-14.8-8.5-78.4-8.1-28.5-16.4
Total Yield-6.6%-7.7%-13.8%-2.1%-15.9%-4.2%-7.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.9%-4.8%-11.8%-4.2%-5.2%-27.1%-8.5%
D/E0.00.20.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Returns

MNOVIONSDNLIMDGLVKTXAMLXMedian
NameMediciNo.Ionis Ph.Denali T.Madrigal.Viking T.Amylyx P. 
1M Rtn138.8%-25.6%-20.9%2.9%-14.5%-16.2%-15.3%
3M Rtn151.5%-40.0%-15.4%5.1%-4.6%106.8%0.3%
6M Rtn112.8%-37.4%-2.2%20.5%-10.3%134.7%9.1%
12M Rtn161.4%-27.2%54.7%20.8%14.1%143.5%37.7%
3Y Rtn65.2%4.6%-12.3%233.2%117.8%79.3%72.2%
1M Excs Rtn141.3%-26.2%-22.5%-0.9%-18.7%-15.3%-17.0%
3M Excs Rtn149.5%-42.0%-17.4%3.1%-6.6%104.8%-1.7%
6M Excs Rtn123.0%-53.5%-16.0%1.2%-30.3%114.9%-7.4%
12M Excs Rtn156.2%-43.3%35.1%11.4%9.6%137.9%23.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-21.0%-68.3%-88.7%107.9%20.1%-10.2%-15.6%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA206229  LILETTAlevonorgestrelsystem22620159.7%-17.5%59.4%69.4%-7.8%
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA206229  LILETTAlevonorgestrelsystem22620159.7%-17.5%59.4%69.4%-7.8%

Clinical Pipeline

Drug CandidateIndicationPhase 3 TrialsEst. Primary Completion
MN-166 (Ibudilast)Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis1Apr 2027
Active Phase 3 studies led by the company. Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Updated 8/28/2026

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Acquisition and development of small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases00104
Total00104


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Acquisition and development of small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases-13-13
Total-13-13


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Acquisition and development of small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases-12-11
Total-12-11


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220202019
Acquisition and development of small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases5666747579
Total5666747579


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.32 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date12/08/2006 
Distance from 52W High-3.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.54$1.46
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA116.0%128.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility101.8%80.4%
Downside Capture-284.290.57
Upside Capture238.38113.40
Correlation (SPY)11.4%7.8%
MNOV Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.470.39-0.040.220.300.45
Up Beta-0.680.020.470.44-0.490.32
Down Beta1.003.020.740.380.030.44
Up Capture-111%-7%-32%6%52%12%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days10192858110310
Down Capture-449%-21%-78%15%73%89%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days7162755120370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MNOV
MNOV173.2%79.9%1.56-
Sector ETF (XLV)24.4%16.1%1.167.0%
Equity (SPY)16.9%12.9%0.947.7%
Gold (GLD)19.1%29.3%0.606.6%
Commodities (DBC)46.3%20.6%1.73-6.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%13.6%0.106.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.6%44.3%-0.7011.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MNOV
MNOV-3.9%65.2%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.4%15.2%0.2413.9%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5717.9%
Gold (GLD)19.1%18.8%0.836.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.5%0.454.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.8%-0.0512.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.5%52.5%0.4210.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MNOV
MNOV-6.4%75.1%0.21-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.6%16.7%0.5121.3%
Equity (SPY)15.1%18.0%0.7224.6%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.615.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.377.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.4%20.7%0.1819.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.6%66.2%1.029.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 815202611.5%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity49.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/20/2026-3.2%-1.9%0.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive001
# Negative110
Median Positive  0.6%
Median Negative-3.2%-1.9% 
Max Positive  0.6%
Max Negative-3.2%-1.9% 
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/20/2026-3.2%-1.9%0.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive001
# Negative110
Median Positive  0.6%
Median Negative-3.2%-1.9% 
Max Positive  0.6%
Max Negative-3.2%-1.9% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/10/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/10/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202102/16/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202108/12/202110-Q
03/31/202105/13/202110-Q
12/31/202002/19/202110-K
09/30/202010/26/202010-Q
06/30/202007/28/202010-Q
03/31/202004/23/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K
09/30/201910/25/201910-Q
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/20/2026